Care Cascades for Hypertension in Low-Income Settings: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Development and validation of an explainable model of brain injury in premature infants: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Preterm brain injury (PBI) is a prevalent complication in preterm infants, leading to the destruction of critical structural and functional brain connections and placing a significant burden on families. The timely detection of PBI is of paramount importance for the prevention and treatment of the condition. However, the absence of specific clinical manifestations in the early stages of PBI renders it susceptible to misdiagnosis and missed diagnoses. Moreover, once it occurs, there is no specific treatment available. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) based interpretable model for the early detection of PBI, as well as the assessment of patient-wide and individual risk factors for this disease.

METHODS

This study utilized a cohort of premature infants provided by Northwest Women's and Children's Hospital in China, comprising medical records of 650 premature infants, spanning from 2019 to 2021. PBI were identified based on cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Fourteen machine learning models were employed with stratified 10-fold cross-validation method used to evaluate model performance. The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method was applied for model interpretation. Feature selection methods were used to determine the final model which was validated on the independent test set. Subsequently, risk factors for the entire cohort and individual patients were assessed.

RESULTS

Among the fourteen machine learning models, the CatBoost model demonstrated the best discriminative ability. Following feature selection, the final model was constructed using seven features, designated as PBIPred (Preterm Brain Injury Predictor). PBIPred exhibited strong performance in both 10-fold cross-validation and independent test set (AUC = 0.8229) for accurately predicting PBI. The screening for risk factors in the cohort and individuals identified the following variables as positive risk factors for PBI: Mechanical ventilation (MV), Weight, Anemia of prematurity (AOP), Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), Albumin (ALB), and White blood cell (WBC).

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

The PBIPred webserver and PBIPred tool were developed for clinical diagnosis and large-scale local medical record data prediction. They can be accessed freely at http://pbipred.liaolab.net and https://github.com/chikit2077/PBIPred, respectively.

Assessing Hypertension Management in Peru's Peri-Urban Community in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is a global health challenge, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Peri-urban areas such as Pampas de San Juan de Miraflores, Peru, face challenges that the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the post-COVID-19 hypertension care cascade and mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels in Pampas de San Juan de Miraflores and to determine the proportion of individuals with hypertension who are diagnosed, treated, and have controlled blood pressure across age groups.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey (October 2022-January 2023) including adults aged >35 years from the 2010 CRONICAS study and a geographically based sample of households nearby. Data collection included a hypertension awareness questionnaire and standardized blood pressure measurements. Descriptive analyses characterized the age-specific hypertension care cascade and calculated mean blood pressure in four groups: healthy, unaware, aware and untreated, and aware and treated.

RESULTS

Among 2,856 adults, age-specific hypertension prevalence based on self-reported medication use and current blood pressure screening was 13.3 % (35-44 years) to 54.6 % (>75 years). Awareness was 85 %; of those, 85 % were treated, and 76.8 % of them had controlled blood pressure. Mean SBP was highest in the unaware group (n = 102, 146.0 mmHg) and lowest in the healthy group (n = 1,929, 111.0 mmHg). These values were comparable among diagnosed patients, whether treated (n = 333, 126.0 mmHg) or untreated (n = 492, 128.0 mmHg).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite high awareness and relatively adequate control among untreated individuals, a substantial proportion remain undiagnosed or untreated after COVID-19. These findings underscore the need for interventions to improve early detection, treatment, and follow-up of hypertension.

A Descriptive Review of the Healthcare System and the Provision of Oral Healthcare in the Republic of Sudan

Oral health constitutes a significant public health concern in Sub-Saharan Africa. The precise burden of oral diseases and the adequacy of oral healthcare provision remain often unknown. The present study aims to evaluate key components of the healthcare system in Sudan and the delivery of oral healthcare across eight dimensions: Healthcare System Framework, Financing, Service Delivery, Epidemiology, Prevention, Personnel, Dental Education and Training System, and Health Benefit Package. The evaluation of Sudan's healthcare system and oral healthcare provision utilizing the extended World Health Organization building blocks healthcare systems analysis framework. The evolving healthcare landscape in Sudan is characterized by a transition towards a Bismarckian model, a shift facilitated by the implementation of a National Health Insurance Fund. In 2018, Sudan's total healthcare expenditure surged to 2.4 billion US dollars and dental care accounted for less than 1% of this financial allocation. During the period spanning from 2016 to 2019, there was an expansion in the healthcare infrastructure and utilization rates. The number of healthcare facilities and hospital admissions respectively increased from 2,083 to 3,578 and from 14,967,113 to 22,455,772, while the registered number of dentists in 2019 reached 8,964. Within the framework of the national healthcare system, medical consultations and emergency treatments are encompassed in the oral health benefit package. Sudan's healthcare system grapples with endemic vulnerabilities compounded by recurrent political and economic challenges. Nevertheless, strides towards an insurance-based healthcare system and the upward trend observed in oral healthcare provision and infrastructure assets offer promising prospects for future generations.

Prevalence, risks factors, and control of hypertension in Guinean older adults in 2021: a cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

The incidence of arterial hypertension increases with the aging of the population, but its magnitude remains insufficiently assessed. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of hypertension and associated factors in elderly people in Guinea.

METHODS

Data were obtained from a cross-sectional general population survey, conducted among people aged ≥ 60 years. A stratified enumeration area random sample survey was conducted in the four natural regions of Guinea from February to April 2021. This study included an interview on sociodemographic data, and a clinical examination. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure ≥ 140mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90mmHg or previous diagnosis of hypertension (with or without antihypertensive medication). Hypertension control was defined as blood pressure below 140/90 mmHg during treatment. Age-standardized prevalence was calculated, and logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with hypertension.

RESULTS

A total of 1698 adults (1079 men, mean age: 71.6 ± 9.4 years) had at least two blood pressure measurements. The standardized prevalence of hypertension was 61.4% [95% CI: 61.3-61.6], ranging from 52% in Middle Guinea to 67% in Upper Guinea, and was higher in women (65.2%: 65.0-65.4) than in men (59.1%:58.9-59.3). Among those with hypertension, 46.7% were unaware of their condition before the survey and 49.6% were on treatment and only 18.5% had controlled hypertension. Whatever the residence (rural or urban), increasing age, being unmarried, working as a trader or functionary, jobless, living in upper Guinea, low monthly income, intake of extra salt, known diabetic, overweight, and obesity increased the risk of hypertension. In urban area, female sex (AOR: 1.14: 1.12-1.17), living in lower Guinea (AOR: 3.08: 2.97-3.20), being Maninka (AOR: 1.26: 1.21-1.31), being Nguerze (AOR: 1.71: 1.63-1.81) increased the risk of hypertension, but living in forest Guinea (AOR: 0.88: 0.83-0.93), being Soussou (AOR: 0.88: 0.85-0.92) decreased the risk. In rural area, living in forest Guinea (AOR: 2.14: 2.03-2.26), being Soussou (AOR: 1.14: 1.12-1.17) increased the risk of hypertension, but female sex (AOR: 0.96: 0.94-0.98), living in lower Guinea (AOR: 0.87: 0.85-0.89), being Maninka (AOR: 0.94: 0.92-0.97), being Nguerze (AOR: 0.50: 0.47-0.52) decreased the risk.

CONCLUSION

Hypertension is a major problem in the elderly population in Guinea, and the level of treatment and control in elderly with known hypertension is inadequate. The place of hypertension among cardiovascular diseases and the identification of associated factors underlines the need to develop innovative approaches to control this major risk factor.

Community-based management of arterial hypertension and cardiovascular risk factors by lay village health workers for people with controlled and uncontrolled blood pressure in rural Lesotho: joint protocol for two cluster-randomized trials within the ComBaCaL cohort study (ComBaCaL aHT Twic 1 and ComBaCaL aHT TwiC 2)

BACKGROUND

Arterial hypertension (aHT) is a major cause for premature morbidity and mortality. Control rates remain poor, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Task-shifting to lay village health workers (VHWs) and the use of digital clinical decision support systems may help to overcome the current aHT care cascade gaps. However, evidence on the effectiveness of comprehensive VHW-led aHT care models, in which VHWs provide antihypertensive drug treatment and manage cardiovascular risk factors is scarce.

METHODS

Using the trials within the cohort (TwiCs) design, we are assessing the effectiveness of VHW-led aHT and cardiovascular risk management in two 1:1 cluster-randomized trials nested within the Community-Based chronic disease Care Lesotho (ComBaCaL) cohort study (NCT05596773). The ComBaCaL cohort study is maintained by trained VHWs and includes the consenting inhabitants of 103 randomly selected villages in rural Lesotho. After community-based aHT screening, adult, non-pregnant ComBaCaL cohort participants with uncontrolled aHT (blood pressure (BP) ≥ 140/90 mmHg) are enrolled in the aHT TwiC 1 and those with controlled aHT (BP < 140/90 mmHg) in the aHT TwiC 2. In intervention villages, VHWs offer lifestyle counseling, basic guideline-directed antihypertensive, lipid-lowering, and antiplatelet treatment supported by a tablet-based decision support application to eligible participants. In control villages, participants are referred to a health facility for therapeutic management. The primary endpoint for both TwiCs is the proportion of participants with controlled BP levels (< 140/90 mmHg) 12 months after enrolment. We hypothesize that the intervention is superior regarding BP control rates in participants with uncontrolled BP (aHT TwiC 1) and non-inferior in participants with controlled BP at baseline (aHT TwiC 2).

DISCUSSION

The TwiCs were launched on September 08, 2023. On May 20, 2024, 697 and 750 participants were enrolled in TwiC 1 and TwiC 2. To our knowledge, these TwiCs are the first trials to assess task-shifting of aHT care to VHWs at the community level, including the prescription of basic antihypertensive, lipid-lowering, and antiplatelet medication in Africa. The ComBaCaL cohort and nested TwiCs are operating within the routine VHW program and countries with similar community health worker programs may benefit from the findings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05684055. Registered on January 04, 2023.

Examining the Utilization of Social Capital by Ghanaians When Seeking Care for Chronic Diseases: A Personal Network Survey

Objectives: With limited social security and health protection in Ghana, intergenerational support is needed by those living with NCDs, who incur recurrent costs when seeking NCD care. We measured the level of informal support received by NCD patients and identified factors that influence support provision. Methods: We surveyed 339 NCD patients from three hospitals in Ghana, who listed their social ties and answered questions about their relationship and support frequency. We analyzed the relationship between social support, demographic and health information, characteristics of social ties, and network characteristics. Results: Participants described 1,371 social ties. Nearly 60% of respondents reported difficulties in their usual work or household duties due to chronic illness, which was also the strongest predictor of support. Patients with higher wellbeing reported less social support, while older age and having co-habitant supporters were negatively associated with support, indicating caregiver burnout. Conclusion: Ghanaian NCD patients receive support from various caregivers who may not be able to handle the increasing healthcare and social needs of an aging population. Policies should therefore enhance resource pooling and inclusiveness for old age security.