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Lara-Castor L, O'Hearn M, Cudhea F, Miller V, Shi P, Zhang J, Sharib JR, Cash SB, Barquera S, Micha R, Mozaffarian D. Burdens of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease attributable to sugar-sweetened beverages in 184 countries. Nat Med 2025; 31:552-564. [PMID: 39762424 PMCID: PMC11835746 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-024-03345-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2024] [Accepted: 10/07/2024] [Indexed: 01/29/2025]
Abstract
The consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD). However, an updated and comprehensive assessment of the global burden attributable to SSBs remains scarce. Here we estimated SSB-attributable T2D and CVD burdens across 184 countries in 1990 and 2020 globally, regionally and nationally, incorporating data from the Global Dietary Database, jointly stratified by age, sex, educational attainment and urbanicity. In 2020, 2.2 million (95% uncertainty interval 2.0-2.3) new T2D cases and 1.2 million (95% uncertainty interval 1.1-1.3) new CVD cases were attributable to SSBs worldwide, representing 9.8% and 3.1%, respectively, of all incident cases. Globally, proportional SSB-attributable burdens were higher among men versus women, younger versus older adults, higher- versus lower-educated adults, and adults in urban versus rural areas. By world region, the highest SSB-attributable percentage burdens were in Latin America and the Caribbean (T2D: 24.4%; CVD: 11.3%) and sub-Saharan Africa (T2D: 21.5%; CVD: 10.5%). From 1990 to 2020, the largest proportional increases in SSB-attributable incident T2D and CVD cases were in sub-Saharan Africa (+8.8% and +4.4%, respectively). Our study highlights the countries and subpopulations most affected by cardiometabolic disease associated with SSB consumption, assisting in shaping effective policies and interventions to reduce these burdens globally.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Lara-Castor
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA.
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
| | - Meghan O'Hearn
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
- Food Systems for the Future Institute, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Frederick Cudhea
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Victoria Miller
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
- Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Peilin Shi
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jianyi Zhang
- Center for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Julia R Sharib
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sean B Cash
- Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Simon Barquera
- Research Center on Nutrition and Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico
| | - Renata Micha
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
- University of Thessaly, Volos, Greece
| | - Dariush Mozaffarian
- Food Is Medicine Institute, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA.
- Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
- Department of Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
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Forde H, Penney TL, White M, Adams J. Is Reformulation Still a Suitable Goal for Sugary Beverage Taxes? A Response to Recent Commentaries. Int J Health Policy Manag 2023; 12:8366. [PMID: 38618760 PMCID: PMC10843395 DOI: 10.34172/ijhpm.2023.8366] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/02/2023] [Indexed: 04/16/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Forde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Tarra L. Penney
- School of Global Health, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Martin White
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Jean Adams
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
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