Non-invasive markers as predictors of oesophageal varices in cirrhotic patient in a teaching hospital in Ghana

Assessment of the Child-Pugh Score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score, Fibrosis-4 Index, and AST to Platelet Ratio Index as Non-endoscopic Predictors of the Presence of Esophageal Varices and Variceal Bleeding in Chronic Liver Disease Patients

Background Esophageal varices (EVs) develop as a complication of chronic liver disease and, when left unaddressed, can lead to variceal hemorrhage manifesting as severe hematemesis and occasionally, melena. Due to its frequent negative associations, early diagnosis and the implementation of non-selective beta blocker primary prophylaxis are imperative. Although upper gastrointestinal endoscopy has historically been used to image and identify EVs, patients frequently find this intrusive treatment to be uncomfortable and burdensome. It can also be expensive and challenging for patients who live in remote places and healthcare deserts, where access to healthcare is limited. Therefore, it is crucial to identify non-invasive markers for the prediction of variceal bleeding and EVs in individuals with chronic liver disease. Methodology A cross-sectional observational study was done at Osmania General Hospital, a tertiary healthcare center in Hyderabad, India. The study sample consisted of patients with chronic liver disease who underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy during the study period in keeping with the inclusion and exclusion criteria. In a sample of 103 patients, the mean age was 10.72±45.55 years, with 22 females (21.4%) and 81 males (78.6%). The majority (85, 82.5%) had alcoholic chronic liver disease, while 14 (13.6%) had other etiologies, and four (3.9%) had infectious causes. Data were collected to calculate the Child-Pugh score, AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. The patients were observed and followed up for a duration of three months. The data were evaluated using chi-squared tests and independent t-tests, chosen according to their relevance, to assess the utility of these scores as non-endoscopic predictors of EVs and esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB). Results The results indicated that only the FIB-4 index was found to be a significant predictor of Grade 2 or higher grades of EV according to the Pacquet classification. The FIB-4 index was significantly higher in the Grade 2 or higher EV group (p = 0.029) with t(101) = 1.98. Conclusion Thus, the study demonstrates that ≥ Grade 2 EV on upper gastrointestinal endoscopy can be predicted using the FIB-4 index. Even though our study shows that the FIB-4 index is a useful noninvasive predictor of EV, large-scale studies with bigger sample sizes and longer follow-up times are necessary to ensure accurate clinical application.

Platelet counts to spleen diameter ratio: A promising noninvasive tool for predicting esophageal varices in cirrhosis patients

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis is the end stage of progressive liver fibrosis as a consequence of chronic liver inflammation, wherein the standard hepatic architecture is replaced by regenerative hepatic nodules, which eventually lead to liver failure. Cirrhosis without any symptoms is referred to as compensated cirrhosis. Complications such as ascites, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy indicate the onset of decompensated cirrhosis. Gastroesophageal varices are the hallmark of clinically significant portal hypertension.

AIM

To determine the accuracy of the platelet count-to-spleen diameter (PC/SD) ratio to evaluate esophageal varices (EV) in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study was conducted at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital and Adera Medical Center from January 1, 2019, to December 30, 2023. Data were collected via chart review and direct patient interviews using structured questionnaires. The data were exported to the SPSS software version 26 for analysis and clearance. A receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted for splenic diameter, platelet count, and PC/SD ratio to obtain sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio.

RESULTS

Of the 140 participants, 67% were men. Hepatitis B (38%) was the most common cause of cirrhosis, followed by cryptogenic cirrhosis (28%) and hepatitis C (16%). Approximately 83.6% of the participants had endoscopic evidence of EV, whereas 51.1% had gastric varices. Decompensated cirrhosis and PC were associated with the presence of EV with adjusted odds ratios of 12.63 (95%CI: 3.16-67.58, P = 0.001) and 0.14 (95%CI: 0.037-0.52, P = 0.004), respectively. A PC/SD ratio < 1119 had a sensitivity of 86.32% and specificity of 70% with area under the curve of 0.835 (95%CI: 0.736-0.934, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A PC/SD ratio < 1119 predicts EV in patients with cirrhosis. It is a valuable, noninvasive tool for EV risk assessment in resource-limited settings.

Platelet counts to spleen diameter ratio: A promising noninvasive tool for predicting esophageal varices in cirrhosis patients

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis is the end stage of progressive liver fibrosis as a consequence of chronic liver inflammation, wherein the standard hepatic architecture is replaced by regenerative hepatic nodules, which eventually lead to liver failure. Cirrhosis without any symptoms is referred to as compensated cirrhosis. Complications such as ascites, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy indicate the onset of decompensated cirrhosis. Gastroesophageal varices are the hallmark of clinically significant portal hypertension.

AIM

To determine the accuracy of the platelet count-to-spleen diameter (PC/SD) ratio to evaluate esophageal varices (EV) in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study was conducted at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital and Adera Medical Center from January 1, 2019, to December 30, 2023. Data were collected via chart review and direct patient interviews using structured questionnaires. The data were exported to the SPSS software version 26 for analysis and clearance. A receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted for splenic diameter, platelet count, and PC/SD ratio to obtain sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio.

RESULTS

Of the 140 participants, 67% were men. Hepatitis B (38%) was the most common cause of cirrhosis, followed by cryptogenic cirrhosis (28%) and hepatitis C (16%). Approximately 83.6% of the participants had endoscopic evidence of EV, whereas 51.1% had gastric varices. Decompensated cirrhosis and PC were associated with the presence of EV with adjusted odds ratios of 12.63 (95%CI: 3.16-67.58, P = 0.001) and 0.14 (95%CI: 0.037-0.52, P = 0.004), respectively. A PC/SD ratio < 1119 had a sensitivity of 86.32% and specificity of 70% with area under the curve of 0.835 (95%CI: 0.736-0.934, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A PC/SD ratio < 1119 predicts EV in patients with cirrhosis. It is a valuable, noninvasive tool for EV risk assessment in resource-limited settings.

[Not Available]

INTRODUCTION

Esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB) is one of the main causes of mortality and morbidity in cirrhotic patients. Non-invasive tests (NIT) of liver fibrosis have been developed to predict the presence of esophageal varices (EV).

AIM

To evaluate the performance of NIT of liver fibrosis such as liver transient elastography (TE) and serum scores in predicting EV.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective collecting patients with chronic liver disease. TE and serum scores were evaluated for all patients and correlated with endoscopic data.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifty patients were included with an average age of 58.98 years and a sex ratio of 0.68. Sixty-seven patients were cirrhotic. Viral origin C was found in 72% of cases. Thirty-three patients had EV. NIT of liver fibrosis such as TE and serum scores were statistically correlated to the presence of EV. TE had the better performance for the prediction of EV with a Cut-off of 13.5 Kpa and AUC of 0.855. In multivariate analysis, TE, AST to ALT ratio and platelet count were independent predictors of EV.

CONCLUSION

The performance of TE and serum scores in the diagnosis of EV and LEV was demonstrated. These results suggest that NIT of liver fibrosis make it possible to select patients who are candidates for gastroscopy.

Prevalence and risk factors of hypertension among adolescents living in Ghana

This study assessed the prevalence of and risk factors for hypertension among adolescents in two selected districts in Ghana. The data were analyzed using SPSS version 24. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the risk factors of hypertension among adolescents. The overall prevalence of high blood pressure (BP) was 11.6%. The non-modifiable risk factors that predicted high BP were district of residence (Adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.328, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.328-0.203), age (AOR = 1.540, 95%CI = 1.240-1.913), relationship status (AOR = 1.960 95%CI = 1.059-3.628) and possessing a phone (AOR = 0.538, 95%CI = 0.325-0.890). The modifiable risk factors that predicted high BP were high BMI, not checking BP regularly, and not having an awareness of salt intake. In accordance with these results, prevention programs must focus on adolescent knowledge, lifestyle practices, and attitudes toward control measures. It is important to incorporate health education in school curricula to promote a healthy lifestyle and limit the risks associated with high BP.

Nomogram model for predicting esophsagogastric varices in hepatocellular carcinoma with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with cirrhosis is poor. The risk of death also increases in patients with esophagogastric varices (EGV). Based on routine clinical features and related noninvasive parameters, a nomogram prediction model was developed in this study to facilitate the early identification of EGV in HCC patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of patients with HCC in the Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from 2020 to 2021 was performed. Clinical and noninvasive parameters closely related to EGV risk were screened by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis and integrated into a nomogram. The nomogram was validated internally and externally by calibration, receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 165 patients with HCC-related cirrhosis were recruited. In the raining cohort, multivariate logistic regression analysis identified platelet (PLT) [odds ratio (OR), 0.950; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.925-0.977; P < 0.001], D-dimer (OR. 3.341; 95% CI, 1.751-6.376, P < 0.001), spleen diameter (SD) (OR, 2.585; 95% CI, 1.547-4.318; P < 0.001) as independent indicators for EGV. The nomogram for predicting EGV risk was well calibrated with a favorable discriminative ability and an area under curve of 0.961. In addition, the nomogram showed better net benefits in the DCA. The results were validated in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram model based on three indicators (PLT, D-dimer and SD) showed an excellent predictive effect, leading to the avoidance of unnecessary esophagogastroduodenoscopy.

Small varices in chronic liver diseases

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Gastroesophageal varices are common complications of chronic liver diseases (CLDs) and portal hypertension. Small varices have the risk of progressing to larger varices, causing bleeding or even death. Thus, early detection and appropriate management of small varices are necessary. The purpose of this review is to summarize the advance in the recent 5years about diagnosing and managing the small varices in CLDs.

RECENT FINDINGS

The diagnosing methods of small varices in recent studies include improved endoscopic examinations, such as capsule endoscopy, and many noninvasive methods, including blood tests, ultrasound, computed tomography and magnetic resonance. For the management of small varices, though it is controversial, prevention using nonselective beta-blockers is still an essential part.

SUMMARY

In this review, we summarize the classification of varices, the invasive and noninvasive diagnostic methods, their performances, and the emerging progression in the management of small varices in the recent 5 years. We hope that this review provides relevant information to understand better and appropriately manage small varices.