A Fusion Framework for Forecasting Financial Market Direction Using Enhanced Ensemble Models and Technical Indicators

Nondestructive Detection of Sunflower Seed Vigor and Moisture Content Based on Hyperspectral Imaging and Chemometrics

Sunflower is an important crop, and the vitality and moisture content of sunflower seeds have an important influence on the sunflower's planting and yield. By employing hyperspectral technology, the spectral characteristics of sunflower seeds within the wavelength range of 384-1034 nm were carefully analyzed with the aim of achieving effective prediction of seed vitality and moisture content. Firstly, the original hyperspectral data were subjected to preprocessing techniques such as Savitzky-Golay smoothing, standard normal variable correction (SNV), and multiplicative scatter correction (MSC) to effectively reduce noise interference, ensuring the accuracy and reliability of the data. Subsequently, principal component analysis (PCA), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and stacked autoencoders (SAE) were utilized to extract key feature bands, enhancing the interpretability and predictive performance of the data. During the modeling phase, random forests (RFs) and LightGBM algorithms were separately employed to construct classification models for seed vitality and prediction models for moisture content. The experimental results demonstrated that the SG-SAE-LightGBM model exhibited outstanding performance in the classification task of sunflower seed vitality, achieving an accuracy rate of 98.65%. Meanwhile, the SNV-XGBoost-LightGBM model showed remarkable achievement in moisture content prediction, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9715 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.8349. In conclusion, this study confirms that the fusion of hyperspectral technology and multivariate data analysis algorithms enables the accurate and rapid assessment of sunflower seed vitality and moisture content, providing robust tools and theoretical support for seed quality evaluation and agricultural production practices. Furthermore, this research not only expands the application of hyperspectral technology in unraveling the intrinsic vitality characteristics of sunflower seeds but also possesses significant theoretical and practical value.

A soft voting ensemble learning approach for credit card fraud detection

With the advancement of e-commerce and modern technological development, credit cards are widely used for both online and offline purchases, which has increased the number of daily fraudulent transactions. Many organizations and financial institutions worldwide lose billions of dollars annually because of credit card fraud. Due to the global distribution of both legitimate and fraudulent transactions, it is difficult to discern between the two. Furthermore, because only a small proportion of transactions are fraudulent, there is a problem of class imbalance. Hence, an effective fraud-detection methodology is required to sustain the reliability of the payment system. Machine learning has recently emerged as a viable substitute for identifying this type of fraud. However, ML approaches have difficulty identifying fraud with high prediction accuracy, while also decreasing misclassification costs due to the size of the imbalanced data. In this research, a soft voting ensemble learning approach for detecting credit card fraud on imbalanced data is proposed. To do this, the proposed approach is evaluated and compared with numerous sophisticated sampling techniques (i.e., oversampling, undersampling, and hybrid sampling) to overcome the class imbalance problem. We develop several credit card fraud classifiers, including ensemble classifiers, with and without sampling techniques. According to the experimental results, the proposed soft-voting approach outperforms individual classifiers. With a false negative rate (FNR) of 0.0306, it achieves a precision of 0.9870, recall of 0.9694, f1-score of 0.8764, and AUROC of 0.9936.

Ensemble learning approach for advanced metering infrastructure in future smart grids

Typically, load forecasting models are trained in an offline setting and then used to generate predictions in an online setting. However, this approach, known as batch learning, is limited in its ability to integrate new load information that becomes available in real-time. On the other hand, online learning methods enable load forecasting models to adapt efficiently to new incoming data. Electricity Load and Price Forecasting (ELPF) is critical to maintaining energy grid stability in smart grids. Existing forecasting methods cannot handle the available large amount of data, which are limited by different issues like non-linearity, un-adjusted high variance and high dimensions. A compact and improved algorithm is needed to synchronize with the diverse procedure in ELPF. Our model ELPF framework comprises high/low consumer data separation, handling missing and unstandardized data and preprocessing method, which includes selecting relevant features and removing redundant features. Finally, it implements the ELPF using an improved method Residual Network (ResNet-152) and the machine-improved Support Vector Machine (SVM) based forecasting engine to forecast the ELP accurately. We proposed two main distinct mechanisms, regularization, base learner selection and hyperparameter tuning, to improve the performance of the existing version of ResNet-152 and SVM. Furthermore, it reduces the time complexity and the overfitting model issue to handle more complex consumer data. Furthermore, numerous structures of ResNet-152 and SVM are also explored to improve the regularization function, base learners and compatible selection of the parameter values with respect to fitting capabilities for the final forecasting. Simulated results from the real-world load and price data confirm that the proposed method outperforms 8% of the existing schemes in performance measures and can also be used in industry-based applications.

A New COVID-19 Detection Method Based on CSK/QAM Visible Light Communication and Machine Learning

This article proposes a novel method for detecting coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in an underground channel using visible light communication (VLC) and machine learning (ML). We present mathematical models of COVID-19 Deoxyribose Nucleic Acid (DNA) gene transfer in regular square constellations using a CSK/QAM-based VLC system. ML algorithms are used to classify the bands present in each electrophoresis sample according to whether the band corresponds to a positive, negative, or ladder sample during the search for the optimal model. Complexity studies reveal that the square constellation N=22i×22i,(i=3) yields a greater profit. Performance studies indicate that, for BER = 10-3, there are gains of -10 [dB], -3 [dB], 3 [dB], and 5 [dB] for N=22i×22i,(i=0,1,2,3), respectively. Based on a total of 630 COVID-19 samples, the best model is shown to be XGBoots, which demonstrated an accuracy of 96.03%, greater than that of the other models, and a recall of 99% for positive values.

An Intelligent Fusion Model with Portfolio Selection and Machine Learning for Stock Market Prediction

Developing reliable equity market models allows investors to make more informed decisions. A trading model can reduce the risks associated with investment and allow traders to choose the best-paying stocks. However, stock market analysis is complicated with batch processing techniques since stock prices are highly correlated. In recent years, advances in machine learning have given us a lot of chances to use forecasting theory and risk optimization together. The study postulates a unique two-stage framework. First, the mean-variance approach is utilized to select probable stocks (portfolio construction), thereby minimizing investment risk. Second, we present an online machine learning technique, a combination of “perceptron” and “passive-aggressive algorithm,” to predict future stock price movements for the upcoming period. We have calculated the classification reports, AUC score, accuracy, and Hamming loss for the proposed framework in the real-world datasets of 20 health sector indices for four different geographical reasons for the performance evaluation. Lastly, we conduct a numerical comparison of our method's outcomes to those generated via conventional solutions by previous studies. Our aftermath reveals that learning-based ensemble strategies with portfolio selection are effective in comparison.

A Hybrid Data Analytics Framework with Sentiment Convergence and Multi-Feature Fusion for Stock Trend Prediction

Stock market analysis plays an indispensable role in gaining knowledge about the stock market, developing trading strategies, and determining the intrinsic value of stocks. Nevertheless, predicting stock trends remains extremely difficult due to a variety of influencing factors, volatile market news, and sentiments. In this study, we present a hybrid data analytics framework that integrates convolutional neural networks and bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN-BiLSTM) to evaluate the impact of convergence of news events and sentiment trends with quantitative financial data on predicting stock trends. We evaluated the proposed framework using two case studies from the real estate and communications sectors based on data collected from the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) between 1 January 2020 and 1 December 2021. The results show that combining news events and sentiment trends with quantitative financial data improves the accuracy of predicting stock trends. Compared to benchmarked machine learning models, CNN-BiLSTM offers an improvement of 11.6% in real estate and 25.6% in communications when news events and sentiment trends are combined. This study provides several theoretical and practical implications for further research on contextual factors that influence the prediction and analysis of stock trends.

Robust and Secure Data Transmission Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Ad-Hoc Networks

The paper presents a new security aspect for a Mobile Ad-Hoc Network (MANET)-based IoT model using the concept of artificial intelligence. The Black Hole Attack (BHA) is considered one of the most affecting threats in the MANET in which the attacker node drops the entire data traffic and hence degrades the network performance. Therefore, it necessitates the designing of an algorithm that can protect the network from the BHA node. This article introduces Ad-hoc On-Demand Distance Vector (AODV), a new updated routing protocol that combines the advantages of the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) techniques. The combination of the SVM with ANN is the novelty of the proposed model that helps to identify the attackers within the discovered route using the AODV routing mechanism. Here, the model is trained using ANN but the selection of training data is performed using the ABC fitness function followed by SVM. The role of ABC is to provide a better route for data transmission between the source and the destination node. The optimized route, suggested by ABC, is then passed to the SVM model along with the node’s properties. Based on those properties ANN decides whether the node is a normal or an attacker node. The simulation analysis performed in MATLAB shows that the proposed work exhibits an improvement in terms of Packet Delivery Ratio (PDR), throughput, and delay. To validate the system efficiency, a comparative analysis is performed against the existing approaches such as Decision Tree and Random Forest that indicate that the utilization of the SVM with ANN is a beneficial step regarding the detection of BHA attackers in the MANET-based IoT networks.