Biological Brain Age Prediction Using Cortical Thickness Data: A Large Scale Cohort Study

An Update on Neuroaging on Earth and in Spaceflight

Over 400 articles on the pathophysiology of brain aging, neuroaging, and neurodegeneration were reviewed, with a focus on epigenetic mechanisms and numerous non-coding RNAs. In particular, this review the accent is on microRNAs, the discovery of whose pivotal role in gene regulation was recognized by the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine. Aging is not a gradual process that can be easily modeled and described. Instead, multiple temporal processes occur during aging, and they can lead to mosaic changes that are not uniform in pace. The rate of change depends on a combination of external and internal factors and can be boosted in accelerated aging. The rate can decrease in decelerated aging due to individual structural and functional reserves created by cognitive, physical training, or pharmacological interventions. Neuroaging can be caused by genetic changes, epigenetic modifications, oxidative stress, inflammation, lifestyle, and environmental factors, which are especially noticeable in space environments where adaptive changes can trigger aging-like processes. Numerous candidate molecular biomarkers specific to neuroaging need to be validated to develop diagnostics and countermeasures.

A review of artificial intelligence-based brain age estimation and its applications for related diseases

The study of brain age has emerged over the past decade, aiming to estimate a person's age based on brain imaging scans. Ideally, predicted brain age should match chronological age in healthy individuals. However, brain structure and function change in the presence of brain-related diseases. Consequently, brain age also changes in affected individuals, making the brain age gap (BAG)-the difference between brain age and chronological age-a potential biomarker for brain health, early screening, and identifying age-related cognitive decline and disorders. With the recent successes of artificial intelligence in healthcare, it is essential to track the latest advancements and highlight promising directions. This review paper presents recent machine learning techniques used in brain age estimation (BAE) studies. Typically, BAE models involve developing a machine learning regression model to capture age-related variations in brain structure from imaging scans of healthy individuals and automatically predict brain age for new subjects. The process also involves estimating BAG as a measure of brain health. While we discuss recent clinical applications of BAE methods, we also review studies of biological age that can be integrated into BAE research. Finally, we point out the current limitations of BAE's studies.

Explainable brain age prediction: a comparative evaluation of morphometric and deep learning pipelines

Brain age, a biomarker reflecting brain health relative to chronological age, is increasingly used in neuroimaging to detect early signs of neurodegenerative diseases and support personalized treatment plans. Two primary approaches for brain age prediction have emerged: morphometric feature extraction from MRI scans and deep learning (DL) applied to raw MRI data. However, a systematic comparison of these methods regarding performance, interpretability, and clinical utility has been limited. In this study, we present a comparative evaluation of two pipelines: one using morphometric features from FreeSurfer and the other employing 3D convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Using a multisite neuroimaging dataset, we assessed both model performance and the interpretability of predictions through eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods, applying SHAP to the feature-based pipeline and Grad-CAM and DeepSHAP to the CNN-based pipeline. Our results show comparable performance between the two pipelines in Leave-One-Site-Out (LOSO) validation, achieving state-of-the-art performance on the independent test set ( M A E = 3.21 with DNN and morphometric features and M A E = 3.08 with a DenseNet-121 architecture). SHAP provided the most consistent and interpretable results, while DeepSHAP exhibited greater variability. Further work is needed to assess the clinical utility of Grad-CAM. This study addresses a critical gap by systematically comparing the interpretability of multiple XAI methods across distinct brain age prediction pipelines. Our findings underscore the importance of integrating XAI into clinical practice, offering insights into how XAI outputs vary and their potential utility for clinicians.

Why experimental variation in neuroimaging should be embraced

In a perfect world, scientists would develop analyses that are guaranteed to reveal the ground truth of a research question. In reality, there are countless viable workflows that produce distinct, often conflicting, results. Although reproducibility places a necessary bound on the validity of results, it is not sufficient for claiming underlying validity, eventual utility, or generalizability. In this work we focus on how embracing variability in data analysis can improve the generalizability of results. We contextualize how design decisions in brain imaging can be made to capture variation, highlight examples, and discuss how variability capture may improve the quality of results.

Comparative analysis of brain age prediction using structural and diffusion MRIs in neonates

Using machine learning techniques to predict brain age from multimodal data has become a crucial biomarker for assessing brain development. Among various types of brain imaging data, structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) and diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (dMRI) are the most commonly used modalities. sMRI focuses on depicting macrostructural features of the brain, while dMRI reveals the orientation of major white matter fibers and changes in tissue microstructure. However, their differential capabilities in reflecting newborn age and clinical implications have not been systematically studied. This study aims to explore the impact of sMRI and dMRI on brain age prediction. Comparing predictions based on T2-weighted(T2w) and fractional anisotropy (FA) images, we found their mean absolute errors (MAE) in predicting infant age to be similar. Exploratory analysis revealed for T2w images, areas such as the cerebral cortex and ventricles contribute most significantly to age prediction, whereas FA images highlight the cerebral cortex and regions of the main white matter tracts. Despite both modalities focusing on the cerebral cortex, they exhibit significant region-wise differences, reflecting developmental disparities in macro- and microstructural aspects of the cortex. Additionally, we examined the effects of prematurity, gender, and hemispherical asymmetry of the brain on age prediction for both modalities. Results showed significant differences (p<0.05) in age prediction biases based on FA images across gender and hemispherical asymmetry, whereas no significant differences were observed with T2w images. This study underscores the differences between T2w and FA images in predicting infant brain age, offering new perspectives for studying infant brain development and aiding more effective assessment and tracking of infant development.

Brain identification of IBS patients based on GBDT and multiple imaging techniques

The brain biomarker of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) patients is still lacking. The study aims to explore a new technology studying the brain alterations of IBS patients based on multi-source brain data. In the study, a decision-level fusion method based on gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) was proposed. Next, 100 healthy subjects were used to validate the effectiveness of the method. Finally, the identification of brain alterations and the pain evaluation in IBS patients were carried out by the fusion method based on the resting-state fMRI and DWI for 46 patients and 46 controls selected randomly from 100 healthy subjects. The results showed that the method can achieve good classification between IBS patients and controls (accuracy = 95%) and pain evaluation of IBS patients (mean absolute error = 0.1977). Moreover, both the gain-based and the permutation-based evaluation instead of statistical analysis showed that left cingulum bundle contributed most significantly to the classification, and right precuneus contributed most significantly to the evaluation of abdominal pain intensity in the IBS patients. The differences seem to suggest a probable but unexplored separation about the central regions between the identification and progression of IBS. This finding may provide one new thought and technology for brain alteration related to IBS.

Predicting Brain Age and Gender from Brain Volume Data Using Variational Quantum Circuits

The morphology of the brain undergoes changes throughout the aging process, and accurately predicting a person's brain age and gender using brain morphology features can aid in detecting atypical brain patterns. Neuroimaging-based estimation of brain age is commonly used to assess an individual's brain health relative to a typical aging trajectory, while accurately classifying gender from neuroimaging data offers valuable insights into the inherent neurological differences between males and females. In this study, we aimed to compare the efficacy of classical machine learning models with that of a quantum machine learning method called a variational quantum circuit in estimating brain age and predicting gender based on structural magnetic resonance imaging data. We evaluated six classical machine learning models alongside a quantum machine learning model using both combined and sub-datasets, which included data from both in-house collections and public sources. The total number of participants was 1157, ranging from ages 14 to 89, with a gender distribution of 607 males and 550 females. Performance evaluation was conducted within each dataset using training and testing sets. The variational quantum circuit model generally demonstrated superior performance in estimating brain age and gender classification compared to classical machine learning algorithms when using the combined dataset. Additionally, in benchmark sub-datasets, our approach exhibited better performance compared to previous studies that utilized the same dataset for brain age prediction. Thus, our results suggest that variational quantum algorithms demonstrate comparable effectiveness to classical machine learning algorithms for both brain age and gender prediction, potentially offering reduced error and improved accuracy.

Beyond network connectivity: A classification approach to brain age prediction with resting-state fMRI

The brain is a complex, dynamic organ that shows differences in the same subject at various periods. Understanding how brain activity changes across age as a function of the brain networks has been greatly abetted by fMRI. Canonical analysis consists of determining how alterations in connectivity patterns (CPs) of certain regions are affected. An alternative approach is taken here by not considering connectivity but rather features computed from recordings at the regions of interest (ROIs). Using machine learning (ML) we assess how neural signals are altered by and prospectively predictive of age and sex via a methodology that is novel in drawing upon pairwise classification across six decades of subjects' chronological ages. ML is used to answer the equally important questions of what properties of the computed features are most predictive as well as which brain networks are most affected by aging. It was found that there is decreased differentiation among the neural signals of older subjects that are separated in age by the same number of years as younger subjects. Furthermore, the burstiness of the signals change at different rates between males and females. The findings provide insight into brain aging via an ROI-based analysis, the consideration of several feature groups, and a novel classification-based ML pipeline. There is also a contribution to understanding the effects of data aggregated from different recording centers on the conclusions of fMRI studies.

Brain age prediction across the human lifespan using multimodal MRI data

Measuring differences between an individual's age and biological age with biological information from the brain have the potential to provide biomarkers of clinically relevant neurological syndromes that arise later in human life. To explore the effect of multimodal brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features on the prediction of brain age, we investigated how multimodal brain imaging data improved age prediction from more imaging features of structural or functional MRI data by using partial least squares regression (PLSR) and longevity data sets (age 6-85 years). First, we found that the age-predicted values for each of these ten features ranged from high to low: cortical thickness (R = 0.866, MAE = 7.904), all seven MRI features (R = 0.8594, MAE = 8.24), four features in structural MRI (R = 0.8591, MAE = 8.24), fALFF (R = 0.853, MAE = 8.1918), gray matter volume (R = 0.8324, MAE = 8.931), three rs-fMRI feature (R = 0.7959, MAE = 9.744), mean curvature (R = 0.7784, MAE = 10.232), ReHo (R = 0.7833, MAE = 10.122), ALFF (R = 0.7517, MAE = 10.844), and surface area (R = 0.719, MAE = 11.33). In addition, the significance of the volume and size of brain MRI data in predicting age was also studied. Second, our results suggest that all multimodal imaging features, except cortical thickness, improve brain-based age prediction. Third, we found that the left hemisphere contributed more to the age prediction, that is, the left hemisphere showed a greater weight in the age prediction than the right hemisphere. Finally, we found a nonlinear relationship between the predicted age and the amount of MRI data. Combined with multimodal and lifespan brain data, our approach provides a new perspective for chronological age prediction and contributes to a better understanding of the relationship between brain disorders and aging.

A review on brain age prediction models

Brain age in neuroimaging has emerged over the last decade and reflects the estimated age based on the brain MRI scan from a person. As a person ages, their brain structure will change, and these changes will be exclusive to males and females and will differ for each. White matter and grey matter density have a deeper relationship with brain aging. Hence, if the white matter and grey matter concentrations vary, the rate at which the brain ages will also vary. Neurodegenerative illnesses can be detected using the biomarker known as brain age. The development of deep learning has made it possible to analyze structural neuroimaging data in new ways, notably by predicting brain ages. We introduce the techniques and possible therapeutic uses of brain age prediction in this cutting-edge review. Creating a machine learning regression model to analyze age-related changes in brain structure among healthy individuals is a typical procedure in studies focused on brain aging. Subsequently, this model is employed to forecast the aging of brains in new individuals. The concept of the "brain-age gap" refers to the difference between an individual's predicted brain age and their actual chronological age. This score may serve as a gauge of the general state of the brain's health while also reflecting neuroanatomical disorders. It may help differential diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy decisions as well as early identification of brain-based illnesses. The following is a summary of the many forecasting techniques utilized over the past 11 years to estimate brain age. The study's conundrums and potential outcomes of the brain age predicted by current models will both be covered.

Magnetic resonance image-based brain age as a discriminator of dementia conversion in patients with amyloid-negative amnestic mild cognitive impairment

Patients with amyloid-negative amnestic mild cognitive impairment (MCI) have a conversion rate of approximately 10% to dementia within 2 years. We aimed to investigate whether brain age is an important factor in predicting conversion to dementia in patients with amyloid-negative amnestic MCI. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with amyloid-negative amnestic MCI. All participants underwent detailed neuropsychological evaluation, brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and [18F]-florbetaben positron emission tomography. Brain age was determined by the volumetric assessment of 12 distinct brain regions using an automatic segmentation software. During the follow-up period, 38% of the patients converted from amnestic MCI to dementia. Further, 73% of patients had a brain age greater than their actual chronological age. When defining 'survival' as the non-conversion of MCI to dementia, these groups differed significantly in survival probability (p = 0.036). The low-educated female group with a brain age greater than their actual age had the lowest survival rate among all groups. Our findings suggest that the MRI-based brain age used in this study can contribute to predicting conversion to dementia in patients with amyloid-negative amnestic MCI.

BrainAGE Estimation: Influence of Field Strength, Voxel Size, Race, and Ethnicity

The BrainAGE method is used to estimate biological brain age using structural neuroimaging. However, the stability of the model across different scan parameters and races/ethnicities has not been thoroughly investigated. Estimated brain age was compared within- and across- MRI field strength and across voxel sizes. Estimated brain age gap (BAG) was compared across demographically matched groups of different self-reported races and ethnicities in ADNI and IMAS cohorts. Longitudinal ComBat was used to correct for potential scanner effects. The brain age method was stable within field strength, but less stable across different field strengths. The method was stable across voxel sizes. There was a significant difference in BAG between races, but not ethnicities. Correction procedures are suggested to eliminate variation across scanner field strength while maintaining accurate brain age estimation. Further studies are warranted to determine the factors contributing to racial differences in BAG.

Lower cortical thickness and increased brain aging in adults with cocaine use disorder

Background

Cocaine use disorder (CUD) is a global health issue with severe behavioral and cognitive sequelae. While previous evidence suggests a variety of structural and age-related brain changes in CUD, the impact on both, cortical thickness and brain age measures remains unclear.

Methods

Derived from a publicly available data set (SUDMEX_CONN), 74 CUD patients and 62 matched healthy controls underwent brain MRI and behavioral-clinical assessment. We determined cortical thickness by surface-based morphometry using CAT12 and Brain Age Gap Estimate (BrainAGE) via relevance vector regression. Associations between structural brain changes and behavioral-clinical variables of patients with CUD were investigated by correlation analyses.

Results

We found significantly lower cortical thickness in bilateral prefrontal cortices, posterior cingulate cortices, and the temporoparietal junction and significantly increased BrainAGE in patients with CUD [mean (SD) = 1.97 (±3.53)] compared to healthy controls (p < 0.001, Cohen's d = 0.58). Increased BrainAGE was associated with longer cocaine abuse duration.

Conclusion

Results demonstrate structural brain abnormalities in CUD, particularly lower cortical thickness in association cortices and dose-dependent, increased brain age.

Predicting mild cognitive impairments from cognitively normal brains using a novel brain age estimation model based on structural magnetic resonance imaging

Brain age prediction is a practical method used to quantify brain aging and detect neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, very few studies have considered brain age prediction as a biomarker for the conversion of cognitively normal (CN) to mild cognitive impairment (MCI). In this study, we developed a novel brain age prediction model using brain volume and cortical thickness features. We calculated an acceleration of brain age (ABA) derived from the suggested model to estimate different diagnostic groups (CN, MCI, and AD) and to classify CN to MCI and MCI to AD conversion groups. We observed a strong association between ABA and the 3 diagnostic groups. Additionally, the classification models for CN to MCI conversion and MCI to AD conversion exhibited acceptable and robust performances, with area under the curve values of 0.66 and 0.76, respectively. We believe that our proposed model provides a reliable estimate of brain age for elderly individuals and can identify those at risk of progressing from CN to MCI. This model has great potential to reveal a diagnosis associated with a change in cognitive decline.

Reappraisal of the Concept of Accelerated Aging in Neurodegeneration and Beyond

BACKGROUND

Genetic and epigenetic changes, oxidative stress and inflammation influence the rate of aging, which diseases, lifestyle and environmental factors can further accelerate. In accelerated aging (AA), the biological age exceeds the chronological age.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to reappraise the AA concept critically, considering its weaknesses and limitations.

METHODS

We reviewed more than 300 recent articles dealing with the physiology of brain aging and neurodegeneration pathophysiology.

RESULTS

(1) Application of the AA concept to individual organs outside the brain is challenging as organs of different systems age at different rates. (2) There is a need to consider the deceleration of aging due to the potential use of the individual structure-functional reserves. The latter can be restored by pharmacological and/or cognitive therapy, environment, etc. (3) The AA concept lacks both standardised terminology and methodology. (4) Changes in specific molecular biomarkers (MBM) reflect aging-related processes; however, numerous MBM candidates should be validated to consolidate the AA theory. (5) The exact nature of many potential causal factors, biological outcomes and interactions between the former and the latter remain largely unclear.

CONCLUSIONS

Although AA is commonly recognised as a perspective theory, it still suffers from a number of gaps and limitations that assume the necessity for an updated AA concept.

MRI-based brain age prediction model for children under 3 years old using deep residual network

Early identification and intervention of abnormal brain development individual subjects are of great significance, especially during the earliest and most active stage of brain development in children aged under 3. Neuroimage-based brain's biological age has been associated with health, ability, and remaining life. However, the existing brain age prediction models based on neuroimage are predominantly adult-oriented. Here, we collected 658 T1-weighted MRI scans from 0 to 3 years old healthy controls and developed an accurate brain age prediction model for young children using deep learning techniques with high accuracy in capturing age-related changes. The performance of the deep learning-based model is comparable to that of the SVR-based model, showcasing remarkable precision and yielding a noteworthy correlation of 91% between the predicted brain age and the chronological age. Our results demonstrate the accuracy of convolutional neural network (CNN) brain-predicted age using raw T1-weighted MRI data with minimum preprocessing necessary. We also applied our model to children with low birth weight, premature delivery history, autism, and ADHD, and discovered that the brain age was delayed in children with extremely low birth weight (less than 1000 g) while ADHD may cause accelerated aging of the brain. Our child-specific brain age prediction model can be a valuable quantitative tool to detect abnormal brain development and can be helpful in the early identification and intervention of age-related brain disorders.

A Skewed Loss Function for Correcting Predictive Bias in Brain Age Prediction

In neuroimaging, the difference between predicted brain age and chronological age, known as brain age delta, has shown its potential as a biomarker related to various pathological phenotypes. There is a frequently observed bias when estimating brain age delta using regression models. This bias manifests as an overestimation of brain age for young participants and an underestimation of brain age for older participants. Therefore, the brain age delta is negatively correlated with chronological age, which can be problematic when evaluating relationships between brain age delta and other age-associated variables. This paper proposes a novel bias correction method for regression models by introducing a skewed loss function to replace the normal symmetric loss function. The regression model then behaves differently depending on whether it makes overestimations or underestimations. Our approach works with any type of MR image and no specific preprocessing is required, as long as the image is sensitive to age-related changes. The proposed approach has been validated using three classic deep learning models, namely ResNet, VGG, and GoogleNet on publicly available neuroimaging aging datasets. It shows flexibility across different model architectures and different choices of hyperparameters. The corrected brain age delta from our approach then has no linear relationship with chronological age and achieves higher predictive accuracy than a commonly-used two-stage approach.

Investigating brain aging trajectory deviations in different brain regions of individuals with schizophrenia using multimodal magnetic resonance imaging and brain-age prediction: a multicenter study

Although many studies on brain-age prediction in patients with schizophrenia have been reported recently, none has predicted brain age based on different neuroimaging modalities and different brain regions in these patients. Here, we constructed brain-age prediction models with multimodal MRI and examined the deviations of aging trajectories in different brain regions of participants with schizophrenia recruited from multiple centers. The data of 230 healthy controls (HCs) were used for model training. Next, we investigated the differences in brain age gaps between participants with schizophrenia and HCs from two independent cohorts. A Gaussian process regression algorithm with fivefold cross-validation was used to train 90, 90, and 48 models for gray matter (GM), functional connectivity (FC), and fractional anisotropy (FA) maps in the training dataset, respectively. The brain age gaps in different brain regions for all participants were calculated, and the differences in brain age gaps between the two groups were examined. Our results showed that most GM regions in participants with schizophrenia in both cohorts exhibited accelerated aging, particularly in the frontal lobe, temporal lobe, and insula. The parts of the white matter tracts, including the cerebrum and cerebellum, indicated deviations in aging trajectories in participants with schizophrenia. However, no accelerated brain aging was noted in the FC maps. The accelerated aging in 22 GM regions and 10 white matter tracts in schizophrenia potentially exacerbates with disease progression. In individuals with schizophrenia, different brain regions demonstrate dynamic deviations of brain aging trajectories. Our findings provided more insights into schizophrenia neuropathology.

Cortical thinning in chemotherapy-treated older long-term breast cancer survivors

Cognitive decline is an increasing issue for cancer survivors, especially for older adults, as chemotherapy affects brain structure and function. The purpose of this single center study was to evaluate alterations in cortical thickness and cognition in older long-term survivors of breast cancer who had been treated with chemotherapy years ago. In this prospective cohort study, we enrolled 3 groups of women aged ≥ 65 years with a history of stage I-III breast cancer who had received adjuvant chemotherapy 5 to 15 years ago (chemotherapy group, C +), age-matched women with breast cancer but no chemotherapy (no-chemotherapy group, C-) and healthy controls (HC). All participants underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging and neuropsychological testing with the NIH Toolbox Cognition Battery at time point 1 (TP1) and again at 2 years after enrollment (time point 2 (TP2)). At TP1, there were no significant differences in cortical thickness among the 3 groups. Longitudinally, the C + group showed cortical thinning in the fusiform gyrus (p = 0.006, effect size (d) = -0.60 [ -1.86, -0.66]), pars triangularis (p = 0.026, effect size (d) = -0.43 [-1.68, -0.82]), and inferior temporal lobe (p = 0.026, effect size (d) = -0.38 [-1.62, -0.31]) of the left hemisphere. The C + group also showed decreases in neuropsychological scores such as the total composite score (p = 0.01, effect size (d) = -3.9726 [-0.9656, -6.9796], fluid composite score (p = 0.03, effect size (d) = -4.438 [-0.406, -8.47], and picture vocabulary score (p = 0.04, effect size (d) = -3.7499 [-0.0617, -7.438]. Our results showed that cortical thickness could be a candidate neuroimaging biomarker for cancer-related cognitive impairment and accelerated aging in older long-term cancer survivors.

Predicting aging trajectories of decline in brain volume, cortical thickness and fractional anisotropy in schizophrenia

Brain-age prediction is a novel approach to assessing deviated brain aging trajectories in different diseases. However, most studies have used an average brain age gap (BAG) of individuals with schizophrenia of different illness durations for comparison with healthy participants. Therefore, this study investigated whether declined brain structures as reflected by BAGs may be present in schizophrenia in terms of brain volume, cortical thickness, and fractional anisotropy across different illness durations. We used brain volume, cortical thickness, and fractional anisotropy as features to train three models from the training dataset. Three models were applied to predict brain ages in the hold-out test and schizophrenia datasets and calculate BAGs. We divided the schizophrenia dataset into multiple groups based on the illness duration using a sliding time window approach for ANCOVA analysis. The brain volume and cortical thickness models revealed that, in comparison with healthy controls, individuals with schizophrenia had larger BAGs across different illness durations, whereas the BAG in terms of fractional anisotropy did not differ from that of healthy controls after disease onset. Moreover, the BAG at the initial stage of schizophrenia was the largest in the cortical thickness model. In contrast, the BAG from approximately two decades after disease onset was the largest in the brain volume model. Our findings suggest that schizophrenia differentially affects the decline of different brain structures during the disease course. Moreover, different trends of decline in thickness and volume-based measures suggest a differential decline in dimensions of brain structure throughout the course of schizophrenia.

An individual-level weighted artificial neural network method to improve the systematic bias in BrainAGE analysis

BrainAGE is a commonly used machine learning technique to measure the accelerated/delayed development pattern of human brain structure/function with neuropsychiatric disorders. However, recent studies have shown a systematic bias ("regression toward mean" effect) in the BrainAGE method, which indicates that the prediction error is not uniformly distributed across Chronological Ages: for the older individuals, the Brain Ages would be under-estimated but would be over-estimated for the younger individuals. In the present study, we propose an individual-level weighted artificial neural network method and apply it to simulation datasets (containing 5000 simulated subjects) and a real dataset (containing 135 subjects). Results show that compared with traditional machine learning methods, the individual-level weighted strategy can significantly reduce the "regression toward mean" effect, while the prediction performance can achieve the comparable level with traditional machine learning methods. Further analysis indicates that the sigmoid active function for artificial neural network shows better performance than the relu active function. The present study provides a novel strategy to reduce the "regression toward mean" effect of BrainAGE analysis, which is helpful to improve accuracy in exploring the atypical brain structure/function development pattern of neuropsychiatric disorders.

Advanced brain age correlates with greater rumination and less mindfulness in schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

Individual variation in brain aging trajectories is linked with several physical and mental health outcomes. Greater stress levels, worry, and rumination correspond with advanced brain age, while other individual characteristics, like mindfulness, may be protective of brain health. Multiple lines of evidence point to advanced brain aging in schizophrenia (i.e., neural age estimate > chronological age). Whether psychological dimensions such as mindfulness, rumination, and perceived stress contribute to brain aging in schizophrenia is unknown.

METHODS

We estimated brain age from high-resolution anatomical scans in 54 healthy controls (HC) and 52 individuals with schizophrenia (SZ) and computed the brain predicted age difference (BrainAGE-diff), i.e., the delta between estimated brain age and chronological age. Emotional well-being summary scores were empirically derived to reflect individual differences in trait mindfulness, rumination, and perceived stress. Core analyses evaluated relationships between BrainAGE-diff and emotional well-being, testing for slopes differences across groups.

RESULTS

HC showed higher emotional well-being (greater mindfulness and less rumination/stress), relative to SZ. We observed a significant group difference in the relationship between BrainAge-diff and emotional well-being, explained by BrainAGE-diff negatively correlating with emotional well-being scores in SZ, and not in HC. That is, SZ with younger appearing brains (predicted age < chronological age) had emotional summary scores that were more like HC, a relationship that endured after accounting for several demographic and clinical variables.

CONCLUSIONS

These data reveal clinically relevant aspects of brain age heterogeneity among SZ and point to case-control differences in the relationship between advanced brain aging and emotional well-being.

Introducing an adolescent cognitive maturity index

Children show substantial variation in the rate of physical, cognitive, and social maturation as they traverse adolescence and enter adulthood. Differences in developmental paths are thought to underlie individual differences in later life outcomes, however, there remains a lack of consensus on the normative trajectory of cognitive maturation in adolescence. To address this problem, we derive a Cognitive Maturity Index (CMI), to estimate the difference between chronological and cognitive age predicted with latent factor estimates of inhibitory control, risky decision-making and emotional processing measured with standard neuropsychological instruments. One hundred and forty-one children from the Adolescent Development Study (ADS) were followed longitudinally across three time points from ages 11-14, 13-16, and 14-18. Age prediction with latent factor estimates of cognitive skills approximated age within ±10 months (r = 0.71). Males in advanced puberty displayed lower cognitive maturity relative to peers of the same age; manifesting as weaker inhibitory control, greater risk-taking, desensitization to negative affect, and poor recognition of positive affect.

Multidimensional brain-age prediction reveals altered brain developmental trajectory in psychiatric disorders

Brain-age prediction has emerged as a novel approach for studying brain development. However, brain regions change in different ways and at different rates. Unitary brain-age indices represent developmental status averaged across the whole brain and therefore do not capture the divergent developmental trajectories of various brain structures. This staggered developmental unfolding, determined by genetics and postnatal experience, is implicated in the progression of psychiatric and neurological disorders. We propose a multidimensional brain-age index (MBAI) that provides regional age predictions. Using a database of 556 individuals, we identified clusters of imaging features with distinct developmental trajectories and built machine learning models to obtain brain-age predictions from each of the clusters. Our results show that the MBAI provides a flexible analysis of region-specific brain-age changes that are invisible to unidimensional brain-age. Importantly, brain-ages computed from region-specific feature clusters contain complementary information and demonstrate differential ability to distinguish disorder groups (e.g., depression and oppositional defiant disorder) from healthy controls. In summary, we show that MBAI is sensitive to alterations in brain structures and captures distinct regional change patterns that may serve as biomarkers that contribute to our understanding of healthy and pathological brain development and the characterization and diagnosis of psychiatric disorders.

Investigating the temporal pattern of neuroimaging-based brain age estimation as a biomarker for Alzheimer's Disease related neurodegeneration

Neuroimaging-based brain-age estimation via machine learning has emerged as an important new approach for studying brain aging. The difference between one's estimated brain age and chronological age, the brain age gap (BAG), has been proposed as an Alzheimer's Disease (AD) biomarker. However, most past studies on the BAG have been cross-sectional. Quantifying longitudinal changes in an individual's BAG temporal pattern would likely improve prediction of AD progression and clinical outcome based on neurophysiological changes. To fill this gap, our study conducted predictive modeling using a large neuroimaging dataset with up to 8 years of follow-up to examine the temporal patterns of the BAG's trajectory and how it varies by subject-level characteristics (sex, APOEɛ4 carriership) and disease status. Specifically, we explored the pattern and rate of change in BAG over time in individuals who remain stable with normal cognition or mild cognitive impairment (MCI), as well as individuals who progress to clinical AD. Combining multimodal imaging data in a support vector regression model to estimate brain age yielded improved performance over single modality. Multilevel modeling results showed the BAG followed a linear increasing trajectory with a significantly faster rate in individuals with MCI who progressed to AD compared to cognitively normal or MCI individuals who did not progress. The dynamic changes in the BAG during AD progression were further moderated by sex and APOEɛ4 carriership. Our findings demonstrate the BAG as a potential biomarker for understanding individual specific temporal patterns related to AD progression.

Assessing brain and biological aging trajectories associated with Alzheimer's disease

The development of effective treatments to prevent and slow Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathogenesis is needed in order to tackle the steady increase in the global prevalence of AD. This challenge is complicated by the need to identify key health shifts that precede the onset of AD and cognitive decline as these represent windows of opportunity for intervening and preventing disease. Such shifts may be captured through the measurement of biomarkers that reflect the health of the individual, in particular those that reflect brain age and biological age. Brain age biomarkers provide a composite view of the health of the brain based on neuroanatomical analyses, while biological age biomarkers, which encompass the epigenetic clock, provide a measurement of the overall health state of an individual based on DNA methylation analysis. Acceleration of brain and biological ages is associated with changes in cognitive function, as well as neuropathological markers of AD. In this mini-review, we discuss brain age and biological age research in the context of cognitive decline and AD. While more research is needed, studies show that brain and biological aging trajectories are variable across individuals and that such trajectories are non-linear at older ages. Longitudinal monitoring of these biomarkers may be valuable for enabling earlier identification of divergent pathological trajectories toward AD and providing insight into points for intervention.

Accelerated functional brain aging in major depressive disorder: evidence from a large scale fMRI analysis of Chinese participants

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is one of the most common mental health conditions that has been intensively investigated for its association with brain atrophy and mortality. Recent studies suggest that the deviation between the predicted and the chronological age can be a marker of accelerated brain aging to characterize MDD. However, current conclusions are usually drawn based on structural MRI information collected from Caucasian participants. The universality of this biomarker needs to be further validated by subjects with different ethnic/racial backgrounds and by different types of data. Here we make use of the REST-meta-MDD, a large scale resting-state fMRI dataset collected from multiple cohort participants in China. We develop a stacking machine learning model based on 1101 healthy controls, which estimates a subject's chronological age from fMRI with promising accuracy. The trained model is then applied to 1276 MDD patients from 24 sites. We observe that MDD patients exhibit a +4.43 years (p < 0.0001, Cohen's d = 0.31, 95% CI: 2.23-3.88) higher brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD) compared to controls. In the MDD subgroup, we observe a statistically significant +2.09 years (p < 0.05, Cohen's d = 0.134525) brain-PAD in antidepressant users compared to medication-free patients. The statistical relationship observed is further checked by three different machine learning algorithms. The positive brain-PAD observed in participants in China confirms the presence of accelerated brain aging in MDD patients. The utilization of functional brain connectivity for age estimation verifies existing findings from a new dimension.

Differential expression of a brain aging biomarker across discrete chronic pain disorders

ABSTRACT

Chronic pain has widespread, detrimental effects on the human nervous system and its prevalence and burden increase with age. Machine learning techniques have been applied on brain images to produce statistical models of brain aging. Specifically, the Gaussian process regression is particularly effective at predicting chronological age from neuroimaging data which permits the calculation of a brain age gap estimate (brain-AGE). Pathological biological processes such as chronic pain can influence brain-AGE. Because chronic pain disorders can differ in etiology, severity, pain frequency, and sex-linked prevalence, we hypothesize that the expression of brain-AGE may be pain specific and differ between discrete chronic pain disorders. We built a machine learning model using T1-weighted anatomical MRI from 812 healthy controls to extract brain-AGE for 45 trigeminal neuralgia (TN), 52 osteoarthritis (OA), and 50 chronic low back pain (BP) subjects. False discovery rate corrected Welch t tests were conducted to detect significant differences in brain-AGE between each discrete pain cohort and age-matched and sex-matched controls. Trigeminal neuralgia and OA, but not BP subjects, have significantly larger brain-AGE. Across all 3 pain groups, we observed female-driven elevation in brain-AGE. Furthermore, in TN, a significantly larger brain-AGE is associated with response to Gamma Knife radiosurgery for TN pain and is inversely correlated with the age at diagnosis. As brain-AGE expression differs across distinct pain disorders with a pronounced sex effect for female subjects. Younger women with TN may therefore represent a vulnerable subpopulation requiring expedited chronic pain intervention. To this end, brain-AGE holds promise as an effective biomarker of pain treatment response.

Prediction of Chronological Age in Healthy Elderly Subjects with Machine Learning from MRI Brain Segmentation and Cortical Parcellation

Normal aging is associated with changes in volumetric indices of brain atrophy. A quantitative understanding of age-related brain changes can shed light on successful aging. To investigate the effect of age on global and regional brain volumes and cortical thickness, 3514 magnetic resonance imaging scans were analyzed using automated brain segmentation and parcellation methods in elderly healthy individuals (69–88 years of age). The machine learning algorithm extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) achieved a mean absolute error of 2 years in predicting the age of new subjects. Feature importance analysis showed that the brain-to-intracranial-volume ratio is the most important feature in predicting age, followed by the hippocampi volumes. The cortical thickness in temporal and parietal lobes showed a superior predictive value than frontal and occipital lobes. Insights from this approach that integrate model prediction and interpretation may help to shorten the current explanatory gap between chronological age and biological brain age.

Brain age estimation using multi-feature-based networks

Studying brain aging improves our understanding in differentiating typical and atypical aging. Directly utilizing traditional morphological features for brain age estimation did not show significant performance in healthy controls (HCs), which may be due to the negligence of the information of structural similarities among cortical regions. For this issue, the multi-feature-based network (MFN) built upon morphological features can be employed to describe these similarities. Based on this, we hypothesized that the MFN is more efficient and robust than traditional morphological features in brain age estimating. In this work, we used six different types of morphological features (i.e., cortical volume, cortical thickness, curvature index, folding index, local gyrification index, and surface area) to build individual MFN for brain age estimation. The efficacy of MFN was estimated on 2501 HCs with T1-weighted structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) data and compared with traditional morphological features. We attained a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.73 years using the proposed method on an independent test set, whereas a mean absolute error of 5.30 years was derived from morphological features. Our experimental results demonstrated that the MFN is an efficient and robust metric for estimating brain age.

Brain-age estimation accuracy is significantly increased using multishell free-water reconstruction

Although free-water diffusion reconstruction for diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data can be applied to both single-shell and multishell data, recent finding in synthetic data suggests that the free-water indices from single-shell acquisition should be interpreted with care, as they are heavily influenced by initialization parameters and cannot discriminate between free-water and mean diffusivity modifications. However, whether using a longer multishell acquisition protocol significantly improve reconstruction for real human MRI data is still an open question. In this study, we compare canonical diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), single-shell and multishell free-water imaging (FW) indices derived from a short, clinical compatible diffusion protocol (b = 500 s/mm² , b = 1,000 s/mm² , 32 directions each) on their power to predict brain age. Age was chosen as it is well-known to be related to widespread modification of the white matter and because brain-age estimation has recently been found to be relevant to several neurodegenerative diseases. We used a previously developed and validated data-driven whole-brain machine learning pipeline to directly compare the precision of brain-age estimates in a sample of 89 healthy males between 20 and 85 years old. We found that multishell FW outperform DTI indices in estimating brain age and that multishell FW, even when using low (500 ms² ) b-values secondary shell, outperform single-shell FW. Single-shell FW led to lower brain-age estimation accuracy even of canonical DTI indices, suggesting that single-shell FW indices should be used with caution. For all considered reconstruction algorithms, the most discriminant indices were those measuring free diffusion of water in the white matter.

Cardiometabolic risk factors associated with brain age and accelerate brain ageing

The structure and integrity of the ageing brain is interchangeably linked to physical health, and cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRs) are associated with dementia and other brain disorders. In this mixed cross-sectional and longitudinal study (interval mean = 19.7 months), including 790 healthy individuals (mean age = 46.7 years, 53% women), we investigated CMRs and health indicators including anthropometric measures, lifestyle factors, and blood biomarkers in relation to brain structure using MRI-based morphometry and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). We performed tissue specific brain age prediction using machine learning and performed Bayesian multilevel modeling to assess changes in each CMR over time, their respective association with brain age gap (BAG), and their interaction effects with time and age on the tissue-specific BAGs. The results showed credible associations between DTI-based BAG and blood levels of phosphate and mean cell volume (MCV), and between T1-based BAG and systolic blood pressure, smoking, pulse, and C-reactive protein (CRP), indicating older-appearing brains in people with higher cardiometabolic risk (smoking, higher blood pressure and pulse, low-grade inflammation). Longitudinal evidence supported interactions between both BAGs and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and between DTI-based BAG and systolic blood pressure and smoking, indicating accelerated ageing in people with higher cardiometabolic risk (smoking, higher blood pressure, and WHR). The results demonstrate that cardiometabolic risk factors are associated with brain ageing. While randomized controlled trials are needed to establish causality, our results indicate that public health initiatives and treatment strategies targeting modifiable cardiometabolic risk factors may also improve risk trajectories and delay brain ageing.

Optimal Method for Fetal Brain Age Prediction Using Multiplanar Slices From Structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging

The accurate prediction of fetal brain age using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may contribute to the identification of brain abnormalities and the risk of adverse developmental outcomes. This study aimed to propose a method for predicting fetal brain age using MRIs from 220 healthy fetuses between 15.9 and 38.7 weeks of gestational age (GA). We built a 2D single-channel convolutional neural network (CNN) with multiplanar MRI slices in different orthogonal planes without correction for interslice motion. In each fetus, multiple age predictions from different slices were generated, and the brain age was obtained using the mode that determined the most frequent value among the multiple predictions from the 2D single-channel CNN. We obtained a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.125 weeks (0.875 days) between the GA and brain age across the fetuses. The use of multiplanar slices achieved significantly lower prediction error and its variance than the use of a single slice and a single MRI stack. Our 2D single-channel CNN with multiplanar slices yielded a significantly lower stack-wise MAE (0.304 weeks) than the 2D multi-channel (MAE = 0.979, p < 0.001) and 3D (MAE = 1.114, p < 0.001) CNNs. The saliency maps from our method indicated that the anatomical information describing the cortex and ventricles was the primary contributor to brain age prediction. With the application of the proposed method to external MRIs from 21 healthy fetuses, we obtained an MAE of 0.508 weeks. Based on the external MRIs, we found that the stack-wise MAE of the 2D single-channel CNN (0.743 weeks) was significantly lower than those of the 2D multi-channel (1.466 weeks, p < 0.001) and 3D (1.241 weeks, p < 0.001) CNNs. These results demonstrate that our method with multiplanar slices accurately predicts fetal brain age without the need for increased dimensionality or complex MRI preprocessing steps.

Accelerated functional brain aging in pre-clinical familial Alzheimer's disease

Resting state functional connectivity (rs-fMRI) is impaired early in persons who subsequently develop Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia. This impairment may be leveraged to aid investigation of the pre-clinical phase of AD. We developed a model that predicts brain age from resting state (rs)-fMRI data, and assessed whether genetic determinants of AD, as well as beta-amyloid (Aβ) pathology, can accelerate brain aging. Using data from 1340 cognitively unimpaired participants between 18-94 years of age from multiple sites, we showed that topological properties of graphs constructed from rs-fMRI can predict chronological age across the lifespan. Application of our predictive model to the context of pre-clinical AD revealed that the pre-symptomatic phase of autosomal dominant AD includes acceleration of functional brain aging. This association was stronger in individuals having significant Aβ pathology.

An epigenetic predictor of death captures multi-modal measures of brain health

Individuals of the same chronological age exhibit disparate rates of biological ageing. Consequently, a number of methodologies have been proposed to determine biological age and primarily exploit variation at the level of DNA methylation (DNAm). A novel epigenetic clock, termed 'DNAm GrimAge' has outperformed its predecessors in predicting the risk of mortality as well as many age-related morbidities. However, the association between DNAm GrimAge and cognitive or neuroimaging phenotypes remains unknown. We explore these associations in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 (n = 709, mean age 73 years). Higher DNAm GrimAge was strongly associated with all-cause mortality over the eighth decade (Hazard Ratio per standard deviation increase in GrimAge: 1.81, P < 2.0 × 10-16). Higher DNAm GrimAge was associated with lower age 11 IQ (β = -0.11), lower age 73 general cognitive ability (β = -0.18), decreased brain volume (β = -0.25) and increased brain white matter hyperintensities (β = 0.17). There was tentative evidence for a longitudinal association between DNAm GrimAge and cognitive decline from age 70 to 79. Sixty-nine of 137 health- and brain-related phenotypes tested were significantly associated with GrimAge. Adjusting all models for childhood intelligence attenuated to non-significance a small number of associations (12/69 associations; 6 of which were cognitive traits), but not the association with general cognitive ability (33.9% attenuation). Higher DNAm GrimAge associates with lower cognitive ability and brain vascular lesions in older age, independently of early-life cognitive ability. This epigenetic predictor of mortality associates with different measures of brain health and may aid in the prediction of age-related cognitive decline.

Multi-channel attention-fusion neural network for brain age estimation: Accuracy, generality, and interpretation with 16,705 healthy MRIs across lifespan

Brain age estimated by machine learning from T1-weighted magnetic resonance images (T1w MRIs) can reveal how brain disorders alter brain aging and can help in the early detection of such disorders. A fundamental step is to build an accurate age estimator from healthy brain MRIs. We focus on this step, and propose a framework to improve the accuracy, generality, and interpretation of age estimation in healthy brain MRIs. For accuracy, we used one of the largest sample sizes (N = 16,705). For each subject, our proposed algorithm first explicitly splits the T1w image, which has been commonly treated as a single-channel 3D image in other studies, into two 3D image channels representing contrast and morphometry information. We further proposed a "fusion-with-attention" deep learning convolutional neural network (FiA-Net) to learn how to best fuse the contrast and morphometry image channels. FiA-Net recognizes varying contributions across image channels at different brain anatomy and different feature layers. In contrast, multi-channel fusion does not exist for brain age estimation, and is mostly attention-free in other medical image analysis tasks (e.g., image synthesis, or segmentation), where treating channels equally may not be optimal. For generality, we used lifespan data 0-97 years of age for real-world utility; and we thoroughly tested FiA-Net for multi-site and multi-scanner generality by two phases of cross-validations in discovery and replication data, compared to most other studies with only one phase of cross-validation. For interpretation, we directly measured each artificial neuron's correlation with the chronological age, compared to other studies looking at the saliency of features where salient features may or may not predict age. Overall, FiA-Net achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.00 years and Pearson correlation r=0.9840 with known chronological ages in healthy brain MRIs 0-97 years of age, comparing favorably with state-of-the-art algorithms and studies for accuracy and generality across sites and datasets. We also provided interpretations on how different artificial neurons and real neuroanatomy contribute to the age estimation.

Pitfalls in brain age analyses

Over the past decade, there has been an abundance of research on the difference between age and age predicted using brain features, which is commonly referred to as the “brain age gap.” Researchers have identified that the brain age gap, as a linear transformation of an out‐of‐sample residual, is dependent on age. As such, any group differences on the brain age gap could simply be due to group differences on age. To mitigate the brain age gap's dependence on age, it has been proposed that age be regressed out of the brain age gap. If this modified brain age gap is treated as a corrected deviation from age, model accuracy statistics such as R² will be artificially inflated to the extent that it is highly improbable that an R² value below .85 will be obtained no matter the true model accuracy. Given the limitations of proposed brain age analyses, further theoretical work is warranted to determine the best way to quantify deviation from normality.

Prediction of brain age from routine T2-weighted spin-echo brain magnetic resonance images with a deep convolutional neural network

Our study investigated the feasibility and clinical relevance of brain age prediction using axial T2-weighted images (T2-WIs) with a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm. The CNN model was trained by 1,530 scans in our institution. The performance was evaluated by the mean absolute error (MAE) between the predicted brain age and the chronological age based on an internal test set (n=270) and an external test set (n=560). The ensemble CNN model showed an MAE of 4.22 years in the internal test set and 9.96 years in the external test set. Participants with grade 2-3 white matter hyperintensity (WMH) showed a higher corrected predicted age difference (PAD) than grade 0 WMH (posthoc p<0.001). Participants diagnosed with diabetes mellitus also had a higher corrected PAD than those without diabetes (adjusted p=0.048), although it showed no significant differences according to the diagnosis of hypertension or dyslipidemia. We suggest that routine clinical T2-WIs are feasible to predict brain age, and it might be clinically relevant according to the WMH grade and the presence of diabetes mellitus.

Individual variation underlying brain age estimates in typical development

Typical brain development follows a protracted trajectory throughout childhood and adolescence. Deviations from typical growth trajectories have been implicated in neurodevelopmental and psychiatric disorders. Recently, the use of machine learning algorithms to model age as a function of structural or functional brain properties has been used to examine advanced or delayed brain maturation in healthy and clinical populations. Termed 'brain age', this approach often relies on complex, nonlinear models that can be difficult to interpret. In this study, we use model explanation methods to examine the cortical features that contribute to brain age modelling on an individual basis. In a large cohort of n = 768 typically-developing children (aged 3-21 years), we build models of brain development using three different machine learning approaches. We employ SHAP, a model-agnostic technique to identify sample-specific feature importance, to identify regional cortical metrics that explain errors in brain age prediction. We find that, on average, brain age prediction and the cortical features that explain model predictions are consistent across model types and reflect previously reported patterns of regions brain development. However, while several regions are found to contribute to brain age prediction error, we find little spatial correspondence between individual estimates of feature importance, even when matched for age, sex and brain age prediction error. We also find no association between brain age error and cognitive performance in this typically-developing sample. Overall, this study shows that, while brain age estimates based on cortical development are relatively robust and consistent across model types and preprocessing strategies, significant between-subject variation exists in the features that explain erroneous brain age predictions on an individual level.

Accelerated brain aging predicts impulsivity and symptom severity in depression

Multiple structural and functional neuroimaging measures vary over the course of the lifespan and can be used to predict chronological age. Accelerated brain aging, as quantified by deviations in the MRI-based predicted age with respect to chronological age, is associated with risk for neurodegenerative conditions, bipolar disorder, and mortality. Whether age-related changes in resting-state functional connectivity are accelerated in major depressive disorder (MDD) is unknown, and, if so, it is unclear if these changes contribute to specific cognitive weaknesses that often occur in MDD. Here, we delineated age-related functional connectivity changes in a large sample of normal control subjects and tested whether brain aging is accelerated in MDD. Furthermore, we tested whether accelerated brain aging predicts individual differences in cognitive function. We trained a support vector regression model predicting age using resting-state functional connectivity in 710 healthy adults aged 18-89. We applied this model trained on normal aging subjects to a sample of actively depressed MDD participants (n = 109). The difference between predicted brain age and chronological age was 2.11 years greater (p = 0.015) in MDD patients compared to control participants. An older MDD brain age was significantly associated with increased impulsivity and, in males, increased depressive severity. Unexpectedly, accelerated brain aging was also associated with increased placebo response in a sham-controlled trial of high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation targeting the dorsomedial prefrontal cortex. Our results indicate that MDD is associated with accelerated brain aging, and that accelerated aging is selectively associated with greater impulsivity and depression severity.

Brain age prediction: A comparison between machine learning models using region- and voxel-based morphometric data

Brain morphology varies across the ageing trajectory and the prediction of a person's age using brain features can aid the detection of abnormalities in the ageing process. Existing studies on such “brain age prediction” vary widely in terms of their methods and type of data, so at present the most accurate and generalisable methodological approach is unclear. Therefore, we used the UK Biobank data set (N = 10,824, age range 47–73) to compare the performance of the machine learning models support vector regression, relevance vector regression and Gaussian process regression on whole‐brain region‐based or voxel‐based structural magnetic resonance imaging data with or without dimensionality reduction through principal component analysis. Performance was assessed in the validation set through cross‐validation as well as an independent test set. The models achieved mean absolute errors between 3.7 and 4.7 years, with those trained on voxel‐level data with principal component analysis performing best. Overall, we observed little difference in performance between models trained on the same data type, indicating that the type of input data had greater impact on performance than model choice. All code is provided online in the hope that this will aid future research.

Multimodal Image Analysis of Apparent Brain Age Identifies Physical Fitness as Predictor of Brain Maintenance

Maintaining a youthful brain structure and function throughout life may be the single most important determinant of successful cognitive aging. In this study, we addressed heterogeneity in brain aging by making image-based brain age predictions and relating the brain age prediction gap (BAPG) to cognitive change in aging. Structural, functional, and diffusion MRI scans from 351 participants were used to train and evaluate 5 single-modal and 4 multimodal prediction models, based on 7 regression methods. The models were compared on mean absolute error and whether they were related to physical fitness and cognitive ability, measured both currently and longitudinally, as well as study attrition and years of education. Multimodal prediction models performed at a similar level as single-modal models, and the choice of regression method did not significantly affect the results. Correlation with the BAPG was found for current physical fitness, current cognitive ability, and study attrition. Correlations were also found for retrospective physical fitness, measured 10 years prior to imaging, and slope for cognitive ability during a period of 15 years. The results suggest that maintaining a high physical fitness throughout life contributes to brain maintenance and preserved cognitive ability.

Predicting Brain Age at Slice Level: Convolutional Neural Networks and Consequences for Interpretability

Problem: Chronological aging in later life is associated with brain degeneration processes and increased risk for disease such as stroke and dementia. With a worldwide tendency of aging populations and increased longevity, mental health, and psychiatric research have paid increasing attention to understanding brain-related changes of aging. Recent findings suggest there is a brain age gap (a difference between chronological age and brain age predicted by brain imaging indices); the magnitude of the gap may indicate early onset of brain aging processes and disease. Artificial intelligence has allowed for a narrowing of the gap in chronological and predicted brain age. However, the factors that drive model predictions of brain age are still unknown, and there is not much about these factors that can be gleaned from the black-box nature of machine learning models. The goal of the present study was to test a brain age regression approach that is more amenable to interpretation by researchers and clinicians. Methods: Using convolutional neural networks we trained multiple regressor models to predict brain age based on single slices of magnetic resonance imaging, which included gray matter- or white matter-segmented inputs. We evaluated the trained models in all brain image slices to generate a final prediction of brain age. Unlike whole-brain approaches to classification, the slice-level predictions allows for the identification of which brain slices and associated regions have the largest difference between chronological and neuroimaging-derived brain age. We also evaluated how model predictions were influenced by slice index and plane, participant age and sex, and MRI data collection site. Results: The results show, first, that the specific slice used for prediction affects prediction error (i.e., difference between chronological age and neuroimaging-derived brain age); second, the MRI site-stratified separation of training and test sets removed site effects and also minimized sex effects; third, the choice of MRI slice plane influences the overall error of the model. Conclusion: Compared to whole brain-based predictive models of neuroimaging-derived brain age, slice-based approach improves the interpretability and therefore the reliability of the prediction of brain age using MRI data.

Estimating brain age from structural MRI and MEG data: Insights from dimensionality reduction techniques

Brain age prediction studies aim at reliably estimating the difference between the chronological age of an individual and their predicted age based on neuroimaging data, which has been proposed as an informative measure of disease and cognitive decline. As most previous studies relied exclusively on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data, we hereby investigate whether combining structural MRI with functional magnetoencephalography (MEG) information improves age prediction using a large cohort of healthy subjects (N = 613, age 18-88 years) from the Cam-CAN repository. To this end, we examined the performance of dimensionality reduction and multivariate associative techniques, namely Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA), to tackle the high dimensionality of neuroimaging data. Using MEG features (mean absolute error (MAE) of 9.60 years) yielded worse performance when compared to using MRI features (MAE of 5.33 years), but a stacking model combining both feature sets improved age prediction performance (MAE of 4.88 years). Furthermore, we found that PCA resulted in inferior performance, whereas CCA in conjunction with Gaussian process regression models yielded the best prediction performance. Notably, CCA allowed us to visualize the features that significantly contributed to brain age prediction. We found that MRI features from subcortical structures were more reliable age predictors than cortical features, and that spectral MEG measures were more reliable than connectivity metrics. Our results provide an insight into the underlying processes that are reflective of brain aging, yielding promise for the identification of reliable biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases that emerge later during the lifespan.

Using Fractal Dimension Analysis with the Desikan-Killiany Atlas to Assess the Effects of Normal Aging on Subregional Cortex Alterations in Adulthood

Normal aging is associated with functional and structural alterations in the human brain. The effects of normal aging and gender on morphological changes in specific regions of the brain are unknown. The fractal dimension (FD) can be a quantitative measure of cerebral folding. In this study, we used 3D-FD analysis with the Desikan–Killiany (DK) atlas to assess subregional morphological changes in adulthood. A total of 258 participants (112 women and 146 men) aged 30–85 years participated in this study. Participants in the middle-age group exhibited a decreased FD in the lateral frontal lobes, which then spread to the temporal and parietal lobes. Men exhibited an earlier and more significant decrease in FD values, mainly in the right frontal and left parietal lobes. Men exhibited more of a decrease in FD values in the subregions on the left than those in the right, whereas women exhibited more of a decrease in the lateral subregions. Older men were at a higher risk of developing mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and exhibited age-related memory decline earlier than women. Our FD analysis using the DK atlas-based prediagnosis may provide a suitable tool for assessing normal aging and neurodegeneration between groups or in individual patients.

Correlation Constraints for Regression Models: Controlling Bias in Brain Age Prediction

In neuroimaging, the difference between chronological age and predicted brain age, also known as brain age delta, has been proposed as a pathology marker linked to a range of phenotypes. Brain age delta is estimated using regression, which involves a frequently observed bias due to a negative correlation between chronological age and brain age delta. In brain age prediction models, this correlation can manifest as an overprediction of the age of young brains and an underprediction for elderly ones. We show that this bias can be controlled for by adding correlation constraints to the model training procedure. We develop an analytical solution to this constrained optimization problem for Linear, Ridge, and Kernel Ridge regression. The solution is optimal in the least-squares sense i.e., there is no other model that satisfies the correlation constraints and has a better fit. Analyses on the PAC2019 competition data demonstrate that this approach produces optimal unbiased predictive models with a number of advantages over existing approaches. Finally, we introduce regression toolboxes for Python and MATLAB that implement our algorithm.

Education and age-related differences in cortical thickness and volume across the lifespan

This study investigated whether relationships between age and measures of gray matter in the brain differed across the lifespan and by years of education. The hypothesis is that year to year differences in brain measures vary across the lifespan and are affected by the years of education someone has. Cortical thickness and subcortical volume were measured from 391 healthy adults (age range: 19-80 years). Brain measures were predicted using a quadratic age effect and moderating effects of education using linear regression. Results demonstrate that 12 brain regions had significant moderating effects of age and education on brain measures. These are brain regions where the effect of age on gray matter varied across the lifespan and across levels of education. The results highlighted that when the moderating effects of education are absent from the model, age and brain measures were linearly related. The moderating effects reveal complex age-brain dynamics and support theories of brain maintenance, suggesting that lifestyle factors limit the negative effects of advancing age. Greater education was related to maintained gray matter until later ages. This protection came at a cost, which indicated that year to year decline in gray matter was larger in late life in those with greater levels of education. Improving our understanding of how age and individual differences affect gray matter measures is an important step toward improving the clinical utility of cortical thickness and volume. This article is part of the Virtual Special Issue titled "COGNITIVE NEUROSCIENCE OF HEALTHY AND PATHOLOGICAL AGING". The full issue can be found on ScienceDirect at https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/neurobiology-of-aging/special-issue/105379XPWJP.

Predicting brain age with complex networks: From adolescence to adulthood

In recent years, several studies have demonstrated that machine learning and deep learning systems can be very useful to accurately predict brain age. In this work, we propose a novel approach based on complex networks using 1016 T1-weighted MRI brain scans (in the age range 7-64years). We introduce a structural connectivity model of the human brain: MRI scans are divided in rectangular boxes and Pearson's correlation is measured among them in order to obtain a complex network model. Brain connectivity is then characterized through few and easy-to-interpret centrality measures; finally, brain age is predicted by feeding a compact deep neural network. The proposed approach is accurate, robust and computationally efficient, despite the large and heterogeneous dataset used. Age prediction accuracy, in terms of correlation between predicted and actual age r=0.89and Mean Absolute Error MAE =2.19years, compares favorably with results from state-of-the-art approaches. On an independent test set including 262 subjects, whose scans were acquired with different scanners and protocols we found MAE =2.52. The only imaging analysis steps required in the proposed framework are brain extraction and linear registration, hence robust results are obtained with a low computational cost. In addition, the network model provides a novel insight on aging patterns within the brain and specific information about anatomical districts displaying relevant changes with aging.