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Thomsen CHN, Kronborg T, Hangaard S, Vestergaard P, Hejlesen O, Jensen MH. Personalized Prediction of Change in Fasting Blood Glucose Following Basal Insulin Adjustment in People With Type 2 Diabetes: A Proof-of-Concept Study. J Diabetes Sci Technol 2025; 19:769-777. [PMID: 37786283 PMCID: PMC12035325 DOI: 10.1177/19322968231201400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/04/2023]
Abstract
AIMS For people with type 2 diabetes treated with basal insulin, suboptimal glycemic control due to clinical inertia is a common issue. Determining the optimal basal insulin dose can be difficult, as it varies between individuals. Thus, insulin titration can be slow and cautious which may lead to treatment fatigue and non-adherence. A model that predicts changes in fasting blood glucose (FBG) after adjusting basal insulin dose may lead to more optimal titration, reducing some of these challenges. OBJECTIVE To predict the change in FBG following adjustment of basal insulin in people with type 2 diabetes using a machine learning framework. METHODS A multiple linear regression model was developed based on 786 adults with type 2 diabetes. Data were divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) sets using a ranking approach. Forward feature selection and fivefold cross-validation were used to select features. RESULTS Participants had a mean age of approximately 59 years, a mean duration of diabetes of 12 years, and a mean HbA1c at screening of 65 mmol/mol (8.1%). Chosen features were FBG at week 2, basal insulin dose adjustment from week 2 to 7, trial site, hemoglobin level, and alkaline phosphatase level. The model achieved a relative absolute error of 0.67, a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.74, and a coefficient of determination of 0.55. CONCLUSIONS A model using FBG, insulin doses, and blood samples can predict a five-week change in FBG after adjusting the basal insulin dose in people with type 2 diabetes. Implementation of such a model can potentially help optimize titration and improve glycemic control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Camilla Heisel Nyholm Thomsen
- Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Steno Diabetes Center North Denmark, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Thomas Kronborg
- Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Steno Diabetes Center North Denmark, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Stine Hangaard
- Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Steno Diabetes Center North Denmark, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Peter Vestergaard
- Steno Diabetes Center North Denmark, Aalborg, Denmark
- Department of Endocrinology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Ole Hejlesen
- Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Morten Hasselstrøm Jensen
- Department of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
- Data Science, Novo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark
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Wang S, Jia B, Niu S, Chen S. Relationship Between the Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte Count, Platelet Count (HALP) Score and Type 2 Diabetes Retinopathy. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes 2024; 17:2693-2706. [PMID: 39007156 PMCID: PMC11246656 DOI: 10.2147/dmso.s467799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2024] [Accepted: 06/21/2024] [Indexed: 07/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose To explore the correlation between hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte count, platelet count (HALP) score and type 2 diabetic retinopathy (DR). Methods The study was conducted on 674 patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). According to the results of the fundus examination, they were divided into non-diabetic retinopathy group (NDR, n=388) and diabetic retinopathy group (DR, n=286). Collected patients baseline data, calculated HALP score, analyzed the correlation between HALP score and DR. Results In all patients, male patients and female patients, the HALP score of the DR group was lower than that of the NDR group (P<0.001), and the HALP score was negatively correlated with the incidence of DR (P<0.05). HALP score was independent risk factors for DR, regardless of gender. In male patients, HALP score and DR had a linear relationship, but in female patients, HALP score and DR showed a nonlinear relationship, and HALP score was more sensitive to the onset of DR in male patients. The combined diagnostic model of HALP score, course of disease, SBP and BUN was used to diagnose DR, and it was found that the diagnostic value was the highest among male patients, with AUC of 0.761, sensitivity of 58.3% and specificity of 80.3%. Conclusion HALP score was an independent risk factor for DR, attention should be paid to monitoring HALP score, especially in male T2DM patients. The accuracy of HALP score, disease course, SBP and BUN combined model diagnosis of DR was high, which can become a biological indicator for early screening of DR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuqi Wang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
- Department of Endocrinology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
| | - Boying Jia
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
- Department of Endocrinology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
| | - Sifan Niu
- Department of Endocrinology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
- Department of Internal Medicine, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, People's Republic of China
| | - Shuchun Chen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
- Department of Endocrinology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China
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Hou H, Pang L, Zhao L, Liu Z, Xing JH. Hemoglobin as a prognostic marker for neurological outcomes in post-cardiac arrest patients: a meta-analysis. Sci Rep 2023; 13:18531. [PMID: 37898729 PMCID: PMC10613227 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-45818-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2023] [Accepted: 10/24/2023] [Indexed: 10/30/2023] Open
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between serum level of hemoglobin and neurological outcomes following cardiac arrest. Relevant studies were identified by searching electronic databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Embase from June 2012 through April 2023. Articles were rigorously reviewed for their study inclusion and exclusion criteria. Pooled effect date was determined using the standardized mean difference (SMD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate study quality. Subgroup analyses were conducted to determine confounding factors affecting patient outcomes. Study heterogeneity, sensitivity, and publication bias were also determined.This meta-analysis included 11 studies involving 2519 patients. Our results suggest that high serum level of hemoglobin may improve neurological prognosis(SMD = 0.60, 95%CI = 0.49-0.71, I2 = 10.85). The findings of this study indicate that serum level of hemoglobin may be associated with better neurological prognosis, perhaps an appropriate increase in serum haemoglobin levels can improve the neurological prognosis of patients in cardiac arrest.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongxiang Hou
- Department of Emergency, the First Hospital of Jilin University, Xinmin Street 1, Chaoyang District, Changchun, China
| | - Li Pang
- Department of Emergency, the First Hospital of Jilin University, Xinmin Street 1, Chaoyang District, Changchun, China
| | - Liang Zhao
- Rehabilitation Department, the First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Zuolong Liu
- Department of Emergency, the First Hospital of Jilin University, Xinmin Street 1, Chaoyang District, Changchun, China
| | - Ji-Hong Xing
- Department of Emergency, the First Hospital of Jilin University, Xinmin Street 1, Chaoyang District, Changchun, China.
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Cheng T, Wang X, Han Y, Hao J, Hu H, Hao L. The level of serum albumin is associated with renal prognosis and renal function decline in patients with chronic kidney disease. BMC Nephrol 2023; 24:57. [PMID: 36922779 PMCID: PMC10018824 DOI: 10.1186/s12882-023-03110-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2022] [Accepted: 03/07/2023] [Indexed: 03/17/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The study's purpose is to explore the link of serum albumin on renal progression in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS This study was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study in which a total of 954 participants were non-selectively and consecutively collected from the research of CKD-ROUTE in Japan between November 2010 and December 2011. We evaluated the association between baseline ALB and renal prognosis (initiation of dialysis or 50% decline in eGFR from baseline) and renal function decline (annual eGFR decline) using the Cox proportional-hazards and linear regression models, respectively. We performed a number of sensitivity analyses to ensure the validity of the results. In addition, we performed subgroup analyses. RESULTS The included patients had a mean age of (66.86 ± 13.41) years, and 522 (69.23%) were male. The mean baseline ALB and eGFR were (3.89 ± 0.59) g/dL and (33.43 ± 17.97) ml/min/1.73 m2. The annual decline in eGFR was 2.65 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. 218 (28.9%) individuals experienced renal prognosis during a median follow-up period of 36.0 months. The baseline ALB was inversely linked with renal prognosis (HR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.45, 0.81) and renal function decline (β = -1.41, 95%CI: -2.11, -0.72) after controlling for covariates. The renal prognosis and ALB had a non-linear connection, with ALB's inflection point occurring at 4.3 g/dL. Effect sizes (HR) were 0.42 (0.32, 0.56) and 6.11 (0.98, 38.22) on the left and right sides of the inflection point, respectively. There was also a non-linear relationship between ALB and renal function decline, and the inflection point of ALB was 4.1 g/dL. The effect sizes(β) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were -2.79(-3.62, -1.96) and 0.02 (-1.97, 1.84), respectively. CONCLUSION This study shows a negative and non-linear association between ALB and renal function decline as well as renal prognosis in Japanese CKD patients. When ALB is lower than 4.1 g/dL, ALB decline was closely related to poor renal prognosis and renal function decline. From a therapeutic point of view, reducing the decline in ALB makes sense for delaying CKD progression.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tong Cheng
- Department of Nephrology, Southern University of Science and Technology Hospital, No. 6019 Liuxian Street, Xili Avenue, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Xiaoyu Wang
- Department of Nephrology, Hechi People's Hospital, Hechi, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 547000, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Jianbing Hao
- Department of Nephrology, Southern University of Science and Technology Hospital, No. 6019 Liuxian Street, Xili Avenue, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
| | - Lirong Hao
- Department of Nephrology, Southern University of Science and Technology Hospital, No. 6019 Liuxian Street, Xili Avenue, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
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Pan W, Han Y, Hu H, He Y. Association between hemoglobin and chronic kidney disease progression: a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study in Japanese patients. BMC Nephrol 2022; 23:295. [PMID: 35999502 PMCID: PMC9400271 DOI: 10.1186/s12882-022-02920-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Anemia has been reported as a risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However, there are still few studies examining the relationship between specific hemoglobin (Hb) levels and renal prognosis and renal function decline simultaneously. Meanwhile, the possible non-linear relationship between Hb and CKD progression also deserves further exploration. On that account, our primary goal is to explore the link of Hb on renal prognosis and renal function decline in patients with CKD. METHODS This study was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study, which consecutively and non-selectively collected 962 participants from the research of CKD-ROUTE in Japan from November 2010 to December 2011. We used the Cox proportional-hazards and linear regression models to evaluate the independent association between baseline Hb and renal prognosis (renal composite endpoint, initiation of dialysis during follow-up or 50% decline in eGFR from baseline) and renal function decline(annual eGFR decline), respectively. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with cubic spline functions model and smooth curve fitting (penalized spline method) were conducted to address Hb and CKD prognosis's non-linearity. At the same time, a generalized additive model (GAM) and smooth curve fitting (penalized spline method) was conducted to explore the exact shape of the curve between Hb and renal function decline. Additionally, we did a series of sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness of the results. Moreover, we conducted subgroup analyses. RESULTS The mean age of the included patients was 67.35 ± 13.56 years old, and 69.65% were male. The mean baseline Hb and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 12.06 ± 2.21 g/dL and 33.04 ± 18.01 ml/min per 1.73 m2. The annual decline in eGFR was 2.09 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. During a median follow-up time of 33.5 months, 252(26.2%) people experienced renal composite endpoint. After adjusting covariates, the results showed that Hb was negatively associated with renal composite endpoint (HR = 0.836, 95%CI: 0.770, 0.907) and renal function decline (β = -0.436, 95%CI: -0.778, -0.093). There was also a non-linear relationship between Hb and renal composite endpoint, and the inflection point of Hb was 8.6 g/dL. The effect sizes(HR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 1.257 (0.841, 1.878) and 0.789 (0.715, 0.870), respectively. And the sensitive analysis demonstrated the robustness of the results. Subgroup analysis showed that Hb was more strongly associated with the renal composite endpoint in non-hypertensive, SBP < 140 mmHg, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) < 0.5 g/gCr, and diuretic use patients. In contrast, the weaker association was probed in hypertensive and non-diuretic use patients and the patients with SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, and UPCR ≥ 0.5 g/gCr. CONCLUSION This study demonstrates a negative and non-linear relationship between Hb and renal prognosis and renal function decline in Japanese CKD patients. Hb is strongly related to renal prognosis when Hb is above 8.6 g/dL.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wushan Pan
- Department of Nephrology, Kaifeng Central Hospital, Kaifeng, 475000, Henan Province, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.,Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Futian District, No.3002 Sungang Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China. .,Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Yongcheng He
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, Baoan District, No. 20 Yintian Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
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Sookaromdee P, Wiwanitkit V. Admission hemoglobin level and prognosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus and possible confounding factors: Correspondence. World J Diabetes 2022; 13:420-421. [PMID: 35664548 PMCID: PMC9134024 DOI: 10.4239/wjd.v13.i5.420] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2022] [Revised: 03/12/2022] [Accepted: 04/21/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
This letter to editor discusses on the publication on admission hemoglobin level and prognosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus. A comment on published article is raised. The specific confounding conditions on the hemoglobin level are mentioned. Concerns on clinal application are raised and discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pathum Sookaromdee
- Private Consultant, Private Academic Consultant, Bangkok 23020202, Thailand
| | - Viroj Wiwanitkit
- Department of Community Medicine, DY Patil University, Pune 2223043003, India
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