Long-Term Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence and Risk Factors: Perspectives from an Asian Stroke Registry

Associated demographic factors for the recurrence and prognosis of stroke patients within a multiethnic Asian population

OBJECTIVE

There is a paucity of studies investigating the outcomes among Asian stroke patients. Identifying subgroups of stroke patients at risk of poorer outcomes could identify patients who would benefit from targeted interventions. Therefore, the aim of this study was to identify which ischemic stroke patients at high risk of recurrent events and mortality.

METHODS

This cohort study adhered to STrengthening the Reporting of OBservational studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines. We obtained data from the Singapore Stroke Registry (SSR) from 2005 to 2016 and cross referenced to the Death Registry and the Myocardial Infarction Registry. Outcome measures included recurrent stroke, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and all-cause and stroke-related deaths. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to determine risk factors for recurrent stroke, AMI, and all-cause and stroke-related deaths.

RESULTS

A total of 64,915 patients (6705 young, and 58,210 older) were included in our analysis. Older stroke patients were found to have an increased risk of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.21, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.12-1.30), AMI (HR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.54-1.95), all-cause death (HR = 2.49, 95% CI = 2.34-2.64), and stroke-related death (HR = 176, 95% CI = 1.61-1.92). Among young stroke patients, males were at increased risk for recurrent stroke (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.01-1.39) and AMI (HR = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.08-1.83), but at reduced risk for all-cause (HR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.69-0.89) and stroke-related deaths (HR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.67-0.94). Ethnicity appeared to influence outcomes, with Malay patients at increased risk of recurrent stroke (HR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.14-1.65), AMI (HR = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.87-3.22), and all-cause (HR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.24-1.66) and stroke-related deaths (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.09-1.64). Indian patients were also at increased risk of AMI (HR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.41-2.72). Similar findings were seen among the older stroke patients.

CONCLUSION

This study found that older stroke patients are at risk of poorer outcomes. Within the young stroke population specifically, males were predisposed to recurrent stroke and AMI but were protected against all-cause and stroke-related deaths. Males were also at reduced risk of all-cause and stroke-related deaths in the older stroke population. In addition, Malay and Indian patients experience poorer outcomes after first stroke. Further optimization of risk factors targeting these high-priority populations are needed to achieve high-quality care.

Interacting and joint effects of triglyceride-glucose index and hypertension on stroke risk in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a population-based prospective cohort study

Background

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and hypertension were well-established risk factors for stroke. And TyG index was associated with hypertension. However, no prior study has investigated the interactive effects of the TyG index and hypertension on stroke. This study examined whether hypertension mediates associations of TyG index with incident stroke and the extent of interaction or joint relations of TyG index and hypertension with stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

Methods

The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) is an ongoing nationally representative prospective cohort study initiated in 2011. This cohort study included 9,145 middle-aged and older Chinese adults without stroke at baseline. The eposures were TyG index and the logarithmized product of hypertension, as determined during the baseline health examination. The main outcome was self-reported physician-diagnosed stroke which followed up from June 1, 2011, to June 30, 2018.

Results

Of the 9,145 participants, 4,251 were men (46.5%); the mean (SD) age was 59.20 (9.33) years. During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 637 (7.0%) participants developed stroke. In multivariable-adjusted models, the TyG index was significantly associated with the risk of hypertension [odds ratio (OR) per 1-SD increase, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.19-1.41] and stroke [hazard ratio (HR) per 1-SD increase, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.02-1.33]. Both multiplicative and additive interactions were observed between TyG index and hypertension on stroke (HR for multiplicative: 2.34, 95% CI, 1.57-3.48; Synergy index: 4.13, 95% CI, 2.73-6.25). Mediation analysis showed that 20.0% of the association between TyG index and stroke was mediated through hypertension.

Conclusions

This study suggests a synergistic effect of TyG index and hypertension on stroke, and a small proportion of the association between TyG index and stroke was mediated by hypertension, indicating the benefit of coordinated control strategies for both exposures.

Interacting and joint effects of triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) and body mass index on stroke risk and the mediating role of TyG in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Individuals who are overweight or obese often develop insulin resistance, mediation of the association between body mass index (BMI) and stroke risk through the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) seems plausible but has not been investigated. This study aims to examine whether TyG mediates associations of BMI with stroke risk and the extent of interaction or joint relations of TyG and BMI with stroke outcome.

METHODS

The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, initiated in 2011, is a nationally representative, ongoing prospective cohort study involving 8 231 middle-aged and older Chinese adults without a stroke history at baseline. Exposures examined include BMI and the TyG, the latter being the logarithmized product of fasting triglyceride and glucose concentrations. The primary study outcome is stroke incidence, as determined through self-reports, with a follow-up period extending from June 1, 2011, to June 30, 2018.

RESULTS

Of the 8 231 participants, 3 815 (46.3%) were men; mean (SD) age was 59.23 (9.32) years. During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 585 (7.1%) participants developed stroke. The TyG was found to mediate the association between BMI and incident stroke, proportions mediated were 16.3% for BMI in the 24.0-27.9 kg/m2 group and 53.8% for BMI ≥ 28.0 kg/m2 group. No significant multiplicative and additive interactions were found between BMI and TyG on incident stroke (Additive: RERI = 1.78, 95% CI - 1.29-4.86; Multiplicative, HR = 1.40, 95% CI 0.86-2.27). HRs for individuals with BMI ≥ 28.0 kg/m2 and quartile 4 of TyG compared with those with BMI < 24.0 kg/m2 and quartile 1 of TyG were 2.05 (95% CI 1.37-3.06) for incident stroke. Combining BMI and TyG enhanced predictive performance for stroke when compared to their individual (AUCBMI+TyG vs AUCBMI vs AUCTyG, 0.602 vs 0.581 vs 0.583).

CONCLUSIONS

TyG appeared to be associated with stroke risk and mediates more than 50% of the total association between BMI and stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. Public health efforts aiming at the reduction of body weight might decrease the stroke risk due to insulin resistance and the burden of stroke.

Impact of Traditional and Non-Traditional Lipid Parameters on Outcomes after Intravenous Thrombolysis in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Contradicting evidence exists regarding the role of lipids in outcomes following intravenous (IV) thrombolysis with tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). Restricted cubic spline curves and adjusted logistic regression were used to evaluate associations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and LDL-C/HDL-C ratio with poor functional outcome, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH) and 90-day mortality, among 1004 acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients who received IV tPA in a comprehensive stroke center. Quartile (Q) 1, Q2 and Q3 of HDL-C were associated with increased odds of poor functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio (adjOR) 1.66, 95% CI 1.06-2.60, p = 0.028, adjOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.05-2.53, p = 0.027, adjOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.01-2.44, p = 0.048) compared to Q4. Q2 and Q4 of non-HDL-C were associated with increased odds of SICH (adjOR 4.28, 95% CI 1.36-18.90, p = 0.025, adjOR 5.17, 95% CI 1.64-22.81, p = 0.011) compared to Q3. Q1 and Q2 of LDL-C was associated with increased odds of mortality (adjOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.27-5.57, p = 0.011 and adjOR 2.28, 95% CI 1.10-5.02, p = 0.032) compared to Q3. In AIS patients who received IV tPA, low LDL-C was associated with increased odds of mortality while HDL-C may be protective against poor functional outcome.

The SON2A2 score: A novel grading scale for predicting hemorrhage and outcomes after thrombolysis

Objectives

This study aimed to develop a score including novel putative predictors for predicting the risk of sICH and outcomes after thrombolytic therapy with intravenous (IV) recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (r-tPA) in acute ischemic stroke patients.

Methods

All patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with IV r-tPA at three university-based hospitals in Chongqing, China, from 2014 to 2019 were retrospectively studied. Potential risk factors associated with sICH (NINDS criteria) were determined with multivariate logistic regression, and we developed our score according to the magnitude of logistic regression coefficients. The score was validated in another independent cohort. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was used to assess the performance of the score. Calibration was evaluated using the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit method.

Results

The SON2A2 score (0 to 8 points) consisted of history of smoking (no = 1, yes = 0, β = 0.81), onset-to-needle time (≥3.5 = 1,&lt;3.5=0, β = 0.74), NIH Stroke Scale on admission (&gt;10 = 2, ≤10 = 0, β = 1.22), neutrophil percentage (≥80.0% = 1, &lt;80% = 0, β = 0.81), ASPECT score (≤11 = 2, &gt;11 = 0, β = 1.30), and age (&gt;65 years = 1, ≤65 years = 0, β = 0.89). The SON2A2 score was strongly associated with sICH (OR 1.98; 95%CI 1.675–2.34) and poor outcomes (OR 1.89; 95%CI 1.68–2.13). AUC-ROC in the derivation cohort was 0.82 (95%CI 0.77–0.86). Similar results were obtained in the validation cohort. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test revealed that predicted and observed event rates in derivation and validation cohorts were very close.

Conclusion

The SON2A2 score is a simple, efficient, quick, and easy-to-perform scale for predicting the risk of sICH and outcome after intravenous r-tPA thrombolysis within 4.5 h in patients with ischemic stroke, and risk assessment using this test has the potential for early and personalized management of this disease in high-risk patients.

An Integrated Metabolomic Screening Platform Discovers the Potential Biomarkers of Ischemic Stroke and Reveals the Protective Effect and Mechanism of Folic Acid

Folic acid has a protective effect against ischemic stroke. However, the protective pharmacological mechanism remains unclear. The aim of this study is to explore the protective effect of folic acid on ischemic stroke animals by an integrated metabolomic biomarker screening platform. Based on ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (UPLC/MS) coupled with multivariate data analysis, the changes in metabolites and pathways were characterized. We found that the metabolic alteration involved a total of 37 metabolites, of which 26 biomarkers such as γ-aminobutyric acid, lysine, glutamate, ribose, and valine can be regulated by folic acid via metabolic pathways of amino acid metabolism, carbohydrate metabolism, fatty acid metabolism, citrate cycle, and pyruvate metabolism, which may be the potential therapeutic targets of folic acid against ischemic stroke. Folic acid as an emerging potential natural anti-fibrosis agent has significant activity in protecting against middle cerebral artery occlusion-induced rat ischemic stroke model by delaying pathological development, reversing the metabolic biomarkers, and mainly regulating the perturbation in amino acid metabolism, carbohydrate metabolism, fatty acid metabolism, citrate cycle, and pyruvate metabolism. It also showed that the integrated metabolic biomarker screening platform could provide a better understanding of the therapeutic effect and mechanism of drugs.

Effect of frailty on outcomes of endovascular treatment for acute ischaemic stroke in older patients

BACKGROUND

frailty has been shown to be a better predictor of clinical outcomes than age alone across many diseases. Few studies have examined the relationship between frailty, stroke and stroke interventions such as endovascular thrombectomy (EVT).

OBJECTIVE

we aimed to investigate the impact of frailty measured by clinical frailty scale (CFS) on clinical outcomes after EVT for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in older patients ≥70 years.

METHODS

in this retrospective cohort study, we included all consecutive AIS patients age ≥ 70 years receiving EVT at a single comprehensive stroke centre. Patients with CFS of 1-3 were defined as not frail, and CFS > 3 was defined as frail. The primary outcome was modified Rankin Score (mRS) at 90 days. The secondary outcomes included duration of hospitalisation, in-hospital mortality, carer requirement, successful reperfusion, symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage and haemorrhagic transformation.

RESULTS

a total of 198 patients were included. The mean age was 78.1 years and 52.0% were female. Frail patients were older, more likely to be female, had more co-morbidities. CFS was significantly associated with poor functional outcome after adjustment for age, NIHSS and time to intervention (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-2.28, P = 0.032). There was trend towards higher mortality rate in frail patients (frail: 18.3%; non-frail: 9.6%; P = 0.080). There were no significant differences in other secondary outcomes except increased carer requirement post discharge in frail patients (frail: 91.6%; non-frail: 72.8%; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

frailty was associated with poorer functional outcome at 90 days post-EVT in patients ≥ 70 years.

Association of triglyceride-glucose index with clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous thrombolysis

Intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) remains the cornerstone of recanalization therapy for acute ischemic stroke (AIS), albeit with varying degrees of response. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a novel marker of insulin resistance, but association with outcomes among AIS patients who have received tPA has not been well elucidated. We studied 698 patients with AIS who received tPA from 2006 to 2018 in a comprehensive stroke centre. TyG index was calculated using the formula: ln[fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. TyG index was significantly lower in patients that survived at 90-days than those who died (8.61 [Interquartile Range: 8.27–8.99] vs 8.76 [interquartile range: 8.39–9.40], p = 0.007). In multivariate analysis, TyG index was significantly associated with 90-day mortality (OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.39–3.23, p = 0.001), poor functional outcome (OR: 1.41 95% CI: 1.05–1.90, p = 0.022), and negatively associated with early neurological improvement (ENI) (OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.52–0.89, p = 0.004). There was no association between TyG index and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. ‘High TyG’ (defined by TyG index ≥ 9.15) was associated with mortality, poor functional outcomes and no ENI. In conclusion, the TyG index, a measure of insulin resistance, was significantly associated with poorer clinical outcomes in AIS patients who received tPA.