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Variceal and Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Refractory to Endoscopic Management: Indications and Role of Interventional Radiology. Gastrointest Endosc Clin N Am 2024; 34:275-299. [PMID: 38395484 DOI: 10.1016/j.giec.2023.09.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2024]
Abstract
For over 60 years, diagnostic and interventional radiology have been heavily involved in the evaluation and treatment of patients presenting with gastrointestinal bleeding. For patients who present with upper GI bleeding and have a contraindication to endoscopy or have an unsuccessful attempt at endoscopy for identifying or controlling the bleeding, interventional radiology is often consulted for evaluation and consideration of catheter-based intervention.
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Combination of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Sarcopenia predicts mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). Dig Liver Dis 2024:S1590-8658(24)00303-7. [PMID: 38555198 DOI: 10.1016/j.dld.2024.03.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2024] [Revised: 02/21/2024] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 04/02/2024]
Abstract
TIPS is the most effective treatment for portal hypertension. Patient selection remains important to achieving optimal post-TIPS outcomes. The study evaluates 1-year mortality factors in cirrhotic patients receiving TIPS. METHODS 87 cirrhotic patients received a TIPS between 2015 - 2021. Predictors of 1-year and overall mortality were assessed by estimating cumulative incidence functions and Grey's test to adjust for liver transplantation as a risk competing with mortality. Variables with p < 0.05 were checked for collinearity and included in the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Model discrimination was evaluated by calculating the area under the ROC curve. RESULTS 87 patients were included (68% men; 22% ≥70 years). ALD was the primary cirrhosis cause. Most patients were Child-Pugh class B, MELD-Na score was 13.6 ± 6.0 points. The most frequent indication for TIPS was bleeding (51.7%), followed by refractory ascites (42.5%). The variables positively associated with mortality in univariate analysis were ascites, clinically overt sarcopenia and MELD-Na score, while ongoing nutritional supplementation improved survival. In the multivariate analysis, only clinically overt sarcopenia and MELD-Na score remained independently associated with mortality. A MELD-Na/sarcopenia model demonstrated a good discrimination, AUROC: 0.86 (95% CI 0.77 - 0.95). CONCLUSION MELD-Na score, and sarcopenia were significantly associated with 1-year survival in cirrhotic patients who received TIPS.
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Machine Learning Insights: Predicting Hepatic Encephalopathy After TIPS Placement. Cardiovasc Intervent Radiol 2023; 46:1715-1725. [PMID: 37978062 DOI: 10.1007/s00270-023-03593-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 11/19/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE To develop and assess machine learning (ML) models' ability to predict post-procedural hepatic encephalopathy (HE) following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this retrospective study, 327 patients who underwent TIPS for hepatic cirrhosis between 2005 and 2019 were analyzed. Thirty features (8 clinical, 10 laboratory, 12 procedural) were collected, and HE development regardless of severity was recorded one month follow-up. Univariate statistical analysis was performed with numeric and categoric data, as appropriate. Feature selection is used with a sequential feature selection model with fivefold cross-validation (CV). Three ML models were developed using support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR) and CatBoost, algorithms. Performances were evaluated with nested fivefold-CV technique. RESULTS Post-procedural HE was observed in 105 (32%) patients. Patients with variceal bleeding (p = 0.008) and high post-porto-systemic pressure gradient (p = 0.004) had a significantly increased likelihood of developing HE. Also, patients having only one indication of bleeding or ascites were significantly unlikely to develop HE as well as Budd-Chiari disease (p = 0.03). The feature selection algorithm selected 7 features. Accuracy ratios for the SVM, LR and CatBoost, models were 74%, 75%, and 73%, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.83, respectively. CONCLUSION ML models can aid identifying patients at risk of developing HE after TIPS placement, providing an additional tool for patient selection and management.
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Predictive Accuracy Comparison of Prognostic Scoring Systems for Survival in Patients Undergoing TIPS Placement: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Acad Radiol 2023:S1076-6332(23)00603-7. [PMID: 38000922 DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2023.10.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2023] [Revised: 10/25/2023] [Accepted: 10/26/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023]
Abstract
RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the performance of different risk assessment models (RAMs) for survival after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt (TIPS) in patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension. MATERIALS AND METHODS A systematic search of PubMed, WOS, Embase, Cochrane, and CNKI from inception to February 2023 was conducted. We comprehensively reviewed and aggregated data from numerous studies covering prevalent RAMs such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Sodium (MELD-Na), the Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival (FIPS), Bilirubin-platelet, Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute Decompensation score, and Albumin-Bilirubin grade across different timeframes. For this study, short-term is defined as outcomes within a year while long-term refers to outcomes beyond one year. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve or Concordance Statistics was chosen as the metric to assess predictive capacity for mortality outcomes across six predetermined time intervals. Mean effect sizes at various time points were determined using robust variance estimation. RESULTS MELD consistently stood out as a primary short-term survival predictor, particularly for 1 month (± 2 weeks) (AUC: 0.72) and 3 months of (± 1 month) survival (AUC: 0.72). MELD-Na showed the best long-term predictive ability, with an AUC of 0.70 at 3.5 years (± 1.5 years). FIPS performed well for 6 months of (± 2 months) survival (AUC: 0.68) and overall transplant-free survival (AUC: 0.75). Efficacy nuances were observed in RAMs when applied to particular subgroups. Meta-regression emphasized the potential predictor overlaps in models like MELD and FIPS. CONCLUSION This meta-analysis underscores the MELD score as the premier predictor for short-term survival following TIPS. Meanwhile, the FIPS score and MELD-Na model exhibit potential in forecasting long-term outcomes. The study accentuates the significance of RAM selection for enhancing patient outcomes and advocates for additional research to corroborate these findings and fine-tune risk assessment in TIPS.
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Updates on the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Impact on the Liver Transplant Waiting List: A Narrative Review. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2023; 34:337-343. [PMID: 36539154 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2022.12.029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2022] [Revised: 12/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/10/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is an established indicator of cirrhosis severity and a predictor of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and for allocation in liver transplantation. Since the adoption of the score, its use has been expanded to multiple new indications requiring model modifications, including relevant clinical and demographic variables, to increase predictive accuracy. The purpose of this report is to provide an update on the modifications made to the MELD score, comparing their performance with C statistics, advantages and disadvantages, and impact on mortality at 3 months after placing a TIPS or awaiting liver transplantation.
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MELD or MELD-Na as a Predictive Model for Mortality Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Placement. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2023; 11:38-44. [PMID: 36406309 PMCID: PMC9647111 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2021.00513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2021] [Revised: 04/13/2022] [Accepted: 05/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) was originally developed to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). The MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) score has replaced MELD for organ allocation for liver transplantation. However, there are limited studies to compare the MELD with MELD-Na to predict mortality after TIPS. METHODS We performed a retrospective chart review of patients who underwent TIPS placement between 2006 and 2016 at our institution. The primary outcome was mortality, and the secondary outcomes sought to assess which variables could provide prognostic information for mortality after TIPS placement. We performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess the performance of MELD and MELD-Na. RESULTS There were 186 eligible patients in the analysis. The mean pre-TIPS MELD and MELD-Na were 13 and 15, respectively. Overall, mortality after TIPS was 15% at 30 days and 16.7% at 90 days. In a comparison of the areas under the ROCs for MELD and MELD-Na, MELD was superior to MELD-Na for 30-day (0.762 vs. 0.709) and 90-day (0.780 vs. 0.730) mortality after TIPS. The optimal cutoff score for 30-day mortality was 15 (0.676-0.848) for MELD and 17 (0.610-0.808) for MELD-Na, whereas the optimal cutoff score for 90-day mortality was 16 (95% CI: 0.705-0.855) for MELD and 17 (95% CI: 0.643-0.817) for MELD-Na. There were 24 patients with high MELD-Na ≥17, but with low MELD <15, and 90-day mortality in this group was 8.3%. CONCLUSIONS Although MELD-Na is a superior prognostic tool to MELD for predicting overall mortality in cirrhotic patients, MELD tended to outperform MELD-Na to predict mortality after TIPS.
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MELD 3.0 Score for Predicting Survival in Patients with Cirrhosis After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation. Dig Dis Sci 2023:10.1007/s10620-023-07834-3. [PMID: 36715817 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-023-07834-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2022] [Accepted: 01/09/2023] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The selection of appropriate candidates for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is important and challenging. To validate the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis after TIPS creation. METHODS A total of 855 consecutive patients with cirrhosis from December 2011 to October 2019 who underwent TIPS placement were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic value of the MELD 3.0, MELD, MELD-Na, Child-Pugh and FIPS score was assessed using Harrell's C concordance index (c-index). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to test the goodness of fit of all models and the calibration plot was drawn. RESULTS The c-index of the MELD 3.0 in predicting 3-month mortality was 0.727 (0.645-0.808), which were significantly superior to the MELD (0.663 [0.565-0.761]; P = 0.015), MELD-Na (0.672 [0.577-0.768]; P = 0.008) and FIPS (0.582 [0.477-0.687]; P = 0.015). The Child-Pugh score reached c-indices of 0.754 (0.673-0.835), 0.720 (0.649-0.792), 0.705 (0.643-0.766) and 0.665 (0.614-0.716) for 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year mortality, respectively, which seems comparable to MELD 3.0. A MELD 3.0 of 14 could be used as a cut-off point for discriminating between high- and low-risk patients. The MELD 3.0 could stratify patients with Child-Pugh grade B (log-rank P < 0.001). The Child-Pugh score could stratify patients defined as low risk by MELD 3.0 (log-rank P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The MELD 3.0 was significantly superior to the MELD, MELD-Na and FIPS scores in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis after TIPS creation.
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Sarcopenia Defined by Psoas Muscle Thickness Predicts Mortality After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt. Dig Dis Sci 2022; 68:1641-1652. [PMID: 36583804 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-022-07806-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2022] [Accepted: 12/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To assess and compare the value of psoas muscle thickness at the level of the third lumbar (L3) vertebra (TPML) or umbilicus (TPMU) and skeletal muscle index (SMI) for diagnosing sarcopenia and predicting mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). MATERIALS AND METHODS Two hundred forty-nine patients undergoing TIPS were included in this retrospective study. The cut-offs of L3-SMI for sarcopenia were 42.0 cm2/m2 in men and 38.0 cm2/m2 in women. The cut-offs for TPML/height and TPMU/height to predict mortality was established using a receiver-operating characteristic analysis. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used for survival analyses. RESULTS Compared with TPMU/height, TPML/height was more consistent with L3-SM for the diagnosis of sarcopenia (Kappa coefficient: 0.63 vs. 0.36 in men; 0.61 vs. 0.45 in women). The Cox analysis showed that both TPML/height and TPMU/height were independent risk factors for mortality. The optimal cut-off values of TPML/height and TPMU/height for mortality in men and women were 11.2 mm/m, 9.4 mm/m, 18.4 mm/m, 15.1 mm/m, respectively. There were 119 (47.8%), 87 (34.9%), and 82 (32.9%) patients diagnosed with sarcopenia in the TPMU/height, TPML/height, and L3-SMI models, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the overall survival was significantly lower in the sarcopenia group in all three models. CONCLUSION TPMU/height and TPML/height have a similar survival prognostic value as L3-SMI. TPML/height has better consistency with L3-SMI in diagnosing sarcopenia and is a more stable alternative to L3-SMI for diagnosing sarcopenia in patients undergoing TIPS.
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External Validation of the FIPS Score for Post-TIPS Mortality in a National Veterans Affairs Cohort. Dig Dis Sci 2022; 67:4581-4589. [PMID: 34797445 PMCID: PMC9117561 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-021-07307-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2021] [Accepted: 10/25/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score was recently demonstrated to improve prediction of post-TIPS mortality relative to existing standards. As this score was derived from a German cohort over an extended time period, it is unclear if performance will translate well to other settings. This study aimed to externally validate the FIPS score in a large Veterans Affairs (VA) cohort over two separate eras of TIPS-related care. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement in the VA from 2008 to 2020. Cox regression models for post-TIPS survival were constructed using FIPS, MELD, MELD-Na, or CTP scores as predictors. Discrimination (Harrell's C) and calibration (joint tests of calibration curve slope and intercept) were evaluated for each score. A stratified analysis was performed for time periods between 2008-2013 and 2014-2020. RESULTS The cohort of 1,274 patients was 97.3% male with mean age 60.9 years and mean MELD-Na 14. The FIPS score demonstrated the highest overall discrimination versus MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP (0.634 vs. 0.585, 0.626, 0.612, respectively). However, in the modern treatment era (2014-2020), the FIPS score performed similarly to MELD-Na. Additionally, the FIPS score demonstrated poor calibration at one-month and six-month post-TIPS timepoints (joint p = 0.04 and 0.004, respectively). MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP were well-calibrated at each timepoint (each joint p > 0.05). CONCLUSION The FIPS score performed similarly to MELD-Na in the modern TIPS treatment era and demonstrated regions of poor calibration. Future models derived with contemporary data may improve prediction of post-TIPS mortality.
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A comprehensive review of prognostic scoring systems to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement. PORTAL HYPERTENSION & CIRRHOSIS 2022; 1:133-144. [DOI: 10.1002/poh2.28] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2022] [Accepted: 06/05/2022] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
AbstractPatient prognosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is relatively poor and highly heterogeneous; therefore, a prognostic scoring system is essential for survival prediction and risk stratification. Conventional scores include the Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) scores. The CTP score was created empirically and displayed a high correlation with post‐TIPS survival. However, the inclusion of subjective parameters and the use of discrete cut‐offs limit its utility. The advantages of the MELD score include its statistical validation and objective and readily available predictors that contribute to its broad application in clinical practice to predict post‐TIPS outcomes. In addition, multiple modifications of the MELD score, by incorporating additional predictors (e.g., MELD‐Sodium and MELD‐Sarcopenia scores), adjusting coefficients (recalibrated MELD score), or combined (MELD 3.0), have been proposed to improve the prognostic ability of the standard MELD score. Despite several updates to conventional scores, a prognostic score has been proposed (based on contemporary data) specifically for outcome prediction after TIPS placement. However, this novel score (the Freiburg index of post‐TIPS survival, FIPS) exhibited inconsistent discrimination in external validation studies, and its superiority over conventional scores remains undetermined. Additionally, several tools display potential for application in specific TIPS indications (e.g., bilirubin‐platelet grade for refractory ascites), and biomarkers of systemic inflammation, nutritional status, liver disease progression, and cardiac decompensation may provide additional value, but require further validation. Future studies should consider the effect of TIPS placement when exploring predictors, as TIPS is a pathophysiological approach that substantially alters systemic hemodynamics and ameliorates bacterial translocation and malnutrition.
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Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in cirrhosis patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 34:435-442. [PMID: 34750323 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) is used as an inflammatory index and has proven to be an accurate prognostic indicator for decompensated cirrhotics; however, its role in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has not been evaluated. We examined whether NLR is associated with mortality in decompensated cirrhosis patients undergoing TIPS. METHODS We performed a retrospective review of 268 decompensated cirrhotics who underwent TIPS from January 2011 to December 2015 at an academic medical center. NLR, patient demographics, manifestations of cirrhosis, TIPS indications and mortality were recorded. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for prognostic factors associated with 30-day and 90-day post TIPS mortality were performed. RESULTS A total of 129 (48%) patients received TIPS for refractory ascites with 79 (29%) for variceal bleeding, 14 (5%) for hepatic hydrothorax, and 46 (17%) for other indications. Cirrhosis etiology included hepatitis C (36%), alcohol (28%), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (20%), or other (15%). Median NLR was 4.42 (IQR 2.75-7.19). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed NLR as an independent predictive factor of 30-day and 90-day mortality. Furthermore, in patients with a Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ≤ 15, NLR is superior to MELD/MELD-Na score in predicting 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with MELD > 15, MELD/MELD-Na score is superior to NLR. CONCLUSION Our data indicate that elevated NLR independently predicts 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with a MELD ≤ 15, NLR is a better prognostic factor than MELD or MELD-Na in predicting short-term mortality.
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FIPS Score for Prediction of Survival After TIPS Placement: External Validation and Comparison With Traditional Risk Scores in a Cohort of Chinese Patients With Cirrhosis. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2022; 219:255-267. [PMID: 35138134 DOI: 10.2214/ajr.21.27301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Background: Various prognostic scores for patients with chronic liver disease have been applied for predicting survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. In 2021, the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score was developed specifically for predicting survival after TIPS placement. The score has exhibited variable performance in initial investigations conducted in German and U.S. cohorts. Objective: To compare utility of FIPS score and traditional scoring systems for predicting post-TIPS survival in a cohort of Chinese patients with cirrhosis. Methods: This retrospective validation study compared four prognostic scores [Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), sodium MELD (MELD-Na), CLIF Consortium Acute Decompensation (CLIF-C AD), and FIPS] in 383 patients (mean age, 54.9±11.7 years; 249 men, 134 women) with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement (341 for variceal bleeding, 42 for refractory ascites) at Wuhan Union Hospital between January 2016 and August 2021. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination (using concordance index) and calibration (using Brier score and observed-to-predicted ratios) for 6-, 12- and 24-month post-TIPS survival. Discrimination was further stratified by TIPS indication. Risk stratification was performed using previously proposed cutoffs for each score. Results: During postprocedural follow-up, 72 (18.8%) patients died. Discriminative performance for 6-month survival was highest for FIPS score (concordance index 0.784), followed by CLIF-C AD (0.743), MELD-Na (0.699), and MELD (0.694). FIPS score also showed highest calibration in terms of higher Brier scores and observed-to-predicted ratios closer to 1, as well as strongest prognostic performance for 12-month and 24-month survival and in subgroups of patients who underwent TIPS placement for either variceal bleeding or refractory ascites (except for similar performance of FIPS and CLIF-C AD in refractory ascites subgroup). When applying prior cutoffs, among patients classified as low risk by the other scores, further application of FIPS score was significantly associated with survival. Conclusion: FIPS score outperformed traditional risk scores in predicting post-TIPS survival in patients with cirrhosis. Clinical Impact: The findings support utility of FIPS score in differentiating patients who are optimal candidates for TIPS placement versus those at high risk who may instead warrant close monitoring and early liver transplantation.
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Prediction of Patient Survival with Psoas Muscle Density Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Med Sci Monit 2022; 28:e934057. [PMID: 35031594 PMCID: PMC8767767 DOI: 10.12659/msm.934057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Psoas muscle density (PMD) as a nutritional indicator is a tool to evaluate sarcopenia, which is commonly diagnosed in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, there are limited data on its role in patients who have received a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to determine the utility of PMD in predicting mortality of patients with TIPS implantation and to compare the clinical value of PMD, Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD paired with serum sodium measurement (MELD-Na) score in predicting post-TIPS survival in 1 year. Material/Methods This retrospective study included 273 patients who met the criteria for study inclusion. All participants underwent computed tomography (CT) scans, Child-Pugh score evaluation, MELD-Na scoring, and MELD scoring. Post-TIPS survival time was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The prognostic values of scoring models such as the Child-Pugh score, MELD, MELD-Na, and PMD were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. Results During the 1-year follow-up period, 31 of 273 (11.36%) post-TIPS patients died. Multivariate analysis identified PMD as an independent protective factor. PMD showed a good ability to predict the occurrence of an endpoint within 1 year after TIPS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for PMD, Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and MELD-Na for predicting mortality were, respectively, 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.663–0.773), 0.59 (95% CI: 0.531–0.651), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.535–0.655), and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.487–0.608). Conclusions PMD has appreciable clinical value for predicting the mortality of patients with TIPS implantation. In addition, PMD is superior to established scoring systems for identifying high-risk patients with a poor prognosis.
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Refining prediction of survival after TIPS with the novel Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival. J Hepatol 2021; 74:1362-1372. [PMID: 33508376 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.01.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 73] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2020] [Revised: 01/12/2021] [Accepted: 01/12/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) implantation is an effective and safe treatment for complications of portal hypertension. Survival prediction is important in these patients as they constitute a high-risk population. Therefore, the aim of our study was to develop an alternative prognostic model for accurate survival prediction after planned TIPS implantation. METHODS A total of 1,871 patients with de novo TIPS implantation for ascites or secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding were recruited retrospectively. The study cohort was divided into a training set (80% of study patients; n = 1,496) and a validation set (20% of study patients; n = 375). Further, patients with early (preemptive) TIPS implantation due to variceal bleeding were included as another validation cohort (n = 290). Medical data and overall survival (OS) were assessed. A Cox regression model was used to create an alternative prediction model, which includes significant prognostic factors. RESULTS Age, bilirubin, albumin and creatinine were the most important prognostic factors. These parameters were included in a new score named the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS). The FIPS score was able to identify high-risk patients with a significantly reduced median survival of 5.0 (3.1-6.9) months after TIPS implantation in the training set. These results were confirmed in the validation set (median survival of 3.1 [0.9-5.3] months). The FIPS score showed better prognostic discrimination compared to the Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na score and the bilirubin-platelet model. However, the FIPS score showed insufficient prognostic discrimination in patients with early TIPS implantation. CONCLUSIONS The FIPS score is superior to established scoring systems for the identification of high-risk patients with a worse prognosis following elective TIPS implantation. LAY SUMMARY Implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a safe and effective treatment for patients with cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. However, risk stratification is a major challenge in these patients as currently available scoring systems have major drawbacks. Age, bilirubin, albumin and creatinine were included in a new risk score which was named the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS). The FIPS score can identify patients at high risk and may guide clinical decision making.
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Prognostic Value of the CLIF-C AD Score in Patients With Implantation of Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt. Hepatol Commun 2021; 5:650-660. [PMID: 33860123 PMCID: PMC8034565 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1654] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2020] [Revised: 11/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Prognostic assessment of patients with liver cirrhosis allocated for implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a challenging task in clinical practice. The aim of our study was to assess the prognostic value of the CLIF-C AD (Acute Decompensation) score in patients with TIPS implantation. Transplant-free survival (TFS) and 3-month mortality were reviewed in 880 patients who received de novo TIPS implantation for the treatment of cirrhotic portal hypertension. The prognostic value of the CLIF-C AD score was compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh score, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score using Harrell's C concordance index. The median TFS after TIPS implantation was 40.0 (34.6-45.4) months. The CLIF-C AD score (c = 0.635 [0.609-0.661]) was superior in the prediction of TFS in comparison to MELD score (c = 0.597 [0.570-0.623], P = 0.006), Child-Pugh score (c = 0.579 [0.552-0.606], P < 0.001), and ALBI score (c = 0.573 [0.545-0.600], P < 0.001). However, the CLIF-C AD score did not perform significantly better than the MELD-Na score (c = 0.626 [0.599-0.653], P = 0.442). There were no profound differences in the scores' ranking with respect to indication for TIPS implantation, stent type, or underlying liver disease. Subgroup analyses revealed that a CLIF-C AD score >45 was a predictor of 3-month mortality in the supposed low-risk group of patients with a MELD score ≤12 (14.7% vs. 5.1%, P < 0.001). Conclusion: The CLIF-C AD score is suitable for prognostic assessment of patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension receiving TIPS implantation. In the prediction of TFS, the CLIF-C AD score is superior to MELD score, Child-Pugh score, and ALBI score but not the MELD-Na score.
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Practical Tips on TIPS: When and When Not to Request It. Am J Gastroenterol 2020; 115:2113-2114. [PMID: 32740076 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000000797] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
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Editor's Notebook: July 2020. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2020; 215:3-4. [DOI: 10.2214/ajr.20.23234] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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