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Ardila CM, González-Arroyave D, Tobón S. Machine learning for predicting antimicrobial resistance in critical and high-priority pathogens: A systematic review considering antimicrobial susceptibility tests in real-world healthcare settings. PLoS One 2025; 20:e0319460. [PMID: 39999193 PMCID: PMC11856330 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0319460] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2024] [Accepted: 02/01/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses a worldwide health threat; quick and accurate identification of AMR enhances patient outcomes and reduces inappropriate antibiotic usage. The objective of this systematic review is to evaluate the efficacy of machine learning (ML) approaches in predicting AMR in critical and high-priority pathogens (CHPP), considering antimicrobial susceptibility tests in real-world healthcare settings. METHODS The search methodology encompassed the examination of several databases, such as PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS, and SCIELO. An extensive electronic database search was conducted from the inception of these databases until November 2024. RESULTS After completing the final step of the eligibility assessment, the systematic review ultimately included 21 papers. All included studies were cohort observational studies assessing 688,107 patients and 1,710,867 antimicrobial susceptibility tests. GBDT, Random Forest, and XGBoost were the top-performing ML models for predicting antibiotic resistance in CHPP infections. GBDT exhibited the highest AuROC values compared to Logistic Regression (LR), with a mean value of 0.80 (range 0.77-0.90) and 0.68 (range 0.50-0.83), respectively. Similarly, Random Forest generally showed better AuROC values compared to LR (mean value 0.75, range 0.58-0.98 versus mean value 0.71, range 0.61-0.83). However, some predictors selected by these algorithms align with those suggested by LR. CONCLUSIONS ML displays potential as a technology for predicting AMR, incorporating antimicrobial susceptibility tests in CHPP in real-world healthcare settings. However, limitations such as retrospective methodology for model development, nonstandard data processing, and lack of validation in randomized controlled trials must be considered before applying these models in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlos M. Ardila
- Basic Sciences Department, Biomedical Stomatology Research Group, Faculty of Dentistry, Universidad de Antioquia U de A, Medellín Colombia
- Postdoctoral Program, CIFE University Center, Cuernavaca, México
| | | | - Sergio Tobón
- Postdoctoral Program, CIFE University Center, Cuernavaca, México
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Bellankimath AB, Chapagain C, Branders S, Ali J, Wilson RC, Johansen TEB, Ahmad R. Culture and amplification-free nanopore sequencing for rapid detection of pathogens and antimicrobial resistance genes from urine. Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis 2024; 43:2177-2190. [PMID: 39283495 PMCID: PMC11534888 DOI: 10.1007/s10096-024-04929-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Accepted: 08/23/2024] [Indexed: 11/05/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE Urinary Tract Infections (UTIs) are among the most prevalent infections globally. Every year, approximately 150 million people are diagnosed with UTIs worldwide. The current state-of-the-art diagnostic methods are culture-based and have a turnaround time of 2-4 days for pathogen identification and susceptibility testing. METHODS This study first establishes an optical density culture-based method for spiking healthy urine samples with the six most prevalent uropathogens. Urine samples were spiked at clinically significant concentrations of 103-105 CFU/ml. Three DNA extraction kits (BioStic, PowerFood, and Blood and Tissue) were investigated based on the DNA yield, average processing time, elution volume, and the average cost incurred per extraction. After DNA extraction, the samples were sequenced using MinION and Flongle flow cells. RESULTS The Blood and Tissue kit outperformed the other kits based on the investigated parameters. Using nanopore sequencing, all the pathogens and corresponding genes were only identified at a spike concentration of 105 CFU/ml, achieved after 10 min and 3 hours of sequencing, respectively. However, some pathogens and antibiotic-resistance genes (ARG) could be identified from spikes at 103 colony formation units (CFU/mL). The overall turnaround time was five hours, from sample preparation to sequencing-based identification of pathogen ID and antimicrobial resistance genes. CONCLUSION This study demonstrates excellent promise in reducing the time required for informed antibiotic administration from 48 to 72 h to five hours, thereby reducing the number of empirical doses and increasing the chance of saving lives.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Crystal Chapagain
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, Hamar, 2317, Norway
| | - Sverre Branders
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, Hamar, 2317, Norway
| | - Jawad Ali
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, Hamar, 2317, Norway
| | - Robert C Wilson
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, Hamar, 2317, Norway
| | - Truls E Bjerklund Johansen
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Rafi Ahmad
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, Hamar, 2317, Norway.
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UiT - The Arctic University of Norway, Hansine Hansens veg 18, Tromsø, 9019, Norway.
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Ardila CM, Yadalam PK, González-Arroyave D. Integrating whole genome sequencing and machine learning for predicting antimicrobial resistance in critical pathogens: a systematic review of antimicrobial susceptibility tests. PeerJ 2024; 12:e18213. [PMID: 39399439 PMCID: PMC11470768 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.18213] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2024] [Accepted: 09/11/2024] [Indexed: 10/15/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Infections caused by antibiotic-resistant bacteria pose a major challenge to modern healthcare. This systematic review evaluates the efficacy of machine learning (ML) approaches in predicting antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in critical pathogens (CP), considering Whole Genome Sequencing (WGS) and antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST). METHODS The search covered databases including PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS, and SCIELO, from their inception until June 2024. The review protocol was officially registered on PROSPERO (CRD42024543099). RESULTS The review included 26 papers, analyzing data from 104,141 microbial samples. Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and logistic regression (LR) emerged as the top-performing models, with mean Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC) values of 0.89, 0.87, and 0.87, respectively. RF showed superior performance with AUC values ranging from 0.66 to 0.97, while XGBoost and LR showed similar performance with AUC values ranging from 0.83 to 0.91 and 0.76 to 0.96, respectively. Most studies indicate that integrating WGS and AST data into ML models enhances predictive performance, improves antibiotic stewardship, and provides valuable clinical decision support. ML shows significant promise for predicting AMR by integrating WGS and AST data in CP. Standardized guidelines are needed to ensure consistency in future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlos M. Ardila
- Basic Sciences Department, Faculty of Dentistry, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellin, Colombia
- CIFE University Center, Cuernavaca, Mexico
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Rusic D, Kumric M, Seselja Perisin A, Leskur D, Bukic J, Modun D, Vilovic M, Vrdoljak J, Martinovic D, Grahovac M, Bozic J. Tackling the Antimicrobial Resistance "Pandemic" with Machine Learning Tools: A Summary of Available Evidence. Microorganisms 2024; 12:842. [PMID: 38792673 PMCID: PMC11123121 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms12050842] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2024] [Revised: 04/16/2024] [Accepted: 04/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Antimicrobial resistance is recognised as one of the top threats healthcare is bound to face in the future. There have been various attempts to preserve the efficacy of existing antimicrobials, develop new and efficient antimicrobials, manage infections with multi-drug resistant strains, and improve patient outcomes, resulting in a growing mass of routinely available data, including electronic health records and microbiological information that can be employed to develop individualised antimicrobial stewardship. Machine learning methods have been developed to predict antimicrobial resistance from whole-genome sequencing data, forecast medication susceptibility, recognise epidemic patterns for surveillance purposes, or propose new antibacterial treatments and accelerate scientific discovery. Unfortunately, there is an evident gap between the number of machine learning applications in science and the effective implementation of these systems. This narrative review highlights some of the outstanding opportunities that machine learning offers when applied in research related to antimicrobial resistance. In the future, machine learning tools may prove to be superbugs' kryptonite. This review aims to provide an overview of available publications to aid researchers that are looking to expand their work with new approaches and to acquaint them with the current application of machine learning techniques in this field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Doris Rusic
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (D.R.); (A.S.P.); (D.L.); (J.B.); (D.M.)
| | - Marko Kumric
- Department of Pathophysiology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (M.K.); (M.V.); (J.V.); (D.M.)
- Laboratory for Cardiometabolic Research, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia
| | - Ana Seselja Perisin
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (D.R.); (A.S.P.); (D.L.); (J.B.); (D.M.)
| | - Dario Leskur
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (D.R.); (A.S.P.); (D.L.); (J.B.); (D.M.)
| | - Josipa Bukic
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (D.R.); (A.S.P.); (D.L.); (J.B.); (D.M.)
| | - Darko Modun
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (D.R.); (A.S.P.); (D.L.); (J.B.); (D.M.)
| | - Marino Vilovic
- Department of Pathophysiology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (M.K.); (M.V.); (J.V.); (D.M.)
- Laboratory for Cardiometabolic Research, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia
| | - Josip Vrdoljak
- Department of Pathophysiology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (M.K.); (M.V.); (J.V.); (D.M.)
- Laboratory for Cardiometabolic Research, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia
| | - Dinko Martinovic
- Department of Pathophysiology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (M.K.); (M.V.); (J.V.); (D.M.)
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery, University Hospital of Split, Spinciceva 1, 21000 Split, Croatia
| | - Marko Grahovac
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia;
| | - Josko Bozic
- Department of Pathophysiology, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia; (M.K.); (M.V.); (J.V.); (D.M.)
- Laboratory for Cardiometabolic Research, University of Split School of Medicine, Soltanska 2A, 21000 Split, Croatia
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Ali J, Johansen W, Ahmad R. Short turnaround time of seven to nine hours from sample collection until informed decision for sepsis treatment using nanopore sequencing. Sci Rep 2024; 14:6534. [PMID: 38503770 PMCID: PMC10951244 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-55635-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2023] [Accepted: 02/26/2024] [Indexed: 03/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Bloodstream infections (BSIs) and sepsis are major health problems, annually claiming millions of lives. Traditional blood culture techniques, employed to identify sepsis-causing pathogens and assess antibiotic susceptibility, usually take 2-4 days. Early and accurate antibiotic prescription is vital in sepsis to mitigate mortality and antibiotic resistance. This study aimed to reduce the wait time for sepsis diagnosis by employing shorter blood culture incubation times for BD BACTEC™ bottles using standard laboratory incubators, followed by real-time nanopore sequencing and data analysis. The method was tested on nine blood samples spiked with clinical isolates from the six most prevalent sepsis-causing pathogens. The results showed that pathogen identification was possible at as low as 102-104 CFU/mL, achieved after just 2 h of incubation and within 40 min of nanopore sequencing. Moreover, all the antimicrobial resistance genes were identified at 103-107 CFU/mL, achieved after incubation for 5 h and only 10 min to 3 h of sequencing. Therefore, the total turnaround time from sample collection to the information required for an informed decision on the right antibiotic treatment was between 7 and 9 h. These results hold significant promise for better clinical management of sepsis compared with current culture-based methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jawad Ali
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, 2317, Hamar, Norway
| | - Wenche Johansen
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, 2317, Hamar, Norway
| | - Rafi Ahmad
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata 22, 2317, Hamar, Norway.
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UiT - The Arctic University of Norway, Hansine Hansens Veg 18, 9019, Tromsø, Norway.
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Avershina E, Khezri A, Ahmad R. Clinical Diagnostics of Bacterial Infections and Their Resistance to Antibiotics-Current State and Whole Genome Sequencing Implementation Perspectives. Antibiotics (Basel) 2023; 12:781. [PMID: 37107143 PMCID: PMC10135054 DOI: 10.3390/antibiotics12040781] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2023] [Revised: 03/19/2023] [Accepted: 04/13/2023] [Indexed: 04/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR), defined as the ability of microorganisms to withstand antimicrobial treatment, is responsible for millions of deaths annually. The rapid spread of AMR across continents warrants systematic changes in healthcare routines and protocols. One of the fundamental issues with AMR spread is the lack of rapid diagnostic tools for pathogen identification and AMR detection. Resistance profile identification often depends on pathogen culturing and thus may last up to several days. This contributes to the misuse of antibiotics for viral infection, the use of inappropriate antibiotics, the overuse of broad-spectrum antibiotics, or delayed infection treatment. Current DNA sequencing technologies offer the potential to develop rapid infection and AMR diagnostic tools that can provide information in a few hours rather than days. However, these techniques commonly require advanced bioinformatics knowledge and, at present, are not suited for routine lab use. In this review, we give an overview of the AMR burden on healthcare, describe current pathogen identification and AMR screening methods, and provide perspectives on how DNA sequencing may be used for rapid diagnostics. Additionally, we discuss the common steps used for DNA data analysis, currently available pipelines, and tools for analysis. Direct, culture-independent sequencing has the potential to complement current culture-based methods in routine clinical settings. However, there is a need for a minimum set of standards in terms of evaluating the results generated. Additionally, we discuss the use of machine learning algorithms regarding pathogen phenotype detection (resistance/susceptibility to an antibiotic).
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Affiliation(s)
- Ekaterina Avershina
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata, 222317 Hamar, Norway
| | - Abdolrahman Khezri
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata, 222317 Hamar, Norway
| | - Rafi Ahmad
- Department of Biotechnology, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Holsetgata, 222317 Hamar, Norway
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Science, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Hansine Hansens veg, 189019 Tromsø, Norway
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