Did introduction of pneumococcal vaccines in the Netherlands decrease the need for respiratory antibiotics in children? Analysis of 2002 to 2013 data

The impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on ceftriaxone consumption in the community among young children

OBJECTIVES

Following pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction, community pediatric dispensed prescription rates (DPR) of oral antibiotics declined, in parallel to respiratory tract infection (RTI). We assessed the dynamics of outpatient parenteral ceftriaxone DPR.

METHODS

Computerized data for children <5 years were examined during 13 years (including 4 pre-PCV years). DPR from clinics with ≥50 insured children, active both before and after PCV implementation were included. Interrupted time series with segmented regression stratified by age and ethnicity, and adjusted for seasonality was applied to show monthly DPR trends.

RESULTS

A total of 29,226 prescriptions were dispensed. No significant trends in ceftriaxone DPR were seen pre-PCV. Shortly after PCV implementation, DPR abruptly and significantly declined, stabilizing in late-PCV period (5 years postimplementation). The dynamics were compared between the two ethnic groups in the region, Jewish and Bedouin children (the latter with higher crowding and respiratory disease rates). Among Jewish children, ceftriaxone was mainly dispensed during winter vs no seasonality among Bedouin children.

CONCLUSIONS

In southern Israel, outpatient ceftriaxone DPR declined post-PCV in young children, similar to the trends of RTIs and oral antibiotic prescriptions, suggesting a causative role of PCVs. The differences between the two ethnic groups suggest possible involvement of additional factors.

The impact of influenza and pneumococcal vaccination on antibiotic use: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Vaccination can prevent bacterial and viral infections that could otherwise increase the chances of receiving (unnecessary) antibiotic treatment(s). As a result, vaccination may provide an important public health intervention to control antimicrobial resistance (AMR).

OBJECTIVES

Perform a systematic literature review to better understand the impact of influenza, pneumococcal and COVID-19 vaccination on antibiotic use, and to identify differences in effect between world regions and study designs.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis which updated previous literature reviews with new data from 1 October 2018 to 1 December 2021. The study focuses on randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. Results from the meta-analysis of RCTs were stratified by WHO region and age group. Vote counting based on the direction of effect was applied to synthesize the results of the observational studies.

RESULTS

Most studies are performed in the WHO European Region and the Region of the Americas in high-income countries. RCTs show that the effect of influenza vaccination on the number of antibiotic prescriptions or days of antibiotic use (Ratio of Means (RoM) 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.83) is stronger compared to the effect of pneumococcal vaccination (RoM 0.92, 95% CI 0.85-1.00). These studies also confirm a reduction in the proportion of people receiving antibiotics after influenza vaccination (Risk Ratio (RR) 0.63, 95% CI 0.51-0.79). The effect of influenza vaccination in the European and American regions ranged from RoM 0.63 and 0.87 to RR 0.70 and 0.66, respectively. The evidence from observational studies supports these findings but presents a less consistent picture. No COVID-19 studies were identified.

CONCLUSION

We find that both RCTs and observational studies show that influenza vaccination significantly reduces antibiotic use, while the effect of pneumococcal vaccination is less pronounced. We were unable to study the effect of COVID-19 vaccination and no clear regional patterns were found due to the high heterogeneity between studies. Overall, our data supports the use of influenza vaccination as an important public health intervention to reduce antibiotic use and possibly control AMR.

Unravelling the Impact of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines on Ambulatory Antibiotic Drug Consumption in Young Children: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) reduce respiratory infections in young children, the main antibiotic consumers. Following PCV implementation, dispensed antibiotic prescription (DAP) rates in young children were expected to decline.

METHODS

Computerized data on DAP for children <5 years were examined during a 13-year period (including 4 pre-PCV years). All DAPs from clinics with ≥50 insured children, active both pre- and post-PCV implementation were included. Interrupted time series with segmented regression was applied to analyze monthly DAP rate trends, adjusted for age, ethnicity and season. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) DAPs during late PCV13 period vs. 4 years pre-PCV were calculated both as absolute rate ratios (aIRR) and relative to expected rates (rIRR).

RESULTS

Of 1,090,870 DAPs, 57% were in children <2 years. All-DAP rates peaked in the cold season. Post-PCV7/PCV13 implementation, all DAP-rates abruptly and significantly declined, reaching a plateau within 5 years. This was largely driven by amoxicillin/amoxicillin-clavulanate (75% of DAPs). Age <2 years and Bedouin ethnicity were significantly associated with higher pre-PCV DAP rates but with faster and greater decline post-PCV, achieving near elimination of gaps between ages and ethnic groups. Overall reduction (and 95% CIs) in DAP rates per 1,000 was estimated between aIRR value (344.7 [370.9-358.4]) and rIRR value (110.4 [96.9-123.7]).

CONCLUSIONS

Shortly following PCV implementation, overall DAP rates showed an abrupt and steep decline, stabilizing within 5 years, in parallel to post-PCV respiratory infection trends previously described in this population, suggesting causality. The variable patterns of certain drug categories suggest additional influences beyond PCV.

The Decline in Outpatient Antibiotic Use

BACKGROUND

A central component of the German antibiotic resistance strategy is to monitor the outpatient prescribing of systemic antibiotics nationwide, across all of the statutory health-insurance providers, in order to provide a basis for targeted quality-assurance measures.

METHODS

All outpatient drug prescription data from patients covered by the statutory health-insurance carriers in Germany in the age groups 0-14, 15-64, and ≥ 65 years were assessed. The chosen primary outcome measure under study was the prescription rate (number of antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 insurees per year) for the years 2010 to 2018.

RESULTS

Over the period of the study, a 21% decline was seen in the use of systemic antibiotics in outpatients, from 562 to 446 prescriptions per 1000 insurees per year in 2010 and 2018, respectively. The most marked reduction in the prescription rate-by 41%-was seen among child and adolescent insurees (in other age groups: -17% among those aged 15-64, -12% among those aged 65 and older). A downward trend was seen in all regions of Germany, and for most of the active substance groups for which data were obtained. In 2018, the prescription rate varied by a factor of 1.8 among regions, with the highest rate in the Saarland (572 per 1000 insurees per year) and the lowest in Brandenburg (318 per 1000 insurees per year).

CONCLUSION

The observed nationwide decline in the prescription of antibiotics to outpatients in all age groups may be a result of the numerous initiatives that have been put into action to reinforce the appropriate use of antibiotics in Germany. A change in pediatric prescribing practices is demonstrated by the marked reduction in this age group. The remaining major differences across German regions underscore the importance of regionally tailored programs for the promotion of rational antibiotic use.

Marked reductions in outpatient antibiotic prescriptions for children and adolescents - a population-based study covering 83% of the paediatric population, Germany, 2010 to 2018

BackgroundPrescribing of systemic antibiotics in general and of cephalosporins in particular in German paediatric outpatients has previously been reported to be higher than in other European countries.AimOur objective was to assess recent trends in antibiotic prescribing in German children.MethodsThis study was conducted as consecutive annual cross-sectional analyses and included all children aged 0-14 years (n = 9,389,183 in 2018) covered by statutory health insurance in Germany. Annual antibiotic prescription rates from 2010 to 2018 were calculated for the age groups 0-1, 2-5, 6-9 and 10-14 years. Poisson regression was used to estimate trends of prescription rates by age group and antibiotic subgroup.ResultsOverall, the age-standardised antibiotic prescription rate decreased significantly by 43% from 746 prescriptions per 1,000 persons in 2010 to 428 per 1,000 in 2018 (p < 0.001). Reductions were most pronounced in the age groups 0-1 year (-50%) and 2-5 years (-44%). The age group 2-5 years exhibited the highest prescription rate with 683 per 1,000 in 2018 (0-1 year: 320/1,000; 6-9 years: 417/1,000; 10-14 years: 273/1,000). Cephalosporins (second and third generation) accounted for 32% of prescribed antibiotics.ConclusionsMarked reductions in antibiotic prescribing during the last decade indicate a change towards more judicious paediatric prescribing habits. Compared with other European countries, however, prescribing of second- and third-generation cephalosporins remains high in Germany, suggesting frequent first-line use of these substances for common respiratory infections. Considerable regional variations underline the need for regionally targeted interventions.

Effect of vaccination on the use of antimicrobial agents: a systematic literature review

BACKGROUND

Antimicrobial resistance is a growing global health threat. To preserve the effectiveness of antimicrobials, it is important to reduce demand for antimicrobials.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of the study was to screen the existing peer-reviewed literature to identify articles that addressed the potential impact of influenza or Pneumococcus vaccination on antibiotic usage. Data sources: PubMed, Embase Study eligibility criteria: Clinical studies where antimicrobial prescribing was assessed in both vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. Participants and interventions: All patient populations were included (infants, children, adults and elderly), where the effects of the intervention (vaccination) was assessed.

RESULTS

We identified unique 3638 publications, of which 26 were judged to be of sufficiently high quality to allow the calculation of the potential impact of vaccination. Of these studies 23/26 found a significant reduction in antibiotic use by at least one of the parameters assessed.

LIMITATIONS

Different measures used to define anti-microbial use, studies typically focus on specific risk groups and most studies are from high-income countries. Conclusions and implications of key findings: Despite the limitations of the review, the evidence indicates that improved coverage with existing vaccines may significantly reduce antimicrobial demand. This suggests it may be a valuable tool for antimicrobial stewardship. Key messages While vaccines against a number of pathogens have been studied for their ability to reduce antimicrobial use, currently only vaccination against influenza or pneumococcus has generated sufficient data for analysis Vaccination against either influenza or pneumococcus significantly reduced overall antimicrobial prescribing rates, both in vaccinated individuals and at a population level Maintaining and expanding vaccination coverage thus appears to be a key tool for antimicrobial stewardship.

Diversity in the emergency care for febrile children in Europe: a questionnaire study

OBJECTIVE

To provide an overview of care in emergency departments (EDs) across Europe in order to interpret observational data and implement interventions regarding the management of febrile children.

DESIGN AND SETTING

An electronic questionnaire was sent to the principal investigators of an ongoing study (PERFORM (Personalised Risk assessment in Febrile illness to Optimise Real-life Management), www.perform2020.eu) in 11 European hospitals in eight countries: Austria, Germany, Greece, Latvia, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain and the UK.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The questionnaire covered indicators in three domains: local ED quality (supervision, guideline availability, paper vs electronic health records), organisation of healthcare (primary care, immunisation), and local factors influencing or reflecting resource use (availability of point-of-care tests, admission rates).

RESULTS

Reported admission rates ranged from 4% to 51%. In six settings (Athens, Graz, Ljubljana, Riga, Rotterdam, Santiago de Compostela), the supervising ED physicians were general paediatricians, in two (Liverpool, London) these were paediatric emergency physicians, in two (Nijmegen, Newcastle) supervision could take place by either a general paediatrician or a general emergency physician, and in one (München) this could be either a general paediatrician or a paediatric emergency physician. The supervising physician was present on site in all settings during office hours and in five out of eleven settings during out-of-office hours. Guidelines for fever and sepsis were available in all settings; however, the type of guideline that was used differed. Primary care was available in all settings during office hours and in eight during out-of-office hours. There were differences in routine immunisations as well as in additional immunisations that were offered; immunisation rates varied between and within countries.

CONCLUSION

Differences in local, regional and national aspects of care exist in the management of febrile children across Europe. This variability has to be considered when trying to interpret differences in the use of diagnostic tools, antibiotics and admission rates. Any future implementation of interventions or diagnostic tests will need to be aware of this European diversity.

Impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on antimicrobial prescriptions in young children: a whole population study

Background

Antimicrobial resistance is a public-health threat and antimicrobial consumption is the main contributor. The ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV10) was introduced into the Icelandic vaccination program in 2011.

The aim was to estimate the vaccine impact of PHiD-CV10 on outpatient antimicrobial prescriptions in children.

Methods

Eleven Icelandic birth-cohorts (2005–2015) were followed from birth until three years of age or to the end of the study period (December 31, 2016). Birth-cohorts were grouped as vaccine non-eligible (VNEC, 2005–2010) or vaccine eligible (VEC, 2011–2015). Data on primary care visits for respiratory infections and antimicrobial prescriptions were extracted from two national registers. Using national identification numbers, prescriptions were linked to physician visits if filled within three days of the visit. Incidence rates and incidence rate ratios between VNEC and VEC were calculated. An Andersen-Gill model was used to model the individual level data, accounting for repeated events and censoring. Vaccine impact was calculated as (1 – Hazard Ratio) × 100%.

Results

Included were 53,510 children who contributed 151,992 person-years of follow-up and filled 231,660 antimicrobial prescriptions. The incidence rate was significantly lower in the VEC compared to the VNEC, 144.5 and 157.2 prescriptions per 100 person-years respectively (IRR 0.92, 95%CI 0.91–0.93). Children in VEC were more likely to have filled zero (IRR 1.16 (95%CI 1.10–1.23) and 1–4 (IRR 1.08 95%CI 1.06–1.11) prescriptions compared to children in VNEC. The vaccine impact of PHiD-CV10 against all-cause antimicrobial prescriptions was 5.8% (95%CI 1.6–9.8%).When only considering acute otitis media-associated prescriptions, the vaccine impact was 21.8% (95%CI 11.5–30.9%).

Conclusion

The introduction of PHiD-CV10 lead to reduced antimicrobial use in children, mainly by reducing acute otitis media episodes. This intervention therefore reduces both disease burden and could slow the spread of antimicrobial resistance.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3416-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants after 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine introduction: a time-series analysis

OBJECTIVE

This population-based cohort study assesses the impact of switching from a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) to a 10-valent PCV on outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants, and whether geographical vaccination coverage modifies this association.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We extracted 2006-2013 anonymised antibiotic purchase data of 255 154 Dutch infants aged below 2 years from Achmea Health, a health insurance fund covering 28% of the national population.

DESIGN AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Changes in monthly antibiotic use from 2006-2011 (PCV7) to 2011-2013 (PCV10) were estimated using time-series analysis accounting for seasonality and autocorrelation. Interaction terms for vaccination coverage (categorised into seven groups) and period were added to the model to test whether this association was vaccination coverage-dependent.

RESULTS

275 337 antibiotic courses were used by 119 078 infants (461 352 person-years). PCV10 introduction was associated with a modest 1.6% overall reduction in antibiotic use (purchase rate ratio: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.98 to 0.99). Our model showed a significant difference in time trend in antibiotic use after PCV10 introduction (p=0.0084) with an increase in prescriptions in the PCV7 period (slope: 0.0023/month, 95% CI: -0.0001 to 0.0047) versus a decline in the PCV10 period (slope: -0.0089/month, 95% CI: -0.0150 to -0.0029). There was no evidence that PCV vaccination coverage affected this association, but since the largest rate ratios were observed in municipalities with the lowest vaccine coverage and had very wide accompanying CIs, our study might have insufficient power to detect such an association.

CONCLUSIONS

Switching from PCV7 to PCV10 was associated with a modest decline in outpatient antibiotic use in Dutch infants.

Impact of National Ten-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Program on Reducing Antimicrobial Use and Tympanostomy Tube Placements in Finland

BACKGROUND

Otitis media in young children is associated with major resource use including antimicrobial consumption and tympanostomy tube placements (TTPs). We evaluated the impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) introduction into the Finnish National Vaccination Programme (NVP) against these outcomes in vaccine-eligible children.

METHODS

PCV10-NVP began September 2010 with a 2 + 1 schedule; uptake in 2012 was estimated at 92%. The relative and absolute reduction in the NVP-eligible target cohort was compared with a season and age-matched (3-54 months) cohort before NVP introduction. Outpatient antimicrobial purchase data were collected from the Social Insurance Institution register. Data on purchases of antimicrobials recommended for treatment of acute otitis media by the Finnish Current Care Guidelines (amoxicillin with/without enzyme inhibitor, cefuroxime, cefaclor, clarithromycin, azithromycin) were collected, but full data on penicillin and sulfadiazine/trimethoprim were not available. Data on all TTP procedures were obtained from national hospital discharge register and Social Insurance Institution benefits register. Generalized Cox regression was used in the analysis.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of antimicrobial purchases in the reference and target cohorts were 1.09 and 0.89 per person-year, respectively. The relative rate reduction was 17.5% (95% confidence interval: 17.0-18.1) and the absolute rate reduction 0.20 per person-year. The rates of TTP in the reference and target cohorts were 5.41/100 and 4.56/100 person-years, respectively. The relative rate reduction was 14.8% (95% confidence interval: 13.1-16.5) and the absolute rate reduction 0.86/100 person-years.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of antimicrobials and TTPs reduced after PCV10 was introduced into a routine vaccination program. This suggests considerable savings in health care resource use.

Use of mathematical modelling to assess the impact of vaccines on antibiotic resistance

Antibiotic resistance is a major global threat to the provision of safe and effective health care. To control antibiotic resistance, vaccines have been proposed as an essential intervention, complementing improvements in diagnostic testing, antibiotic stewardship, and drug pipelines. The decision to introduce or amend vaccination programmes is routinely based on mathematical modelling. However, few mathematical models address the impact of vaccination on antibiotic resistance. We reviewed the literature using PubMed to identify all studies that used an original mathematical model to quantify the impact of a vaccine on antibiotic resistance transmission within a human population. We reviewed the models from the resulting studies in the context of a new framework to elucidate the pathways through which vaccination might impact antibiotic resistance. We identified eight mathematical modelling studies; the state of the literature highlighted important gaps in our understanding. Notably, studies are limited in the range of pathways represented, their geographical scope, and the vaccine-pathogen combinations assessed. Furthermore, to translate model predictions into public health decision making, more work is needed to understand how model structure and parameterisation affects model predictions and how to embed these predictions within economic frameworks.

Kern W. Outpatient Antibiotic Prescription

BACKGROUND

In view of the rise in antibiotic resistance and Clostridium difficile superinfection, close monitoring of antibiotic prescribing practices is essential so that targeted quality assurance measures can be taken.

METHODS

We analyzed nationwide data from multiple statutory health insurance carriers on prescriptions of systemic antibiotics in the years 2008-2014, with special attention to cephalosporins and fluoroqinolones. Prescribing rates were characterized in terms of defined daily doses (DDD) per 1000 statutory insurees per year and were analyzed separately for each age group and each federal state in Germany. Trends were analyzed with joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

Antibiotic prescribing rates for persons aged 15 to 69 increased slightly overall during the period of observation. On the other hand, there was a significant decline in antibiotic prescribing rates for persons under age 15 in all of the German states, with a mean annual decrease of 6.8%. There was also a slight decline in antibiotic prescribing rates for persons aged 70 and above, mainly accounted for by fluoroquinolones. Cephalosporin prescribing rates rose significantly in all states, by an overall average of 7.6% per annum. Cephalo - sporin prescribing rates rose significantly in all age groups except persons under age 15, for whom there was a decline that did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed an overall decline in outpatient antibiotic prescriptions for persons under age 15 as well as other major changes in prescribing practices for the types of antibiotics studied. The observed marked rise in cephalosporin prescribing rates in all German states demands special attention because of the associated danger of increased antibiotic resistance and C. difficile superinfection. Oral cephalosporins are not recommended as drugs of first choice in current guidelines.

Antibiotic prescribing in Danish general practice 2004-13

OBJECTIVES

Antibiotic consumption in the primary care sector is often perceived as synonymous with consumption in general practice despite the fact that few countries stratify the primary care sector by providers' medical specialty. We aimed to characterize and quantify antibiotic use in Danish general practice relative to the entire primary care sector.

METHODS

This was a registry-based study including all patients who redeemed an antibiotic prescription between July 2004 and June 2013 at a Danish community pharmacy. Antibiotic use was expressed as DDDs and treatments/1000 inhabitants/day (DIDs and TIDs, respectively) and assessed according to antibiotic spectrum (narrow versus broad) and their anatomical therapeutic classification codes in total as well as in six age groups.

RESULTS

The contribution of general practice to the entire antibiotic use in the primary care sector declined during the study period (TIDs, 79%-75%; DIDs, 77%-73%). Antibiotic use in general practice increased 8% when expressed as DIDs, while a 9% decrease was observed when expressed as TIDs. The use of broad-spectrum agents increased while narrow-spectrum agents decreased. The decline in antibiotic use was most prominent in children aged <5 years, while elderly patients were increasingly prescribed antibiotics.

CONCLUSIONS

Using the entire primary care sector as a proxy for general practice prescribing is imprecise. Antibiotic use in general practice is at a stable high level, but DID and TID analyses show different trends and both should be applied when detailing changes in antibiotic consumption. While children are prescribed fewer narrow-spectrum agents, the observed increase in the use of broad-spectrum agents is worrisome and should be addressed in future interventions.

Impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on childhood otitis media in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Studies have demonstrated a reduction for otitis media (OM) following the introduction of seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7), but this has not been evaluated in the United Kingdom (UK). Moreover, there are limited data on any additional impact of PCV13 introduction in 2010.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study to investigate the trends in OM incidence and associated antibiotic prescriptions in children aged <10 year-olds during 2002-2012 using a national primary care database. Three time-periods were defined to estimate monthly incidence: pre-PCV7 (January 2002-August 2006), post-PCV7 (September 2007-March 2010), and post-PCV13 (April 2011-December 2012).

RESULTS

Overall annual OM incidence declined by 51.3% from 135.8 episodes/1000 person-years in 2002 to 66.1 episodes/1000 person-years in 2012; antibiotic prescription rates for OM declined by 72.9% from 57.9 prescriptions/1000 person-years to 15.7 prescriptions/1000 person-years, respectively. PCV7 introduction was associated with significant decline in OM rates across all age-groups (21.8%; 95% CI, 20.2-23.4), including <2 year-olds (19.8%; 95% CI, 16.0-23.5%); 2-4 year-olds (23.0%; 95% CI, 20.4-25.4%) and 5-9 year-olds (20.2%; 95% CI, 17.6-22.7%). There was an additional significant reduction in OM (18.5%; 95% CI, 16.7-20.2%) and associated antibiotic prescribing (12.2%; 95% CI, 8.6-15.6%) after the introduction of PCV13 across all age-groups.

CONCLUSION

The introduction of PCV7 was associated with a 22% significant reductions in OM in children aged <10 year-olds with an additional 19% reductions after PCV13 introduction. These declines are equivalent to 592,000 and 15,700 fewer consultations and OM-related hospitalizations, respectively, in England and Wales every year. Although the continuing decline in OM rates in our study suggests that further reduction may continue to occur, it is important to monitor long-term trends in all pneumococcal diseases, including OM and pneumonia, because of increasing replacement of non-vaccine pneumococcal serotypes in carriage and disease.