Comparison of computed tomography findings with clinical risks factors for endoscopic therapy in upper gastrointestinal bleeding cases

Guidelines for endoscopic management of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (second edition)

The Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society has prepared Guidelines for Endoscopic Practice in Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding as part of the initiative to develop evidence-based endoscopic practice guidelines. Hemorrhagic gastroduodenal (peptic) ulcers are the primary cause of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. With the advent of a super-aged society, the cases caused by Helicobacter pylori are on the decline, whereas those caused by drugs (e.g. aspirin) have been increasing. Endoscopic hemostasis is currently the first-line treatment for nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and various methods have been devised for this purpose. It is recommended to stabilize the vital signs of the patient before and after endoscopic hemostasis with appropriate management based on an assessment of the severity of illness, in addition to the administration of acid secretion inhibitors. These guidelines describe the evaluation and initial treatment of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding, as well as the selection of endoscopic hemostasis for nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding and its management after endoscopic hemostasis. This is achieved by classifying nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding into two main categories, namely, peptic ulcer and other types of gastrointestinal bleeding. We prepared statements for any available literature with supporting evidence, including the levels of evidence and recommendations. New evidence has been pooled since the publication of the first edition in this area; however, the levels of evidence and recommendations mostly remain low.

Development and internal validation of prediction model for rebleeding within one year after endoscopic treatment of cirrhotic varices: consideration from organ-based CT radiomics signature

BACKGROUND

Rebleeding after endoscopic treatment for esophagogastric varices (EGVs) in cirrhotic patients remains a significant clinical challenge, with high mortality rates and limited predictive tools. Current methods, relying on clinical indicators, often lack precision and fail to provide personalized risk assessments. This study aims to develop and validate a novel, non-invasive prediction model based on CT radiomics to predict rebleeding risk within one year of treatment, integrating radiomic features from key organs and clinical data.

METHODS

123 patients were enrolled and divided into rebleeding (n = 44) and non-bleeding group (n = 79) within 1 year after endoscopic treatment of EGVs. The liver, spleen, and the lower part of the esophagus were segmented and the extracted radiomics features were selected to construct liver/spleen/esophagus radiomics signatures based on logistic regression. Clinic-radiomics combined models and multi-organ combined radiomics models were constructed based on independent model scores using logistic regression. The model performance was evaluated by ROC analysis, calibration and decision curves. The continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indices were analyzed.

RESULTS

The clinical-liver combined model had the highest AUC of 0.931 (95% CI: 0.887-0.974), which was followed by the liver-based model with AUC of 0.891 (95% CI: 0.835-0.74). The decision curves also showed that the clinical-liver combined model afforded a greater net benefit compared to other models within the threshold probability of 0.45 to 0.80. Significant improvements in discrimination (IDI, P < 0.05) and reclassification (NRI, P < 0.05) were obtained for clinical-liver combined model compared with the independent ones.

CONCLUSION

The independent and combined liver-based CT radiomics models performed well in predicting rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic treatment of EGVs.

Predictive utility of the Rockall scoring system in patients suffering from acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB) represents a significant clinical challenge due to its unpredictability and potentially severe outcomes. The Rockall risk score has emerged as a critical tool for prognostic assessment in patients with ANVUGIB, aiding in the prediction of rebleeding and mortality. However, its applicability and accuracy in the Chinese population remain understudied.

AIM

To assess the prognostic value of the Rockall risk score in a Chinese cohort of patients with ANVUGIB.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 168 ANVUGIB patients' medical records was conducted. The study employed statistical tests, including the t-test, χ 2 test, spearman correlation, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, to assess the relationship between the Rockall score and clinical outcomes, specifically focusing on rebleeding events within 3 months post-assessment.

RESULTS

Significant associations were found between the Rockall score and various clinical outcomes. High Rockall scores were significantly associated with rebleeding events (r = 0.735, R 2 = 0.541, P < 0.001) and strongly positively correlated with adverse outcomes. Low hemoglobin levels (t = 2.843, P = 0.005), high international normalized ratio (t = 3.710, P < 0.001), active bleeding during endoscopy (χ 2 = 7.950, P = 0.005), large ulcer size (t = 6.348, P < 0.001), and requiring blood transfusion (χ 2 = 6.381, P = 0.012) were all significantly associated with rebleeding events. Furthermore, differences in treatment and management strategies were identified between patients with and without rebleeding events. ROC analysis indicated the excellent discriminative power (sensitivity: 0.914; specificity: 0.816; area under the curve: 0.933; Youden index: 0.730) of the Rockall score in predicting rebleeding events within 3 months.

CONCLUSION

This study provides valuable insights into the prognostic value of the Rockall risk score for ANVUGIB in the Chinese population. The results underscore the potential of the Rockall score as an effective tool for risk stratification and prognostication, with implications for guiding risk-appropriate management strategies and optimizing care for patients with ANVUGIB.

Role of multidetector computed tomography angiography in non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: A comprehensive review

Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is a common gastroenterological emergency associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is currently recommended as the gold standard modality for both diagnosis and treatment, with computed tomography traditionally playing a limited role in the diagnosis of acute NVUGIB. Following the introduction of multidetector computed tomography (MDCT), this modality is emerging as a promising tool in the diagnosis of NVUGIB. However, to date, evidence concerning the role of MDCT in the NVUGIB diagnosis is still lacking. The aim of our study was to review the current evidence concerning the role of MDCT in the diagnosis of acute NVUGIB.

Decline incidence in upper gastrointestinal bleeding in several recent years: data of the Japan claims database of 13 million accumulated patients

This study was to examine the recent trends in upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Japan using a large-scale real-world database. The incidence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding was evaluated in the Japan Medical Data Center claims database of 13,019,713 patients aged 20 to 74 years with traceability for 3 months from 2009 to 2014. The incidence was compared with peptic ulcers and gastroesophageal reflux disease. The prescription of medications was also evaluated. The incidence of bleeding was 0.137%, 0.121%, 0.113%, 0.106%, 0.099%, and 0.105% during 2009 to 2014 with a time-dependent decline (p<0.001). Peptic ulcers (>10 times higher than the incidence of bleeding) decreased with time (p<0.001), whereas gastroesophageal reflux disease increased (p = 0.006). Upper gastrointestinal bleeding was higher in male patients and older patients (60–74 years old) (p<0.001 respectively). The prescription rate of antithrombotic medications and proton pump inhibitors increased from 2009 to 2014 (p<0.001 respectively). The incidence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding decreased from 2009 to 2014 in this relatively large-scale real-world database in Japan, concomitant with the decrease in peptic ulcers. The decreased incidence might have been due to changes in the disease structure and therapeutic strategies over time.