Ultrasound Findings of Plasma Leakage in Dengue Fever

Predictive markers for the early prognosis of dengue severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Predictive markers represent a solution for the proactive management of severe dengue. Despite the low mortality rate resulting from severe cases, dengue requires constant examination and round-the-clock nursing care due to the unpredictable progression of complications, posing a burden on clinical triage and material resources. Accordingly, identifying markers that allow for predicting disease prognosis from the initial diagnosis is needed. Given the improved pathogenesis understanding, myriad candidates have been proposed to be associated with severe dengue progression. Thus, we aim to review the relationship between the available biomarkers and severe dengue.

METHODOLOGY

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the differences in host data collected within 72 hours of fever onset amongst the different disease severity levels. We searched nine bibliographic databases without restrictive criteria of language and publication date. We assessed risk of bias and graded robustness of evidence using NHLBI quality assessments and GRADE, respectively. This study protocol is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42018104495).

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Of 4000 records found, 40 studies for qualitative synthesis, 19 for meta-analysis. We identified 108 host and viral markers collected within 72 hours of fever onset from 6160 laboratory-confirmed dengue cases, including hematopoietic parameters, biochemical substances, clinical symptoms, immune mediators, viral particles, and host genes. Overall, inconsistent case classifications explained substantial heterogeneity, and meta-analyses lacked statistical power. Still, moderate-certainty evidence indicated significantly lower platelet counts (SMD -0.65, 95% CI -0.97 to -0.32) and higher AST levels (SMD 0.87, 95% CI 0.36 to 1.38) in severe cases when compared to non-severe dengue during this time window.

CONCLUSION

The findings suggest that alterations of platelet count and AST level-in the first 72 hours of fever onset-are independent markers predicting the development of severe dengue.

Ultrasound in Dengue: A Scoping Review

To improve dengue triage and treatment decisions, the WHO recommends classifying the disease as dengue with or without warning signs or severe dengue. Vascular leakage is a key component of the pathophysiology of severe dengue and is detectable by ultrasound. The objective of this scoping review is to describe the primary literature on the use of ultrasound in dengue, summarize the findings, and identify knowledge gaps. Our database search retrieved 1,489 records which were reduced to 177 studies following eligibility screening. Descriptive analyses were conducted. Results showed most studies are from South Asia (n = 92, 52%) and assessed hospitalized dengue patients (130, 82%). Radiologists were the most reported ultrasonographers (14, 8%), and conventional ultrasound (39, 68%) was preferred over portable (9, 16%). The most common ultrasound findings in dengue were ascites (107, 60%), pleural effusion (102, 58%), and gallbladder wall thickening (97, 55%). However, the lack of a standard protocol to perform the ultrasound examination in dengue patients hinders conclusions about the frequency of ultrasound findings in dengue. Given the progress of current ultrasound technology, a focused point-of-care ultrasound protocol for early detection of vascular leakage in dengue is needed to generate the evidence required for its implementation in routine care.