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Xue Y, Yu R, Wang W, Li L, Tao J, Zhuang Q, Li X, Zhang Y. Predicting the Risk of Postoperative Delirium in Patients Undergoing Lobectomy: Development and Assessment of a Novel Nomogram. Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2025. [PMID: 40250415 DOI: 10.1055/a-2561-8604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/20/2025]
Abstract
To construct and internally validate a nomogram predicting postoperative delirium (POD) in patients with pulmonary malignancies undergoing lobectomy.Clinical electronic medical record data were retrospectively collected from 1,066 patients who underwent lobectomy, divided into a training cohort (746) and a validation cohort (320) using a 7:3 temporal split. A nomogram for POD was developed using Lasso regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis according to the TRIPOD statement. Performance was assessed through receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and calibration plots.POD occurred in 203 patients (19.04%). The nomogram incorporated predictors such as age, body mass index (BMI), education level, history of diabetes, history of cerebrovascular disease, surgical approach, duration of surgery, and time to recovery from anesthesia. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.871 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.841-0.901) for the training cohort and 0.914 (95% CI: 0.877-0.951) for the validation cohort. Calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between predicted and actual probabilities in both cohorts.This novel nomogram can help clinicians and patients' families predict the likelihood of developing delirium following lobectomy, enabling the implementation of targeted prevention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanan Xue
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Ru Yu
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Lei Li
- Department of Neurology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Jing Tao
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Qin Zhuang
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaohong Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
| | - Yang Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, People's Republic of China
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Ding L, Hua Q, Xu J, Yang J, Yao C. Predictive performance of different measures of frailty (CFS, mFI-11, mFI-5) on postoperative adverse outcomes among colorectal cancer patients: a diagnostic meta-analysis. Eur Geriatr Med 2024; 15:471-479. [PMID: 38488983 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-024-00960-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2023] [Accepted: 12/07/2023] [Indexed: 03/17/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE To clarify the predictive performance of different measures of frailty, including Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), 11-factor modified Frailty Index (mFI-11), and 5-factor modified Frailty Index (mFI-5), on adverse outcomes. METHODS PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and other databases were retrieved from the inception of each database to June 2023. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the summary receiver operating curve (SROC) values were analyzed to determine the predictive power of CFS, mFI-11, and mFI-5 for adverse outcomes. RESULTS A total of 25 studies were included in quantitative synthesis. The pooled sensitivity values of CFS for predicting anastomotic leakage, total complications, and major complications were 0.39, 0.57, 0.45; pooled specificity values were 0.70, 0.58, 0.73; the area under SROC values were 0.58, 0.6, 0.66. The pooled sensitivity values of mFI-11 for predicting total complications and delirium were 0.38 and 0.64; pooled specificity values were 0.83 and 0.72; the area under SROC values were 0.64 and 0.74. The pooled sensitivity values of mFI-5 for predicting total complications, 30-day mortality, and major complications were 0.27, 0.54, 0.25; pooled specificity values were 0.82, 0.84, 0.81; the area under SROC values were 0.63, 0.82, 0.5. CONCLUSION The results showed that CFS could predict anastomotic leakage, total complications, and major complications; mFI-11 could predict total complications and delirium; mFI-5 could predict total complications and 30-day mortality. More high-quality research is needed to support the conclusions of this study further.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lingyu Ding
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China
| | - Qianwen Hua
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China
| | - Jiaojiao Xu
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China
| | - Jing Yang
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China
| | - Cui Yao
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China.
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Tian L, Wang H, Jia Y, Jin L, Zhou C, Zhou H, Yuan S. Effect of percutaneous cerebral oximetry-guided anaesthetic management on postoperative delirium in older adults undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting: study protocol for a single-centre prospective randomised controlled trial in a tertiary academic hospital in China. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e076419. [PMID: 38070897 PMCID: PMC10729170 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076419] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Postoperative delirium is a prominent and clinically important complication in older adults after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery, resulting in prolonged hospital stay, long-term cognitive impairment and increased morbidity and mortality. Many studies have shown that cerebral desaturation is associated with increased risk of postoperative delirium during on-pump cardiac surgery. However, few studies have focused on the effect of optimising regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rSO2) on postoperative delirium during off-pump CABG. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether intraoperative anaesthetic management based on percutaneous cerebral oximetry monitoring decreases the incidence of postoperative delirium in older adults undergoing off-pump CABG. METHODS This single-centre randomised controlled trial will randomly assign 200 patients to the intervention group or the control group at a ratio of 1:1. The patients in the intervention group will be observed by percutaneous cerebral oximetry monitoring that the desaturation (a drop of more than 20% from baseline value or rSO2 less than 55% for >60 consecutive seconds at either probe) during the procedure triggered the intervention strategies, while the cerebral oximetry data of the control group will be hidden from the clinical team and patients will be anaesthetised by the usual anaesthetic management. The primary outcome will be the incidence of postoperative delirium during the first 7 days after off-pump CABG. Delirium will be comprehensively evaluated by the combination of the Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale and the Confusion Assessment Method for the intensive care unit. The secondary outcomes will include the incidence of postoperative acute kidney injury and myocardial infarction during the hospital stay, as well as the intensive care unit and hospital length of stay. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Fuwai Hospital (No 2022-1824). Written informed consent will be obtained from each patient or their legal representatives before enrolment. The results of this trial will be published in an international peer-reviewed scientific journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ChiCTR2300068537.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lijuan Tian
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hongbai Wang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan Jia
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Lei Jin
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chenghui Zhou
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hongyan Zhou
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Su Yuan
- Department of Anesthesiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Xia J, Hu C, Wang L, Zhang Y. Association between statin use on delirium and 30-day mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the intensive care unit. Eur J Med Res 2023; 28:572. [PMID: 38062497 PMCID: PMC10704755 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-023-01551-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 11/24/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Delirium occurs frequently in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the intensive care unit. Effective prevention and treatment strategies for delirium remain limited. We aimed to assess delirium and 30-day mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease who were statin and non-statin users. METHODS In this retrospective study, patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were identified from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database (MIMIC-IV). The primary exposure variable was the use of statins 3 days after entering the intensive care unit and the primary outcome measure was the presence of delirium. The secondary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. Since the cohort study was retrospective, we used an inverse probability weighting derived from the propensity score matching to balance different variables. RESULTS Among a cohort of 2725 patients, 1484 (54.5%) were statin users. Before propensity score matching, the prevalence of delirium was 16% and the 30-day mortality was 18% in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Statin use was significantly negatively correlated with delirium, with an odds ratio of 0.69 (95% CI 0.56-0.85, p < 0.001) in the inverse probability weighted cohort and 30-day mortality of 0.7 (95% CI 0.57-0.85, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Statin use is associated with a lower incidence of delirium and 30-day mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the intensive care unit.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiangling Xia
- Department of Anesthesiology, Zibo Central Hospital, No. 54 Gongqingtuan Road, Zibo, Shandong, China
| | - Chunhuan Hu
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Mudanjiang Medical College, Mudanjiang, Heilongjiang, China
| | - Leilei Wang
- School of Architecture and Engineering, Zibo Vocational Institute, Zibo, Shandong, China
| | - Yuzhu Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Zibo Central Hospital, No. 54 Gongqingtuan Road, Zibo, Shandong, China.
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Zhao Y, Alderden J, Missbrenner N. Dementia and Postoperative Delirium in Surgical Hip Fracture Patients: Unveiling Contrasting Risk Factors and Implications. J Gerontol Nurs 2023; 49:25-30. [PMID: 38015151 DOI: 10.3928/00989134-20231108-03] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2023]
Abstract
Postoperative delirium is a serious complication, particularly in older adults with hip fractures. Using the 2019 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data file, we performed multiple regression analyses to compare risk factors for postoperative delirium in hip fracture patients with and without dementia. Preoperative delirium and mobility aid use were common risk factors in both groups. However, differential effects were observed for other factors. Pathological fracture increased delirium risk in patients with dementia but had a protective effect in those without dementia. In patients with dementia, American Society of Anesthesiology score IV/V was identified as a risk factor, whereas advanced age, severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, weight loss, sepsis, elevated international normalized ratio, and serum creatinine level were additional risk factors in patients without dementia. These findings enhance our understanding of the complex relationship among dementia, hip fractures, and postoperative delirium. Identifying specific risk factors for each group can inform tailored interventions and preventive strategies. Further research is needed to validate and expand these findings, ultimately improving care and outcomes. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 49(12), 25-30.].
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Spiropoulou E, Samanidis G, Kanakis M, Nenekidis I. Risk Factors for Acute Postoperative Delirium in Cardiac Surgery Patients >65 Years Old. J Pers Med 2022; 12:jpm12091529. [PMID: 36143313 PMCID: PMC9503473 DOI: 10.3390/jpm12091529] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2022] [Revised: 08/24/2022] [Accepted: 09/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Acute postoperative delirium is the most common neuropsychiatric disorder in cardiac surgery patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the possible risk factors of postoperative delirium (POD) for cardiac surgery patients in the ICU. Materials and Methods: The study population was composed of 86 cardiac surgery patients managed postoperatively in the cardiac surgery ICU. Presence of POD in patients was evaluated by the CAM-ICU scale. Results: According to the CAM-ICU scale, 22 (25.6%) patients presented POD; history of smoking, alcohol use, COPD, and preoperative permanent atrial fibrillation were associated with POD (for all, p < 0.05). The type of cardiac surgery operations, type of analgesia, and red blood cell transfusion in the ICU were not associated with POD (p > 0.05), while cardiac arrhythmia in the ICU, hypoxemia in the ICU after extubation (pO2 < 60 mmHg), and heart rate after extubation were predisposing factors for POD (for all, p < 0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis (adjusted to risk factors) showed that hypoxemia after extubation (OR = 20.6; 95%CI: 2.82−150), heart rate after extubation (OR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92−0.98), and alcohol use (OR = 74.3; 95%CI: 6.41−861) were predictive factors for acute postoperative delirium (for all, p < 0.05). Conclusion: Alcohol use and respiratory dysfunction before and after heart operation were associated with acute postoperative delirium in cardiac surgery ICU patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleni Spiropoulou
- Department of Cardiac Surgery Intensive Care, Onassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 17674 Athens, Greece
| | - George Samanidis
- Department of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Onassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 17674 Athens, Greece
- Onassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 356 Leoforos Syggrou, 17674 Athens, Greece
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +30-210-9493-833
| | - Meletios Kanakis
- Department of Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery, Onassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 17674 Athens, Greece
| | - Ioannis Nenekidis
- Department of Adult Cardiac Surgery, Onassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 17674 Athens, Greece
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Fu X, Wang L, Wang G, Liu X, Wang X, Ma S, Miao F. Delirium in elderly patients with COPD combined with respiratory failure undergoing mechanical ventilation: a prospective cohort study. BMC Pulm Med 2022; 22:266. [PMID: 35810306 PMCID: PMC9271245 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-022-02052-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2021] [Accepted: 05/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background COPD combined with respiratory failure is very common in intensive care unit (ICU). We aimed to evaluate the current status and influencing factors of delirium in elderly COPD patients with undergoing mechanical ventilation. Methods Patients with COPD combined with respiratory failure and mechanically ventilated who were admitted to the ICU of our hospital were selected. The characteristics of included patients were assessed. Pearson correlation analysis was performed to evaluate the characteristics of patients and delirium. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors of delirium in elderly patients with COPD combined with respiratory failure undergoing mechanical ventilation. Results A total of 237 COPD combined with respiratory failure patients were included, the incidence of delirium was 21.94%. Pearson correlation analysis indicated that age (r = 0.784), BMI (r = 0.709), hypertension (r = 0.696), APACHE II score (r = 0.801), CPOT (r = 0.513), sedation(r = 0.626) and PaO2 (r = 0.611) were all correlated with the occurrence of delirium (all p < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis indicated that age ≥ 75y (OR 3.112, 95% CI 2.144–4.602), BMI ≤ 19 kg/m2 (OR 2.742, 95% CI 1.801–3.355), hypertension(OR 1.909, 95% CI 1.415–2.421), APACHE II score ≥ 15 (OR 2.087, 95% CI 1.724–2.615), CPOT ≥ 5 (OR 1.778, 95% CI 1.206–2.641), sedation(OR 3.147, 95% CI 2.714–3.758), PaO2 ≤ 75 mmHg(OR 2.196, 95%CI 1.875–3.088) were the risk factors of delirium in elderly patients with COPD combined with respiratory failure undergoing mechanical ventilation (all p < 0.05). Conclusions Delirium is common in patients with COPD and respiratory failure undergoing mechanical ventilation, and there are many related influencing factors. Medical staff should pay more attention to patients with risk factors and take intervention measures as soon as possible to reduce the incidence of delirium.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xuecai Fu
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Lina Wang
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Guihua Wang
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Xuefang Liu
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Xin Wang
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Shuiting Ma
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - Fengru Miao
- Geriatrics Department, Aerospace Center Hospital, No 15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China.
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Yang Y, Wang T, Guo H, Sun Y, Cao J, Xu P, Cai Y. Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Postoperative Delirium in Patients With Elderly Hip Fracture Based on Data Collected on Admission. Front Aging Neurosci 2022; 14:914002. [PMID: 35783136 PMCID: PMC9243358 DOI: 10.3389/fnagi.2022.914002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2022] [Accepted: 05/24/2022] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Delirium is a common postoperative complication in elderly hip fracture patients that seriously affects patients’ lives and health, and early delirium risk prediction, and targeted measures can significantly reduce the incidence of delirium. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram for the prediction of postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly hip fracture patients. A total of 328 elderly patients with hip fractures enrolled retrospectively in department 1 of our hospital were randomly divided into the training set (n = 230) and the internal validation set (n = 98). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used for feature variable selection, and multivariate logistic regression with a backward stepwise method was used to construct a nomogram in the training set. The discrimination efficacy and calibration efficacy of the nomogram were evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve, respectively. The clinical usefulness was estimated through decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) analysis. Another validation set from department 2 of our hospital, containing 76 elderly patients with hip fractures, was used for external validation of the nomogram. A total of 43 (13.1%) and 12 (15.8%) patients had POD in department 1 and department 2, respectively. The nomogram was constructed by three predictors, including dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and albumin level. The nomogram showed good discrimination efficacy and calibration efficacy, with the AUC of 0.791 (95% CI, 0.708–0.873), 0.820 (95% CI, 0.676–0.964), and 0.841 (95% CI, 0.717–0.966) in the training set, the internal validation set, and the external validation set, respectively. Both DCA and CIC demonstrated that this nomogram has good clinical usefulness. The nomogram constructed by dementia, COPD, and albumin level can be conveniently used to predict POD in patients with elderly hip fractures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yin Yang
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xi’an Central Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Tianpei Wang
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xi’an Central Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
- Graduate School, Shaanxi University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Xianyang, China
| | - Hua Guo
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xi’an Central Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Ye Sun
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xi’an Central Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
- Graduate School, Shaanxi University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Xianyang, China
| | - Junjun Cao
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xi’an Central Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Peng Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Xi’an Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
- *Correspondence: Peng Xu Yongsong Cai
| | - Yongsong Cai
- Department of Joint Surgery, Xi’an Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
- *Correspondence: Peng Xu Yongsong Cai
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Detecting Incident Delirium within Routinely Collected Inpatient Rehabilitation Data: Validation of a Chart-Based Method. Neurol Int 2021; 13:701-711. [PMID: 34940753 PMCID: PMC8705493 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint13040067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2021] [Revised: 10/30/2021] [Accepted: 11/15/2021] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Delirium is a brain condition associated with poor outcomes in rehabilitation. It is therefore important to assess delirium incidence in rehabilitation. Purpose: To develop and validate a chart-based method to identify incident delirium episodes within the electronic database of a Swiss rehabilitation clinic, and to identify a study population of validated incident delirium episodes for further research purposes. Design: Retrospective validation study. Settings: Routinely collected inpatient clinical data from ZURZACH Care. Participants: All patients undergoing rehabilitation at ZURZACH Care, Rehaklinik Bad Zurzach between 2015 and 2018 were included. Methods: Within the study population, we identified all rehabilitation stays for which ≥2 delirium-predictive key words (common terms used to describe delirious patients) were recorded in the medical charts. We excluded all prevalent delirium episodes and defined the remaining episodes to be potentially incident. At least two physicians independently confirmed or refuted each potential incident delirium episode by reviewing the patient charts. We calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for all potential incident delirium episodes and for specific subgroups. Results: Within 10,515 rehabilitation stays we identified 554 potential incident delirium episodes. Overall, 125 potential incident delirium episodes were confirmed by expert review. The PPV of the chart-based method varied from 0.23 (95% CI 0.19–0.26) overall to 0.69 (95% CI 0.56–0.79) in specific subgroups. Conclusions: Our chart-based method was able to capture incident delirium episodes with low to moderate accuracy. By conducting an additional expert review of the medical charts, we identified a study population of validated incident delirium episodes. Our chart-based method contributes towards an automated detection of potential incident delirium episodes that, supplemented with expert review, efficiently yields a validated population of incident delirium episodes for research purposes.
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Chu NM, Segev DL, McAdams-DeMarco MA. Delirium Among Adults Undergoing Solid Organ Transplantation. CURRENT TRANSPLANTATION REPORTS 2021; 8:118-126. [PMID: 35321347 PMCID: PMC8936706 DOI: 10.1007/s40472-021-00326-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Purpose of Review To summarize the research on post-operative delirium among patients undergoing solid organ transplantation in efforts to improve recognition, evaluation, and management, as well as highlight areas for future research. Recent Findings Delirium is a common complication in patients with organ failure before and after undergoing solid organ transplant (range: 4.7-47%). However, it is frequently unrecognized and underdiagnosed-even among those closely monitored after major surgery-given that its manifestation is often variable and inconsistent. Delirium has multifactorial etiologies comprising of a complex mix of predisposing recipient, donor, and transplant factors, as well as intraoperative and perioperative factors. Evidence suggests that delirium risk increases with presence of a greater number of such risk factors, and can lead to adverse outcomes such as increased hospital length of stay, time in the ICU, time on mechanical ventilators, graft dysfunction, graft loss, and mortality. Though no trials have been conducted among transplant populations specifically, delirium has been shown to be preventable among hospitalized older adults generally. Multicomponent, primary prevention strategies designed to target multiple risk factors of delirium, such as cognitive impairment, sleep deprivation, immobility, visual impairment, hearing impairment, and dehydration, have been identified as most effective. Whether these approaches translate to improvements in quality of life and long-term health outcomes among patients with organ failure before and after transplantation is yet to be determined. Summary Delirium is an important, common, yet potentially preventable complication among patients with organ failure. Future studies are needed to test the efficacy of multicomponent, primary prevention strategies on long-term health outcomes among these vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nadia M. Chu
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Dorry L. Segev
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
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