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Wang X, Song Q, Zhang Q, Li X, Wang J, Gong J, Zhang Z, Tan N, Tsang SY, Wong WT, Ma D, Jiang L. The Prognostic Significance of the DBIL/HDLC Ratio in Patients With Dilated Cardiomyopathy. Cardiovasc Ther 2025; 2025:8835736. [PMID: 40170700 PMCID: PMC11961277 DOI: 10.1155/cdr/8835736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2024] [Accepted: 01/22/2025] [Indexed: 04/03/2025] Open
Abstract
Background: In cardiovascular pathology, both direct bilirubin (DBIL) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC) have been associated with adverse clinical outcomes. However, the prognostic significance of these biomarkers in the context of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) remains unclear. To address this gap, this study conducted a retrospective analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of the DBIL/HDLC ratio in patients diagnosed with DCM. Methods and Results: A total of 986 consecutive DCM patients were retrospectively enrolled from January 2010 to December 2019 and divided into two groups based on the DBIL/HDLC ratio cut-off value: ≤ 4.45 (n = 483) and > 4.45 (n = 503). Patients with lower DBIL/HDLC (≤ 4.45) experienced lower in-hospital mortality, long-term mortality, and major adverse clinical events (MACEs) (0.8%, 32.9%, and 12.2%, respectively) compared to those with higher DBIL/HDLC (> 4.45) (6.4%, 59.1%, and 16.7%, respectively). Multivariate analysis identified DBIL/HDLC as an independent risk factor for long-term mortality (odds ratio: 1.026; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.005-1.048; p = 0.016) and all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of 67 ± 1.8 months (hazard ratio: 1.011; 95% CI: 1.005-1.018; p < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve showed good discrimination for long-term mortality (area under the curve (AUC): 0.675; 95% CI: 0.692-0.708; p < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated a better prognosis for patients with DBIL/HDLC ≤ 4.45 (log-rank χ 2 = 40.356, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the impact of additional variables on the results was investigated by a subgroup analysis. Conclusion: The DBIL/HDLC ratio could serve as a simple and cost-effective tool for evaluating prognosis in DCM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyi Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qiqi Song
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
- School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qingqing Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital Ganzhou Hospital, Ganzhou Municipal Hospital, Ganzhou, China
| | - Xinyi Li
- School of Life Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Jiaqi Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jiantao Gong
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ziyi Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ning Tan
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Suk-Ying Tsang
- School of Life Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Wing-tak Wong
- Department of Applied Biology and Chemical Technology, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
| | - Dunliang Ma
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lei Jiang
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
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Trimarchi G, Teresi L, Licordari R, Pingitore A, Pizzino F, Grimaldi P, Calabrò D, Liotta P, Micari A, de Gregorio C, Di Bella G. Transient Left Ventricular Dysfunction from Cardiomyopathies to Myocardial Viability: When and Why Cardiac Function Recovers. Biomedicines 2024; 12:1051. [PMID: 38791012 PMCID: PMC11117605 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines12051051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2024] [Revised: 04/30/2024] [Accepted: 05/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Transient left ventricular dysfunction (TLVD), a temporary condition marked by reversible impairment of ventricular function, remains an underdiagnosed yet significant contributor to morbidity and mortality in clinical practice. Unlike the well-explored atherosclerotic disease of the epicardial coronary arteries, the diverse etiologies of TLVD require greater attention for proper diagnosis and management. The spectrum of disorders associated with TLVD includes stress-induced cardiomyopathy, central nervous system injuries, histaminergic syndromes, various inflammatory diseases, pregnancy-related conditions, and genetically determined syndromes. Furthermore, myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) origins such as coronary artery spasm, coronary thromboembolism, and spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) may also manifest as TLVD, eventually showing recovery. This review highlights the range of ischemic and non-ischemic clinical situations that lead to TLVD, gathering conditions like Tako-Tsubo Syndrome (TTS), Kounis syndrome (KS), Myocarditis, Peripartum Cardiomyopathy (PPCM), and Tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy (TIC). Differentiation amongst these causes is crucial, as they involve distinct clinical, instrumental, and genetic predictors that bode different outcomes and recovery potential for left ventricular function. The purpose of this review is to improve everyday clinical approaches to treating these diseases by providing an extensive survey of conditions linked with TLVD and the elements impacting prognosis and outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giancarlo Trimarchi
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Lucio Teresi
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Roberto Licordari
- Department of Biomedical and Dental Sciences and Morphological and Functional Imaging, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (R.L.); (A.M.)
| | - Alessandro Pingitore
- Istituto di Fisiologia Clinica, Clinical Physiology Institute, CNR, 56124 Pisa, Italy;
| | - Fausto Pizzino
- Cardiology Unit, Heart Centre, Fondazione Gabriele Monasterio—Regione Toscana, 54100 Massa, Italy;
| | - Patrizia Grimaldi
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Danila Calabrò
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Paolo Liotta
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Antonio Micari
- Department of Biomedical and Dental Sciences and Morphological and Functional Imaging, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (R.L.); (A.M.)
| | - Cesare de Gregorio
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
| | - Gianluca Di Bella
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Cardiology Unit, University of Messina, 98100 Messina, Italy; (L.T.); (P.G.); (D.C.); (P.L.); (C.d.G.); (G.D.B.)
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Baturalp TB, Bozkurt S. Design and Analysis of a Polymeric Left Ventricular Simulator via Computational Modelling. Biomimetics (Basel) 2024; 9:269. [PMID: 38786479 PMCID: PMC11117906 DOI: 10.3390/biomimetics9050269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2024] [Revised: 04/12/2024] [Accepted: 04/27/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Preclinical testing of medical devices is an essential step in the product life cycle, whereas testing of cardiovascular implants requires specialised testbeds or numerical simulations using computer software Ansys 2016. Existing test setups used to evaluate physiological scenarios and test cardiac implants such as mock circulatory systems or isolated beating heart platforms are driven by sophisticated hardware which comes at a high cost or raises ethical concerns. On the other hand, computational methods used to simulate blood flow in the cardiovascular system may be simplified or computationally expensive. Therefore, there is a need for low-cost, relatively simple and efficient test beds that can provide realistic conditions to simulate physiological scenarios and evaluate cardiovascular devices. In this study, the concept design of a novel left ventricular simulator made of latex rubber and actuated by pneumatic artificial muscles is presented. The designed left ventricular simulator is geometrically similar to a native left ventricle, whereas the basal diameter and long axis length are within an anatomical range. Finite element simulations evaluating left ventricular twisting and shortening predicted that the designed left ventricular simulator rotates approximately 17 degrees at the apex and the long axis shortens around 11 mm. Experimental results showed that the twist angle is 18 degrees and the left ventricular simulator shortens 5 mm. Twist angles and long axis shortening as in a native left ventricle show it is capable of functioning like a native left ventricle and simulating a variety of scenarios, and therefore has the potential to be used as a test platform.
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Affiliation(s)
- Turgut Batuhan Baturalp
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Texas Tech University, P.O. Box 41021, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA
| | - Selim Bozkurt
- School of Engineering, Ulster University, York Street, Belfast BT15 1AP, UK
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Prinzi F, Currieri T, Gaglio S, Vitabile S. Shallow and deep learning classifiers in medical image analysis. Eur Radiol Exp 2024; 8:26. [PMID: 38438821 PMCID: PMC10912073 DOI: 10.1186/s41747-024-00428-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 03/06/2024] Open
Abstract
An increasingly strong connection between artificial intelligence and medicine has enabled the development of predictive models capable of supporting physicians' decision-making. Artificial intelligence encompasses much more than machine learning, which nevertheless is its most cited and used sub-branch in the last decade. Since most clinical problems can be modeled through machine learning classifiers, it is essential to discuss their main elements. This review aims to give primary educational insights on the most accessible and widely employed classifiers in radiology field, distinguishing between "shallow" learning (i.e., traditional machine learning) algorithms, including support vector machines, random forest and XGBoost, and "deep" learning architectures including convolutional neural networks and vision transformers. In addition, the paper outlines the key steps for classifiers training and highlights the differences between the most common algorithms and architectures. Although the choice of an algorithm depends on the task and dataset dealing with, general guidelines for classifier selection are proposed in relation to task analysis, dataset size, explainability requirements, and available computing resources. Considering the enormous interest in these innovative models and architectures, the problem of machine learning algorithms interpretability is finally discussed, providing a future perspective on trustworthy artificial intelligence.Relevance statement The growing synergy between artificial intelligence and medicine fosters predictive models aiding physicians. Machine learning classifiers, from shallow learning to deep learning, are offering crucial insights for the development of clinical decision support systems in healthcare. Explainability is a key feature of models that leads systems toward integration into clinical practice. Key points • Training a shallow classifier requires extracting disease-related features from region of interests (e.g., radiomics).• Deep classifiers implement automatic feature extraction and classification.• The classifier selection is based on data and computational resources availability, task, and explanation needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesco Prinzi
- Department of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
- Department of Computer Science and Technology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 1TN, UK
| | - Tiziana Currieri
- Department of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | - Salvatore Gaglio
- Department of Engineering, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
- Institute for High-Performance Computing and Networking, National Research Council (ICAR-CNR), Palermo, Italy
| | - Salvatore Vitabile
- Department of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
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Kan A, Fang Q, Li S, Liu W, Tao X, Huang K, Hu M, Feng Z, Gong L. The potential predictive value of cardiac mechanics for left ventricular reverse remodelling in dilated cardiomyopathy. ESC Heart Fail 2023; 10:3340-3351. [PMID: 37697922 PMCID: PMC10682859 DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.14529] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2023] [Revised: 06/21/2023] [Accepted: 08/30/2023] [Indexed: 09/13/2023] Open
Abstract
AIMS Left ventricular reverse remodelling (LVRR) is an important objective of optimal medical management for dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) patients, as it is associated with favourable long-term outcomes. Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) can comprehensively assess cardiac structure and function. We aimed to assess the CMR parameters at baseline and investigate independent variables to predict LVRR in DCM patients. METHODS AND RESULTS Nighty-eight initially diagnosed DCM patients who underwent CMR and echocardiography examinations at baseline were included. CMR parameters and feature tracking (FT) based left ventricular (LV) global strain (nStrain) and nStrain indexed to LV cardiac mass index (rStrain) were measured. The predictors of LVRR were determined by multivariate logistic regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of CMR parameters and were compared by the DeLong test. At a median follow-up time of 9 [interquartile range, 7-12] months, 35 DCM patients (36%) achieved LVRR. The patients with LVRR had lower LV volume, mass, LGE extent and stroke volume index (LVSVi) and higher left ventricular remodelling index (LVRI), nStrains, rStrains, and peak systolic strain rate (PSSR) in the longitudinal direction and rStrains in the circumferential direction at baseline (all P < 0.05). In the multivariate logistic regression analyses, LVRI [per SD, odds ratio (OR) 1.79; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-2.98; P = 0.024] and the ratio of global longitudinal peak strain (rGLPS) (per SD, OR 1.88; 95% CI 1.18-3.01; P = 0.008) were independent predictors of LVRR. The combination of LVSVi, LVRI, and rGLPS had a greater area under the curve (AUC) than the combination of LVSVi and LVRI (0.75 vs. 0.68), but not significantly (P = 0.09). CONCLUSIONS Patients with LVRR had a lower LV volume index, lower LVSV index, lower LGE extent, higher LVRI, and preserved myocardial deformation in the longitudinal direction at baseline. LVRI and rGLPS at baseline were independent determinants of LVRR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ao Kan
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Qimin Fang
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Shuhao Li
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Wenying Liu
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | | | - Kaiyao Huang
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Mengyao Hu
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Zhaofeng Feng
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
| | - Lianggeng Gong
- Department of RadiologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang UniversityNanchangChina
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Zhang J, Xu Y, Li W, Zhang C, Liu W, Li D, Chen Y. The Predictive Value of Myocardial Native T1 Mapping Radiomics in Dilated Cardiomyopathy: A Study in a Chinese Population. J Magn Reson Imaging 2023; 58:772-779. [PMID: 36416613 DOI: 10.1002/jmri.28527] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2022] [Revised: 10/26/2022] [Accepted: 10/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Investigation of the factors influencing dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) prognosis is important as it could facilitate risk stratification and guide clinical decision-making. PURPOSE To assess the prognostic value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics analysis of native T1 mapping in DCM. STUDY TYPE Prospective. SUBJECTS Three hundred and thirty consecutive patients with non-ischemic DCM (mean age 48.42 ± 14.20 years, 247 males). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE Balanced steady-state free precession and modified Look-Locker inversion recovery T1 mapping sequences at 3 T. ASSESSMENT Clinical characteristics, conventional MRI parameters (ventricular volumes, function, and mass), native myocardial T1, and radiomics features extracted from native T1 mapping were obtained. The study endpoint was defined as all-cause mortality or heart transplantation. Models were developed based on 1) clinical data; 2) radiomics data based on T1 mapping; 3) clinical and conventional MRI data; 4) clinical, conventional MRI, and native T1 data; and 5) clinical, conventional MRI, and radiomics T1 mapping data. Each prediction model was trained according to follow-up results with AdaBoost, random forest, and logistic regression classifiers. STATISTICAL TESTS The predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and F1 score by 5-fold cross-validation. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 53.5 months (interquartile range, 41.6-69.5 months), 77 patients with DCM experienced all-cause mortality or heart transplantation. The random forest model based on radiomics combined with clinical and conventional MRI parameters achieved the best performance, with AUC and F1 score of 0.95 and 0.89, respectively. DATA CONCLUSION A machine-learning framework based on radiomics analysis of T1 mapping prognosis prediction in DCM. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE 1 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian Zhang
- West China Biomedical Big Data Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Med-X Center for Informatics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yuanwei Xu
- Division of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Weihao Li
- Division of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Chao Zhang
- West China Biomedical Big Data Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Med-X Center for Informatics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wentao Liu
- Fundamental Technology Center of CCB Financial Technology Co., Ltd, Shanghai, China
| | - Dong Li
- Division of Hospital Medicine, Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Yucheng Chen
- Division of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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Martin TG, Juarros MA, Leinwand LA. Regression of cardiac hypertrophy in health and disease: mechanisms and therapeutic potential. Nat Rev Cardiol 2023; 20:347-363. [PMID: 36596855 PMCID: PMC10121965 DOI: 10.1038/s41569-022-00806-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 68] [Impact Index Per Article: 34.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/08/2022] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Left ventricular hypertrophy is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Although reverse ventricular remodelling was long thought to be irreversible, evidence from the past three decades indicates that this process is possible with many existing heart disease therapies. The regression of pathological hypertrophy is associated with improved cardiac function, quality of life and long-term health outcomes. However, less than 50% of patients respond favourably to most therapies, and the reversibility of remodelling is influenced by many factors, including age, sex, BMI and disease aetiology. Cardiac hypertrophy also occurs in physiological settings, including pregnancy and exercise, although in these cases, hypertrophy is associated with normal or improved ventricular function and is completely reversible postpartum or with cessation of training. Studies over the past decade have identified the molecular features of hypertrophy regression in health and disease settings, which include modulation of protein synthesis, microRNAs, metabolism and protein degradation pathways. In this Review, we summarize the evidence for hypertrophy regression in patients with current first-line pharmacological and surgical interventions. We further discuss the molecular features of reverse remodelling identified in cell and animal models, highlighting remaining knowledge gaps and the essential questions for future investigation towards the goal of designing specific therapies to promote regression of pathological hypertrophy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas G Martin
- Department of Molecular, Cellular and Developmental Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
- BioFrontiers Institute, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
| | - Miranda A Juarros
- Department of Molecular, Cellular and Developmental Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
- BioFrontiers Institute, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
| | - Leslie A Leinwand
- Department of Molecular, Cellular and Developmental Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
- BioFrontiers Institute, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
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Zheng J, Li Y, Billor N, Ahmed MI, Fang YHD, Pat B, Denney TS, Dell’Italia LJ. Understanding post-surgical decline in left ventricular function in primary mitral regurgitation using regression and machine learning models. Front Cardiovasc Med 2023; 10:1112797. [PMID: 37153472 PMCID: PMC10160646 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1112797] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2022] [Accepted: 03/28/2023] [Indexed: 05/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Class I echocardiographic guidelines in primary mitral regurgitation (PMR) risks left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% after mitral valve surgery even with pre-surgical LVEF > 60%. There are no models predicting LVEF < 50% after surgery in the complex interplay of increased preload and facilitated ejection in PMR using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). Objective Use regression and machine learning models to identify a combination of CMR LV remodeling and function parameters that predict LVEF < 50% after mitral valve surgery. Methods CMR with tissue tagging was performed in 51 pre-surgery PMR patients (median CMR LVEF 64%), 49 asymptomatic (median CMR LVEF 63%), and age-matched controls (median CMR LVEF 64%). To predict post-surgery LVEF < 50%, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machine (SVM) were developed and validated in pre-surgery PMR patients. Recursive feature elimination and LASSO reduced the number of features and model complexity. Data was split and tested 100 times and models were evaluated via stratified cross validation to avoid overfitting. The final RF model was tested in asymptomatic PMR patients to predict post-surgical LVEF < 50% if they had gone to mitral valve surgery. Results Thirteen pre-surgery PMR had LVEF < 50% after mitral valve surgery. In addition to LVEF (P = 0.005) and LVESD (P = 0.13), LV sphericity index (P = 0.047) and LV mid systolic circumferential strain rate (P = 0.024) were predictors of post-surgery LVEF < 50%. Using these four parameters, logistic regression achieved 77.92% classification accuracy while RF improved the accuracy to 86.17%. This final RF model was applied to asymptomatic PMR and predicted 14 (28.57%) out of 49 would have post-surgery LVEF < 50% if they had mitral valve surgery. Conclusions These preliminary findings call for a longitudinal study to determine whether LV sphericity index and circumferential strain rate, or other combination of parameters, accurately predict post-surgical LVEF in PMR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingyi Zheng
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States
| | - Yuexin Li
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States
| | - Nedret Billor
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States
| | - Mustafa I. Ahmed
- Division of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States
| | - Yu-Hua Dean Fang
- Department of Radiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States
| | - Betty Pat
- Division of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States
- Birmingham Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Birmingham, AL, United States
| | - Thomas S. Denney
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Samuel Ginn College of Engineering, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States
| | - Louis J. Dell’Italia
- Division of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States
- Birmingham Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Birmingham, AL, United States
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