Melanoma: Prognostic Factors and Factors Predictive of Response to Therapy

Proteomic Profiling of Advanced Melanoma Patients to Predict Therapeutic Response to Anti-PD-1 Therapy

PURPOSE

Despite high clinical need, there are no biomarkers that accurately predict the response of patients with metastatic melanoma to anti-PD-1 therapy.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

In this multicenter study, we applied protein depletion and enrichment methods prior to various proteomic techniques to analyze a serum discovery cohort (n = 56) and three independent serum validation cohorts (n = 80, n = 12, n = 17). Further validation analyses by literature and survival analysis followed.

RESULTS

We identified several significantly regulated proteins as well as biological processes such as neutrophil degranulation, cell-substrate adhesion, and extracellular matrix organization. Analysis of the three independent serum validation cohorts confirmed the significant differences between responders (R) and nonresponders (NR) observed in the initial discovery cohort. In addition, literature-based validation highlighted 30 markers overlapping with previously published signatures. Survival analysis using the TCGA database showed that overexpression of 17 of the markers we identified correlated with lower overall survival in patients with melanoma.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultimately, this multilayered serum analysis led to a potential marker signature with 10 key markers significantly altered in at least two independent serum cohorts: CRP, LYVE1, SAA2, C1RL, CFHR3, LBP, LDHB, S100A8, S100A9, and SAA1, which will serve as the basis for further investigation. In addition to patient serum, we analyzed primary melanoma tumor cells from NR and found a potential marker signature with four key markers: LAMC1, PXDN, SERPINE1, and VCAN.

Die Prognose des Melanoms im Kopf-Hals-Bereich im Stadium II hängt vom histologischen Subtyp ab

Hintergrund und Ziele

Die Melanom‐Leitlinie basiert hauptsächlich auf dem AJCC‐Stadium. Hierbei wird nicht zwischen den histologischen Subtypen wie dem superfiziell spreitenden Melanom (SSM), dem Lentigo‐maligna‐Melanom (LMM) oder dem nodulären malignen Melanom (NM) unterschieden. Ziel der Studie war es zu untersuchen, ob sich Patienten mit LMM im klinischen Verlauf von Patienten mit SSM/NM unterscheiden. Dies ist aktuell besonders wichtig, da die adjuvante Anti‐PD‐1‐Therapie für Melanome im Stadium IIB und IIC zugelassen wurde.

Patienten und Methodik

Die Daten wurden aus dem Zentralregister „malignes Melanom“ entnommen. Es wurden nur Patienten mit LMM, SSM oder NM des Kopf‐Hals‐Bereichs und Primärdiagnose zwischen dem 01.01.2000 und dem 31.12.2019 eingeschlossen. Das progressionsfreie Überleben (PFÜ), das melanomspezifische Überleben (MSÜ) und das Metastasierungsmuster wurden für die Gruppe der LMM im Vergleich zur Gruppe der SSM/NM analysiert.

Ergebnisse

Die LMM‐Kohorte (n = 902) hatte ein signifikant besseres MSÜ als die SSM/NM‐Kohorte (n = 604). Beim PFÜ gab es keinen Unterschied. Das 5‐Jahres‐MSÜ der LMM‐Kohorte im Stadium II betrug 88,5 % (95 % KI 81,4–95,6), im Vergleich dazu das der SSM/NM‐Kohorte im Stadium II 79,7 % (95 % KI 72,8–86,6).

Schlussfolgerung

Es scheint nicht angebracht zu sein, eine adjuvante Therapie bei LMM‐Patienten im Stadium II im gleichen Umfang durchzuführen, wie bei Patienten mit SSM/NM.

Prognosis in stage II melanoma of the head and neck depends on the histological subtype

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The melanoma guideline is mainly based on the AJCC stage. There is no difference according to histological subtypes such as superficial spreading melanoma (SSM), lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) or nodular malignant melanoma (NM). We aimed to evaluate whether patients with LMM have a different clinical course from patients with SSM/NM. This is particularly important as adjuvant anti-PD-1 therapy is approved for stage IIB and IIC melanoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data were extracted from the Central Registry of Malignant Melanoma. Only patients with LMM, SSM, and NM of the head and neck with primary diagnosis between 01/01/2000 and 12/31/2019 were included. Progression-free survival (PFS), melanoma-specific survival (MSS), and pattern of metastases were analyzed for the LMM group compared to SSM/NM.

RESULTS

The LMM cohort (n = 902) had significantly better MSS than the SSM/NM cohort (n = 604). There was no difference in PFS. The 5-year MSS of the stage II LMM cohort was 88.5% (95% CI 81.4-95.6) compared to 79.7% (95% CI 72.8-86.6) in the stage II SSM/NM cohort.

CONCLUSION

It does not appear appropriate to use adjuvant therapy in stage II LMM patients to the same extent as in patients with SSM/NM.

Effectiveness of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor with Anti-PD-1 Monotherapy or in Combination with Ipilimumab in Younger versus Older Adults with Advanced Melanoma

Background: The majority of melanoma is diagnosed in individuals between 55 and 84 years old. Current data varied in reporting differences in survival outcomes amongst different age groups. Methods: A retrospective, multi-center, provincial cohort database was used to investigate the relationship between age (<65 or ≥65 years old) and overall survival. Patients must have had histologically confirmed locally advanced or metastatic melanoma and had to have received at least one cycle of immunotherapy (single agent nivolumab, pembrolizumab, or combination ipilimumab plus nivolumab). Results: From August 2013 to May 2020, we identified 497 patients (median age = 64 [range 12-96 years]; 65.2% men; 36.4% with a BRAF mutation (V600E and V600K)). Of these, 260 were < 65 years old, and 237 were ≥65 years old. A total of 39.1% of the patients in the younger cohort received combination ICI compared with 10.2% in the older cohort, and the difference was statistically significant. Median survival amongst individuals aged ≥65 years old was shorter compared to individuals <65 years old, with a median overall survival of 17.1 (95% CI 12.3-22.9 months) months and 22.2 months (95% CI 18.7-33.8 months), respectively (p = 0.04), at a median follow-up of 34.4 months (range: 1.84-81.4 months). The survival difference was present in the cutaneous melanoma cohort where median OS was 18.2 months (95% CI 12.3-30.4 months) in patients ≥65 years old and 23.8 months (95% CI 19.2-48.2 months) in patients <65 years old, p = 0.04. There were no significant differences by age in the non-cutaneous melanoma cohort. A combination of nivolumab plus ipilimumab was associated with an improved overall survival hazard ratio of 0.48 (95% CI 0.36-0.65) as compared to anti-PD-1 monotherapy alone (p < 0.001). In the cutaneous cohort treated with anti-PD-1 monotherapy (n = 306), no significant differences were seen with median OS at 16.1 months (95% CI 11.4-25.7 months) in patients ≥65 years old and 17.1 months (95% CI 12.0-22.2 months) in patients <65 years old (p = 0.84). Tumor response to anti-PD-1 was higher in the older patients compared with the response in younger patients with cutaneous melanoma. Conclusions: Older melanoma patients have similar survival compared with younger patients after receiving the same treatment with anti-PD-1 monotherapy. The superior survival observed in the younger patients is possibly related to the higher utilization of combination ICI. Tumor response to immunotherapy is superior in older patients with cutaneous melanoma; however, younger patients may improve their survival by using combination ICI.

Correlation of Baseline Tumor Burden with Clinical Outcome in Melanoma Patients Treated with Ipilimumab

INTRODUCTION

Tumor burden is a frequently mentioned parameter; however, a commonly accepted definition is still lacking.

METHODS

In this double-center prospective and retrospective study, 76 patients with unresectable stage III or stage IV melanoma treated with ipilimumab were included. We defined the baseline tumor burden (BTB) as the global sum of all metastases' longest diameters before treatment started and correlated the calculated BTB with disease control rate (DCR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and with the baseline levels of LDH, S100B, and sULPB2.

RESULTS

BTB correlated significantly with DCR (p = 0.009), PFS (p = 0.002), OS (p = 0.032), and the occurrence of NRAS mutation (p = 0.006). BTB was also correlated to baseline serum levels of LDH (p = 0.011), S100B (p = 0.027), and SULBP (p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis revealed that BPB and LDH were independently correlated with PFS and OS. With increasing BTB, disease control was less likely; no patient with a BTB >200 mm achieved disease control. For patients with brain metastasis, no correlation of BTB with DCR (p = 0.251), PFS (p = 0.059), or OS (p = 0.981) was observed.

CONCLUSION

Calculated BTB is an independent prognostic factor for patients with metastatic melanoma treated with ipilimumab. Using calculated BTB as a definition of tumor burden may help increase comparability of outcome of therapies in future studies.

Melanin-targeted [18F]-PFPN PET imaging for prognosticating patients with melanoma

PURPOSE

Positron emission tomography (PET) using [18F]-PFPN, a melanin-targeted imaging tracer, has excellent diagnostic performance in patients with melanoma. This study aimed to investigate its value in prognostication and determine predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

METHODS

We reviewed melanoma patients who underwent [18F]-PFPN and [18F]-FDG PET from February 2021 to July 2022. Clinical characteristics, follow-up data, and the following [18F]-PFPN PET parameters were recorded: maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), whole-body melanotic tumoral volume (WBMTV), and whole-body total lesion melanin (WBTLM). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients (47 men and 29 women; mean age, 57.99 ± 10.72 years) were included for analysis. Median follow-up was 12.0 months (range: 1-22 months). Eighteen patients died and 38 experienced progression. Median OS was 17.60 months (95% confidence interval, 15.89-19.31). In the ROC analysis, [18F]-PFPN PET parameters were superior to those of [18F]-FDG PET in prognosticating death and disease progression. PFS and OS were significantly better in patients with lower SUVmax, WBMTV, and WBTLM on [18F]-PFPN PET (log-rank, P < 0.05). In the univariate analyses, distant metastasis, SUVmax, WBMTV, and WBTLM were significantly associated with cumulative incidence of PFS and OS (P < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, SUVmax was an independent predictor of PFS and OS.

CONCLUSIONS

[18F]-PFPN PET has a role in prognostication of melanoma patients. Patients with higher [18F]-PFPN SUVmax have worse prognosis.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05645484. Registered 9 December, 2022, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05645484?cond=The+Prognostic+Value+of+18F-PFPN+PET+Imaging+in+Patients+With+Malignant+Melanoma&draw=2&rank=1.

Long-term outcomes in patients with advanced melanoma who had initial stable disease with pembrolizumab in KEYNOTE-001 and KEYNOTE-006

Objective:

Patients with melanoma and early stable disease (SD) with pembrolizumab have unclear prognosis. We present post hoc analyses of long-term outcomes for patients with early SD, partial response (PR) or complete response (CR) with pembrolizumab.

Patients and methods:

Patients who received pembrolizumab in the KEYNOTE-001 and KEYNOTE-006 studies and had SD, PR or CR at weeks 12 or 24 were included.

Results:

Of 294 patients in the week 12 analysis, 107 (36.4%) had SD at week 12, of whom 7 (6.5%) had a best overall response of CR, 43 (40.2%) had PR and 57 (53.3%) had SD. Forty-eighte–month overall survival (OS) rates were 95.2%, 73.0% and 47.7%, respectively, for patients with CR, PR and SD at week 12. Similar results were observed in the 241 patients in the week 24 analysis. Forty-eight–month OS rates were 72.1% for patients with SD at week 12 followed by subsequent response and 75.0% for patients with PR at week 12 followed by no change in response or progression. Thirty-six–month and 48-month OS rates were 11.6% and not reached, respectively, for patients with SD at week 12 followed by progression before week 24.

Conclusions:

A substantial proportion of patients (46.7%) with early (week 12) SD with pembrolizumab achieved subsequent PR or CR. Patients with SD at week 12 and subsequent CR/PR had similar survival to those who maintained PR. In contrast, patients with SD at week 12 and subsequent progression had poor survival outcomes. These findings may guide treatment decisions for patients achieving early SD.

Trial registration:

Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT01295827 (KEYNOTE-001); NCT01866319 (KEYNOTE-006).

A Ferroptosis-Related Gene Model Predicts Prognosis and Immune Microenvironment for Cutaneous Melanoma

Background

Cutaneous melanoma is a common but aggressive tumor. Ferroptosis is a recently discovered cell death with important roles in tumor biology. Nevertheless, the prognostic power of ferroptosis-linked genes remained unclear in cutaneous melanoma.

Methods

Cutaneous melanoma patients of TCGA (The Cancer Genome Atlas) were taken as the training cohort while GSE65904 and GSE22153 as the validation cohorts. Multifactor Cox regression model was used to build a prognostic model, and the performance of the model was assessed. Functional enrichment and immune infiltration analysis were used to clarify the mechanisms.

Results

A five ferroptosis-linked gene predictive model was developed. ALOX5 and GCH1 were illustrated as independent predictive factors. Functional assessment showed enriched immune-linked cascades. Immune infiltrating analysis exhibited the distinct immune microenvironment.

Conclusion

Herein, a novel ferroptosis-related gene prognostic model was built in cutaneous melanoma. This model could be used for prognostic prediction, and maybe helpful for the targeted and immunotherapies.

Anti-PD-1 and Anti-PD-L1 in Head and Neck Cancer: A Network Meta-Analysis

Objective

The monoclonal antibodies anti-programmed death protein-1 (anti-PD-1) nivolumab and pembrolizumab are the first immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) approved for treatment of recurrent/metastatic head and neck carcinoma R/M HNSCC in first line and in platinum refractory disease. This network meta-analysis aims to investigate the efficacy of anti-PD-1- vs anti-PD-L1-based therapy in R/M HNSCC cancer patients through a systematic review of the literature to provide support for evidence-based treatment decisions. In particular, the effectiveness of ICIs for R/M HNSCC is analyzed according to the different mechanisms of action of the check-points inhibitory drugs in different subgroups of patients.

Methods

We did a systematic literature review and network meta-analysis (NMA) of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov, Embase, Medline, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science. Our search identified a total of five randomized controlled trials: Keynote 040, Keynote 048, Eagle, Condor, Checkmate 141. These trials included 3001 patients. Treatment was sub-categorized into PD-L1-based, PD-1-based, and standard chemotherapy. Treatments were indirectly compared with anti-PD-L1-based therapy.

Results

The network meta-analysis demonstrated no significant differences in OS between different subgroups except for the metastatic patients in which anti-PD-1-based therapy was associated with significantly less risk of death. Furthermore, anti-PD-1-based therapy appeared to be effective in smoker patients and in human papilloma-negative (HPV) patients. Conversely, anti-PD-L1-based therapy seems to be better efficient in female patients, in locally recurrent setting and in HPV positive patients.

Conclusion

This is the first NMA study that aimed to indirectly compare anti-PD-1- and anti-PD-L1-based therapy in HNSCC patients. The results of our NMA could help define a profile of patient responder or resistant to specific classes of immune drugs and can be used to guide/design future studies in the novel scenario of precision immune-oncology.

Prediction of Early Response to Immune Checkpoint Inhibition Using FDG-PET/CT in Melanoma Patients

Simple Summary

Melanoma has become the most rapidly increasing cancer in Caucasian populations, causing 90% of skin cancer mortality. FDG-PET/CT has been recommended by the European 2019 guidelines for melanoma for staging and treatment response assessment in advanced melanoma highlighting the need for new outcome predictive biomarkers. In the context of melanoma, the evidence on the predictive value of semiquantitative parameters derived from FDG-PET/CT is still very limited. We here provide evidence, in a large cohort of metastatic melanoma patients, that FDG-PET/CT can be used to predict the early response to immune checkpoint inhibition. On a patient-basis, total tumor volume and semiquantitative parameters, such as total metabolic tumor volume MTV and total lesion glycolysis TLG of all metastases three months after treatment start are promising predictive biomarkers for the outcome in metastatic melanoma patients. Also, early complete response on a metastasis- and patient-level seems to be predictive for lasting complete response.

Abstract

We aimed to investigate, whether ¹⁸F-2-fluoro-2-desoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT) scans performed at baseline (time point 0; TP 0) and three months after initiation of immunotherapy (time point 1; TP 1) can be used on a metastasis- and patient-level to predict the response to immune-checkpoint inhibition using FDG-PET/CT six months after treatment start (time point 2; TP 2) in metastatic melanoma patients. This single-center retrospective study considered metastatic melanoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibition from TP 0 to TP 2. An analysis on a metastasis- and patient-level was carried out. Tumor volume, standardized uptake values SUV (mean, maximum, and peak), metabolic tumor volume MTV and total lesion glycolysis TLG of each included metastasis were recorded at each time point, respectively TP 0, TP 1 and TP 2. Total tumor volume, total metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis per patient were also calculated at TP 0, TP 1 and TP 2. Treatment response was assessed at metastasis- and patient-level based on FDG-PET/CT scans at TP 2. 612 melanoma metastases in 111 patients were included. The analysis on a metastasis-level showed that metastatic SUVpeak at TP 1 and volume variation between TP 0 and TP 1 were the strongest negative predictive biomarkers for response. However, at TP 0, metastatic SUVmean and SUVpeak indicated a low negative prediction power, whereas initial metastatic volume was not a predictive biomarker. Also, melanoma metastases located in bone structures had a negative influence on the outcome at TP 2, particularly in women. The analysis on a patient-level showed, that total tumor volume, total metastatic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis of all metastases three months after treatment initiation were strong negative predictive biomarkers for response to immunotherapy six months after initiation. Age and female sex were also found to be negative predictive biomarkers with lower predictive power. Interestingly, total tumor volume at TP 0 and number of metastases at TP 0 as well as the occurrence of early immune-related adverse events between TP 0 and TP 2 did not have any predictive value for early treatment response. FDG-PET/CT performed for treatment response assessment three months after initiation of immune checkpoint inhibition in metastatic melanoma patients can also be used to predict early response to treatment. On a metastasis-level SUV peak and volume variation of metastases are strong outcome predictive biomarkers. On a patient-level total tumor volume and semiquantitative parameters such as total metabolic tumor volume MTV and total lesion glycolysis TLG of all metastases are promising outcome predictive biomarkers. Also, early complete response on a metastasis- and patient-level seems to be predictive for lasting complete response.

Examining the Relationship between Circulating CD4- CD8- Double-Negative T Cells and Outcomes of Immuno-Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy-Looking for Biomarkers and Therapeutic Targets in Metastatic Melanoma

Background: The role of circulating CD4−/CD8− double-negative T cells (DNTs) in the immune response to melanoma is poorly understood, as are the effects of checkpoint inhibitors on T cell subpopulations. Methods: We performed a basal and longitudinal assessment of circulating immune cells, including DNTs, in metastatic melanoma patients treated with checkpoint blockade in a single-center cohort, and examined the correlations levels of immune cells with clinical features and therapy outcomes. Results: Sixty-eight patients (48 ipilimumab, 20 PD1 inhibitors) were enrolled in the study. Our analysis indicated that better outcomes were associated with normal LDH, fewer than three metastatic sites, an ECOG performance status of 0, M1a stage, lower WBC and a higher lymphocyte count. The increase in lymphocyte count and decrease of DNTs were significantly associated with the achievement of an overall response. The median value of DNT decreased while the CD4+ and NK cells increased in patients that responded to treatment compare to those who did not respond to treatment. Conclusions: DNT cells change during treatment with checkpoint inhibitors and may be adept at sensing the immune response to melanoma. The complementary variation of DNT cells with respect to CD4+ and other immune actors may improve the reliability of lymphocyte assessment. Further investigation of DNT as a potential target in checkpoint inhibitor resistant melanoma is warranted.