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Menzaghi C, Marucci A, Mastroianno M, Di Ciaccia G, Armillotta MP, Prehn C, Salvemini L, Mangiacotti D, Adamski J, Fontana A, De Cosmo S, Lamacchia O, Copetti M, Trischitta V. Inflammation and Prediction of Death in Type 2 Diabetes. Evidence of an Intertwined Link With Tryptophan Metabolism. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2025; 110:e1323-e1333. [PMID: 39193712 PMCID: PMC12012783 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgae593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2024] [Revised: 08/06/2024] [Accepted: 08/27/2024] [Indexed: 08/29/2024]
Abstract
CONTEXT The role of inflammation in shaping death risk in diabetes is still unclear. OBJECTIVE To study whether inflammation is associated with and helps predict mortality risk in patients with type 2 diabetes. To explore the intertwined link between inflammation and tryptophan metabolism on death risk. METHODS There were 2 prospective cohorts: the aggregate Gargano Mortality Study (1731 individuals; 872 all-cause deaths) as the discovery sample, and the Foggia Mortality Study (490 individuals; 256 deaths) as validation sample. Twenty-seven inflammatory markers were measured. Causal mediation analysis and in vitro studies were carried out to explore the link between inflammatory markers and the kynurenine to tryptophan ratio (KTR) in shaping mortality risk. RESULTS Using multivariable stepwise Cox regression analysis, interleukin (IL)-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-13, RANTES, and interferon gamma-induced protein-10 (IP-10) were independently associated with death. An inflammation score (I score) comprising these 6 molecules is strongly associated with death in both the discovery and the validation cohorts HR (95% CI) 2.13 (1.91-2.37) and 2.20 (1.79-2.72), respectively. The I score improved discrimination and reclassification measures (all P < .01) of 2 mortality prediction models based on clinical variables. The causal mediation analysis showed that 28% of the KTR effect on mortality was mediated by IP-10. Studies in cultured endothelial cells showed that 5-methoxy-tryptophan, an anti-inflammatory metabolite derived from tryptophan, reduces the expression of IP-10, thus providing a functional basis for the observed causal mediation. CONCLUSION Adding the I score to clinical prediction models may help identify individuals who are at greater risk of death. Deeply addressing the intertwined relationship between low-grade inflammation and imbalanced tryptophan metabolism in shaping mortality risk may help discover new therapies targeting patients characterized by these abnormalities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claudia Menzaghi
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Antonella Marucci
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Mario Mastroianno
- Scientific Direction, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Giulio Di Ciaccia
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Maria Pia Armillotta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Cornelia Prehn
- Metabolomics and Proteomics Core, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Lucia Salvemini
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Davide Mangiacotti
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Jerzy Adamski
- Institute of Experimental Genetics, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany
- Department of Biochemistry, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117597, Singapore
- Institute of Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Andrea Fontana
- Biostatistics Unit, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Salvatore De Cosmo
- Unit of Internal Medicine, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Olga Lamacchia
- Endocrinology Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, 71122 Foggia, Italy
| | - Massimiliano Copetti
- Biostatistics Unit, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Trischitta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico “Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza,”71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
- Department of Experimental Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185 Rome, Italy
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Menzaghi C, Copetti M, Mantzoros CS, Trischitta V. Prediction models for the implementation of precision medicine in the real world. Some critical issues. Metabolism 2025:156257. [PMID: 40187402 DOI: 10.1016/j.metabol.2025.156257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2025] [Accepted: 03/31/2025] [Indexed: 04/07/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Claudia Menzaghi
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza", 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Massimiliano Copetti
- Unit of Biostatistics, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza", 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Christos S Mantzoros
- Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02215, USA
| | - Vincenzo Trischitta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza", 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy.
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Yan C, Chen G, Jing Y, Ruan Q, Liu P. Association between air pollution and cardiovascular disease risk in middle-aged and elderly individuals with diabetes: inflammatory lipid ratio accelerate this progression. Diabetol Metab Syndr 2025; 17:65. [PMID: 39980049 PMCID: PMC11844067 DOI: 10.1186/s13098-025-01638-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2024] [Accepted: 02/12/2025] [Indexed: 02/22/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Long-term exposure to air pollution significantly increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, the association and underlying mechanisms in individuals with diabetes remain unconfirmed. METHODS We used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) to follow 5,430 adults over a four-year period. Baseline CVD and diabetes status were determined, and high-resolution data were used to assess air pollution exposure to PM1, PM2.5, PM10, and O3. The inflammatory lipid ratio (ILR) was calculated to reflect inflammatory and lipid metabolic states. A generalized linear model (GLM) was employed to analyze the effects of air pollution and ILR on diabetes-related CVD risk. RESULTS The prevalence of CVD was 8.5% in the healthy population and 13.8% in the diabetic population. Air pollution exposure was significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD among diabetic individuals. For each interquartile range (IQR) increase in concentrations of pollutants O3, PM1, PM10, and PM2.5, CVD risk in the diabetic group rose by 21%, 19%, 28%, and 19%, respectively. Higher ILR values were positively associated with CVD incidence (OR = 1.019, 95% CI: 1.001-1.037, P < 0.05), with a nonlinear relationship observed between ILR levels and CVD risk (PNonlinear = 0.0381), indicating that higher ILR values exacerbate the impact of air pollution on diabetic individuals. CONCLUSION Among middle-aged and older adults with diabetes, exposure to air pollution is associated with an increased risk of CVD, and ILR intensifies this process. Therefore, implementing effective public health interventions to reduce air pollution exposure in diabetic populations is essential.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chunyu Yan
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China
| | - Guang Chen
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China
| | - Yingyu Jing
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China
| | - Qi Ruan
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China
| | - Ping Liu
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China.
- Xi'an Key Laboratory of Metabolic Disease Imaging, Xi'an No.3 Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Northwest University, Xi'an, Shanxi Province, 710021, China.
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Wu D, Chen G, Lan Y, Chen S, Ding X, Wei C, Balmer L, Wang W, Wu S, Xu W. Measurement of cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio in the risk prediction of type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study. J Transl Med 2024; 22:110. [PMID: 38281997 PMCID: PMC10822164 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-024-04895-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/14/2024] [Indexed: 01/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Converging data have suggested that monocytic inflammation and C-reactive protein (CRP) are biologically intertwined processes and are involved in diabetogenesis. This study aimed to investigate the association between systemic inflammation assessed by joint cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CumCRP) and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (CumMHR) and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their predictive value for T2D in a general population. METHODS A total of 40,813 nondiabetic participants from a prospective real-life cohort (Kailuan Study, China) were followed biennially from 2010/2011 until December 31, 2020. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of incident diabetes. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 7.98 (IQR: 5.74-8.87) years, 4848 T2D cases developed. CumMHR and CumCRP were alone or jointly associated with incident T2D after adjusting for potential confounders. Elevated CumMHR levels significantly increased the risk of incident diabetes in each CumCRP strata (P-interaction: 0.0278). Participants with concomitant elevations in CumMHR and CumCRP levels had the highest risk (aHR: 1.71, 95% CI 1.52-1.91) compared to both in the low strata. Notably, the coexposure-associated T2D risk was modified by age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and prediabetes status. C-statistics increased from 0.7377 to 0.7417 when CumMHR and CumCRP were added into the multivariable-adjusted model, with a net reclassification improvement (%) of 12.39 (9.39-15.37) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Cumulative hsCRP and MHR were both independently and jointly associated with an increased risk of T2D and their addition to established risk factors should improve risk prediction and reclassification of diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dan Wu
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, NO. 57, Changping Road, Jinping District, Shantou, 515041, Guangdong, China
- Department of Pediatrics, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China
- Centre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, 6027, Australia
| | - Genyuan Chen
- Department of Endocrinology, Chaoan People's Hospital, Longhua Road, Chaoan, Chaozhou, 515647, China
| | - Yulong Lan
- Centre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, 6027, Australia
- Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China
| | - Shuohua Chen
- Department of Cardiology, Kailuan General Hospital, Xinghua East Road, Tangshan, 063000, Hebei, China
| | - Xiong Ding
- School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Chiju Wei
- Multidisciplinary Research Center, Shantou University, Shantou, 515041, China
| | - Lois Balmer
- Centre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, 6027, Australia
| | - Wei Wang
- Centre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, 6027, Australia.
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
- School of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Tai'an, Shandong, China.
| | - Shouling Wu
- Department of Cardiology, Kailuan General Hospital, Xinghua East Road, Tangshan, 063000, Hebei, China.
| | - Wencan Xu
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, NO. 57, Changping Road, Jinping District, Shantou, 515041, Guangdong, China.
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Casu A, Nunez Lopez YO, Yu G, Clifford C, Bilal A, Petrilli AM, Cornnell H, Carnero EA, Bhatheja A, Corbin KD, Iliuk A, Maahs DM, Pratley RE. The proteome and phosphoproteome of circulating extracellular vesicle-enriched preparations are associated with characteristic clinical features in type 1 diabetes. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023; 14:1219293. [PMID: 37576973 PMCID: PMC10417723 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1219293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2023] [Accepted: 07/06/2023] [Indexed: 08/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction There are no validated clinical or laboratory biomarkers to identify and differentiate endotypes of type 1 diabetes (T1D) or the risk of progression to chronic complications. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) have been studied as biomarkers in several different disease states but have not been well studied in T1D. Methods As the initial step towards circulating biomarker identification in T1D, this pilot study aimed to provide an initial characterization of the proteomic and phosphoproteomic landscape of circulating EV-enriched preparations in participants with established T1D (N=10) and healthy normal volunteers (Controls) (N=7) (NCT03379792) carefully matched by age, race/ethnicity, sex, and BMI. EV-enriched preparations were obtained using EVtrap® technology. Proteins were identified and quantified by LC-MS analysis. Differential abundance and coexpression network (WGCNA), and pathway enrichment analyses were implemented. Results The detected proteins and phosphoproteins were enriched (75%) in exosomal proteins cataloged in the ExoCarta database. A total of 181 proteins and 8 phosphoproteins were differentially abundant in participants with T1D compared to controls, including some well-known EVproteins (i.e., CD63, RAB14, BSG, LAMP2, and EZR). Enrichment analyses of differentially abundant proteins and phosphoproteins of EV-enriched preparations identified associations with neutrophil, platelet, and immune response functions, as well as prion protein aggregation. Downregulated proteins were involved in MHC class II signaling and the regulation of monocyte differentiation. Potential key roles in T1D for C1q, plasminogen, IL6ST, CD40, HLA-DQB1, HLA-DRB1, CD74, NUCB1, and SAP, are highlighted. Remarkably, WGCNA uncovered two protein modules significantly associated with pancreas size, which may be implicated in the pathogenesis of T1D. Similarly, these modules showed significant enrichment for membrane compartments, processes associated with inflammation and the immune response, and regulation of viral processes, among others. Discussion This study demonstrates the potential of proteomic and phosphoproteomic signatures of EV-enriched preparations to provide insight into the pathobiology of T1D. The WGCNA analysis could be a powerful tool to discriminate signatures associated with different pathobiological components of the disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna Casu
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Yury O. Nunez Lopez
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Gongxin Yu
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Christopher Clifford
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Anika Bilal
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | | | - Heather Cornnell
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | | | - Ananya Bhatheja
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Karen D. Corbin
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
| | - Anton Iliuk
- Biomarker Discovery Department, Tymora Analytical Operations, West Lafayette, IN, United States
| | - David M. Maahs
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States
| | - Richard E. Pratley
- AdventHealth, Translational Research Institute (TRI), Orlando, FL, United States
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Papagianni G, Panayiotou C, Vardas M, Balaskas N, Antonopoulos C, Tachmatzidis D, Didangelos T, Lambadiari V, Kadoglou NPE. The anti-inflammatory effects of aerobic exercise training in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Cytokine 2023; 164:156157. [PMID: 36842369 DOI: 10.1016/j.cyto.2023.156157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2022] [Revised: 01/07/2023] [Accepted: 02/03/2023] [Indexed: 02/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a low-grade, chronic inflammatory disease, associated with increased cardiovascular risk. The purpose of this systematic review/ meta-analysis was to evaluate the effects of aerobic exercise training (AET) on inflammatory markers in T2DM patients. METHODS The literature search was conducted utilizing PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from their inception up to April 2022. We screened only for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effects of AET on C-reactive protein (CRP) and adipokines: adiponectin, resistin, interleukin 6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-a), along with changes in anthropometric indices and glycemic control in adult T2DM patients. Pooled post-exercise weighted mean differences (WMDs) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were calculated for all outcomes of interest between exercise-treated patients and controls. RESULTS Twenty-six RCTs involving 1239 T2DM patients were retrieved from the databases for meta-analysis. The cumulative results showed that post-AET inflammatory markers were lower in exercise-treated patients compared to controls regarding CRP (mg/L): WMD: -0.91; 95%CIs: -1.43, -0.40; p < 0.001 resistin (mg/ml): (WMD: -2.08; 95%CIs: -3.32, -0.84; p < 0.001); TNF-a (pg/ml): (WMD: -2.70; 95%CIs: -4.26, -1.14; p < 0.001), and IL-6 (pg/ml): (WMD: -1.05; 95%CIs: -1.68, -0.43; p < 0.001). Those effects were accompanied by significant amelioration of fasting glucose (mg/dl) (WMD: -13.02; 95%CIs: -25.39, -0.66; p = 0.04), HbA1c (%) (WMD: -0.51; 95%CIs: -0.73, -0.28, p < 0.001), and fat mass (%) (WMD: -3.14; 95%CI: -4.71, -1.58; p < 0.001). Our meta-analysis demonstrated less-consistent results for adiponectin (μg/ml), (WMD: 1.00; 95%CI: -0.12, 2.12; p = 0.08) and body-mass index (kg/m2) (WMD: -1.34; 95%CI: -2.76, 0.08; p = 0.06) tending to differ between AET and control group. CONCLUSIONS AET can significantly reduce the inflammatory burden in T2DM patients. by ameliorating the circulating levels of CRP, resistin, TNF-a and IL-6, even without accompanied significant weight-loss. The clinical impact of those anti-inflammatory effects of AET needs to be determined.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgia Papagianni
- Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | | | | | | | - Constantinos Antonopoulos
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Athens University Medical School, Attikon University General Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | | | | | - Vaia Lambadiari
- 2nd Department of Internal Medicine, Research Institute and Diabetes Centre, Athens University Medical School, Attikon University General Hospital, Athens, Greece
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Genetic association of circulating C-reactive protein levels with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study. Respir Res 2023; 24:7. [PMID: 36624433 PMCID: PMC9830761 DOI: 10.1186/s12931-022-02309-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2022] [Accepted: 12/30/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Several observational studies have found that idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is often accompanied by elevated circulating C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. However, the causal relationship between them remains to be determined. Therefore, our study aimed to explore the causal effect of circulating CRP levels on IPF risk by the two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. METHODS We analyzed the data from two genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of European ancestry, including circulating CRP levels (204,402 individuals) and IPF (1028 cases and 196,986 controls). We primarily used inverse variance weighted (IVW) to assess the causal effect of circulating CRP levels on IPF risk. MR-Egger regression and MR-PRESSO global test were used to determine pleiotropy. Heterogeneity was examined with Cochran's Q test. The leave-one-out analysis tested the robustness of the results. RESULTS We obtained 54 SNPs as instrumental variables (IVs) for circulating CRP levels, and these IVs had no significant horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneity, or bias. MR analysis revealed a causal effect between elevated circulating CRP levels and increased risk of IPF (ORIVW = 1.446, 95% CI 1.128-1.854, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS The present study indicated that elevated circulating CRP levels could increase the risk of developing IPF in people of European ancestry.
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Jiang Y, Yue R, Liu G, Liu J, Peng B, Yang M, Zhao L, Li Z. Garlic ( Allium sativum L.) in diabetes and its complications: Recent advances in mechanisms of action. Crit Rev Food Sci Nutr 2022; 64:5290-5340. [PMID: 36503329 DOI: 10.1080/10408398.2022.2153793] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a metabolic disease characterized by chronic hyperglycemia and impaired islet secretion that places a heavy burden on the global health care system due to its high incidence rate, long disease course and many complications. Fortunately, garlic (Allium sativum L.), a well-known medicinal plant and functional food without the toxicity and side effects of conventional drugs, has shown positive effects in the treatment of diabetes and its complications. With interdisciplinary development and in-depth exploration, we offer a clear and comprehensive summary of the research from the past ten years, focusing on the mechanisms and development processes of garlic in the treatment of diabetes and its complications, aiming to provide a new perspective for the treatment of diabetes and promote the efficient development of this field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yayi Jiang
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Rensong Yue
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Guojie Liu
- School of Chemical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jun Liu
- People's Hospital of NanJiang, Bazhong, China
| | - Bo Peng
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Maoyi Yang
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Lianxue Zhao
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Zihan Li
- Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
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Scarale MG, Mastroianno M, Prehn C, Copetti M, Salvemini L, Adamski J, De Cosmo S, Trischitta V, Menzaghi C. Circulating Metabolites Associate With and Improve the Prediction of All-Cause Mortality in Type 2 Diabetes. Diabetes 2022; 71:1363-1370. [PMID: 35358315 DOI: 10.2337/db22-0095] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2022] [Accepted: 03/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Death rate is increased in type 2 diabetes. Unraveling biomarkers of novel pathogenic pathways capable to identify high-risk patients is instrumental to tackle this burden. We investigated the association between serum metabolites and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes and then whether the associated metabolites mediate the effect of inflammation on mortality risk and improve ENFORCE (EstimatioN oF mORtality risk in type2 diabetic patiEnts) and RECODe (Risk Equation for Complications Of type 2 Diabetes), two well-established all-cause mortality prediction models in diabetes. Two cohorts comprising 856 individuals (279 all-cause deaths) were analyzed. Serum metabolites (n = 188) and pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines (n = 7) were measured. In the pooled analysis, hexanoylcarnitine, kynurenine, and tryptophan were significantly and independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.60 [95% CI 1.43-1.80]; 1.53 [1.37-1.71]; and 0.71 [0.62-0.80] per 1 SD). The kynurenine-to-tryptophan ratio (KTR), a proxy of indoleamine-2,3-dioxygenase, which degrades tryptophan to kynurenine and contributes to a proinflammatory status, mediated 42% of the significant association between the antiatherogenic interleukin (IL) 13 and mortality. Adding the three metabolites improved discrimination and reclassification (all P < 0.01) of both mortality prediction models. In type 2 diabetes, hexanoylcarnitine, tryptophan, and kynurenine are associated to and improve the prediction of all-cause mortality. Further studies are needed to investigate whether interventions aimed at reducing KTR also reduce the risk of death, especially in patients with low IL-13.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Giovanna Scarale
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Mario Mastroianno
- Scientific Direction, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Cornelia Prehn
- Metabolomics and Proteomics Core (MPC), Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Massimiliano Copetti
- Biostatistics Unit, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Lucia Salvemini
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Jerzy Adamski
- Institute of Experimental Genetics, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
- Department of Biochemistry, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
- Institute of Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Salvatore De Cosmo
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Trischitta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
- Department of Experimental Medicine, "Sapienza" University, Rome, Italy
| | - Claudia Menzaghi
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
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Zhou M, Xu X, Li J, Zhou J, He Y, Chen Z, Liu S, Chen D, Li H, Li G, Huang J, Yang G, Zhang T, Song J. C-reactive protein perturbs alveolar bone homeostasis: an experimental study of periodontitis and diabetes in the rat. J Clin Periodontol 2022; 49:1052-1066. [PMID: 35634690 DOI: 10.1111/jcpe.13667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2021] [Revised: 04/29/2022] [Accepted: 05/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
AIMS To explore the role of C-reactive protein (CRP) in periodontitis and diabetes and its mechanism in alveolar bone homeostasis. MATERIALS AND METHODS In vivo, normal and Crp knockout rats were randomly divided into: control, diabetes, periodontitis, and diabetes and periodontitis (DP) groups respectively. The diabetes model was established using a high-fat diet combined with streptozotocin (STZ) injection. The periodontitis model was established by ligature combined with lipopolysaccharide injection. Alveolar bones were analyzed using microCT, histology, and immunohistochemistry. In vitro, human periodontal ligament cells (hPDLCs) were treated with lipopolysaccharide and high glucose. CRP knockdown lentivirus or CRP overexpression adenovirus combined with a PI3K/AKT signaling inhibitor or agonist were used to explore the regulatory mechanism of CRP in osteogenesis and osteoclastogenesis of hPDLCs, as evidenced by ALP staining, WB and qPCR. RESULTS In periodontitis and diabetes, CRP knockout decreased the alveolar bone loss and the expression levels of osteoclastogenic markers, while increasing the expression levels of osteogenic markers. CRP constrained osteogenesis while promoting the osteoclastogenesis of hPDLCs via PI3K/AKT signaling under high glucose and pro-inflammatory conditions. CONCLUSIONS CRP inhibits osteogenesis and promotes osteoclastogenesis via PI3K/AKT signaling under diabetic and pro-inflammatory conditions, thus perturbing alveolar bone homeostasis. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mengjiao Zhou
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Xiaohui Xu
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jie Li
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jie Zhou
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yao He
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Ziqi Chen
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Shan Liu
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Duanjing Chen
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Han Li
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Guangyue Li
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jiao Huang
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Gangyi Yang
- Department of Endocrinology, the Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Tingwei Zhang
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jinlin Song
- Chongqing Key Laboratory for Oral Diseases and Biomedical Sciences, Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory for Oral Biomedical Engineering of Higher Education, and Stomatological Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
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Serum Levels of HCY, MIF, and hs-CRP Correlate with Glycolipid Metabolism in Adults with Never-Medicated First-Episode Schizophrenia. EVIDENCE-BASED COMPLEMENTARY AND ALTERNATIVE MEDICINE 2021; 2021:7394699. [PMID: 34812265 PMCID: PMC8605916 DOI: 10.1155/2021/7394699] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2021] [Accepted: 09/15/2021] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
Objective It has been reported that the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) in multiepisode patients with schizophrenia is 35.3%, which is 2- to 4-fold higher than in the general population. The study is designed to compare the glycolipid metabolism in patients with first-episode schizophrenia (FES) with sex- and age-matched healthy controls to investigate changes in serum levels of homocysteine (Hcy), macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), and high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and their relationships with the glycolipid metabolism in patients with FES. Methods His case-control study included 88 patients diagnosed with FES and 88 sex- and age-matched healthy controls. Patient psychopathology was assessed using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS), and 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HAMD-17). Patients with FES were classified into MS and non-MS groups. Results There were significant differences in the education level, body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference between the patients with FES and healthy controls (all p > 0.05). The patients with FES had higher levels of FPG and blood glucose at the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) (2 h glucose) concomitant with higher proportion of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR) than healthy controls (all p < 0.001). It was revealed that the patients with FES showed higher serum levels of Hcy, MIF, and hs-CRP than healthy controls (all p < 0.001). The serum level of Hcy shared positive correlations with the score of PANSS totals (r = 0.551) and the negative syndrome of the PANSS scale (r = 0.494). The serum levels of MIF and hs-CRP was only positively correlated with the negative syndrome of the PANSS scale (r = 0.320 and r = 0.446). The level of Hcy shared positive correlations with the levels of FPG, 2 h glucose, and HOMA2-IR; the level of MIF was only positively correlated with the level of HOMA2-IR; the level of hs-CRP had a positive correlation with both levels of FPG and 2 h glucose (all p < 0.001). The levels of Hcy, MIF, and hs-CRP all shared positive correlations with the TG level and negative correlations with the HDL-C level (all p < 0.001). There were remarkable differences between the MS and non-MS groups with regard to BMI, waist circumference, negative subscale of the PANSS scale, FPG, TG, and HDL-C (all p < 0.05). Elevated levels of Hcy, MIF, and hs-CRP were detected in the MS group compared to the non-MS group (all p < 0.05). Conclusion These findings suggest that increased concentrations of HCY, MIF, and hs-CRP may contribute to the abnormal glycolipid metabolism in the context of schizophrenia.
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Scarale MG, Antonucci A, Cardellini M, Copetti M, Salvemini L, Menghini R, Mazza T, Casagrande V, Ferrazza G, Lamacchia O, De Cosmo S, Di Paola R, Federici M, Trischitta V, Menzaghi C. A Serum Resistin and Multicytokine Inflammatory Pathway Is Linked With and Helps Predict All-cause Death in Diabetes. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2021; 106:e4350-e4359. [PMID: 34192323 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgab472] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
CONTEXT Type 2 diabetes (T2D) shows a high mortality rate, partly mediated by atherosclerotic plaque instability. Discovering novel biomarkers may help identify high-risk patients who would benefit from more aggressive and specific managements. We recently described a serum resistin and multicytokine inflammatory pathway (REMAP), including resistin, interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α, that is associated with cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVE We investigated whether REMAP is associated with and improves the prediction of mortality in T2D. METHODS A REMAP score was investigated in 3 cohorts comprising 1528 patients with T2D (409 incident deaths) and in 59 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy (CEA; 24 deaths). Plaques were classified as unstable/stable according to the modified American Heart Association atherosclerosis classification. RESULTS REMAP was associated with all-cause mortality in each cohort and in all 1528 individuals (fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for 1 SD increase = 1.34, P < .001). In CEA patients, REMAP was associated with mortality (HR = 1.64, P = .04) and a modest change was observed when plaque stability was taken into account (HR = 1.58; P = .07). REMAP improved discrimination and reclassification measures of both Estimation of Mortality Risk in Type 2 Diabetic Patients and Risk Equations for Complications of Type 2 Diabetes, well-established prediction models of mortality in T2D (P < .05-< .001). CONCLUSION REMAP is independently associated with and improves predict all-cause mortality in T2D; it can therefore be used to identify high-risk individuals to be targeted with more aggressive management. Whether REMAP can also identify patients who are more responsive to IL-6 and IL-1β monoclonal antibodies that reduce cardiovascular burden and total mortality is an intriguing possibility to be tested.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Giovanna Scarale
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Alessandra Antonucci
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Marina Cardellini
- Department of Systems Medicine, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome 00133, Italy
- Center for Atherosclerosis, Department of Medical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University, Rome 00133, Italy
| | - Massimiliano Copetti
- Unit of Biostatistics, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo 71013, Italy
| | - Lucia Salvemini
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Rossella Menghini
- Department of Systems Medicine, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome 00133, Italy
| | - Tommaso Mazza
- Bioinformatics Unit, IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo 71013, Italy
| | - Viviana Casagrande
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
- Department of Systems Medicine, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome 00133, Italy
| | - Gianluigi Ferrazza
- Center for Atherosclerosis, Department of Medical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University, Rome 00133, Italy
| | - Olga Lamacchia
- Unit of Endocrinology and Diabetology, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia 71100, Italy
| | - Salvatore De Cosmo
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza," San Giovanni Rotondo 71013, Italy
| | - Rosa Di Paola
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Massimo Federici
- Department of Systems Medicine, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome 00133, Italy
- Center for Atherosclerosis, Department of Medical Sciences, Policlinico Tor Vergata University, Rome 00133, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Trischitta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
- Department of Experimental Medicine, "Sapienza" University, Rome 00185, Italy
| | - Claudia Menzaghi
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza," 71013 San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
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Copetti M, Biancalana E, Fontana A, Parolini F, Garofolo M, Lamacchia O, De Cosmo S, Trischitta V, Solini A. All-cause mortality prediction models in type 2 diabetes: applicability in the early stage of disease. Acta Diabetol 2021; 58:1425-1428. [PMID: 34050821 PMCID: PMC8164049 DOI: 10.1007/s00592-021-01746-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2021] [Accepted: 05/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
AIMS The rate of all-cause mortality is twofold higher in type 2 diabetes than in the general population. Being able to identify patients with the highest risk from the very beginning of the disease would help tackle this burden. METHODS We tested whether ENFORCE, an established prediction model of all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes, performs well also in two independent samples of patients with early-stage disease prospectively followed up. RESULTS ENFORCE's survival C-statistic was 0.81 (95%CI: 0.72-0.89) and 0.78 (95%CI: 0.68-0.87) in both samples. Calibration was also good. Very similar results were obtained with RECODe, an alternative prediction model of all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, our data show that two well-established prediction models of all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes can also be successfully applied in the early stage of the disease, thus becoming powerful tools for educated and timely prevention strategies for high-risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Massimiliano Copetti
- Unit of Biostatistics, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza", Viale Padre Pio, 71013, San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy.
| | - Edoardo Biancalana
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Andrea Fontana
- Unit of Biostatistics, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza", Viale Padre Pio, 71013, San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Federico Parolini
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Monia Garofolo
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Olga Lamacchia
- Unit of Endocrinology and Diabetology, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
| | - Salvatore De Cosmo
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza", San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Trischitta
- Research Unit of Diabetes and Endocrine Diseases, Fondazione IRCCS "Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza", San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
- Department of Experimental Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Anna Solini
- Department of Surgical, Medical, Molecular and Critical Area Pathology, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
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Quan J, Ng CS, Kwok HHY, Zhang A, Yuen YH, Choi CH, Siu SC, Tang SY, Wat NM, Woo J, Eggleston K, Leung GM. Development and validation of the CHIME simulation model to assess lifetime health outcomes of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes in Chinese populations: A modeling study. PLoS Med 2021; 18:e1003692. [PMID: 34166382 PMCID: PMC8270422 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003692] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2020] [Revised: 07/09/2021] [Accepted: 06/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Existing predictive outcomes models for type 2 diabetes developed and validated in historical European populations may not be applicable for East Asian populations due to differences in the epidemiology and complications. Despite the continuum of risk across the spectrum of risk factor values, existing models are typically limited to diabetes alone and ignore the progression from prediabetes to diabetes. The objective of this study is to develop and externally validate a patient-level simulation model for prediabetes and type 2 diabetes in the East Asian population for predicting lifetime health outcomes. METHODS AND FINDINGS We developed a health outcomes model from a population-based cohort of individuals with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes: Hong Kong Clinical Management System (CMS, 97,628 participants) from 2006 to 2017. The Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modeling and Evaluation (CHIME) simulation model comprises of 13 risk equations to predict mortality, micro- and macrovascular complications, and development of diabetes. Risk equations were derived using parametric proportional hazard models. External validation of the CHIME model was assessed in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, 4,567 participants) from 2011 to 2018 for mortality, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, renal failure, cataract, and development of diabetes; and against 80 observed endpoints from 9 published trials using 100,000 simulated individuals per trial. The CHIME model was compared to United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model 2 (UKPDS-OM2) and Risk Equations for Complications Of type 2 Diabetes (RECODe) by assessing model discrimination (C-statistics), calibration slope/intercept, root mean square percentage error (RMSPE), and R2. CHIME risk equations had C-statistics for discrimination from 0.636 to 0.813 internally and 0.702 to 0.770 externally for diabetes participants. Calibration slopes between deciles of expected and observed risk in CMS ranged from 0.680 to 1.333 for mortality, myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease, retinopathy, neuropathy, ulcer of the skin, cataract, renal failure, and heart failure; 0.591 for peripheral vascular disease; 1.599 for cerebrovascular disease; and 2.247 for amputation; and in CHARLS outcomes from 0.709 to 1.035. CHIME had better discrimination and calibration than UKPDS-OM2 in CMS (C-statistics 0.548 to 0.772, slopes 0.130 to 3.846) and CHARLS (C-statistics 0.514 to 0.750, slopes -0.589 to 11.411); and small improvements in discrimination and better calibration than RECODe in CMS (C-statistics 0.615 to 0.793, slopes 0.138 to 1.514). Predictive error was smaller for CHIME in CMS (RSMPE 3.53% versus 10.82% for UKPDS-OM2 and 11.16% for RECODe) and CHARLS (RSMPE 4.49% versus 14.80% for UKPDS-OM2). Calibration performance of CHIME was generally better for trials with Asian participants (RMSPE 0.48% to 3.66%) than for non-Asian trials (RMPSE 0.81% to 8.50%). Main limitations include the limited number of outcomes recorded in the CHARLS cohort, and the generalizability of simulated cohorts derived from trial participants. CONCLUSIONS Our study shows that the CHIME model is a new validated tool for predicting progression of diabetes and its outcomes, particularly among Chinese and East Asian populations that has been lacking thus far. The CHIME model can be used by health service planners and policy makers to develop population-level strategies, for example, setting HbA1c and lipid targets, to optimize health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianchao Quan
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Carmen S. Ng
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Harley H. Y. Kwok
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Ada Zhang
- Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America
| | - Yuet H. Yuen
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | | | - Shing-Chung Siu
- Department of Medicine & Rehabilitation, Tung Wah Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | | | | | - Jean Woo
- Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Karen Eggleston
- Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America
- National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Gabriel M. Leung
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong SAR, China
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Qian X, He S, Wang J, Gong Q, An Y, Li H, Chen Y, Li G. Prediction of 10-year mortality using hs-CRP in Chinese people with hyperglycemia: Findings from the Da Qing diabetes prevention outcomes study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2021; 173:108668. [PMID: 33453295 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2021.108668] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2020] [Revised: 12/24/2020] [Accepted: 01/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
AIMS To examine whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) can predict all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia. METHODS All the 237 diabetes and 49 prediabetes recruited in the study were evolved from the participants with impaired glucose tolerance in the original Da Qing Diabetes Study. Blood hs-CRP level was measured at 2006. Ten-year outcome of death was traced from 2006 to 2016. Cox model was used to analyse the association between hs-CRP level and the risk of all-cause death occurred over the subsequent 10 years. RESULTS During the follow-up, death occurred in 36 (37.9%) subjects in the highest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP > 2.16 mg/L) and 19 (20.0%) in the lowest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP < 0.82 mg/L, p < 0.05). The corresponding incidence of all-cause death (per 1,000 person-years) was 44.7 (95% CI 30.1-59.3) and 21.6 (95% CI 11.9-31.3) in the two groups respectively (p < 0.0001). The highest hs-CRP tertile was associated with the increased risk of all-cause death significantly (hazard ratio 1.88, 95% CI 1.07-3.32) after controlling for traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS Serum hs-CRP was predictive of 10-year all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia, suggesting the impact of low-grade inflammation on mortality deserves more attention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Qian
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Siyao He
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jinping Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Da Qing First Hospital, Daqing, China
| | - Qiuhong Gong
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yali An
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hui Li
- Department of Cardiology, Da Qing First Hospital, Daqing, China
| | - Yanyan Chen
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Guangwei Li
- Endocrinology and Cardiovascular Metabolism Centre, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
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Mit Biomarkern Mortalität bei Typ-2-Diabetes vorhersagen. DIABETOL STOFFWECHS 2020. [DOI: 10.1055/a-1199-9459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
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