Young-Onset Early Colorectal Cancer Had Similar Relative Survival to but Better Overall Survival Than Conventional Early Colorectal Cancer: A Large Population-Based Study

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of early-onset cholangiocarcinoma: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the disease of early-onset cholangiocarcinoma (EOC). The primary objective of this study was to compare EOC with later-onset cholangiocarcinoma (LOC) concerning clinical features and survival prognosis.

METHODS

19325 cholangiocarcinoma patients were extracted from 1975 to 2020 in the SEER database. Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used for the evaluation of cause-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). To reduce confounding, we compared survival differences between the EOC and LOC groups using propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

4037 cholangiocarcinoma patients were included in the study, of which 274 were EOC and 3763 were LOC. Early-onset patients were more likely to be non-white, and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. At diagnosis, patients had advanced AJCC stage, lymph node metastase and distant metastase. The EOC patients were more likely to receive surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy than later-onset patients. Multifactorial COX analysis indicated that EOC patients had lower mortality risk than later-onset patients, and similar results were obtained after PSM; Kaplan-Meier survival curves corroborated that early-onset patients exhibited better OS than later-onset patients, and this survival advantage persisted after PSM. Further subgroup analysis following matching demonstrated that early-onset patients had better OS than later-onset patients in the surgical subgroup, while there were no statistically significant differences in the radiotherapy and chemotherapy subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The EOC patients typically exhibit an intrahepatic presentation and generally experience a more favorable prognosis. Surgery emerged as a critical treatment modality significantly influencing the overall prognosis of EOC.

Fair comparisons of cause-specific and relative survival by accounting for the systematic removal of patients from risk-sets

BACKGROUND

In population-based cancer studies it is common to try to isolate the impact of cancer by estimating net survival. Net survival is defined as the probability of surviving cancer in the absence of any other-causes of death. Net survival can be estimated either in the cause-specific or relative survival framework. Cause-specific survival considers deaths from the cancer as the event of interest. Relative survival incorporates general population expected mortality rates to represent the other-cause mortality rate. Estimation approaches in both frameworks are impacted by the systematic removal of patients from the risk-set, commonly referred to as informative censoring in the cause-specific framework. In the relative survival framework, the Pohar Perme estimator combats the effect of this systematic removal of patients through weighting. When the two frameworks have been compared, informative censoring is rarely accounted for in the cause-specific framework.

METHODS

We investigate the use of weighted cause-specific Kaplan-Meier estimates to overcome the impact of informative censoring and compared approaches to defining weights. Individuals remaining in the risk-set are upweighted using their predicted other-cause survival obtained through various model-based approaches. We also compare weights derived from expected mortality rates. We applied the approaches to US cancer registry data and conducted a simulation study.

RESULTS

Using weighted cause-specific estimates provides a better estimate of marginal net survival. The unweighted Kaplan-Meier estimates have a similar bias to the Ederer II method for relative survival. Weighted Kaplan-Meier estimates are unbiased and similar to the Pohar Perme estimator. There was little variation between the several weighting approaches.

CONCLUSION

In comparisons of cause-specific and relative survival, it is important to compare "like-with-like", therefore, a weighted approach should be considered for both frameworks. If researchers are interested in obtaining net measures in a cause-specific framework, then weighting is needed to account for informative censoring.

Clinical characteristics, treatment patterns and survival outcomes of early-onset pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a rare and refractory malignancy. Early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC), defined as pancreatic cancer diagnosed before the age of 50 years, is very rare. Clinical presentation and oncological outcomes of EOPC are confusing according to previous studies.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, population-based study by querying the SEER database to analyze patients with PDAC from 2004 to 2018. Data on demographics, pathological characteristics, treatment patterns, and survival outcomes were compared between EOPC and pancreatic cancer in older patients. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to minimize the potential bias of baseline characteristics between the two groups. The effect of age on changes in treatment modalities was evaluated using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.

RESULTS

The entire study enrolled 42,414 patients, including 2,916 (6.9%) patients with EOPC. Patients with EOPC were more likely to be male (56.6% vs. 51.0%, P < 0.001) and more frequently to present with a larger tumor size (40 mm vs. 37 mm, P < 0.001), vascular invasion (28.6% vs. 25.9%, P = 0.022) and distant metastasis (56.2% vs. 50.8%, P < 0.001) compared with older group. However, surgical resection rates (29.3% vs. 28.3%, P = 0.284) were fairly comparable, and most clinicopathologic characteristics were similar in the patients underwent resection. Younger patients had longer 5-year overall survival (6.9% vs. 5.5%, P < 0.001) and 5-year cancer-specific survival (8.4% vs. 7.3%, P < 0.001) among the overall cohort but had comparable prognosis among patients received surgery (both P > 0.05). Similar survival outcomes were obtained after PSM. In addition, operated patients tended to receive fewer systemic treatments at an increasing age (P_trend < 0.001). The survival analysis, which was stratified by age groups, suggested that younger patients only had a better prognosis than those over 70.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with EOPC exhibited an advanced stage and a male predilection at diagnosis in the overall cohort but broadly similar clinicopathologic characteristics in the operated patients. In the surgical cohort, although younger patients were more likely to receive systemic treatment, patients with EOPC presented comparable outcomes compared with elderly patients. We suggest that more research should be conducted to uncover the unique characteristics of EOPC for better clinical management.

Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5-year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China

INTRODUCTION

While timely assessment of long-term survival for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) is essential for evaluation on early detection and screening programs of colorectal cancer, those data are extremely scarce in China. We aimed to timely and accurately assess long-term survival for CRC patients in eastern China.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with CRC during 2004-2018 and followed up until December 31, 2018 from four cancer registries with high-quality data from Taizhou, eastern China were included. Period analysis was used to calculate 5-year relative survival (RS) for overall and the stratification by sex, age at diagnosis and region. The projected 5-year RS of CRC patients during 2019-2023 was also assessed using a model-based period analysis.

RESULTS

Overall 5-year RS for patients with CRC during 2014-2018 reached 78.8%, being 74.9% for men and 86.1% for women. 5-year RS declined along with aging, decreasing from 84.1% for age < 45 years to 48.9% for age > 74 years, while 5-year RS for urban area was higher compared to rural area (83.9% vs. 75.8%). Projected overall 5-year RS of CRC patients could reach 85.9% during the upcoming period 2019-2023.

CONCLUSIONS

We provided, for first time in China using period analysis, most up-to-date 5-year RS for patients with CRC from Taizhou, eastern China and also found 5-year RS for CRC patients have improved greatly during 2004-2018.

Predictors of Long-Time Survivors in Nonmetastatic Colorectal Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma: A Large Population-Based Study

Background

Colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) is a rare and distinct subtype of colorectal cancer (CRC), with extremely poor prognosis and aggressive tumor biological behavior. In this study, we aimed to analyze the clinicopathological characteristics and to identify the independent predictors of long-time survivors (LTSs) of nonmetastatic colorectal SRCC.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with nonmetastatic colorectal SRCC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We compared and analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics between LTSs (patients survived over 5 years) and non-LTSs (patients survived of or less than 5 years). Afterwards, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of LTSs, which were further used to construct a nomogram model to predict the probability of being LTSs.

Results

We enrolled 2050 patients with nonmetastatic colorectal SRCC, consisting of 1441 non-LTSs and 609 LTSs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that race, marital status, tumor infiltration, lymph node involvement, and primary tumor treatment were independent predictors of LTSs. In addition, these five parameters were incorporated into a nomogram model to predict the probability of being LTSs. In terms of the model performance, the calibration curve revealed good agreement between observed and predicted probability of LTSs, and receiving operator characteristic curve showed acceptable discriminative capacity in the training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

Collectively, we analyzed and profiled the clinicopathological characteristics of LTSs in patients with nonmetastatic colorectal SRCC. Race, marital status, T stage, N stage, and primary tumor treatment were independent predictors of LTSs.

Clinical spectrum of rectal cancer identifies hallmarks of early-onset patients and next-generation treatment strategies

BACKGROUND

The incidence of colorectal cancer is increasing among young adults and more rectal cancers are reported. This study aimed to identify the clinical features specific for early-onset rectal cancer and provide insights on cancer management.

METHODS

Early-onset (<50 years) and late-onset (≥50 years) rectal cancer patients from a referral tertiary care center (SYSU cohort) and Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database (SEER cohort) were included to perform a comprehensive comparison on clinical information.

RESULTS

A total of 552 and 80,341 patients with stages I-III rectal cancer were included in the SYSU and SEER cohorts, respectively. In the SYSU cohort, early-onset diseases had significantly higher prevalence of family history of cancer and history of HBV infection and lower incidence of comorbidities (p < 0.05). In addition, early-onset patients presented more frequently with advanced node stage (N2 stage: 16.9 vs. 9.3%, p = 0.017) and high-risk features, including mucinous or signet cell carcinomas (21.8 vs. 12.9%, p = 0.014), poorly differentiated tumors (28.8 vs. 15.4%, p = 0.002), and perineural invasion (14.5 vs. 7.9%, p = 0.027) compared with late-onset patients. However, early-onset patients received more neoadjuvant (18.5 vs. 11.2%, p = 0.032) and adjuvant treatments (71.0 vs. 45.8%, p < 0.001), and they had better overall survival in both SYSU (HR 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34-0.95; p = 0.029) and SEER (HR 0.38, 95% CI: 0.37-0.40; p < 0.001) cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Early-onset rectal cancers are distinct from late-onset cases in clinicopathological features, treatment modalities, and outcomes. The clinical trials and studies that are specific for young populations are needed to develop optimal strategies for cancer screening, treatment, and surveillance.

Epidemiology and biology of early onset colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality in men or women in the United States. Average-risk screening that begins at age 50 years has reduced incidence and mortality of CRC in those over 50 years of age, whereas CRC incidence in those under age 50 years (early onset colorectal cancer (eoCRC)) has recently and dramatically increased. In this review, we summarize the recent literature including risk factors for eoCRC, differences in clinicopathologic presentation and outcomes in eoCRC, and emerging evidence regarding the molecular pathways that are altered in eoCRC compared to later onset CRC (loCRC). Epidemiologic studies of eoCRC show predominance in distal colon and rectum, and association with several modifiable risk factors, including diabetes, obesity, diet, sedentary time, alcohol consumption and smoking. Data regarding potential risk factors of prior antibiotic exposure and microbiome alterations or direct carcinogen exposure are still emerging. Aggressive clinicopathologic features of eoCRC at presentation may be due to delay in diagnosis or more aggressive tumor biology. EoCRC outcomes are similar to loCRC when matched for stage, but overall mortality is greater due to higher frequency of advanced disease at a younger presentation, with more life-years lost. There are only few molecular evaluations of eoCRC to date, with findings of potential increase in TP53 and CTNNB1 somatic mutation and decrease in APC, KRAS and BRAF somatic mutation, compared to loCRC. Other findings include LINE-1 hypomethylation, absence of microsatellite instability (MSI-H), presence of chromosomal instability (CIN) or microsatellite and chromosomal stability (MACS). These studies are only now emerging and have not yet identified a specific molecular signature defining eoCRC. Further research evaluating genetic and molecular differences as well as environmental triggers for eoCRCs should provide a clearer understanding to inform targeted screening for pre-symptomatic at-risk younger individuals.

Gastrointestinal Adenocarcinoma Incidence and Survival Trends in South Australia, 1990-2017

Simple Summary

This study from South Australia using the state’s Cancer Registry data provides compelling evidence for a significant increase in the incidence of young-onset (18–50 years) gastrointestinal (oesophageal, stomach, colon and rectum, and pancreas) adenocarcinomas over the last three decades. The trend observed in the young cohort was not mirrored in older individuals >50 years. This increased incidence, though noted in both sexes, was more pronounced in males compared to females. Survival in the young-onset adenocarcinoma cohort was only seen in patients with colorectal cancers, but not oesophagus, stomach and pancreas. This study calls for a concerted effort aimed at determining the sociodemographic factors underlying this disturbing trend with the aim of developing preventative strategies.

Abstract

Background & Aims: Globally, there has been a concerning rise in the incidence of young-onset cancers. The aim of this study was to provide trends in the incidence and survival of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas (oesophagus, stomach, pancreas, and colorectal) in South Australia over a 27-year period. Methods: This is a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective longitudinal database including all cases of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas prospectively reported to the South Australian (State) Cancer Registry from 1990 to 2017. Results: A total of 28,566 patients diagnosed with oesophageal, stomach, pancreatic, or colorectal adenocarcinoma between 1990 and 2017 were included in the study. While the overall incidence for gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas in individuals >50 years has decreased since 2000 (IRR of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94–1.00; p = 0.06)) compared to 1990–1999, the rate amongst individuals aged 18–50 has significantly increased (IRR 1.41 (95% CI 1.27–1.57; p < 0.001)) during the same reference time period. Although noted in both sexes, the rate of increase in incidence was significantly greater in males (11.5 to 19.7/100,000; p < 0.001). The overall survival from adenocarcinomas across all subsites improved in the >50-year cohort in the last decade (HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.86–0.93; p < 0.001)) compared to 1990–1999. In individuals aged 18–50 years, there has only been a significant improvement in survival for colorectal cancer (HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.68–0.99; p < 0.04)), but not the other subsites. A lower overall survival was noted for males in both age cohorts (18–50 years—HR 1.24 (95% CI 1.09–1.13; p < 0.01) and >50 years—HR 1.13 (95% CI 1.10–1.16; p < 0.001), respectively) compared to females. Conclusions: This study from South Australia demonstrates a significant increase in young-onset gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas over the last 28 years, with a greater increase in the male sex. The only significant improvement in survival in this cohort has been noted in colorectal cancer patients.

Higher LNM rate and poorer prognosis of early-onset compared to late-onset T1 stage colorectal cancer: a large-population based study

As for T1 stage CRC, there is little knowledge of differences in lymph node metastasis (LNM) and prognosis between early-onset and late-onset CRC. To know that, we included 13,084 patients from the SEER database and 476 patients in T1 stage from our hospital to analyze difference of LNM and prognosis. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses revealed that early-onset CRC was more likely than late-onset CRC to be positive for LNM. In addition, we found that T1b stage, poor differentiation and lymphatic invasion were risk factors for LNM. Specifically, we found that black race was a risk factor. Before propensity-score matching (PSM), we also found that early-onset CRC patients had better survival, as demonstrated by SEER data. After adjusting for confounding factors by PSM, we found that early onset remained a risk factor for LNM. Moreover, we found that patients diagnosed with early-onset CRC had a poorer prognosis than those diagnosed with late-onset CRC, which was demonstrated by analysis of SEER data and our own data. In conclusion, our study was the first to find that early-onset T1 stage CRC more frequently developed LNM, suggesting that endoscopic submucosal resection should be performed more carefully in these patients. Moreover, early-onset patients in the T1 stage also had poorer survival, suggesting that clinical doctors should pay more attention to early-onset patients.

Analysis of Survival Among Adults With Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in the National Cancer Database

IMPORTANCE

While increased adherence to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening guidelines in the US has been associated with significant reductions in cancer incidence in US individuals aged 50 years and older, the incidence of CRC among those aged younger than 50 years has been steadily increasing. Understanding the survival among individuals with early-onset CRC compared with those aged 50 years and older is fundamental to informing treatment approaches and understanding the unique biological distinctiveness within early-onset CRC.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the overall survival for individuals with early-onset CRC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used data from the National Cancer Database. Included individuals were ages 0 to 90 years and diagnosed with primary CRC from January 1, 2004, through December 31, 2015. Individuals diagnosed at ages 51 through 55 years were selected as the reference group and defined as later-onset CRC for this study. Individuals diagnosed at age 50 years were excluded to minimize an apparent screening detection bias at that age in our population, given that these individuals disproportionately presented with earlier stage. All statistical analyses were conducted from January 4, 2020, through December 26, 2020.

EXPOSURES

Early-onset CRC was defined as age younger than 50 years at diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Overall survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Among 769 871 individuals with CRC (377 890 [49.1%] women; 636 791 White individuals [82.7%]), 353 989 individuals (46.0%) died (median [range] follow-up: 2.9 [0-14.0] years), 102 168 individuals (13.3%) had early-onset CRC, and 78 812 individuals (10.2%) had later-onset CRC. Individuals with early-onset CRC, compared with those diagnosed with CRC at ages 51 through 55 years, had a lower 10-year survival rate (53.6% [95% CI, 53.2%-54.0%] vs 54.3% [95% CI, 53.8%-54.8%]; P < .001) in unadjusted analysis. However, after adjustment for other factors associated with mortality, most notably stage, individuals with early-onset CRC had a lower risk of death compared with individuals diagnosed from ages 51 through 55 years (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.93-0.96]; P < .001). In the model adjusted for stage, the HR for individuals with early-onset CRC was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.88-0.90; P < .001). The survival advantage was greatest for individuals diagnosed at ages 35 through 39 years (adjusted HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.84-0.92]; P < .001) and stages I (adjusted HR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.81-0.93]; P < .001) and II (adjusted HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.82-0.90]; P < .001) and was absent among those diagnosed at ages 25 years or younger and stages III through IV.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that there is a survival benefit for individuals with early-onset CRC compared with those diagnosed with CRC at later ages. Further study is needed to understand the underlying heterogeneity of survival among individuals with early-onset CRC by age and stage.

Development and validation of prognostic nomograms for early-onset locally advanced colon cancer

BACKGROUND

The incidence of colorectal cancer in patients younger than 50 years has been increasing in recent years.

OBJECTIVE

Develop and validate prognostic nomograms predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for early-onset locally advanced colon cancer (EOLACC) based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

RESULTS

The entire cohort comprised 13,755 patients with EOLACC. The nomogram predicting OS for EOLACC displayed that T stage contributed the most to prognosis, followed by N stage, regional nodes examined (RNE) and surgery. The nomogram predicting CSS for EOLACC demonstrated similar results. Various methods identified the discriminating superiority of the nomograms. X-tile software was used to classify patients into high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk according to the risk score of the nomograms. The risk stratification effectively avoided the survival paradox.

CONCLUSIONS

We established and validated nomograms for predicting OS and CSS based on a national cohort of almost 13,000 EOLACC patients. The nomograms could effectively solve the issue of survival paradox of the AJCC staging system and be an excellent tool to integrate the clinical characteristics to guide the therapeutic choice for EOLACC patients.

METHODS

Nomograms were constructed based on the SEER database and the Cox regression model.