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Diodato N, Seftigen K, Bellocchi G. Millennium-Scale Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Soil Moisture Influence on Western Mediterranean Cloudiness. RESEARCH (WASHINGTON, D.C.) 2025; 8:0606. [PMID: 40013260 PMCID: PMC11862910 DOI: 10.34133/research.0606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2024] [Revised: 10/18/2024] [Accepted: 01/16/2025] [Indexed: 02/28/2025]
Abstract
Understanding long-term historical changes in cloudiness is essential for elucidating Earth's climate dynamics and variability and its extremes. In this study, we present the first millennial-length reconstruction of the annual total cloud cover (TCC) in the western Mediterranean, covering the period from 969 to 2022 CE. Based on a comprehensive set of hydrological and atmospheric variables, our reconstruction reveals a nuanced pattern of cloudiness evolution over the past millennium. We observe an initial increase in cloudiness until 1600 CE, followed by a substantial decrease in TCC. This shift was driven by a confluence of factors, including the eruption of Mount Tambora in Indonesia in 1815, increased solar forcing, and a positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. These complex dynamics have brought modern warming cloud patterns closer to those observed during the medieval period before c. 1250, exceeding the background variability of the Little Ice Age (c. 1250 to 1849). In particular, recent decades have witnessed an unprecedented coupling of intense solar activity, high temperatures, and the lowest cloud cover on record. Our results highlight the importance of inter-oceanic-scale relationships between Atlantic forcing mechanisms and the TCC in shaping future trends in western Mediterranean cloudiness. This study provides valuable insights into the long-term dynamics of cloudiness and its implications for regional climate trends in the western Mediterranean and beyond.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nazzareno Diodato
- Met European Research Observatory—International Affiliates Program of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, 82100 Benevento, Italy
| | - Kristina Seftigen
- Department of Earth Sciences,
University of Gothenburg, 41390 Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Gianni Bellocchi
- Met European Research Observatory—International Affiliates Program of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, 82100 Benevento, Italy
- UCA, INRAE, VetAgro Sup, UREP, 63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France
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Wei C, Zhao P, Wang Y, Wang Y, Mo S, Zhou Y. Aerosol influence on cloud macrophysical and microphysical properties over the Tibetan Plateau and its adjacent regions. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2024; 31:30174-30195. [PMID: 38600373 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-024-33247-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2023] [Accepted: 04/04/2024] [Indexed: 04/12/2024]
Abstract
This study uses aerosol optical depth (AOD) and cloud properties data to investigate the influence of aerosol on the cloud properties over the Tibetan Plateau and its adjacent regions. The study regions are divided as the western part of the Tibetan Plateau (WTP), the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP), and the Sichuan Basin (SCB). All three regions show significant cloud effects under low aerosol loading conditions. In WTP, under low aerosol loading conditions, the effective radius of liquid cloud particles (LREF) decreases with the increase of aerosol loading, while the effective radius of ice cloud particles (IREF) and cloud top height (CTH) increase during the cold season. Increased aerosol loading might inhibit the development of warm rain processes, transporting more cloud droplets above the freezing level and promoting ice cloud development. During the warm season, under low aerosol loading conditions, both the cloud microphysical (LREF and IREF) and macrophysical (cloud top height and cloud fraction) properties increase with the increase of aerosol loading, likely due to higher dust aerosol concentration in this region. In IGP, both LREF and IREF increase with the increase in aerosol loading during the cold season. In SCB, LREF increases with the increase in aerosol loading, while IREF decreases, possibly due to the higher hygroscopic aerosol concentration in the SCB during the cold season. Meteorological conditions also modulate the aerosol-cloud interaction. Under different convective available potential energy (CAPE) and relative humidity (RH) conditions, the influence of aerosol on clouds varies in the three regions. Under low CAPE and RH conditions, the relationship between LREF and aerosol in both the cold and warm seasons is opposite in the WTP: LREF decreases with the increase of aerosol in the cold season, while it increases in the warm season. This discrepancy may be attributed to a difference in the moisture condition between the cold and warm seasons in this region. In general, the influence of aerosols on cloud properties in TP and its adjacent regions is characterized by significant nonlinearity and spatial variability, which is likely related to the differences in aerosol types and meteorological conditions between different regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chengqiang Wei
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China
| | - Pengguo Zhao
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China.
| | - Yuting Wang
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China
| | - Yuan Wang
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China
| | - Shuying Mo
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China
| | - Yunjun Zhou
- Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, China
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Assessment of Nighttime Cloud Cover Products from MODIS and Himawari-8 Data with Ground-Based Camera Observations. REMOTE SENSING 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/rs14040960] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Comparing cloud cover (CC) products from different satellites with the same ground-based CC dataset provides information on the similarities or differences of values among satellite products. For this reason, 42-month CC products from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer’s (MODIS) Collection 6.1 daily cloud cover products (MOD06_L2, MYD06_L2, MOD08_D3, and MYD08_D3) and Himawari-8 are compared with the ground-based camera datasets. The comparison shows that CC from MODIS differs from ground measurement CC by as much as 57% over Chiba, Japan, when low CC is observed by the camera. This indicates MODIS’s ability to capture high-level clouds that are not effectively seen from the ground. When the camera detects high CC, an indication of the presence of low-level clouds, CC from MODIS is relatively higher than the CC from the camera. In the case of Himawari-8 data, when the camera observes low CC, this difference is around 0.7%. This result indicates that high-level clouds are not effectively observed, but the Himawari-8 data correlates well with camera observations. When the camera observes high CC, Himawari-8-derived CC is lower by around 10% than CC from the camera. These results show the potential of continuous observations of nighttime clouds using the camera to provide a dataset that can be used for intercomparison among nighttime satellite CC products.
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Bontemps JD, Svensmark H. Diffuse sunlight and cosmic rays: Missing pieces of the forest growth change attribution puzzle? THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 806:150469. [PMID: 34563903 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150469] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2021] [Revised: 09/10/2021] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Forest growth changes have been a matter of intense research efforts since the 1980s. Owing to the variety of their environmental causes - mainly atmospheric CO2 increase, atmospheric N deposition, changes in temperature and water availability, and their interactions - their interpretation has remained challenging. Recent isolated researches suggest further effects of neglected environmental factors, namely changes in the diffuse fraction of light, more efficient to photosynthesis, and galactic cosmic rays (GCR), both emphasized in this Discussion paper. With growing awareness of GCR influence on global cloudiness (the cosmoclimatologic theory by H. Svensmark), GCR may thus cause trends in diffuse-light, and distinguishing between their direct/indirect influences on forest growth remains uncertain. This link between cosmic rays and diffuse sunlight also forms an alternative explanation to the geological evidence of a negative correlation between GCR and atmospheric CO2 concentration over the past 500 Myr. After a careful scrutiny of this literature and of key contributions in the field, we draw research options to progress further in this attribution. These include i) observational strategies intending to build on differences in the spatio-temporal dynamics of environmental growth factors, ranging from quasi-experiments to meta-analyses, ii) simulation strategies intending to quantify environmental factor's effects based on process-based ecosystem modelling, in a context where progresses for accounting for diffuse-light fraction are ongoing. Also, the hunt for tree-ring based proxies of GCR may offer the perspective of testing the GCR hypothesis on fully coupled forest growth samples.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Henrik Svensmark
- National Space Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Elektrovej, Building 328, 2800 Lyngby, Denmark.
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Post P, Aun M. Changes in satellite-based cloud parameters in the Baltic Sea region during spring and summer (1982–2015). ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH 2020. [DOI: 10.5194/asr-17-219-2020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract. The satellite-based cloud climate data record CLARA-A2
has been used to analyse regional average time-series and regional maps of
trends in the Baltic Sea region, 1982–2015. The investigated cloud
parameters were total fractional cloud cover and cloud top height. Cloud
observations from the Tartu-Tõravere meteorological station were used as
reference data for the same period. Fractional cloud cover from CLARA-A2 was
in a good agreement with in situ data regarding the maxima and minima years
and a downward trend in March over the 1982–2015 period. In June the
fractional cloud cover interannual variability was very high and no clear
trend was seen. For cloud top heights summer and spring regional averages
showed opposite signs of the trend: for June positive and for March
negative. Winter and autumn seasons have been left out of analysis due to
too large uncertainties in cloud products over latitudes higher than
60∘.
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Evaluation of CLARA-A2 and ISCCP-H Cloud Cover Climate Data Records over Europe with ECA&D Ground-Based Measurements. REMOTE SENSING 2019. [DOI: 10.3390/rs11020212] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Clouds are of high importance for the climate system but they still remain one of its principal uncertainties. Remote sensing techniques applied to satellite observations have assisted tremendously in the creation of long-term and homogeneous data records; however, satellite data sets need to be validated and compared with other data records, especially ground measurements. In the present study, the spatiotemporal distribution and variability of Total Cloud Cover (TCC) from the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) Cloud, Albedo And Surface Radiation dataset from AVHRR data—edition 2 (CLARA-A2) and the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project H-series (ISCCP-H) is analyzed over Europe. The CLARA-A2 data record has been created using measurements of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) instrument onboard the polar orbiting NOAA and the EUMETSAT MetOp satellites, whereas the ISCCP-H data were produced by a combination of measurements from geostationary meteorological satellites and the AVHRR instrument on the polar orbiting satellites. An intercomparison of the two data records is performed over their common period, 1984 to 2012. In addition, a comparison of the two satellite data records is made against TCC observations at 22 meteorological stations in Europe, from the European Climate Assessment & Dataset (ECA&D). The results indicate generally larger ISCCP-H TCC with respect to the corresponding CLARA-A2 data, in particular in the Mediterranean. Compared to ECA&D data, both satellite datasets reveal a reasonable performance, with overall mean TCC biases of 2.1 and 5.2% for CLARA-A2 and ISCCP-H, respectively. This, along with the higher correlation coefficients between CLARA-A2 and ECA&D TCC, indicates the better performance of CLARA-A2 TCC data.
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