Is the risk of cancer in Australia overstated? The importance of competing mortality for estimating lifetime risk

Comprehensive causes of death in uveal melanoma: mortality in 1530 consecutively diagnosed patients followed until death

BACKGROUND

Uveal melanoma has a high propensity for metastatic spread. Yet, the comprehensive causes of death in a large consecutive cohort followed from diagnosis to death remain unknown.

METHODS

All Swedish patients diagnosed with melanoma involving the iris, choroid, and/or ciliary body after January 1, 1960, were assessed for this study. Sequential inclusion was halted upon encountering the first surviving patient during data collection. Causes of death were collected from the National Cause of Death Registry and audited by analysis of up to 15 causative diagnoses.

RESULTS

A total of 1530 patients were included, each histopathologically verified with primary uveal melanoma. Mortality from metastatic uveal melanoma was 31% at 5 years, 40% at 10 years, 45% at 20 years, 47% at 30 years, and 48% between 40 and 60 years post-diagnosis. Notably, the longest period between diagnosis and metastatic fatality was 49.6 years. Additionally, 186 other causes of death were recorded, with cardiovascular diseases constituting 26%, other cancers 10%, stroke 6%, dementias 2%, and lower respiratory infections 2% of total mortalities. Mortality from colorectal, lung, prostate, and stomach carcinomas over 60 years were 1.4%, 1.4%, 1.2%, and 0.9%, with metastatic uveal melanoma being the leading cumulative and annual cause of death for the initial 41 and 5 years post-diagnosis, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large consecutive cohort, half of the included patients ultimately succumbed to metastatic uveal melanoma, with deaths occurring up to 50 years after diagnosis. One-quarter and one-tenth of patients died from cardiovascular diseases and other cancers, respectively.

Independent evaluation of melanoma polygenic risk scores in UK and Australian prospective cohorts

BACKGROUND

Previous studies suggest that polygenic risk scores (PRSs) may improve melanoma risk stratification. However, there has been limited independent validation of PRS-based risk prediction, particularly assessment of calibration (comparing predicted to observed risks).

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate PRS-based melanoma risk prediction in prospective UK and Australian cohorts with European ancestry.

METHODS

We analysed invasive melanoma incidence in the UK Biobank (UKB; n = 395 647, 1651 cases) and a case-cohort nested within the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study (MCCS, Australia; n = 4765, 303 cases). Three PRSs were evaluated: 68 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 54 loci from a 2020 meta-analysis (PRS68), 50 SNPs significant in the 2020 meta-analysis excluding UKB (PRS50) and 45 SNPs at 21 loci known in 2018 (PRS45). Ten-year melanoma risks were calculated from population-level cancer registry data by age group and sex, with and without PRS adjustment.

RESULTS

Predicted absolute melanoma risks based on age and sex alone underestimated melanoma incidence in the UKB [ratio of expected/observed cases: E/O = 0·65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·62-0·68] and MCCS (E/O = 0·63, 95% CI 0·56-0·72). For UKB, calibration was improved by PRS adjustment, with PRS50-adjusted risks E/O = 0·91, 95% CI 0·87-0·95. The discriminative ability for PRS68- and PRS50-adjusted absolute risks was higher than for risks based on age and sex alone (Δ area under the curve 0·07-0·10, P < 0·0001), and higher than for PRS45-adjusted risks (Δ area under the curve 0·02-0·04, P < 0·001).

CONCLUSIONS

A PRS derived from a larger, more diverse meta-analysis improves risk prediction compared with an earlier PRS, and might help tailor melanoma prevention and early detection strategies to different risk levels. Recalibration of absolute risks may be necessary for application to specific populations.

Identify the Prognostic and Immune Profile of VSIR in the Tumor Microenvironment: A Pan-Cancer Analysis

VSIR is a critical immunomodulatory receptor that inhibits T cell effector function and maintains peripheral tolerance. However, the mechanism by which VSIR participates in tumor immunity in the pan-cancer tumor microenvironment remains unclear. This study systematically explored the prognostic and immune profile of VSIR in the tumor microenvironment of 33 cancers. We compared the expression patterns and molecular features of VSIR in the normal and cancer samples both from the public databases and tumor chips. VSIR level was significantly related to patients’ prognosis and could be a promising predictor in many tumor types, such as GBM, KIRC, SKCM, READ, and PRAD. Elevated VSIR was closely correlated with infiltrated inflammatory cells, neoantigens expression, MSI, TMB, and classical immune checkpoints in the tumor microenvironment. Enrichment signaling pathways analysis indicated VSIR was involved in several immune-related pathways such as activation, proliferation, and migration of fibroblast, T cell, mast cell, macrophages, and foam cell. In addition, VSIR was found to widely express on cancer cells, fibroblasts, macrophages, and T cells in many tumor types based on the single-cell sequencing analysis and co-express with M2 macrophage markers CD68, CD163 based on the immunofluorescence staining. Finally, we predicted the sensitive drugs targeting VSIR and the immunotherapeutic value of VSIR. In sum, VSIR levels strongly correlated with the clinical outcome and tumor immunity in multiple cancer types. Therefore, therapeutic strategies targeting VSIR in the tumor microenvironment may be valuable tools for cancer immunotherapy.

Pyrimidyn-Based Dynamin Inhibitors as Novel Cytotoxic Agents

Five focused libraries of pyrimidine-based dynamin GTPase inhibitors, in total 69 compounds were synthesised, and their dynamin inhibition and broad-spectrum cytotoxicity examined. Dynamin plays a crucial role in mitosis, and as such inhibition of dynamin was expected to broadly correlate with the observed cytotoxicity. The pyrimidines synthesised ranged from mono-substituted to trisubstituted. The highest levels of dynamin inhibition were noted with di- and tri- substituted pyrimidines, especially those with pendent amino alkyl chains. Short chains and simple heterocyclic rings reduced dynamin activity. There were three levels of dynamin activity noted: 1-10, 10-25 and 25-60 μM. Screening of these compounds in a panel of cancer cell lines: SW480 (colon), HT29 (colon), SMA (spontaneous murine astrocytoma), MCF-7 (breast), BE2-C (glioblastoma), SJ-G2 (neuroblastoma), MIA (pancreas), A2780 (ovarian), A431 (skin), H460 (lung), U87 (glioblastoma) and DU145 (prostate) cell lines reveal a good correlation between the observed dynamin inhibition and the observed cytotoxicity. The most active analogues (31 a,b) developed returned average GI₅₀ values of 1.0 and 0.78 μM across the twelve cell lines examined. These active analogues were: N² -(3-dimethylaminopropyl)-N⁴ -dodecyl-6-methylpyrimidine-2,4-diamine (31 a) and N⁴ -(3-dimethylaminopropyl)-N² -dodecyl-6-methylpyrimidine-2,4-diamine (31 b).

Epidemiological trends of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer at the global, regional, and national levels: a population-based study

Background

Investigations of disease incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) are valuable for facilitating preventive measures and health resource planning. We examined the tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer burdens worldwide according to sex, age, and social development index (SDI) at the global, regional, and national levels.

Methods

We assessed the TBL cancer burden using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, including 21 regions, 195 countries, and territories in the diagnostic period 1990–2017. The data of TBL cancer-related mortality and DALYs attributable to all known risk factors were also analyzed. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) and their estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated.

Results

Incident cases, deaths, and DALYs of TBL cancer increased worldwide (100.44%, 82.30%, and 61.27%, respectively). The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was stable (EAPC = 0.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] − 0.03 to 0.08), but the age-standardized death (EAPC = − 0.34, 95%CI − 0.38 to − 0.3) and DALY rate decreased generally (EAPC = − 0.74, 95%CI − 0.8 to − 0.68). However, the change trend of ASIR and ASDR among sexes was on the contrary. China and the USA always had the highest incidence, mortality, and DALYs of TBL cancer. Significant positive correlations between ASRs and SDI were observed, especially among females. High (36.86%), high-middle (28.78%), and middle SDI quintiles (24.91%) carried the majority burden of TBL cancer. Tobacco remained the top cause of TBL cancer death and DALYs, followed by air pollution, the leading cause in the low-middle and low-SDI quintiles. Metabolic risk-related TBL cancer mortality and DALYs among females increased but was stable among males. The main ages of TBL cancer onset and death were > 50 years, and the DALYs concentrated in 50 − 69 years.

Conclusions

To significantly reduce the growing burden of TBL cancer, treatment resources need to be skewed according to factors such as risks and geography, especially for high-risk groups and high-burden areas. Asia had the greatest TBL cancer burden, followed by high-income North America. Tobacco remains the leading cause of death and DALYs, followed by air pollution. Effective prevention measures against tobacco and air pollution should be strengthened.

[Luteolin reverses OPCML methylation to inhibit proliferation of breast cancer MDA-MB-231 cells]

OBJECTIVE

To observe the effect of luteolin on the proliferation and expression of OPCML in breast cancer cell line MDA-MB-231.

METHODS

Cultured MDA-MB-231 cells were treated with luteolin at the concentrations of 5, 10 and 20 μmol/L for 24 or 48 h. MTT assay was used to detect cell proliferation and flow cytometry was used to detect the cell apoptosis. The expressions of OPCML mRNA and protein were detected using real-time quantitative PCR and Western blotting, respectively. OPCML gene methylation in the promoter region was detected using methylation-specific PCR (MSP), and the activity of methylase in the cells was analyzed.

RESULTS

MTT assay showed that treatment with luteolin at 5, 10 and 20 μmol/L for 24 h concentration-dependently decreased the viability of MDA-MB-231 cells (P &lt; 0.05). Flow cytometry also showed that luteolin at different concentrations could induce apoptosis of MDA-MB-231 cells (P &lt; 0.05). Luteolin dose-dependently induced the expression of OPCML mRNA and protein in MDA-MB-231 cells (P &lt; 0.05), down-regulated the methylation status in the promoter region of OPCML gene, up-regulated the level of non-methylated OPCML, and reduced the activity of methylase in the cells (P &lt; 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Luteolin inhibits the proliferation of MDA-MB-231 breast cancer cells probably by upregulating OPCML expression and its demethylation.