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Chou YJ, Luo HL, Wang HJ, Huang SK, Hsieh YC, Wu WJ, Li CC, Weng HY, Tai TY, Chang CH, Wu HC, Lin PH, Pang JST, Chen CH, Hong JH, Tseng JS, Chen M, Chen IHA, Yu CC, Chen PC, Cheong IS, Tsai CY, Cheng PY, Jiang YH, Lee YK, Wang SS, Chen CS, Hsueh TY, Chen WC, Wu CC, Chen YT, Lin WY, Wu RCY, Lo CW, Moschini M, Soria F, Laukhtina E, Fazekas T, Chlosta M, Teoh JYC, Shariat SF, Tsai YC. Development and validation of a prediction model for early recurrence in upper tract urothelial carcinoma treated with radical nephroureterectomy. BMC Cancer 2025; 25:808. [PMID: 40307701 PMCID: PMC12042504 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-025-14180-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2025] [Accepted: 04/17/2025] [Indexed: 05/02/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Most cases of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) exhibit recurrence within the first year following surgery. The time from surgery to recurrence significantly impacts cancer-specific survival. In this study, we analyzed patients with localized UTUC (pTis-3N0/xcM0) who experienced postoperative recurrence to identify an appropriate early recurrence time point and the associated risk factors. METHODS From July 1988 to October 2022, we retrospectively analyzed 3435 localized UTUC patients after undergoing radical nephroureterectomy using Taiwan's UTUC Collaboration Group Database. Early recurrence time point was defined according to oncologic outcome. Variables including clinical and pathological characteristics were assessed in relation to early recurrence. A prediction model was constructed by factors associated with early recurrence and externally validated. RESULTS Early recurrence time point in localized UTUC was determined at 9 months post-surgery, with patients experiencing early recurrence exhibiting worse overall and cancer specific survival. Diabetes mellitus, multifocality, lympho-vascular invasion, tumor necrosis and pathologic T stage were independent factors associated with early recurrence. The predictive model for early recurrence achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95%CI: 0.82-0.86). External validation demonstrated that the model exhibited good discrimination (AUC: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.73-0.79), calibration (Brier score: 0.08) and clinical utility in a distinct cohort. CONCLUSIONS This study identified the optimal time point for early recurrence and its associated risk factors. A prediction model for early recurrence was developed based on these factors and validated externally, demonstrating good generalizability. This clinical tool can facilitate early identification of high-risk patients, enabling targeted surveillance and timely intervention. Future studies should explore effective treatment strategies for preventing early recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi-Ju Chou
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital, The Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, New Taipei, 23142, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, Buddhist Tzu Chi University, Hualien, 97004, Taiwan
| | - Hao-Lun Luo
- Department of Urology, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, 83301, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 33302, Taiwan
| | - Hung-Jen Wang
- Department of Urology, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, 83301, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 33302, Taiwan
| | - Steven K Huang
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, 71004, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Science Industries, College of Health Sciences, Chang Jung Christian University, Tainan, 71101, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Che Hsieh
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, 71004, Taiwan
| | - Wen-Jeng Wu
- Department of Urology, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, 80756, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, 80708, Taiwan
- Graduate Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, 80708, Taiwan
| | - Ching-Chia Li
- Department of Urology, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, 80756, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, 80708, Taiwan
- Graduate Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, 80708, Taiwan
| | - Han-Yu Weng
- Department of Urology, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, 70101, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, 70101, Taiwan
| | - Ta-Yao Tai
- Department of Urology, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, 70101, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, 70101, Taiwan
| | - Chao-Hsiang Chang
- Department of Urology, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, 40447, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, 40402, Taiwan
| | - Hsi-Chin Wu
- Department of Urology, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, 40447, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, 40402, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, China Medical University Beigang Hospital, Yunlin, 65152, Taiwan
| | - Po-Hung Lin
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 33302, Taiwan
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Chang , Gung Memorial Hospital at Linkou, Taoyuan, 33305, Taiwan
- Graduate Institute of Clinical Medical Science, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 33302, Taiwan
| | - Jacob See-Tong Pang
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Chang , Gung Memorial Hospital at Linkou, Taoyuan, 33305, Taiwan
| | - Chung-Hsin Chen
- Department of Urology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, 10002, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10002, Taiwan
| | - Jian-Hua Hong
- Department of Urology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, 10002, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10002, Taiwan
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan
| | - Jen-Shu Tseng
- Department of Urology, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, 10449, Taiwan
- Mackay Medical College, New Taipei, 25245, Taiwan
- Institute of Biomedical Informatics, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, 11221, Taiwan
| | - Marcelo Chen
- Department of Urology, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, 10449, Taiwan
- Mackay Medical College, New Taipei, 25245, Taiwan
- Mackay Junior College of Medicine, Nursing, and Management, Taipei, 11260, Taiwan
| | - I-Hsuan Alan Chen
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung, 81362, Taiwan
| | - Chia-Cheng Yu
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung, 81362, Taiwan
| | - Pi-Che Chen
- Department of Urology, Ditmanson Medical Foundation, Chiayi Christian Hospital, Chiayi, 60002, Taiwan
| | - Ian-Seng Cheong
- Department of Urology, Ditmanson Medical Foundation, Chiayi Christian Hospital, Chiayi, 60002, Taiwan
| | - Chung-You Tsai
- Department of Surgery, Divisions of Urology, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei, 22060, Taiwan
- Department of Electrical Engineering, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan, 32003, Taiwan
| | - Pai-Yu Cheng
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan
- Department of Surgery, Divisions of Urology, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei, 22060, Taiwan
| | - Yuan-Hong Jiang
- School of Medicine, Buddhist Tzu Chi University, Hualien, 97004, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, 97002, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Khun Lee
- School of Medicine, Buddhist Tzu Chi University, Hualien, 97004, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, 97002, Taiwan
| | - Shian-Shiang Wang
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, 40705, Taiwan
- Institute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, 40201, Taiwan
- Department of Applied Chemistry, National Chi Nan University, Nantou, 54561, Taiwan
| | - Chuan-Shu Chen
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, 40705, Taiwan
- Institute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, 40201, Taiwan
- Department of Senior Citizen Service Management, National Taichung University of Science and Technology, Taichung, 40401, Taiwan
| | - Thomas Y Hsueh
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taipei City Hospital Ren-Ai Branch, Taipei, 10629, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, 11221, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Chieh Chen
- Department of Urology, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan
| | - Chia-Chang Wu
- Department of Urology, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei, 23561, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan
- TMU Research Center of Urology and Kidney (TMU-RCUK), Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan
| | - Yung-Tai Chen
- Department of Urology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, 10002, Taiwan
- Department of Urology, Postal Hospital, Taipei, 10078, Taiwan
- 40Department of Urology, Taiwan , Adventist Hospital, Taipei, 10556, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Yu Lin
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 33302, Taiwan
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chia-Yi, 61363, Taiwan
- Chang Gung University of Science and Technology, Chia-Yi, 61363, Taiwan
| | - Richard Chen-Yu Wu
- Department of Urology, E-Da Hospital, Kaohsiung, 82445, Taiwan
- Department of Information Engineering, I-Shou University, Kaohsiung, 84001, Taiwan
| | - Chi-Wen Lo
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital, The Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, New Taipei, 23142, Taiwan
| | - Marco Moschini
- Department of Urology, IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital and Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Francesco Soria
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgical Sciences, San Giovanni Battista Hospital, University of Studies of Torino, Turin, Italy
| | - Ekaterina Laukhtina
- Department of Urology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Tamás Fazekas
- Department of Urology, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Marcin Chlosta
- Clinic of Urology and Urological Oncology, Jagiellonian University, Krakow, Poland
| | - Jeremy Yuen-Chun Teoh
- Department of Surgery, S.H. Ho Urology Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Shahrokh F Shariat
- Department of Urology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Department of Urology, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas, Dallas, TX, USA
- Hourani Center for Applied Scientific Research, Al-Ahliyya Amman University, Amman, Jordan
- Karl Landsteiner Institute of Urology and Andrology, Vienna, Austria
- Department of Urology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA
| | - Yao-Chou Tsai
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital, The Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, New Taipei, 23142, Taiwan.
- School of Medicine, Buddhist Tzu Chi University, Hualien, 97004, Taiwan.
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Gao X, Zhou L, Ai J, Wang W, Di X, Peng L, Liao B, Jin X, Li H, Wang K. The Impact of Diabetes on the Prognosis of Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma After Radical Nephroureterectomy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Front Oncol 2021; 11:741145. [PMID: 34733784 PMCID: PMC8558518 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.741145] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2021] [Accepted: 10/04/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Studies have reported that diabetes is related to the prognosis of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU), but this conclusion is still controversial. Here, we performed a meta-analysis to comprehensively explore the association between diabetes and UTUC prognosis. Methods In November 2020, we searched PubMed, Web of science and the Cochrane Library to find relevant studies that evaluated the effect of diabetes on the prognosis of UTUC. The Newcastle Ottawa Scale was used to assess the quality of the literature. Review Manager 5.3 was used to pool cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and intravesical recurrence (IVR). Results A total of 10 studies with 11,303 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Our pooled results showed that diabetes did not affect the survival outcome of UTUC, including CSS (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 0.89-1.98; P = 0.16), OS (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 0.77-1.80; P = 0.45) and RFS (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 0.91-2.05; P = 0.13). However, diabetes increased the risk of IVR of UTUC patients (HR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.11-1.43; P = 0.0004). Conclusion Although diabetes has no significant impact on the survival outcomes of UTUC after RNU, it increases the risk of IVR. Therefore, special attention should be paid to monitoring the IVR for UTUC patients with diabetes and the necessity of appropriate intravesical adjuvant treatment when needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoshuai Gao
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Liang Zhou
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jianzhong Ai
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Xingpeng Di
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Liao Peng
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Banghua Liao
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Xi Jin
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Hong Li
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Kunjie Wang
- Department of Urology, Institute of Urology (Laboratory of Reconstructive Urology), West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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Tay ZY, Kao HK, Lien KH, Hung SY, Huang Y, Tsang NM, Chang KP. The impact of preoperative glycated hemoglobin levels on outcomes in oral squamous cell carcinoma. Oral Dis 2020; 26:1449-1458. [PMID: 32426892 DOI: 10.1111/odi.13433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2020] [Revised: 04/28/2020] [Accepted: 05/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to investigate the association between preoperative glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and the treatment outcomes of oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). METHODS Three hundred and fifty-eight OSCC patients were consecutively enrolled between July 2004 and July 2016. Clinicopathological parameters and survival outcomes were analyzed following HbA1c stratification of 6.5% (HbA1c ≥ 6.5%: n = 74, 20.6%) and 7.0% (HbA1c ≥ 7.0%: n = 53, 14.8%). RESULTS Higher HbA1c levels were associated with elevated body mass index, lower albumin levels, wider surgical margins, and prolonged hospital stays (HbA1c 6.5%: p = .001, .048, .030, .009, respectively; HbA1c 7.0%: p = .092, .032, .009, .015, respectively). Survival rates stratified by HbA1c 6.5% were as follows: locoregional recurrence-free survival, p = .014; distant metastasis-free survival, p = .013; second primary cancer-free survival, p = .015; overall survival, p = .014; disease-specific survival, p = .002 and HbA1c 7.0%: locoregional recurrence-free survival, p = .013; distant metastasis-free survival, p = .013; second primary cancer-free survival, p = .014; overall survival, p = .015; disease-specific survival, p = .004. Multivariate analyses identified HbA1c as an independent prognostic factor for overall and disease-specific survival (HbA1c 6.5%: p = .014 and .002, respectively; HbA1c 7.0%: p = .036 and .013, respectively). CONCLUSIONS Oral squamous cell carcinoma patients with higher preoperative HbA1c levels had longer hospitalization and worse survival outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ze Yun Tay
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.,Department of Otolaryngology, Sengkang General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Huang-Kai Kao
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.,College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Kuang-Hsu Lien
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Shao-Yu Hung
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Yenlin Huang
- College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.,Department of Pathology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Ngan-Ming Tsang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Kai-Ping Chang
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.,College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
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