Risk-Scoring System for Prediction of Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection Requiring Additional Gastrectomy in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer

Management of epithelial precancerous conditions and early neoplasia of the stomach (MAPS III): European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE), European Helicobacter and Microbiota Study Group (EHMSG) and European Society of Pathology (ESP) Guideline update 2025

At a population level, the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE), the European Helicobacter and Microbiota Study Group (EHMSG), and the European Society of Pathology (ESP) suggest endoscopic screening for gastric cancer (and precancerous conditions) in high-risk regions (age-standardized rate [ASR] > 20 per 100 000 person-years) every 2 to 3 years or, if cost-effectiveness has been proven, in intermediate risk regions (ASR 10-20 per 100 000 person-years) every 5 years, but not in low-risk regions (ASR < 10).ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that irrespective of country of origin, individual gastric risk assessment and stratification of precancerous conditions is recommended for first-time gastroscopy. ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest that gastric cancer screening or surveillance in asymptomatic individuals over 80 should be discontinued or not started, and that patients' comorbidities should be considered when treatment of superficial lesions is planned.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that a high quality endoscopy including the use of virtual chromoendoscopy (VCE), after proper training, is performed for screening, diagnosis, and staging of precancerous conditions (atrophy and intestinal metaplasia) and lesions (dysplasia or cancer), as well as after endoscopic therapy. VCE should be used to guide the sampling site for biopsies in the case of suspected neoplastic lesions as well as to guide biopsies for diagnosis and staging of gastric precancerous conditions, with random biopsies to be taken in the absence of endoscopically suspected changes. When there is a suspected early gastric neoplastic lesion, it should be properly described (location, size, Paris classification, vascular and mucosal pattern), photodocumented, and two targeted biopsies taken.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP do not recommend routine performance of endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), or positron emission tomography (PET)-CT prior to endoscopic resection unless there are signs of deep submucosal invasion or if the lesion is not considered suitable for endoscopic resection.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for differentiated gastric lesions clinically staged as dysplastic (low grade and high grade) or as intramucosal carcinoma (of any size if not ulcerated or ≤ 30 mm if ulcerated), with EMR being an alternative for Paris 0-IIa lesions of size ≤ 10 mm with low likelihood of malignancy.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest that a decision about ESD can be considered for malignant lesions clinically staged as having minimal submucosal invasion if differentiated and ≤ 30 mm; or for malignant lesions clinically staged as intramucosal, undifferentiated and ≤ 20 mm; and in both cases with no ulcerative findings.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommends patient management based on the following histological risk after endoscopic resection: Curative/very low-risk resection (lymph node metastasis [LNM] risk < 0.5 %-1 %): en bloc R0 resection; dysplastic/pT1a, differentiated lesion, no lymphovascular invasion, independent of size if no ulceration and ≤ 30 mm if ulcerated. No further staging procedure or treatment is recommended.Curative/low-risk resection (LNM risk < 3 %): en bloc R0 resection; lesion with no lymphovascular invasion and: a) pT1b, invasion ≤ 500 µm, differentiated, size ≤ 30 mm; or b) pT1a, undifferentiated, size ≤ 20 mm and no ulceration. Staging should be completed, and further treatment is generally not necessary, but a multidisciplinary discussion is required. Local-risk resection (very low risk of LNM but increased risk of local persistence/recurrence): Piecemeal resection or tumor-positive horizontal margin of a lesion otherwise meeting curative/very low-risk criteria (or meeting low-risk criteria provided that there is no submucosal invasive tumor at the resection margin in the case of piecemeal resection or tumor-positive horizontal margin for pT1b lesions [invasion ≤ 500 µm; well-differentiated; size ≤ 30 mm, and VM0]). Endoscopic surveillance/re-treatment is recommended rather than other additional treatment. High-risk resection (noncurative): Any lesion with any of the following: (a) a positive vertical margin (if carcinoma) or lymphovascular invasion or deep submucosal invasion (> 500 µm from the muscularis mucosae); (b) poorly differentiated lesions if ulceration or size > 20 mm; (c) pT1b differentiated lesions with submucosal invasion ≤ 500 µm with size > 30 mm; or (d) intramucosal ulcerative lesion with size > 30 mm. Complete staging and strong consideration for additional treatments (surgery) in multidisciplinary discussion.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest the use of validated endoscopic classifications of atrophy (e. g. Kimura-Takemoto) or intestinal metaplasia (e. g. endoscopic grading of gastric intestinal metaplasia [EGGIM]) to endoscopically stage precancerous conditions and stratify the risk for gastric cancer.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that biopsies should be taken from at least two topographic sites (2 biopsies from the antrum/incisura and 2 from the corpus, guided by VCE) in two separate, clearly labeled vials. Additional biopsy from the incisura is optional.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that patients with extensive endoscopic changes (Kimura C3 + or EGGIM 5 +) or advanced histological stages of atrophic gastritis (severe atrophic changes or intestinal metaplasia, or changes in both antrum and corpus, operative link on gastritis assessment/operative link on gastric intestinal metaplasia [OLGA/OLGIM] III/IV) should be followed up with high quality endoscopy every 3 years, irrespective of the individual's country of origin.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that no surveillance is proposed for patients with mild to moderate atrophy or intestinal metaplasia restricted to the antrum, in the absence of endoscopic signs of extensive lesions or other risk factors (family history, incomplete intestinal metaplasia, persistent H. pylori infection). This group constitutes most individuals found in clinical practice.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend H. pylori eradication for patients with precancerous conditions and after endoscopic or surgical therapy.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that patients should be advised to stop smoking and low-dose daily aspirin use may be considered for the prevention of gastric cancer in selected individuals with high risk for cardiovascular events.

Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection: Current Concepts, Pitfalls and Future Perspectives

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is very effective for the treatment of digestive tract neoplasia. However, it is very demanding, with a long learning curve, and, therefore, a significant rate of non-curative resections is expected, considering lesion characteristics, location, and endoscopist experience. The management of patients after a non-curative ESD is not definitely established. It must consider patients' comorbidities and expected survival, as well as the morbidity and mortality of complementary treatments such as surgery, chemotherapy, or radiotherapy. On the other hand, there is a window of opportunity to offer those additional treatments to complete neoplastic treatment and give patients an oncological cure. This decision is sometimes difficult, since the diverse histological criteria that define a non-curative ESD do not have the same weight regarding residual risk and oncological progression. The prediction of residual lesion would be paramount to decide whether to refer patients to surgery; nowadays, this prediction is far from perfect, since most of the patients that undergo surgery due to a non-curative ESD do not have residual neoplasia in the surgical specimen. In this review, ESD curativeness and the management of non-curative ESDs performed for esophageal, gastric, and colorectal lesions will be addressed.

Clinical outcomes and risk factors of non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer: a retrospective multicenter study in Zhejiang, China

Background

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) does not always lead to curative resection. Risk factors of lymph node metastasis (LNM)/local cancer residue after non-curative ESD for EGC have not been fully elucidated. We therefore aimed to clarify them and evaluate whether the "eCura system" is reliable for the risk stratification of LNM after non-curative ESD.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter retrospective study at seven institutions in Zhejiang, China, on 128 patients who underwent non-curative ESD for EGC. We divided the patients into two groups according to their therapeutic regimen after non-curative ESD. We analyzed the risk factors for LNM, local cancer residue, cancer recurrence, and cancer-specific mortality. Furthermore, we compared the outcomes in each risk category after applying the "eCura system".

Results

Among 68 patients undergoing additional surgery, LNM was found in three (4.41%) patients, while local cancer residue was found in eight (11.76%) patients. Multivariate analysis showed that upper third location and deep submucosal invasion were independent risk factors of LNM and local cancer residue. Among 60 patients who underwent simple follow-up, local cancer recurrence was found in four (6.67%) patients and cancer-specific mortality was found in one (1.67%) patient. There were no independent risk factors of cancer recurrence and cancer-specific mortality in our study. During the follow-up period, 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were 93.8% and 88.9%, respectively. Additionally, LNM and cancer recurrence were significantly associated with the eCura scoring system (p = 0.044 and p = 0.017, respectively), while local cancer residue and cancer-specific mortality were not (p = 0.478 and p = 0.131, respectively).

Conclusion

Clinicians should be aware of the risk factors for the prognosis of patients with non-curative ESD to determine subsequent treatment. Through the application of the "eCura system", additional surgery should be performed in patients with intermediate/high risk of LNM.

Machine Learning Improves the Prediction Rate of Non-Curative Resection of Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer

Non-curative resection (NCR) of early gastric cancer (EGC) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) can increase the burden of additional treatment and medical expenses. We aimed to develop a machine-learning (ML)-based NCR prediction model for EGC prior to ESD. We obtained data from 4927 patients with EGC who underwent ESD between January 2006 and February 2020. Ten clinicopathological characteristics were selected using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and were used to develop a ML-based model. Dataset was divided into the training and internal validation sets and verified using an external validation set. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were evaluated. The performance of each model was compared by using the Delong test. A total of 1100 (22.1%) patients were identified as being treated non-curatively with ESD. Seven ML-based NCR prediction models were developed. The performance of NCR prediction was highest in the XGBoost model (AUROC, 0.851; 95% confidence interval, 0.837-0.864). When we compared the prediction performance by the Delong test, XGBoost (p = 0.02) and support vector machine (p = 0.02) models showed a significantly higher performance among the NCR prediction models. We developed an ML model capable of accurately predicting the NCR of EGC before ESD. This ML model can provide useful information for decision-making regarding the appropriate treatment of EGC before ESD.