Blood-Based Biomarkers to Search for Atrial Fibrillation in High-Risk Asymptomatic Individuals and Cryptogenic Stroke Patients

Risk of Recurrent Stroke, Mortality, and Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Detected Before or After a Stroke

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The risk of recurrent ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and mortality in people with atrial fibrillation detected after stroke (AFDAS) is still unclear compared with people with known atrial fibrillation (KAF). We systematically reviewed the literature to provide updated estimates for the risk of recurrent stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and mortality in AFDAS compared with KAF.

METHODS

Our protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024583064). Presentation followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, and MedRxiv up to August 28, 2024, for studies comparing AFDAS and KAF for the following outcomes of interest: recurrent ischemic stroke (primary), intracerebral hemorrhage, mortality, and any stroke recurrence. We included cohort, observational studies (either prospective or retrospective) and randomized controlled trials and excluded studies with less than 15 patients per group. Eligible studies were assessed for bias using the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies tool. We pooled study-level results through random-effect meta-analysis of risk ratios (RRs). We also performed prespecified sensitivity analysis for study quality, timing of search for AF, propensity score matching, and study data source (administrative vs local data), and we planned meta-regression analysis to test for the interaction of sex, comorbid cardiovascular risk factors, and anticoagulation status on the difference between AFDAS and KAF.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies were retrieved (n = 113,365; nKAF = 80,339; nAFDAS = 33,026; female in KAF, 49.0%; female in AFDAS, 45.1%), eight of which had low risk of bias. Ischemic stroke recurrence was significantly lower in AFDAS compared with the KAF group (RR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.66-0.95, I2 = 70%; nstudies = 10). Meta-regression analysis revealed no interaction of anticoagulation, CHA2DS2-VASc score, or sex on the difference in risk of recurrent ischemic stroke between groups. Mortality was lower in the AFDAS group compared with KAF (RR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.74-0.95, I2 = 74%; nstudies = 14). The rates of any intracerebral bleeding (RR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.68-1.39, I2 = 58%; nstudies = 5) and any stroke recurrence (RR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.75-1.30; I2 = 60; nstudies = 3) were similar in AFDAS and KAF.

DISCUSSION

AFDAS may carry a lower risk of ischemic stroke recurrence and mortality compared with KAF, with similar risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. Stratification through implementation of AF burden measures may support more personalized management for people with AFDAS.

Evidence Gaps and Lessons in the Early Detection of Atrial Fibrillation: A Prospective Study in a Primary Care Setting (PREFATE Study)

Background/Objectives: In Europe, the prevalence of AF is expected to increase 2.5-fold over the next 50 years with a lifetime risk of 1 in 3-5 individuals after the age of 55 years and a 34% rise in AF-related strokes. The PREFATE project investigates evidence gaps in the early detection of atrial fibrillation in high-risk populations within primary care. This study aims to estimate the prevalence of device-detected atrial fibrillation (DDAF) and assess the feasibility and impact of systematic screening in routine primary care. Methods: The prospective cohort study (NCT05772806) included 149 patients aged 65-85 years, identified as high-risk for AF. Participants underwent 14 days of cardiac rhythm monitoring using the Fibricheck® app (CE certificate number BE16/819942412), alongside evaluations with standard ECG and transthoracic echocardiography. The primary endpoint was a new AF diagnosis confirmed by ECG or Holter monitoring. Statistical analyses examined relationships between AF and clinical, echocardiographic, and biomarker variables. Results: A total of 18 cases (12.08%) were identified as positive for possible DDAF using FibriCheck® and 13 new cases of AF were diagnosed during follow-up, with a 71.4-fold higher probability of confirming AF in FibriCheck®-positive individuals than in FibriCheck®-negative individuals, resulting in a post-test odds of 87.7%. Significant echocardiographic markers of AF included reduced left atrial strain (<26%) and left atrial ejection fraction (<50%). MVP ECG risk scores ≥ 4 strongly predicted new AF diagnoses. However, inconsistencies in monitoring outcomes and limitations in current guidelines, particularly regarding AF burden, were observed. Conclusions: The study underscores the feasibility and utility of AF screening in primary care but identifies critical gaps in diagnostic criteria, anticoagulation thresholds, and guideline recommendations.

Endocan, a novel glycoprotein with multiple biological activities, may play important roles in neurological diseases

Endothelial cell specific-1 (ESM-1), also known as endocan, is a soluble dermatan sulfate proteoglycan that is mainly secreted by endothelial cells. Endocan is associated with tumorigenesis and cancer progression and is also related to cardiovascular disorders, autoimmune diseases, and sepsis. The phenylalanine-rich region and linear polysaccharide of endocan are necessary for the protein to exert its biological functions. Elevated plasma endocan levels reflect endothelial activation and dysfunction. In addition, endocan participates in complex inflammatory responses and proliferative processes. Here, we reviewed current research on endocan, elaborated the protein's structure and biological functions, and speculated on its possible clinical value in nervous system diseases. We conclude that endocan may be a glycoprotein that plays an important role in neurological disorders.

Role of Cardiac Biomarkers in Stroke and Cognitive Impairment

This topical review assesses the growing role of cardiac biomarkers beyond cardiovascular health and focuses on their importance in stroke and dementia. The first part describes blood-based cardiac biomarkers in patients with stroke and highlights applications in the setting of early diagnosis, poststroke complications, outcome prediction as well as secondary prevention. Among other applications, natriuretic peptides can be helpful in differentiating stroke subtypes. They are also currently being investigated to guide prolonged ECG monitoring and secondary prevention in patients with stroke. Elevated cardiac troponin after ischemic stroke can provide information about various poststroke complications recently termed the stroke-heart syndrome. The second part focuses on the role of cardiac biomarkers in vascular cognitive impairment and dementia, emphasizing their association with structural brain lesions. These lesions such as silent brain infarcts and white matter hyperintensities often co-occur with cardiac disease and may be important mediators between cardiovascular disease and subsequent cognitive decline. ECG and echocardiogram measurements, in addition to blood-based biomarkers, show consistent associations with vascular brain changes and incident dementia, suggesting a role in indicating risk for cognitive decline. Together, the current evidence suggests that cardiac blood-based, electrophysiological, and imaging biomarkers can be used to better understand the heart and brain connection in the setting of not only stroke but also dementia.

Conventional and Novel Inflammatory Biomarkers in Chronic Heart Failure Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

(1) Background and Objectives: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality both in the general population and heart failure patients. Inflammation may promote the initiation, maintenance and perpetuation of AF, but the impact of inflammatory molecular signaling on the association between AF and heart failure remains elusive. (2) Materials and Methods: In 111 patients with chronic stable heart failure, baseline values of conventional (IL-6 and hsCRP) and selected novel inflammatory biomarkers (IL-10, IL-6/IL-10 ratio, orosomucoid and endocan) were determined. Inflammatory biomarkers were compared with respect to the presenting cardiac rhythm. (3) Results: Patients aged below 75 years with AF had significantly higher values of IL-6 and IL-6/IL-10 ratio; IL-6 levels were a significant predictor of AF in both univariate (OR 1.175; 95%CI 1.013-1.363; p = 0.034) and multivariate logistic regression analysis when accounting for other inflammatory biomarkers (OR 1.327; 95% CI 1.068-1.650; p = 0.011). Conversely, there was no association between other novel inflammatory biomarkers and AF. (4) Conclusions: IL-6 levels and the IL-6/IL-10 ratio are associated with AF in patients with chronic stable heart failure under the age of 75 years, suggesting that inflammatory molecular signaling may play a role in the development of AF in the heart failure population.

Cardiac Blood-Based Biomarkers of Myocardial Stress as Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Development in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source/Cryptogenic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Undiagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke that can go unnoticed in individuals with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) or cryptogenic stroke (CS). Early detection is critical for stroke prognosis and secondary prevention. This study aimed to determine if blood biomarkers of myocardial stress can accurately predict AF in patients with ESUS/CS, which would allow the identification of those who would benefit from closer monitoring.

METHODS

In February 2023 we performed a systematic date-unrestricted search of three databases for studies on patients with ESUS/CS who were subsequently diagnosed with AF. We examined the relationships between AF and serum myocardial stress markers such as brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal-pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide, and troponin.

RESULTS

Among the 1,527 studies reviewed, 23 eligible studies involving 6,212 participants, including 864 with AF, were analyzed. A meta-analysis of 9 studies indicated that they demonstrated a clear association between higher NT-proBNP levels and an increased risk of AF, with adjusted and raw data indicating 3.06- and 9.03-fold higher AF risks, respectively. Lower NT-proBNP levels had a pooled negative predictive value of 91.7%, indicating the potential to rule out AF with an 8% false-negative rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is required to fully determine the potential of biomarkers for AF detection after stroke, as results from previous studies lack homogeneity. However, lower NT-proBNP levels have potential in ruling out AF in patients with ESUS/CS. Combining them with other relevant biomarkers may enhance the precision of identifying patients who will not benefit from extended monitoring, which would optimize resource allocation and patient care.

Protocol for a multicentre and prospective follow-up cohort study of early detection of atrial fibrillation, silent stroke and cognitive impairment in high-risk primary care patients: the PREFA-TE study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia. Future estimations suggest an increase in global burden of AF greater than 60% by 2050. Numerous studies provide growing evidence that AF is not only associated with stroke but also with cognitive impairment and dementia.

AIM

The main goal is to assess the impact of the combined use of cardiac rhythm monitoring devices, echocardiography, biomarkers and neuroimaging on the early diagnosis of AF, silent strokes and cognitive decline, in subjects at high risk of AF.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Two-year follow-up of a cohort of individuals aged 65-85 years at high risk for AF, with no prior diagnosis of either stroke or dementia. The study involves baseline echocardiography, biomarkers, and neuroimaging, yearly cardiac monitoring, and semiannual clinical assessments. Different parameters from these tests will be analysed as independent variables. Throughout the study period, primary outcomes: new diagnoses of AF, stroke and cognitive impairment, along with any clinical and therapeutic changes, will be registered. A first descriptive and bivariate statistical analysis, appropriate to the types of variables, will be done. The information obtained from the data analysis will encompass adjusted risk estimates along with 95% confidence intervals. Event risk predictions will rely on multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. The predictive value of the model will be evaluated through the utilisation of receiver operating characteristic curves for area under the curve calculation. Additionally, time-to-event analysis will be performed using Kaplan-Meier curves.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol has been reviewed and approved by the Independent Ethics Committee of the Foundation University Institute for Primary Health Care Research-IDIAP Jordi Gol (expedient file 22/090-P). The authors plan to disseminate the study results to the general public through various scientific events. Publication in open-access journals and presentations at scientific congresses, seminars and meetings is also foreseen.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05772806.

Disturbed atrial metabolism, shear stress, and cardiac load contribute to atrial fibrillation after ablation: AXAFA biomolecule study

AIMS

Different disease processes can combine to cause atrial fibrillation (AF). Their contribution to recurrent AF after ablation in patients is not known. Cardiovascular processes associated with recurrent AF after AF ablation were determined by quantifying biomolecules related to inflammation, metabolism, proliferation, fibrosis, shear stress, atrial pressure, and others in the AXAFA biomolecule study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Twelve circulating cardiovascular biomolecules (ANGPT2, BMP10, CA125, hsCRP, ESM1, FABP3, FGF23, GDF15, IGFBP7, IL6, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT) were quantified in plasma samples obtained prior to a first AF ablation using high-throughput, high-precision assays. Cox regression was used to identify biomolecules associated with recurrent AF during the first 3 months after AF ablation. In 433 patients (64 years [58, 70]; 33% women), baseline concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, hsCRP, FGF23, FABP3, GDF15, and NT-proBNP were elevated in patients with recurrent AF (120/433; 28%). After adjustment for 11 clinical features and randomized treatment, elevated NT-proBNP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.58, 95% confidence interval (1.29, 1.94)], ANGPT2 [HR 1.37, (1.12, 1.67)], and BMP10 [HR 1.24 (1.02, 1.51)] remained associated with recurrent AF. Concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP decreased in patients who remained arrhythmia free, but not in patients with recurrent AF, highlighting their connection to AF. The other eight biomarkers showed unchanged concentrations.

CONCLUSION

Elevated concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP are associated with recurrent AF after a first AF ablation, suggesting that processes linked to disturbed cardiomyocyte metabolism, altered atrial shear stress, and increased load contribute to AF after AF ablation in patients.

Serum NT-proBNP level for predicting functional outcomes after acute ischemic stroke

N-terminus pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has been studied and recognized as a biomarker of cardiac thrombogenicity and stroke risk. However, the association between NT-proBNP and functional outcomes following acute ischemic stroke is still debated. This study aimed to investigate whether serum NT-proBNP level is associated with functional outcomes in acute ischemic stroke individuals. This prospective cohort study included patients diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke, and serum NT-proBNP levels were measured within 72 h. At 3 months, all patients were followed up for a modified Rankin Scale (mRS), and logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of NT-proBNP on the primary outcome, in which a score of 3-6 was classified as an unfavorable functional outcome. Sixty-seven patients were enrolled in the study, and 23 (34.3%) patients were identified with an unfavorable functional outcome. Elevated serum NT-proBNP levels (> 100 pg/mL) were observed in 57 (85.1%) patients, and the Youden index demonstrated a cutpoint estimation of poor outcomes at 476 pg/mL with 74% sensitivity and 63% specificity. Multivariate regression analysis showed an elevation of NT-proBNP above the cutpoint level was an independent predictor for unfavorable functional outcomes, odds ratio 3.77, 95% confidence interval (1.04-13.62), P = 0.04. The present study demonstrated that elevated serum NT-proBNP levels were expected among acute ischemic stroke patients and represented the risk of unfavorable functional outcomes, suggesting that NT-proBNP might be a useful biomarker for predicting prognosis after ischemic stroke.

Association of bone morphogenetic protein 10 and recurrent atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation

AIMS

Atrial remodelling, defined as a change in atrial structure, promotes atrial fibrillation (AF). Bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) is an atrial-specific biomarker released to blood during atrial development and structural changes. We aimed to validate whether BMP10 is associated with AF recurrence after catheter ablation (CA) in a large cohort of patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We measured baseline BMP10 plasma concentrations in AF patients who underwent a first elective CA in the prospective Swiss-AF-PVI cohort study. The primary outcome was AF recurrence lasting longer than 30 s during a follow-up of 12 months. We constructed multivariable Cox proportional hazard models to determine the association of BMP10 and AF recurrence. A total of 1112 patients with AF (age 61 ± 10 years, 74% male, 60% paroxysmal AF) was included in our analysis. During 12 months of follow-up, 374 patients (34%) experienced AF recurrence. The probability for AF recurrence increased with increasing BMP10 concentration. In an unadjusted Cox proportional hazard model, a per-unit increase in log-transformed BMP10 was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.28 (95% CI 1.43; 3.62, P < 0.001) for AF recurrence. After multivariable adjustment, the HR of BMP10 for AF recurrence was 1.98 (95% CI 1.14; 3.42, P = 0.01), and there was a linear trend across BMP10 quartiles (P = 0.02 for linear trend).

CONCLUSION

The novel atrial-specific biomarker BMP10 was strongly associated with AF recurrence in patients undergoing CA for AF.

CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER

NCT03718364; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03718364.

microRNAs as Biomarkers of Endothelial Dysfunction and Therapeutic Target in the Pathogenesis of Atrial Fibrillation

The pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) may involve atrial fibrosis/remodeling and dysfunctional endothelial activities. Despite the currently available treatment approaches, the progression of AF, its recurrence rate, and the high mortality risk of related complications underlay the need for more advanced prognostic and therapeutic strategies. There is increasing attention on the molecular mechanisms controlling AF onset and progression points to the complex cell to cell interplay that triggers fibroblasts, immune cells and myofibroblasts, enhancing atrial fibrosis. In this scenario, endothelial cell dysfunction (ED) might play an unexpected but significant role. microRNAs (miRNAs) regulate gene expression at the post-transcriptional level. In the cardiovascular compartment, both free circulating and exosomal miRNAs entail the control of plaque formation, lipid metabolism, inflammation and angiogenesis, cardiomyocyte growth and contractility, and even the maintenance of cardiac rhythm. Abnormal miRNAs levels may indicate the activation state of circulating cells, and thus represent a specific read-out of cardiac tissue changes. Although several unresolved questions still limit their clinical use, the ease of accessibility in biofluids and their prognostic and diagnostic properties make them novel and attractive biomarker candidates in AF. This article summarizes the most recent features of AF associated with miRNAs and relates them to potentially underlying mechanisms.