Cost-effectiveness analysis of colorectal cancer screening in a low incidence country: The case of Saudi Arabia

A Comparison of International Modeling Methods for Evaluating Health Economics of Colorectal Cancer Screening: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is an accepted approach to evaluate cancer screening programs. CEA estimates partially depend on modeling methods and assumptions used. Understanding common practice when modeling cancer relies on complete, accessible descriptions of prior work. This review's objective is to comprehensively examine published CEA modeling methods used to evaluate colorectal cancer (CRC) screening from an aspiring modeler's perspective. It compares existing models, highlighting the importance of precise modeling method descriptions and essential factors when modeling CRC progression.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Scopus electronic databases were used. The Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards statement and data items from previous systematic reviews formed a template to extract relevant data. Specific focus included model type, natural history, appropriate data sources, and survival analysis.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight studies, with 52 unique models were found. Twelve previously published models were reported in 39 studies, with 39 newly developed models. CRC progression from the onset was commonly modeled, with only 6 models not including it as a model component.

CONCLUSIONS

Modeling methods needed to simulate CRC progression depend on the natural history structure and research requirements. For aspiring modelers, accompanying models with clear overviews and extensive modeling assumption descriptions are beneficial. Open-source modeling would also allow model replicability and result in appropriate decisions suggested for CRC screening programs.

Epidemiology and clinical characteristics of colorectal cancer and advanced adenoma: a single center experience in Jordan

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated the epidemiology and clinical characteristics of colorectal polyps to formulate an appropriate screening program.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted on all patients who underwent complete colonoscopy at Jordan University Hospital from January to September 2018. Demographics, comorbidities, lifestyle habits, medication history, family history of cancer, laboratory parameters, quality of bowel preparation, and polyp characteristics were evaluated. Binary logistic regression was utilized to find predictors of colorectal polyps.

RESULTS

A total of 965 patients were included in the study, with a mean age of 53.9 ± 17.1 years and a male predominance (52.7%). Polyps were detected in 28.1% of patients, with 18% having one polyp, 10.4% having two polyps, and 3.3% having more than two polyps. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that older age, high BMI, male gender, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, ischemic heart disease, and family history of CRC were positive predictors of polyps. The right colon (cecum and ascending colon) was the most common location for polyps (51%), followed by the sigmoid colon (24.8%). The most common histologic subtype of polyps was tubular adenoma (48.2%). The prevalence of CRC was 18.65 per 1000 patients.

CONCLUSION

We highlight the fair prevalence of colorectal polyps and CRC in a Jordanian cohort. Awareness campaigns, screening strategies, and promotion of healthy lifestyles could help alleviate the burden of the disease, particularly among patients with classical risk factors for CRC.

Age, frequency, and strategy optimization for organized colorectal cancer screening: a decision analysis conducted in China for the years 2023-2038

BACKGROUND

The colorectal cancer mortality rate in China has exceeded that in many developing countries and is expected to further increase owing to multiple factors, including the aging population. However, the optimal policy for colorectal cancer screening is unknown.

METHODS

We synthesized the most up-to-date data using a 12-state Markov model populated with a cohort of Chinese men and women born during 1949-1988, and evaluated 16 conventional and 40 risk-tailored schemes for colorectal cancer screening, considering possible combinations of age (starting at 40 + years and ending at 75 years), frequency, and strategy (standard colonoscopy, fecal immunochemical testing with colonoscopy if positive, or risk-tailored). We projected the incidence and mortality of CRC, cost, and quality-adjusted life years for 2023-2038; and performed incremental cost-effectiveness, probability acceptability, and sensitivity analyses to identify the optimal scheme and the factors affecting this choice.

RESULTS

By 2038, all standard colonoscopy, colonoscopy following fecal immunochemical testing, and risk-tailored schemes were effective in reshaping China's colorectal cancer trajectory, with relative reductions in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality rates of up to 34% and 33.7%, respectively, versus no screening. Two standard colonoscopy, one colonoscopy following fecal immunochemical testing, and four risk-tailored schemes were efficient using a starting age of 40 years. Among these options, a risk-tailored scheme (standard colonoscopy every 5 years for high-risk and annual fecal immunochemical testing screening for moderate-to-low-risk) had a high probability (31.1%) of being optimal (with ≥ 40% uptake for a high-risk population, in particular), given China's present per capita gross domestic product, and would yield the highest gain in quality-adjusted life years in 17 of 31 provinces.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest the commencement of colorectal cancer screening at 40 years of age in China, and that risk-tailored and some conventional schemes would be effective and cost-efficient. These findings should be valuable for policy-making regarding cancer control and resource allocation.

Colorectal Cancer (CRC) Screening Literacy and Facilitators Related to a Free Screening Program in Thailand

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate CRC screening literacy and to determine the association between demographic characteristics and levels of CRC screening literacy and facilitators motivating participation.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was carried out with 1,272 Thai citizens aged 50-70 years consenting to complete the screening protocol. Data were collected at the final visit by a self-reported questionnaire which was developed and validated using I-CVI=1. Difficulty of CRC screening knowledge dimension was tested by KR20, Cronbach's alpha 0.49.

RESULTS

The majority of participants, 834 (65.6%) had sufficient CRC screening literacy and association between characteristics and levels of CRC screening literacy was not different. Comparing between characteristics and facilitators showed significant differences in trusting healthcare providers, perceiving harmless procedures, having constipation and time available. By married and own income participants exhibited lower trust in healthcare providers, 68% (OR 0.32, 95%CI 0.14 - 0.73) and 59% (OR 0.41, 95%CI 0.19 - 0.95), respectively. Married individuals perceived the procedures of screening involved higher harm, 32% (OR 0.68, 95%CI 0.45 - 0.99). Female and age over 60 with constipation constituted higher screening, 1.9 fold (OR 1.93, 95%CI 1.44 - 2.60) and 1.4 fold (OR 1.44, 95%CI 1.09 - 1.90). Though time available, age over 60 was lower screening 56% (OR 0.44, 95%CI 0.24 - 0.80), while own income and income more than 30,000 THB/month participants constituted higher screening 15 fold (OR 15.14, 95%CI 4.72 - 48.56) and 2.5 fold (OR 2.50, 95%CI 1.50 - 4.18), respectively.

CONCLUSION

CRC screening literacy of participants was high. The association between characteristics and CRC screening literacy levels did not differ while characteristics and facilitators differed in some aspects. The free program promoted CRC screening equity; however, multilevel facilitators must be concerned, prioritized and intervened to motivate participation.

Colorectal Cancer Screening in the Middle East: What, Why, Who, When, and How?

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in the Middle East is increasing, especially among those younger than 50 years. Risk factors including obesity, sedentary lifestyle, and dietary changes are associated with the epidemiologic shift and are a result of socioeconomic changes happening in the region. Worldwide, CRC screening is associated with decreased incidence and mortality of CRC, but screening uptake is still low in the Middle East because of cultural barriers and lack of awareness; in addition, most countries do not have national screening programs. Knowledge of CRC screening and participation rates vary among different countries, but overall they are low. Both primary and secondary prevention approaches are needed in the Middle East, and cost-effectiveness is important in choosing screening modalities. Although colonoscopy is considered the most robust screening method, stool-based testing may be an acceptable screening strategy in resource-limited settings, and focusing on high-risk individuals such as those with hereditary CRC might be the most cost-effective strategy. In addition to financial limitations in many countries in the Middle East, human displacement places an extra toll on cancer control strategies in the region.

Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer (CRC) Screening on All-Cause and CRC-Specific Mortality Reduction: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: The aim of this study was to pool and compare all-cause and colorectal cancer (CRC) specific mortality reduction of CRC screening in randomized control trials (RCTs) and simulation models, and to determine factors that influence screening effectiveness. (2) Methods: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane library were searched for eligible studies. Multi-use simulation models or RCTs that compared the mortality of CRC screening with no screening in general population were included. CRC-specific and all-cause mortality rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by a bivariate random model. (3) Results: 10 RCTs and 47 model studies were retrieved. The pooled CRC-specific mortality rate ratios in RCTs were 0.88 (0.80, 0.96) and 0.76 (0.68, 0.84) for guaiac-based fecal occult blood tests (gFOBT) and single flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) screening, respectively. For the model studies, the rate ratios were 0.45 (0.39, 0.51) for biennial fecal immunochemical tests (FIT), 0.31 (0.28, 0.34) for biennial gFOBT, 0.61 (0.53, 0.72) for single FS, 0.27 (0.21, 0.35) for 10-yearly colonoscopy, and 0.35 (0.29, 0.42) for 5-yearly FS. The CRC-specific mortality reduction of gFOBT increased with higher adherence in both studies (RCT: 0.78 (0.68, 0.89) vs. 0.92 (0.87, 0.98), model: 0.30 (0.28, 0.33) vs. 0.92 (0.51, 1.63)). Model studies showed a 0.62-1.1% all-cause mortality reduction with single FS screening. (4) Conclusions: Based on RCTs and model studies, biennial FIT/gFOBT, single and 5-yearly FS, and 10-yearly colonoscopy screening significantly reduces CRC-specific mortality. The model estimates are much higher than in RCTs, because the simulated biennial gFOBT assumes higher adherence. The effectiveness of screening increases at younger screening initiation ages and higher adherences.

Informing a cost-effectiveness threshold for Saudi Arabia

BACKGROUND

Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 aims to reform health care across the Kingdom, with health technology assessment being adopted as one tool promising to improve the efficiency with which resources are used. An understanding of the opportunity costs of reimbursement decisions is key to fulfilling this promise and can be used to inform a cost-effectiveness threshold. This paper is the first to provide a range of estimates of this using existing evidence extrapolated to the context of Saudi Arabia.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We use four approaches to estimate the marginal cost per unit of health produced by the healthcare system; drawing from existing evidence provided by a cross-country analysis, two alternative estimates from the UK context, and based on extrapolating a UK estimate using evidence on the income elasticity of the value of health. Consequences of estimation error are explored.

RESULTS

Based on the four approaches, we find a range of SAR 42,046 per QALY gained (48% of GDP per capita) to SAR 215,120 per QALY gained (246% of GDP per capita). Calculated potential central estimates from the average of estimated health gains based on each source gives a range of SAR 50,000-75,000. The results are in line with estimates from the emerging literature from across the world.

CONCLUSION

A cost-effectiveness threshold reflecting health opportunity costs can aid decision-making. Applying a cost-effectiveness threshold based on the range SAR 50,000 to 75,000 per QALY gained would ensure that resource allocation decisions in healthcare can in be informed in a way that accounts for health opportunity costs.

LIMITATIONS

A limitation is that it is not based on a within-country study for Saudi Arabia, which represents a promising line of future work.

Disparities in Recommendations for Colorectal Cancer Screening Among Average-Risk Individuals: An Ecobiosocial Approach

Regardless of the high global burden of colorectal cancer (CRC), the uptake of CRC screening varies across countries. This systematic review aimed to provide a picture of the disparities in recommendations for CRC screening in average-risk individuals using an ecobiosocial approach. It was reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The literature search was conducted through Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, and EBSCOHost. Full-text guidelines which were published between 2011 and 2021, along with guidelines which provided recommendations on CRC screening in average-risk individuals, were included in the review. However, guidelines focusing only on a single screening modality were excluded. Fourteen guidelines fulfilling the eligibility criteria were retained for the final review and analysis. Quality assessment of each guideline was performed using the AGREE II instrument. Disparities in guidelines identified in this review were classified into ecological (screening modalities and strategies), biological (recommended age, gender and ethnicities), and social (smoking history, socioeconomic status, and behavior) factors. In general, unstandardized practices in CRC screening for average-risk individuals are likely attributable to the inconsistent and non-specific recommendations in the literature. This review calls on stakeholders and policymakers to review the existing colorectal cancer screening practices and pursue standardization.