Prediction of permanent pacemaker implantation after transcatheter aortic valve replacement: The role of machine learning

Geographical and socioeconomic disparities in post-transcatheter aortic valve replacement pacemaker placement

INTRODUCTION

Pacemaker (PPM) implantation is indicated for conduction abnormalities which can develop post-transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). However, whether post-TAVR PPM risk is associated with the geographical location of the hospital and socioeconomic status of the patient is not well established. Our goal was to explore geographical and socioeconomic disparities in post-TAVR PPM implantation.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using the National Inpatient Sample 2016-2020 with respective ICD-10 codes for TAVR and PPM implantation. A weighted multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze prognostic outcomes.

RESULTS

The number of patients hospitalized for undergoing TAVR was 296,740, out of which 28,265 patients had PPM implantation (prevalence 9.5 %). Patients' demographics including sex, ethnicity, household income, and insurance were not associated with risk of post-TAVR PPM except age (OR 1.01, CI 1.07-12.5, p < 0.001). Compared to rural hospitals, urban non-teaching hospitals were associated with a higher risk of post-TAVR PPM (OR 2.09, 1.3-3.43, p = 0.003). Compared to New England hospitals (ME, NH, VT, MA, RI, CT), middle Atlantic hospitals (NY, NJ, PA) were associated with highest post-TAVR PPM risk (OR 1.54, CI 1.2-1.98, p < 0.001), followed by Pacific (AK, WA, OR, CA, HI), mountain (ID, MT, WY, NV, UT, CO, AZ, NM) and east north central US.

CONCLUSION

Patients' demographics including sex, ethnicity, household income, and insurance were not associated with the risk of post-TAVR PPM except for age. Compared to New England hospitals, Middle Atlantic hospitals were associated with the highest post-TAVR PPM risk followed by Pacific, Mountain, and East North Central US. Prospective studies with data on TAVR wait times, expertise of the interventional staff, and post-TAVR management and discharge planning are required to further explore the observed regional distribution of TAVR outcomes.

Risk Factors, Management, and Avoidance of Conduction System Disease after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Transcatheter valve replacement (TAVR) is a rapidly developing modality to treat patients with aortic stenosis (AS). Conduction disease post TAVR is one of the most frequent and serious complications experienced by patients. Multiple factors contribute to the risk of conduction disease, including AS and the severity of valve calcification, patients' pre-existing conditions (i.e., conduction disease, anatomical variations, and short septum) in addition to procedure-related factors (e.g., self-expanding valves, implantation depth, valve-to-annulus ratio, and procedure technique). Detailed evaluation of risk profiles could allow us to better prevent, recognize, and treat this entity. Available evidence on management of conduction disease post TAVR is based on expert opinion and varies widely. Currently, conduction disease in TAVR patients is managed depending on patient risk, with minimal-to-no inpatient/outpatient observation, inpatient monitoring (24-48 h) followed by ambulatory monitoring, or either prolonged inpatient and outpatient monitoring or permanent pacemaker implantation. Herein, we review the incidence and risk factors of TAVR-associated conduction disease and discuss its management.