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Chen Y, Chen L, Xian L, Liu H, Wang J, Xia S, Wei L, Xia X, Wang S. Development and Validation of a Novel Classification System and Prognostic Model for Open Traumatic Brain Injury: A Multicenter Retrospective Study. Neurol Ther 2025; 14:157-175. [PMID: 39495370 PMCID: PMC11762055 DOI: 10.1007/s40120-024-00678-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2024] [Accepted: 10/21/2024] [Indexed: 11/05/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Open traumatic brain injury (OTBI) is associated with high mortality and morbidity; however, the classification of these injuries and the determination of patient prognosis remain uncertain, hindering the selection of optimal treatment strategies. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel OTBI classification system and a prognostic model for poor prognosis. METHODS This retrospective study included patients with isolated OTBI who received treatment at three large medical centers in China between January 2020 and June 2022 as the training set. Data on patients with OTBI collected at the Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University between July 2022 and June 2023 were used as the validation set. Clinical parameters, including clinical data at admission, radiological and laboratory findings, details of surgical methods, and prognosis were collected. Prognosis was assessed through a dichotomized Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). A novel OTBI classification was proposed, categorizing patients based on a combination of intracranial hematoma and midline shift observed on imaging, and logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with poor prognosis and to investigate the association between the novel OTBI classification and prognosis. Finally, a nomogram suitable for clinical application was established and validated. RESULTS Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified OTBI classification type C (p < 0.001), a Glasgow Coma Scale score (GCS) ≤ 8 (p < 0.001), subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) (p = 0.004), subdural hematoma (SDH) (p = 0.011), and coagulopathy (p = 0.020) as independent risk factors for poor prognosis. The addition of the OTBI classification to a model containing all the other identified prognostic factors improved the predictive ability of the model (Z = 1.983; p = 0.047). In the validation set, the model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.917 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.864-0.970]. The calibration curve closely approximated the ideal curve, indicating strong predictive performance of the model. CONCLUSIONS The implementation of our proposed OTBI classification system and its use alongside the other prognostic factors identified here may improve the prediction of patient prognosis and aid in the selection of the most suitable treatment strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuhui Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Li Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Liang Xian
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Haibing Liu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Jiaxing Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The People's Hospital of China Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei, China
| | - Shaohuai Xia
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, Guangxi, China
| | - Liangfeng Wei
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Xuewei Xia
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, Guangxi, China.
| | - Shousen Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
- Fujian Provincial Clinical Medical Research Center for Minimally Invasive Diagnosis and Treatment of Neurovascular Diseases, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
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Chen Y, Liu X, Yan M, Wan Y. Death risk prediction model for patients with non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2025; 25:35. [PMID: 39844133 PMCID: PMC11755980 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-025-02865-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2024] [Accepted: 01/13/2025] [Indexed: 01/24/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to assess the risk of death from non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) using a machine learning model. METHODS 1274 ICH patients who met the specified inclusion and exclusion criteria were analyzed retrospectively in the MIMIC IV 3.0 database. Patients were randomly divided into training, validation, and testing datasets in a ratio of 6:2:2 based on the outcome distribution. Data from the Second Hospital of Lanzhou University were used as an external validation set. This study used LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis to screen for features. We then employed XGBoost to construct a machine-learning model. The model's performance was evaluated using ROC curve analysis, calibration curve analysis, clinical decision curve analysis, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1 score. Conclusively, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was employed to interpret the model's predictions. RESULTS Deaths occurred in 572 out of the 1274 ICH cases included in the study, resulting in an incidence rate of 44.9%. The XGBoost model achieved a high AUC when predicting deaths in ICH patients (train: 0.814, 95%CI: 0.784 - 0.844; validation: 0.715, 95%CI: 0.653 - 0.777; test: 0.797, 95%CI: 0.743 - 0.851). The importance of SHAP variables in the model ranked from high to low was: 'GCS motor', 'Age', 'GCS eyes', 'Low density lipoprotein (LDL)', ' Albumin', ' Atrial fibrillation', and 'Gender'. The XGBoost model demonstrated good predictive performance in both the validation and external validation datasets. CONCLUSIONS The XGBoost machine learning model we built has demonstrated strong performance in predicting the risk of death from ICH. Furthermore, the SHAP provides the possibility of interpreting machine learning results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yidan Chen
- Jianghan University School of Medicine, Wuhan, China
| | - Xuhui Liu
- Department of Neurology, The Second Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Mingmin Yan
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, Jianghan University, Hubei No. 3 People's Hospital, Wuhan, 430033, China.
| | - Yue Wan
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, Jianghan University, Hubei No. 3 People's Hospital, Wuhan, 430033, China.
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Chen L, Wang Y. Survival analysis of famotidine administration routes in non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage patients: based on the MIMIC-IV database. Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res 2025; 25:113-121. [PMID: 39155563 DOI: 10.1080/14737167.2024.2394113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2024] [Revised: 08/13/2024] [Accepted: 08/14/2024] [Indexed: 08/20/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study compared the survival outcomes of non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients with different famotidine administration routes and explored related risk factors. METHODS Data from ICH patients between 2008-2019 were extracted from the MIMIC-IV database. Survival differences between patients with intravenous (IV) and non-intravenous (Non-IV) famotidine administration were analyzed using Cox analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS The study included 351 patients, with 109 in the IV group and 84 in the Non-IV group after PSM. Cox analysis revealed that survival was significantly associated with age (HR = 1.031, 95%CI:1.011-1.050, p = 0.002), chloride ions (HR = 1.061, 95%CI:1.027-1.096, p < 0.001), BUN (HR = 1.034, 95%CI:1.007-1.062, p = 0.012), ICP (HR = 1.059, 95%CI:1.027-1.092, p < 0.001), RDW (HR = 1.156, 95%CI:1.030-1.299, p = 0.014), mechanical ventilation (HR = 2.526, 95%CI:1.341-4.760, p = 0.004), antibiotic use (HR = 0.331, 95%CI:0.144-0.759, p = 0.009), and Non-IV route (HR = 0.518, 95%CI:0.283-0.948, p = 0.033). Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significantly higher 30-day survival rate in the Non-IV group (p = 0.011), particularly in patients with normal ICP (HR = 0.518, 95%CI:0.283-0.948, p = 0.033). CONCLUSION Non-IV famotidine administration significantly improves 30-day survival of ICH patients, especially for those with normal ICP, compared to IV administration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ling Chen
- Department of Gynaecology, People's Hospital Affiliated to Cangzhou Medical College, Cangzhou, China
| | - Yan Wang
- Department of Basic Medicine, Cangzhou Medical College, Cangzhou, China
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Backen T, Salottolo K, Acuna D, Palacio CH, Berg G, Tsoris A, Madayag R, Banton K, Bar-Or D. Multicenter Study Examining Temporal Trends in Traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage Over Six Years Using Joinpoint Regression. Neurotrauma Rep 2024; 5:999-1008. [PMID: 39440147 PMCID: PMC11491587 DOI: 10.1089/neur.2024.0097] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2024] Open
Abstract
The aging US population has altered the epidemiology of traumatic injury, but there are few studies examining changing patterns of traumatic intracranial hemorrhage (tICH). We examined temporal changes in incidence, demographics, severity, management, and outcomes of tICH among trauma admissions at six US Level I trauma centers over 6 years (July 1, 2016-June 30, 2022). Patients with tICH (subdural, epidural, subarachnoid, and intracerebral hemorrhage) were identified by 10th revision of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases diagnosis codes. Temporal trends were examined over 12 six-month intervals using joinpoint regression and reported as biannual percent change (BPC); models without joinpoints are described as linear trends over time. There were 67,514 trauma admissions over 6 years and 11,935 (17.7%) patients had a tICH. The proportion of tICH injuries significantly increased 2.6% biannually from July 2016 to July 2019 (BPC = 2.6, p = 0.04), then leveled off through June 2022 (BPC = -0.9, p = 0.19). Similarly, the proportion of geriatric patients (≥65 years old) increased 2.4% biannually from July 2016 to July 2019 (BPC = 2.4, p = 0.001) as did injuries due to falls (BPC = 2.2, p = 0.01). Three of the four most prevalent comorbidities significantly increased: hypertension linearly increased 2.1% biannually, functional dependence increased 25.5% biannually through June 2019, and chronic anticoagulant use increased 19.0% biannually through June 2019 and then 3.1% thereafter. There were no trends in the rates of neurosurgical intervention (BPC = -0.89, p = 0.40), ED Glasgow coma score 3-8 (BPC = -0.4, p = 0.77), or presence of severe extracranial injuries (BPC = -0.7, p = 0.45). In-hospital mortality linearly declined 2.6% biannually (BPC = 2.6, p = 0.05); however, there was a 10.3% biannual linear increase in discharge to hospice care (BPC = 10.3, p < 0.001). These results demonstrate the incidence of tICH admissions is temporally increasing, and the population is growing older with more comorbidities and injuries from falls. Yet, traumatic brain injury severity and neurosurgical management are unchanged. The shift from in-patient death to hospice care suggests an increased need for palliative care services.
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Affiliation(s)
- Timbre Backen
- Trauma Services Department, Swedish Medical Center, Englewood, Colorado, USA
| | - Kristin Salottolo
- Trauma Research Departments, Swedish Medical Center, Englewood, Colorado, USA
- South Texas Health System, McAllen, Texas, USA
- Wesley Medical Center, Wichita, Kansas, USA
| | - David Acuna
- Trauma Services Department, Wesley Medical Center, Wichita, Kansas, USA
| | - Carlos H. Palacio
- Trauma Services Department, South Texas Health System, McAllen, Texas, USA
| | - Gina Berg
- Trauma Services Department, Wesley Medical Center, Wichita, Kansas, USA
| | - Andrea Tsoris
- Trauma Services Department, Penrose Hospital, Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA
| | - Robert Madayag
- Trauma Services Department, St. Anthony Hospital, Lakewood, Colorado, USA
- Trauma Services Department, Lutheran Hospital, Denver, Colorado, USA
| | - Kaysie Banton
- Trauma Services Department, Swedish Medical Center, Englewood, Colorado, USA
| | - David Bar-Or
- Trauma Research Departments, Swedish Medical Center, Englewood, Colorado, USA
- South Texas Health System, McAllen, Texas, USA
- Wesley Medical Center, Wichita, Kansas, USA
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Gu L, Hu H, Wu S, Li F, Li Z, Xiao Y, Li C, Zhang H, Wang Q, Li W, Fan Y. Machine learning predictors of risk of death within 7 days in patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in the intensive care unit: A multicenter retrospective study. Heliyon 2024; 10:e23943. [PMID: 38192749 PMCID: PMC10772257 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2023] [Revised: 11/04/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 01/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a critical neurosurgical emergency with a high mortality rate, imposing a significant burden on both society and families. Accurate prediction of the risk of death within 7 days in SAH patients can provide valuable information for clinicians, enabling them to make better-informed medical decisions. In this study, we developed six machine learning models using the MIMIC III database and data collected at our institution. These models include Logistic Regression (LR), AdaBoosting (AB), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Bagging (BAG), Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). The primary objective was to identify predictors of death within 7 days in SAH patients admitted to intensive care units. We employed univariate and multivariate logistic regression as well as Pearson correlation analysis to screen the clinical variables of the patients. The initially screened variables were then incorporated into the machine learning models, and the performance of these models was evaluated. Furthermore, we compared the performance differences among the six models and found that the MLP model exhibited the highest performance with an AUC of 0.913. In this study, we conducted risk factor analysis using Shapley values to identify the factors associated with death within 7 days in patients with SAH. The risk factors we identified include Gcsmotor, bicarbonate, wbc, spo2, heartrate, age, nely, glucose, aniongap, GCS, rbc, sysbp, sodium, and gcseys. To provide clinicians with a useful tool for assessing the risk of death within 7 days in SAH patients, we developed a web calculator based on the MLP machine learning model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Longyuan Gu
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Hongwei Hu
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Shinan Wu
- Xiamen University affiliated Xiamen Eye Center; Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science; Fujian Engineering and Research Center of Eye Regenerative Medicine; Eye Institute of Xiamen University; School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, China
| | - Fengda Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu, China
| | - Zeyi Li
- School of Computer Science, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yaodong Xiao
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Chuanqing Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Hui Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Qiang Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wenle Li
- The State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics & Center for Molecular Imaging and Translational Medicine, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Yuechao Fan
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
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van Erp IAM, van Essen TA, Lingsma H, Pisica D, Singh RD, van Dijck JTJM, Volovici V, Kolias A, Peppel LD, Heijenbrok-Kal M, Ribbers GM, Menon DK, Hutchinson P, Depreitere B, Steyerberg EW, Maas AIR, de Ruiter GCW, Peul WC. Early surgery versus conservative treatment in patients with traumatic intracerebral hematoma: a CENTER-TBI study. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 2023; 165:3217-3227. [PMID: 37747570 PMCID: PMC10624744 DOI: 10.1007/s00701-023-05797-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2023] [Accepted: 09/06/2023] [Indexed: 09/26/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Evidence regarding the effect of surgery in traumatic intracerebral hematoma (t-ICH) is limited and relies on the STITCH(Trauma) trial. This study is aimed at comparing the effectiveness of early surgery to conservative treatment in patients with a t-ICH. METHODS In a prospective cohort, we included patients with a large t-ICH (< 48 h of injury). Primary outcome was the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE) at 6 months, analyzed with multivariable proportional odds logistic regression. Subgroups included injury severity and isolated vs. non-isolated t-ICH. RESULTS A total of 367 patients with a large t-ICH were included, of whom 160 received early surgery and 207 received conservative treatment. Patients receiving early surgery were younger (median age 54 vs. 58 years) and more severely injured (median Glasgow Coma Scale 7 vs. 10) compared to those treated conservatively. In the overall cohort, early surgery was not associated with better functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.1, (95% CI, 0.6-1.7)) compared to conservative treatment. Early surgery was associated with better outcome for patients with moderate TBI and isolated t-ICH (AOR 1.5 (95% CI, 1.1-2.0); P value for interaction 0.71, and AOR 1.8 (95% CI, 1.3-2.5); P value for interaction 0.004). Conversely, in mild TBI and those with a smaller t-ICH (< 33 cc), conservative treatment was associated with better outcome (AOR 0.6 (95% CI, 0.4-0.9); P value for interaction 0.71, and AOR 0.8 (95% CI, 0.5-1.0); P value for interaction 0.32). CONCLUSIONS Early surgery in t-ICH might benefit those with moderate TBI and isolated t-ICH, comparable with results of the STITCH(Trauma) trial.
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Affiliation(s)
- Inge A M van Erp
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands.
| | - Thomas A van Essen
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Hester Lingsma
- Centre for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Dana Pisica
- Centre for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Department of Neurosurgery, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Ranjit D Singh
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Jeroen T J M van Dijck
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Victor Volovici
- Centre for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Department of Neurosurgery, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Angelos Kolias
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge and Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Global Health Research Group on Neurotrauma, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Lianne D Peppel
- Rijndam Rehabilitation and Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Majanka Heijenbrok-Kal
- Rijndam Rehabilitation and Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Gerard M Ribbers
- Rijndam Rehabilitation and Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - David K Menon
- Division of Anaesthesia, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Peter Hutchinson
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge and Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Global Health Research Group on Neurotrauma, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Bart Depreitere
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Ewout W Steyerberg
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
- Centre for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC-University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre and Haaglanden Medical Centre, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Andrew I R Maas
- Department of Neurosurgery, Antwerp University Hospital and University of Antwerp, Edegem, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Godard C W de Ruiter
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Wilco C Peul
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, LUMC, HMC, HAGA, Leiden and The Hague, The Netherlands
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Wang J, Yin MJ, Wen HC. Prediction performance of the machine learning model in predicting mortality risk in patients with traumatic brain injuries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2023; 23:142. [PMID: 37507752 PMCID: PMC10385965 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-023-02247-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2023] [Accepted: 07/25/2023] [Indexed: 07/30/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE With the in-depth application of machine learning(ML) in clinical practice, it has been used to predict the mortality risk in patients with traumatic brain injuries(TBI). However, there are disputes over its predictive accuracy. Therefore, we implemented this systematic review and meta-analysis, to explore the predictive value of ML for TBI. METHODOLOGY We systematically retrieved literature published in PubMed, Embase.com, Cochrane, and Web of Science as of November 27, 2022. The prediction model risk of bias(ROB) assessment tool (PROBAST) was used to assess the ROB of models and the applicability of reviewed questions. The random-effects model was adopted for the meta-analysis of the C-index and accuracy of ML models, and a bivariate mixed-effects model for the meta-analysis of the sensitivity and specificity. RESULT A total of 47 papers were eligible, including 156 model, with 122 newly developed ML models and 34 clinically recommended mature tools. There were 98 ML models predicting the in-hospital mortality in patients with TBI; the pooled C-index, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.86 (95% CI: 0.84, 0.87), 0.79 (95% CI: 0.75, 0.82), and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.86, 0.92), respectively. There were 24 ML models predicting the out-of-hospital mortality; the pooled C-index, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81, 0.85), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.81), and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66, 0.82), respectively. According to multivariate analysis, GCS score, age, CT classification, pupil size/light reflex, glucose, and systolic blood pressure (SBP) exerted the greatest impact on the model performance. CONCLUSION According to the systematic review and meta-analysis, ML models are relatively accurate in predicting the mortality of TBI. A single model often outperforms traditional scoring tools, but the pooled accuracy of models is close to that of traditional scoring tools. The key factors related to model performance include the accepted clinical variables of TBI and the use of CT imaging.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jue Wang
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, 530021, Nanning, Guangxi, China
| | - Ming Jing Yin
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, 530021, Nanning, Guangxi, China
| | - Han Chun Wen
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, 530021, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
- Intensive Care Department, Guangxi Medical University First Affiliated Hospital, Ward 1, No. 6 Shuangyong Road, Qingxiu District, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, China.
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8
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Alzerwi NA. Injury characteristics and predictors of mortality in patients undergoing pancreatic excision after abdominal trauma: A National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e33916. [PMID: 37327268 PMCID: PMC10270525 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000033916] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2023] [Accepted: 05/12/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Pancreatic tumors and pancreatitis are the main indications for pancreatic excision (PE). However, little is known about this type of intervention in the context of traumatic injuries. Surgical care for traumatic pancreatic injuries is challenging because of the location of the organ and the lack of information on trauma mechanisms, vital signs, hospital deposition characteristics, and associated injuries. This study examined the demographics, vital signs, associated injuries, clinical outcomes, and predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with abdominal trauma who had undergone PE. Following the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines, we analyzed the National Trauma Data Bank and identified patients who underwent PE for penetrating or blunt trauma after an abdominal injury. Patients with significant injuries in other regions (abbreviated injury scale score ≥ 2) were excluded. Of the 403 patients who underwent PE, 232 had penetrating trauma (PT), and 171 had blunt trauma (BT). The concomitant splenic injury was more prevalent in the BT group; however, the frequency of splenectomy was comparable between groups. In particular, concomitant kidney, small intestine, stomach, colon, and liver injuries were more common in the PT group (all P < .05). Most injuries were observed in the pancreatic body and tail regions. The trauma mechanisms also differed between the groups, with motor vehicles accounting for most of the injuries in the BT group and gunshots accounting for most of the injuries in the PT group. In the PT group, major liver lacerations were approximately 3 times more common (P < .001). The in-hospital mortality rate was 12.4%, with no major differences between the PT and BT groups. Furthermore, there was no difference between BT and PT with respect to the location of the injuries in the pancreas, with the pancreatic tail and body accounting for almost 65% of injuries. Systolic blood pressure, Glasgow Coma Scale score, age, and major liver laceration were revealed by logistic regression as independent predictors of mortality, although trauma mechanisms and intent were not linked to mortality risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nasser A.N. Alzerwi
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, Majmaah University, Ministry of Education, AL-Majmaah City, Riyadh Region, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Pastor IS, Para I, Vesa ȘC, Florian IȘ. Identifying predictive factors for mortality in patients with TBI at a neurosurgery department. J Med Life 2023; 16:554-558. [PMID: 37305827 PMCID: PMC10251389 DOI: 10.25122/jml-2023-0114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2023] [Accepted: 05/11/2023] [Indexed: 06/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) can have severe consequences in most cases. Many therapeutic and neurosurgical strategies have been improved to optimize patient outcomes. However, despite adequate surgery and intensive care, death can still occur during hospitalization. TBI often results in protracted hospital stays in neurosurgery departments, indicating the severity of brain injury. Several factors related to TBI are predictive of longer hospital stays and in-hospital mortality rates. This study aimed to identify predictive factors for intrahospital days of death due to TBI. This was a longitudinal, retrospective, analytical, observational study that included 70 TBI-related deaths admitted to the Neurosurgery Clinic in Cluj-Napoca for a period of four years (January 2017 to December 2021) using a cohort model. We identified some clinical data related to intrahospital death after TBI. The severity of TBI was classified as mild (n=9), moderate(n=13), and severe (n=48) and was associated with significantly fewer hospital days (p=0.009). Patients with associated trauma, such as vertebro-medullary or thoracic trauma, were more likely to die after a few days of hospitalization (p=0.007). Surgery applied in TBI was associated with a higher median number of days until death compared to conservative treatment. A low GCS was an independent predictive factor for early intrahospital mortality in patients with TBI. In conclusion, clinical factors such as the severity of injury, low GCS, and polytrauma are predictive of early intrahospital mortality. Surgery was associated with prolonged hospitalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iulia-Sevastiana Pastor
- Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Ioana Para
- 4 Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Ștefan Cristian Vesa
- Pharmacology, Toxicology and Clinical Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Ioan Ștefan Florian
- Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
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10
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Réa-Neto Á, da Silva Júnior ED, Hassler G, Dos Santos VB, Bernardelli RS, Kozesinski-Nakatani AC, Martins-Junior MJ, Reese FB, Cosentino MB, Oliveira MC, Teive HAG. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics predictive of ICU mortality of patients with traumatic brain injury treated at a trauma referral hospital - a cohort study. BMC Neurol 2023; 23:101. [PMID: 36890473 PMCID: PMC9993710 DOI: 10.1186/s12883-023-03145-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 02/27/2023] [Indexed: 03/10/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Traumatic brain injury (TBI) has substantial physical, psychological, social and economic impacts, with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Considering its high incidence, the aim of this study was to identify epidemiological and clinical characteristics that predict mortality in patients hospitalized for TBI in intensive care units (ICUs). METHODS A retrospective cohort study was carried out with patients over 18 years old with TBI admitted to an ICU of a Brazilian trauma referral hospital between January 2012 and August 2019. TBI was compared with other traumas in terms of clinical characteristics of ICU admission and outcome. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to estimate the odds ratio for mortality. RESULTS Of the 4816 patients included, 1114 had TBI, with a predominance of males (85.1%). Compared with patients with other traumas, patients with TBI had a lower mean age (45.3 ± 19.1 versus 57.1 ± 24.1 years, p < 0.001), higher median APACHE II (19 versus 15, p < 0.001) and SOFA (6 versus 3, p < 0.001) scores, lower median Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (10 versus 15, p < 0.001), higher median length of stay (7 days versus 4 days, p < 0.001) and higher mortality (27.6% versus 13.3%, p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the predictors of mortality were older age (OR: 1.008 [1.002-1.015], p = 0.016), higher APACHE II score (OR: 1.180 [1.155-1.204], p < 0.001), lower GCS score for the first 24 h (OR: 0.730 [0.700-0.760], p < 0.001), greater number of brain injuries and presence of associated chest trauma (OR: 1.727 [1.192-2.501], p < 0.001). CONCLUSION Patients admitted to the ICU for TBI were younger and had worse prognostic scores, longer hospital stays and higher mortality than those admitted to the ICU for other traumas. The independent predictors of mortality were older age, high APACHE II score, low GCS score, number of brain injuries and association with chest trauma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Álvaro Réa-Neto
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil. .,Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de Clínicas, Federal University of Paraná, General Carneiro Street, 181, Curitiba, Paraná, 80060-900, Brazil.
| | | | - Gabriela Hassler
- Federal University of Paraná, General Carneiro Street, 181, Curitiba, Paraná, 80060-900, Brazil
| | - Valkiria Backes Dos Santos
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil
| | - Rafaella Stradiotto Bernardelli
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil.,School of Medicine and Life Sciences, Pontifical Catholic University of Paraná, Imaculada Conceição Street, 1155, Curitiba, Paraná, 80215-901, Brazil
| | - Amanda Christina Kozesinski-Nakatani
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil.,Hospital Santa Casa de Curitiba., Praça Rui Barbosa, 694, Curitiba, Paraná, 80010-030, Brazil
| | - Marcelo José Martins-Junior
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil
| | - Fernanda Baeumle Reese
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil.,Complexo Hospitalar do Trabalhador (CHT), República Argentina Street, 4406, Curitiba, Paraná, 81050-000, Brazil
| | - Mariana Bruinje Cosentino
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil.,Complexo Hospitalar do Trabalhador (CHT), República Argentina Street, 4406, Curitiba, Paraná, 81050-000, Brazil
| | - Mirella Cristine Oliveira
- Center for Studies and Research in Intensive Care Medicine (CEPETI), Monte Castelo Street, 366, Curitiba, Paraná, 82530-200, Brazil.,Complexo Hospitalar do Trabalhador (CHT), República Argentina Street, 4406, Curitiba, Paraná, 81050-000, Brazil
| | - Hélio Afonso Ghizoni Teive
- Neurology Service, Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de Clínicas, Federal University of Paraná, General Carneiro Street, 181, Curitiba, Paraná, 80060-900, Brazil
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11
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Peng HT, Siddiqui MM, Rhind SG, Zhang J, da Luz LT, Beckett A. Artificial intelligence and machine learning for hemorrhagic trauma care. Mil Med Res 2023; 10:6. [PMID: 36793066 PMCID: PMC9933281 DOI: 10.1186/s40779-023-00444-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2022] [Accepted: 02/01/2023] [Indexed: 02/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI), a branch of machine learning (ML) has been increasingly employed in the research of trauma in various aspects. Hemorrhage is the most common cause of trauma-related death. To better elucidate the current role of AI and contribute to future development of ML in trauma care, we conducted a review focused on the use of ML in the diagnosis or treatment strategy of traumatic hemorrhage. A literature search was carried out on PubMed and Google scholar. Titles and abstracts were screened and, if deemed appropriate, the full articles were reviewed. We included 89 studies in the review. These studies could be grouped into five areas: (1) prediction of outcomes; (2) risk assessment and injury severity for triage; (3) prediction of transfusions; (4) detection of hemorrhage; and (5) prediction of coagulopathy. Performance analysis of ML in comparison with current standards for trauma care showed that most studies demonstrated the benefits of ML models. However, most studies were retrospective, focused on prediction of mortality, and development of patient outcome scoring systems. Few studies performed model assessment via test datasets obtained from different sources. Prediction models for transfusions and coagulopathy have been developed, but none is in widespread use. AI-enabled ML-driven technology is becoming integral part of the whole course of trauma care. Comparison and application of ML algorithms using different datasets from initial training, testing and validation in prospective and randomized controlled trials are warranted for provision of decision support for individualized patient care as far forward as possible.
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Affiliation(s)
- Henry T Peng
- Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto Research Centre, Toronto, ON, M3K 2C9, Canada.
| | - M Musaab Siddiqui
- Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto Research Centre, Toronto, ON, M3K 2C9, Canada
| | - Shawn G Rhind
- Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto Research Centre, Toronto, ON, M3K 2C9, Canada
| | - Jing Zhang
- Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto Research Centre, Toronto, ON, M3K 2C9, Canada
| | | | - Andrew Beckett
- St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON, M5B 1W8, Canada
- Royal Canadian Medical Services, Ottawa, K1A 0K2, Canada
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12
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Tang OY, Shao B, Kimata AR, Sastry RA, Wu J, Asaad WF. The Impact of Frailty on Traumatic Brain Injury Outcomes: An Analysis of 691 821 Nationwide Cases. Neurosurgery 2022; 91:808-820. [PMID: 36069524 DOI: 10.1227/neu.0000000000002116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2021] [Accepted: 06/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty, a decline in physiological reserve, prognosticates poorer outcomes for several neurosurgical conditions. However, the impact of frailty on traumatic brain injury outcomes is not well characterized. OBJECTIVE To analyze the association between frailty and traumatic intracranial hemorrhage (tICH) outcomes in a nationwide cohort. METHODS We identified all adult admissions for tICH in the National Trauma Data Bank from 2007 to 2017. Frailty was quantified using the validated modified 5-item Frailty Index (mFI-5) metric (range = 0-5), with mFI-5 ≥2 denoting frailty. Analyzed outcomes included in-hospital mortality, favorable discharge disposition, complications, ventilator days, and intensive care unit (ICU) and total length of stay (LOS). Multivariable regression assessed the association between mFI-5 and outcomes, adjusting for patient demographics, hospital characteristics, injury severity, and neurosurgical intervention. RESULTS A total of 691 821 tICH admissions were analyzed. The average age was 57.6 years. 18.0% of patients were frail (mFI-5 ≥ 2). Between 2007 and 2017, the prevalence of frailty grew from 7.9% to 21.7%. Frailty was associated with increased odds of mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 1.36, P < .001) and decreased odds of favorable discharge disposition (OR = 0.72, P < .001). Frail patients exhibited an elevated rate of complications (OR = 1.06, P < .001), including unplanned return to the ICU (OR = 1.55, P < .001) and operating room (OR = 1.17, P = .003). Finally, frail patients experienced increased ventilator days (+12%, P < .001), ICU LOS (+11%, P < .001), and total LOS (+13%, P < .001). All associations with death and disposition remained significant after stratification for age, trauma severity, and neurosurgical intervention. CONCLUSION For patients with tICH, frailty predicted higher mortality and morbidity, independent of age or injury severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oliver Y Tang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Belinda Shao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Anna R Kimata
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.,Department of Neuroscience, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Rahul A Sastry
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Joshua Wu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Wael F Asaad
- Department of Neurosurgery, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.,Department of Neuroscience, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.,Norman Prince Neurosciences Institute, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.,Carney Institute for Brain Science, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
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13
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Abe D, Inaji M, Hase T, Takahashi S, Sakai R, Ayabe F, Tanaka Y, Otomo Y, Maehara T. A Prehospital Triage System to Detect Traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage Using Machine Learning Algorithms. JAMA Netw Open 2022; 5:e2216393. [PMID: 35687335 PMCID: PMC9187955 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.16393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE An adequate system for triaging patients with head trauma in prehospital settings and choosing optimal medical institutions is essential for improving the prognosis of these patients. To our knowledge, there has been no established way to stratify these patients based on their head trauma severity that can be used by ambulance crews at an injury site. OBJECTIVES To develop a prehospital triage system to stratify patients with head trauma according to trauma severity by using several machine learning techniques and to evaluate the predictive accuracy of these techniques. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted by reviewing the electronic medical records of consecutive patients who were transported to Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital in Japan from April 1, 2018, to March 31, 2021. Patients younger than 16 years with cardiopulmonary arrest on arrival or with a significant amount of missing data were excluded. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Machine learning-based prediction models to detect the presence of traumatic intracranial hemorrhage were constructed. The predictive accuracy of the models was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating curve (ROC-AUC), area under the precision recall curve (PR-AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and other representative statistics. RESULTS A total of 2123 patients (1527 male patients [71.9%]; mean [SD] age, 57.6 [19.8] years) with head trauma were enrolled in this study. Traumatic intracranial hemorrhage was detected in 258 patients (12.2%). Among several machine learning algorithms, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) achieved the mean (SD) highest ROC-AUC (0.78 [0.02]) and PR-AUC (0.46 [0.01]) in cross-validation studies. In the testing set, the ROC-AUC was 0.80, the sensitivity was 74.0% (95% CI, 59.7%-85.4%), and the specificity was 74.9% (95% CI, 70.2%-79.3%). The prediction model using the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines, which was calculated after consultation with physicians, had a sensitivity of 72.0% (95% CI, 57.5%-83.8%) and a specificity of 73.3% (95% CI, 68.7%-77.7%). The McNemar test revealed no statistically significant differences between the XGBoost algorithm and the NICE guidelines for sensitivity or specificity (P = .80 and P = .55, respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this cohort study, the prediction model achieved a comparatively accurate performance in detecting traumatic intracranial hemorrhage using only the simple pretransportation information from the patient. Further validation with a prospective multicenter data set is needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daisu Abe
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Motoki Inaji
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takeshi Hase
- Institute of Education, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shota Takahashi
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ryosuke Sakai
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Fuga Ayabe
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yoji Tanaka
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yasuhiro Otomo
- Department of Acute Critical Care and Disaster Medicine, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Taketoshi Maehara
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
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14
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Xu R, Nair SK, Xia Y, Liew J, Vo C, Yang W, Feghali J, Alban T, Tamargo RJ, Chanmugam A, Huang J. Risk factor guided early discharge and potential resource allocation benefits in patients with traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. World Neurosurg 2022; 163:e493-e500. [PMID: 35398576 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2022.04.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Revised: 04/03/2022] [Accepted: 04/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We sought to develop screening criteria predicting the lack of poor neurological outcomes in patients presenting with traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (tSAH), while evaluating their potential to improve resource-allocation in these cases. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed patients presenting with tSAH to the emergency department (ED) of a tertiary care institution from 2016-2018. We defined good neurological outcomes as patients with stable/improving neurological status, did not require neurosurgical intervention, no expanding bleed, and no hospital readmission. Univariate and multivariate models were generated to predict risk factors inversely associated with good neurological outcome. RESULTS 167 patients presented with tSAH from 2016-2018. The presence of depressed skull fracture, concomitant spinal fracture, low GCS, cranial nerve palsies, disorientation, concomitant hemorrhages, midline shift (MLS), elevated INR, and emergent medical intervention were inversely correlated with likelihood of good neurological outcome upon univariate analysis. Multivariate regression demonstrated that midline shift [OR=0.22 (0.05-0.89), p=0.04], GCS <13 [OR=0.22 (0.05-0.99), p=0.05], elevated INR [OR=0.18 (0.03-0.85), p=0.04], and emergent medical intervention [OR=0.18 (0.04-0.63), p=0.01] were independently associated with lower likelihood of good neurological outcome. 46 patients without any factors had good outcomes but were held in the ED or admitted to the hospital. These patients - if instead discharged directly - translated to a potential cost savings of $179,172. CONCLUSIONS In our study we found multiple risk factors inversely associated with good neurological outcome, namely low GCS, midline shift, emergent medical intervention, and INR ≥ 1.4. Our findings may aid clinicians in determining which tSAH patients are candidates for safe early discharge.
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15
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Wei T, Zhou M, Gu L, Yang H, Zhou Y, Li M. A Novel Gating Mechanism of Aquaporin-4 Water Channel Mediated by Blast Shockwaves for Brain Edema. J Phys Chem Lett 2022; 13:2486-2492. [PMID: 35271290 DOI: 10.1021/acs.jpclett.2c00321] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
As the principal water channel in the brain, aquaporin-4 (AQP4) plays a vital role in brain edema, but its role in blast brain edema is unclear. On the basis of molecular simulations, we reveal the atomically detailed picture of AQP4 in response to blast shockwaves. The results show that the shockwave alone closes the AQP4 channel; however, shock-induced bubble collapse opens it. The jet from bubble collapse forcefully increases the distance between helices and the tilt angles of six helices relative to the membrane vertical direction in a very short time. The average channel size increases about 2.6 times, and the water flux rate is nearly 20 times higher than for normal states. It is responsible for abnormal water transport and a potential cause of acute blast brain edema. Additionally, the open AQP4 channel quickly returns to its normal state, which is in turn helpful for edema absorption. Thus, a novel gating mechanism for AQP4 related to the secondary structure change has been provided, which is different from the previous residue-mediated gating mechanism.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tong Wei
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
- CAS Key Laboratory of Mechanical Behavior and Design of Materials, Department of Modern Mechanics, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
| | - Mi Zhou
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
| | - Lingzhi Gu
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
| | - Hong Yang
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
| | - Yang Zhou
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
| | - Ming Li
- Institute of Chemical Materials, China Academy of Engineering and Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
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16
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Rao RK, McConnell DD, Litofsky NS. The impact of cigarette smoking and nicotine on traumatic brain injury: a review. Brain Inj 2022; 36:1-20. [PMID: 35138210 DOI: 10.1080/02699052.2022.2034186] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2021] [Accepted: 10/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) and tobacco smoking are both serious public health problems. Many people with TBI also smoke. Nicotine, a component of tobacco smoke, has been identified as a premorbid neuroprotectant in other neurological disorders. This study aims to provide better understanding of relationships between tobacco smoking and nicotine use and effect on outcome/recovery from TBI. METHODS PubMed database, SCOPUS, and PTSDpub were searched for relevant English-language papers. RESULTS Twenty-nine human clinical studies and nine animal studies were included. No nicotine-replacement product use in human TBI clinical studies were identified. While smoking tobacco prior to injury can be harmful primarily due to systemic effects that can compromise brain function, animal studies suggest that nicotine as a pharmacological agent may augment recovery of cognitive deficits caused by TBI. CONCLUSIONS While tobacco smoking before or after TBI has been associated with potential harms, many clinical studies downplay correlations for most expected domains. On the other hand, nicotine could provide potential treatment for cognitive deficits following TBI by reversing impaired signaling pathways in the brain including those involving nAChRs, TH, and dopamine. Future studies regarding the impact of cigarette smoking and vaping on patients with TBI are needed .
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Affiliation(s)
- Rohan K Rao
- Division of Neurological Surgery, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - Diane D McConnell
- Division of Neurological Surgery, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - N Scott Litofsky
- Division of Neurological Surgery, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Columbia, Missouri, USA
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17
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Traumatic intracranial haemorrhage in Cameroon: Clinical features, treatment options and outcome. INTERDISCIPLINARY NEUROSURGERY 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.inat.2021.101346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
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18
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Binder H, Majdan M, Leitgeb J, Payr S, Breuer R, Hajdu S, Tiefenboeck TM. Management and Outcome of Traumatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage in 79 Infants and Children from a Single Level 1 Trauma Center. CHILDREN (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2021; 8:854. [PMID: 34682119 PMCID: PMC8534601 DOI: 10.3390/children8100854] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2021] [Revised: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 09/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Traumatic brain injury is a leading form of pediatric trauma and a frequent cause of mortality and acquired neurological impairment in children. The aim of this study was to present the severity and outcomes of traumatic intracerebral bleeding in children and adolescence. METHODS Seventy-nine infants and children with intracerebral bleedings were treated between 1992 and 2020 at a single level 1 trauma center. Data regarding accident, treatment and outcomes were collected retrospectively. The Glasgow Outcome Scale was used to classify the outcome at hospital discharge and at follow-up visits. CT scans of the brain were classified according to the Rotterdam score. RESULTS In total, 41 (52%) patients with intracerebral bleedings were treated surgically, and 38 (48%) patients were treated conservatively; in 15% of the included patients, delayed surgery was necessary. Patients presenting multiple trauma (p < 0.04), higher ISS (p < 0.01), poor initial neurological status (p < 0.001) and a higher Rotterdamscore (p = 0.038) were significantly more often treated surgically. Eighty-three percent of patients were able to leave the hospital, and out of these patients, about 60% showed good recovery at the latest follow-up visit. Overall, 11 patients (14%) died. CONCLUSION The findings in this study verified intracerebral bleeding as a rare but serious condition. Patients presenting with multiple traumas, higher initial ISS, poor initial neurological status and a higher Rotterdamscore were more likely treated by surgery. TRIAL REGISTRATION (researchregistry 2686).
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Affiliation(s)
- Harald Binder
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
| | - Marek Majdan
- Institute for Global Health and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Trnava University, 91701 Trnava, Slovakia;
| | - Johannes Leitgeb
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
- Institute for Global Health and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Trnava University, 91701 Trnava, Slovakia;
| | - Stephan Payr
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
| | - Robert Breuer
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
| | - Stefan Hajdu
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
| | - Thomas M. Tiefenboeck
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria; (H.B.); (J.L.); (S.P.); (R.B.); (S.H.)
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