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Ton A, Wishart D, Ball JR, Shah I, Murakami K, Ordon MP, Alluri RK, Hah R, Safaee MM. The Evolution of Risk Assessment in Spine Surgery: A Narrative Review. World Neurosurg 2024; 188:1-14. [PMID: 38677646 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2024.04.117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2024] [Revised: 04/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/18/2024] [Indexed: 04/29/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Risk assessment is critically important in elective and high-risk interventions, particularly spine surgery. This narrative review describes the evolution of risk assessment from the earliest instruments focused on general surgical risk stratification, to more accurate and spine-specific risk calculators that quantified risk, to the current era of big data. METHODS The PubMed and SCOPUS databases were queried on October 11, 2023 using search terms to identify risk assessment tools (RATs) in spine surgery. A total of 108 manuscripts were included after screening with full-text review using the following inclusion criteria: 1) study population of adult spine surgical patients, 2) studies describing validation and subsequent performance of preoperative RATs, and 3) studies published in English. RESULTS Early RATs provided stratified patients into broad categories and allowed for improved communication between physicians. Subsequent risk calculators attempted to quantify risk by estimating general outcomes such as mortality, but then evolved to estimate spine-specific surgical complications. The integration of novel concepts such as invasiveness, frailty, genetic biomarkers, and sarcopenia led to the development of more sophisticated predictive models that estimate the risk of spine-specific complications and long-term outcomes. CONCLUSIONS RATs have undergone a transformative shift from generalized risk stratification to quantitative predictive models. The next generation of tools will likely involve integration of radiographic and genetic biomarkers, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to improve the accuracy of these models and better inform patients, surgeons, and payers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andy Ton
- Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Danielle Wishart
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Jacob R Ball
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Ishan Shah
- Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Kiley Murakami
- Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Matthew P Ordon
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - R Kiran Alluri
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Raymond Hah
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Michael M Safaee
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Keck School of MedicineUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
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Pellisé F, Bayo MC, Ruiz de Villa A, Núñez-Pereira S, Haddad S, Barcheni M, Pizones J, Valencia MR, Obeid I, Alanay A, Kleinstueck FS, Mannion AF. The Impact of Unplanned Reoperation Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery: A Prospective Longitudinal Cohort Study with 5-Year Follow-up. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2024; 106:681-689. [PMID: 38630053 DOI: 10.2106/jbjs.23.00242] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The long-term impact of reoperations following adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery is still poorly understood. Our aim was to identify the relationship between unplanned reoperation and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) gain at 2 and 5 years of follow-up. METHODS We included patients enrolled in a prospective ASD database who underwent surgery ≥5 years prior to the start of the study and who had 2 years of follow-up data. Adverse events (AEs) leading to an unplanned reoperation, the time of reoperation occurrence, invasiveness (blood loss, surgical time, hospital stay), and AE resolution were assessed. HRQoL was measured with use of the Oswestry Disability Index, Scoliosis Research Society-22, and Short Form-36. Linear models controlling for baseline data and index surgery characteristics were utilized to assess the relationships between HRQoL gain at 2 and 5-year follow-up and the number and invasiveness of reoperations. The association between 5-year HRQoL gain and the time of occurrence of the unplanned reoperation and that between 5-year HRQoL gain and AE resolution were also investigated. RESULTS Of 361 eligible patients, 316 (87.5%) with 2-year follow-up data met the inclusion criteria and 258 (71.5%) had 5-year follow-up data. At the 2-year follow-up, 96 patients (30.4%) had a total of 165 unplanned reoperations (1.72 per patient). At the 5-year follow-up, 73 patients (28.3%) had a total of 117 unplanned reoperations (1.60 per patient). The most common cause of reoperations was mechanical complications (64.9%), followed by surgical site infections (15.7%). At the 5-year follow-up, the AE that led to reoperation was resolved in 67 patients (91.8%). Reoperation invasiveness was not associated with 5-year HRQoL scores. The number of reoperations was associated with lesser HRQoL gain at 5 years for all HRQoL measures. The mean associated reduction in HRQoL gain per unplanned reoperation was 41% (range, 19% to 66%). Reoperations resulting in no resolution of the AE or resolution with sequelae had a greater impact on 5-year follow-up HRQoL scores than reoperations resulting in resolution of the AE. CONCLUSIONS A postoperative, unplanned reoperation following ASD surgery was associated with lesser gain in HRQoL at 5 years of follow-up. The association did not diminish over time and was affected by the number, but not the magnitude, of reoperations. Resolution of the associated AE reduced the impact of the unplanned reoperation. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic Level II. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ferran Pellisé
- Spine Surgery Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Sleiman Haddad
- Spine Surgery Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Maggie Barcheni
- Spine Research Unit, Vall d'Hebron Research Institute, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Ahmet Alanay
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Acibadem Mehmet Ali Aydinlar University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | | | - Anne F Mannion
- Spine Center Division, Schulthess Klinik, Zurich, Switzerland
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Kim MS, Gilbert ZD, Bajouri Z, Telang S, Fresquez Z, Pickering TA, Son SM, Alluri RK, Wang JC, Buser Z. What does degeneration at the cervicothoracic junction tell us? A kinematic MRI study of 93 individuals. EUROPEAN SPINE JOURNAL : OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE EUROPEAN SPINE SOCIETY, THE EUROPEAN SPINAL DEFORMITY SOCIETY, AND THE EUROPEAN SECTION OF THE CERVICAL SPINE RESEARCH SOCIETY 2023; 32:2425-2430. [PMID: 37148392 DOI: 10.1007/s00586-023-07743-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Revised: 03/09/2023] [Accepted: 04/22/2023] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Current decision-making in multilevel cervical fusion weighs the potential to protect adjacent levels and reduce reoperation risk by crossing the cervicothoracic junction (C7/T1) against increased operative time and risk of complication. Careful planning is required, and the planned distal and adjacent levels should be assessed for degenerative disc disease (DDD). This study assessed whether DDD at the cervicothoracic junction was associated with DDD, disc height, translational motion, or angular variation in the adjacent superior (C6/C7) or inferior (T1/T2) levels. METHODS This study retrospectively analyzed 93 cases with kinematic MRI. Cases were randomly selected from a database with inclusion criteria being no prior spine surgery and images having sufficient quality for analysis. DDD was assessed using Pfirrmann classification. Vertebral body bone marrow lesions were assessed using Modic changes. Disc height was measured at the mid-disc in neutral and extension. Translational motion and angular variation were calculated by assessing translational or angular motion segment integrity respectively in flexion and extension. Statistical associations were assessed with scatterplots and Kendall's tau. RESULTS DDD at C7/T1 was positively associated with DDD at C6/C7 (tau = 0.53, p < 0.01) and T1/T2 (tau = 0.58, p < 0.01), with greater disc height in neutral position at T1/T2 (tau = 0.22, p < 0.01), and with greater disc height in extended position at C7/T1 (tau = 0.17, p = 0.04) and at T1/T2 (tau = 0.21, p < 0.01). DDD at C7/T1 was negatively associated with angular variation at C6/C7 (tau = - 0.23, p < 0.01). No association was appreciated between DDD at C7/T1 and translational motion. CONCLUSION The association of DDD at the cervicothoracic junction with DDD at the adjacent levels emphasizes the necessity for careful selection of the distal level in multilevel fusion in the distal cervical spine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael S Kim
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
| | - Zachary D Gilbert
- Department of Neurosurgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Zabi Bajouri
- Department of Neurosurgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Sagar Telang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Zoe Fresquez
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Trevor A Pickering
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Seung Min Son
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, South Korea
| | - R Kiran Alluri
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey C Wang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Zorica Buser
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York City, NY, USA
- Gerling Institute, New York City, NY, USA
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Safaee MM, Ames CP. Biological Age and Spine Surgery-Genomics and the Future of Risk Assessment. World Neurosurg 2023; 172:47. [PMID: 36827962 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2023.02.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/11/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Michael M Safaee
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Christopher P Ames
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA; Department of Orthopedic Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
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Safaee MM, Ames CP. Biological Age and Spine Surgery-Genomics and the Future of Risk Assessment. World Neurosurg 2023:S1878-8750(23)00086-4. [PMID: 36781307 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2023.01.071] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
The Publisher regrets that this article is an accidental duplication of an article that has already been published, http://doi.org/10.1016/j.wneu.2023.02.011. The duplicate article has therefore been withdrawn. The full Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal can be found at https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies/article-withdrawal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael M Safaee
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Christopher P Ames
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA; Department of Neurosurgery and Orthopedic Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
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