The Risk Prediction of Coronary Artery Lesions through the Novel Hematological Z-Values in 4 Chronological Age Subgroups of Kawasaki Disease

A prediction model for coronary artery abnormalities in children with Kawasaki disease older than 5 years

OBJECTIVE

Reliably prediction models for coronary artery abnormalities (CAA) in children aged >5 years with Kawasaki disease (KD) are still lacking. This study aimed to develop a nomogram model for predicting CAA at 4 to 8 weeks of illness in children with KD older than 5 years.

METHODS

A total of 644 eligible children were randomly assigned to a training cohort (n = 450) and a validation cohort (n = 194). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis was used for optimal predictors selection, and multivariate logistic regression was used to develop a nomogram model based on the selected predictors. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, Brier score, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess model performance.

RESULTS

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, intravenous immunoglobulin resistance, and maximum baseline z-score ≥ 2.5 were identified by LASSO as significant predictors. The model incorporating these variables showed good discrimination and calibration capacities in both training and validation cohorts. The AUC of the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.854 and 0.850, respectively. The DCA confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram model.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel nomogram model was established to accurately assess the risk of CAA at 4-8 weeks of onset among KD children older than 5 years, which may aid clinical decision-making.

Retrospective evaluation of 130 cases with kawasaki disease follow-up in a tertiary care center in Turkey between 1999 and 2019: a 20-year experience

OBJECTIVES

Kawasaki disease (KD), which is a medium vessel vasculitis, is common in Asian countries and is the most common cause of childhood-acquired heart diseases in developed countries. However, disease course and epidemiological data are limited in non-Asian developing countries like ours. We aimed to evaluate the clinical features and prognosis of patients with KD in our country and ethnicity, one of the referee centers of our country.

METHODS

Patients with KD in our center for the last 20 years in the pre-COVID-19 pandemic era were included in the study. The clinical and laboratory findings, treatments, and follow-up findings were reviewed retrospectively in different age groups.

RESULTS

Of the 130 patients, 82 (63%) were male. The median age at diagnosis was 2.97 years (2 months-11.5 years). Thirty-six (27.7%) patients were diagnosed with incomplete KD, and there was no significant laboratory difference between incomplete KD and complete KD patients. Thirty-three (25.3%) patients had coronary artery lesions (CAL), and it persisted in only 3 of 33 patients. One of 15 patients with IVIG resistance had CAL. The independent risk factors were days of illness at initial IVIG administration for CAL (p = 0.013, OR [95%CI] = 1.20 [1.04-1.38]) and low hemoglobin (p = 0.003, OR [95%CI] = 0.51 [0.33-0.79]) and low sodium for IVIG resistance (p = 0.012, OR [95%CI] = 0.81[0.69-0.95]).

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of CAL is approximately three times higher in our results than in the Japanese data in recent years. We showed that the time of IVIG administration is the most critical factor for preventing CAL. Wide-ranging studies are needed to decently predict the disease process according to the age and region of patients.

The Impact of Onset Age on Eosinophils in Kawasaki Disease

(1) Background: Kawasaki disease (KD) mainly affects children under the age of 5 years and eosinophilia in KD patients might be associated with the development of allergic diseases. We compared the age-adjusted Z-score (Z) of eosinophils and aimed to evaluate the impact of onset age on eosinophils in KD patients. (2) Methods: We divided 398 KD patients into seven age subgroups. Laboratory data and the age-adjusted Z-score of eosinophils during the phases of Kawasaki disease were analyzed. (3) Results: The absolute eosinophil count among all age groups showed significant differences in the post-intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) phase and throughout the course of KD with Z-score adjusted for age. Further analysis showed persistent elevation of the age-adjusted Z-score of eosinophils (Z-eosinophil) especially in the under six-month-old age subgroup. In addition, we divided the Z-eosinophil into two groups to find the relationship with coronary artery lesions (CALs). Patients with a higher eosinophil count than average age values had a higher risk of developing CALs, while those with a lower eosinophil count than average age values had a lower risk of having CALs. (4) Conclusions: These findings may provide information to clinicians to pay attention to allergic diseases during the follow-up of KD, especially for children who are younger than 6 months old at the onset of KD, and eosinophil count could be a crucial focus in KD.

Correct identification of incomplete Kawasaki disease

Incomplete Kawasaki disease (IKD) is characterized by a longer fever time, younger age of onset, and higher incidence of coronary artery disease compared with complete Kawasaki disease. Kawasaki disease is often difficult to diagnose early because of its incomplete clinical symptoms. This issue could delay treatment and harm the health of the child. This article reviews the clinical characteristics and pathogenesis of IKD to help clinicians understand the symptoms of IKD, make the correct diagnosis, and provide timely treatment.