Incidence and clinical variable inter-relationships of thymic epithelial tumors in northwest China

Quantitative CT parameters combined with preoperative systemic inflammatory markers for differentiating risk subgroups of thymic epithelial tumors

BACKGROUND

Thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) are the most common primary neoplasms of the anterior mediastinum. Different risk subgroups of TETs have different prognosis and therapeutic strategies, therefore, preoperative identification of different risk subgroups is of high clinical significance. This study aims to explore the diagnostic efficiency of quantitative computed tomography (CT) parameters combined with preoperative systemic inflammatory markers in differentiating low-risk thymic epithelial tumors (LTETs) from high-risk thymic epithelial tumors (HTETs).

METHODS

74 Asian patients with TETs confirmed by biopsy or postoperative pathology between January 2013 and October 2022 were collected retrospectively and divided into two risk subgroups: LTET group (type A, AB and B1 thymomas) and HTET group (type B2, B3 thymomas and thymic carcinoma). Statistical analysis were performed between the two groups in terms of quantitative CT parameters and preoperative systemic inflammatory markers. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors of risk subgroups of TETs. The area under curve (AUC) and optimal cut-off values were calculated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

47 TETs were in LTET group, while 27 TETs were in HTET group. In addition to tumor size and CT value of the tumor on plain scan, there were statistical significance comparing in CT value of the tumor on arterial phase (CTv-AP) and venous phase (CTv-VP), and maximum enhanced CT value (CEmax) of the tumor between the two groups (for all, P < 0.05). For systemic inflammatory markers, HTET group was significantly higher than LTET group (for all, P < 0.05), including platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (odds ratio [OR] = 2.511, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.322-4.772, P = 0.005), CTv-AP (OR = 0.939, 95%CI: 0.888-0.994, P = 0.031) and CTv-VP (OR = 0.923, 95%CI: 0.871-0.979, P = 0.008) were the independent predictors of risk subgroups of TETs. The AUC value of 0.887 for the combined model was significantly higher than NLR (0.698), CTv-AP (0.800) or CTv-VP (0.811) alone. The optimal cut-off values for NLR, CTv-AP and CTv-VP were 2.523, 63.44 Hounsfeld Unit (HU) and 88.29HU, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative CT parameters and preoperative systemic inflammatory markers can differentiate LTETs from HTETs, and the combined model has the potential to improve diagnostic efficiency and to help the patient management.

Development and validation of a CT-texture analysis nomogram for preoperatively differentiating thymic epithelial tumor histologic subtypes

BACKGROUND

Thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) are the most common primary tumors in the anterior mediastinum, which have considerable histologic heterogeneity. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram based on computed tomography (CT) and texture analysis (TA) for preoperatively predicting the pathological classifications for TET patients.

METHODS

Totally TET 172 patients confirmed by postoperative pathology between January 2011 to April 2019 were retrospectively analyzed and randomly divided into training (n = 120) and validation (n = 52) cohorts. Preoperative clinical factors, CT signs and texture features of each patient were analyzed, and prediction models were developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The performance of the models was evaluated and compared by the area under receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and the DeLong test. The clinical application value of the models was determined via the decision curve analysis (DCA). Then, a nomogram was developed based on the model with the best predictive efficiency and clinical utility and validated using the calibration plots.

RESULTS

Totally 87 patients with low-risk TET (LTET) (types A, AB, B1) and 85 patients with high-risk TET (HTET) (types B2, B3, C) were enrolled in this study. We separately constructed 4 prediction models for differentiating LTET from HTET using clinical, CT, texture features, and their combination. These 4 prediction models achieved AUCs of 0.66, 0.79, 0.82, 0.88 in the training cohort and 0.64, 0.82, 0.86, 0.94 in the validation cohort, respectively. The DeLong test and DCA showed that the Combined model, consisting of 2 CT signs and 2 texture parameters, held the highest predictive efficiency and clinical utility (p < 0.05). A prediction nomogram was subsequently developed using the 4 independently risk factors from the Combined model. The calibration curves indicated a good consistency between the actual observations and nomogram predictions for differentiating TET classifications.

CONCLUSION

A prediction nomogram incorporating both the CT and texture parameters was constructed and validated in our study, which can be conveniently used for the preoperative individualized prediction of the simplified histologic subtypes in TET patients.