The pathogenesis of membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa is unrelated to hepatitis C virus infection

Causal inference regarding infectious aetiology of chronic conditions: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The global burden of disease has shifted from communicable diseases in children to chronic diseases in adults. This epidemiologic shift varies greatly by region, but in Europe, chronic conditions account for 86% of all deaths, 77% of the disease burden, and up to 80% of health care expenditures. A number of risk factors have been implicated in chronic diseases, such as exposure to infectious agents. A number of associations have been well established while others remain uncertain.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We assessed the body of evidence regarding the infectious aetiology of chronic diseases in the peer-reviewed literature over the last decade. Causality was assessed with three different criteria: First, the total number of associations documented in the literature between each infectious agent and chronic condition; second, the epidemiologic study design (quality of the study); third, evidence for the number of Hill's criteria and Koch's postulates that linked the pathogen with the chronic condition. We identified 3136 publications, of which 148 were included in the analysis. There were a total of 75 different infectious agents and 122 chronic conditions. The evidence was strong for five pathogens, based on study type, strength and number of associations; they accounted for 60% of the associations documented in the literature. They were human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis C virus, Helicobacter pylori, hepatitis B virus, and Chlamydia pneumoniae and were collectively implicated in the aetiology of 37 different chronic conditions. Other pathogens examined were only associated with very few chronic conditions (≤ 3) and when applying the three different criteria of evidence the strength of the causality was weak.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention and treatment of these five pathogens lend themselves as effective public health intervention entry points. By concentrating research efforts on these promising areas, the human, economic, and societal burden arising from chronic conditions can be reduced.

Infection and glomerulonephritis

Glomerular injury, occurring either as primary glomerular disease or as part of a systemic disease process, is usually a result of immune-mediated mechanisms. The morphologic reaction pattern has a diverse spectrum of appearance, ranging from normal by light microscopy in minimal change disease to crescentic forms of glomerulonephritis, with conspicuous disruption of the normal glomerular morphology. The mechanisms of glomerular immune deposit formation include trapping of circulating antigen-antibody complexes and the in situ formation of immune complexes within the glomerulus. While the majority of postinfectious immune-complex-mediated glomerulonephritides are believed to result from the deposition of circulating antigen-antibody complexes, preformed outside of the kidney and secondarily deposited in the kidney, the notion of forming in situ antigen-antibody complexes to either planted antigens or to integral structural components of the glomerulus, through "cross-reacting" autoimmune reactions, is gaining popularity in a variety of forms of glomerulonephritides. Patients with HIV infection may develop a spectrum of renal pathology, the glomerular manifestations of which include both antigen-antibody complex and nonimmune-complex-mediated pathogenetic mechanisms. Similarly, patients with Streptococcal infections, Hepatitis B virus, or Hepatitis C virus infection may develop a spectrum of glomerulonephritides, which are predominantly immune-complex-mediated. Therapy for glomerular diseases due to HIV, hepatitis B, or C virus infections remains a challenge.

Severity of primary MPGN, rather than MPGN type, determines renal survival and post-transplantation recurrence risk

Previous studies suggested that membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis (MPGN) type II has a worse renal survival and an unacceptable risk of recurrence post transplantation. We hypothesised that other factors may determine this risk. We analysed all cases (n=70) of MPGN diagnosed by renal biopsy in Ireland from 1972 to 1995. We used Cox regression analysis to determine factors that were independently predictive of renal failure. MPGN II had more crescent formation and mesangial proliferation (P<0.05). Mean follow-up duration was 13.8 years, during which time 41 (58.6%) developed end-stage renal failure (ESRF). The median time to ESRF was 8.3 years (95% confidence interval 5.7-10.9) and 5-, 10-, and 20-year probabilities of ESRF were 32, 54, and 70%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that severity of interstitial fibrosis (P<0.05), crescent formation (P<0. 01) and mesangial proliferation (P<0.05) were independently associated with ESRF. Decade of diagnosis, age, MPGN type, and creatinine or complement level at baseline did not predict renal survival in this model. In 21 (49%) of the 43 renal transplants, MPGN recurred. Younger age at initial diagnosis (P<0.01) and the presence of crescents on the original biopsy (P<0.005) were independently associated with recurrence on multivariate analysis. MPGN type was not associated with recurrence in this model. Contrary to previous reports, after controlling for crescent formation, MPGN II was not associated with more ESRF or recurrence in the allograft. It is therefore the more aggressive glomerular changes associated with MPGN II, rather than the disease type per se, that determine outcome.

Hygiene hypothesis and prevalence of glomerulonephritis

The hygiene hypothesis was proposed to explain the marked increase in allergies that has been observed in industrialized (Westernized) societies. This hypothesis proposes that early and frequent exposure to bacterial and other antigens, such as is common in developing nations, leads to a normal Th1 response, but that better public hygiene and less infections observed in industrialized nations may lead to persistence of the Th2 phenotype and thereby increase our risk for developing allergies. Infection early in life with measles or hepatitis A virus, immunization with bacille Calmette-Guérin, certain gastrointestinal bacteria (lactobacillus), and environmental endotoxin exposure may protect individuals from developing allergy in adulthood. Paradoxically, infestation by parasites stimulates a Th2-cell response; however, the incidence of allergic disease is very low, perhaps due to the stimulation of T-regulatory lymphocytes that can downregulate Th1 and Th2 responses. Some types of human glomerulonephritis (GN) have Th1-predominant immune responses, including crescentic and membranoproliferative GN, whereas other types of GN have a predominant Th2 immune response, including membranous nephropathy, minimal change disease, and immunoglobulin A nephropathy. A review of the prevalence of specific GN shows that the higher prevalence of membranoproliferative GN in developing countries and the higher frequency of immunoglobulin A nephropathy and minimal change disease in industrialized countries could be explained by the hygiene hypothesis. We suggest that studies examining Th1/Th2 balance, particularly as it develops in childhood, should be performed to determine if early polarization of the immune response is responsible for the later development of specific forms of GN.