Smoking-attributable mortality in South America: A systematic review

Trends and Association between Smoking and the Socio-Demographic Index Among 11 South American Countries, 1990-2019

OBJECTIVES

To examine prevalence trends in the use of smoked tobacco products in 11 South American (SA) countries (i.e., Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, and Venezuela) and their association with country-specific socio-demographic index (SDI) over 30 years.

DATA AND METHODS

The estimates of SDI and smoked tobacco prevalence stratified by age, sex, and country were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study (1990-2019) on individuals aged 15+. The annual percentage changes (APCs) of trends in country-specific prevalence of smoked tobacco were evaluated using Joinpoint regression. Correlation analysis was also used to explore the association between country-specific prevalence of smoked tobacco and their SDIs, a measure of developmental status considering income per capita, educational attainment, and total fertility rate.

RESULTS

While all SA countries showed an overall decline in smoked tobacco use prevalence between 1990 and 2019 (APCs between -0.52%-and -4.73%; p < 0.05), Bolivia and Ecuador showed a significant increasing trend (APCs of 0.34% and 0.20%). Country-specific SDI was strongly and significantly correlated (rs = -0.99 to -0.85) with smoking prevalence in SA countries, except for Ecuador and Bolivia (rs = 0.16 and 0.36, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In recent decades, most SA countries have experienced a significant reduction in the prevalence of smoked tobacco use, except Ecuador and Bolivia, where smoking rates have risen, showing a direct correlation with SDI. These findings can contribute to the design and implementation of strategies and policies for tobacco prevention and control in the SA region especially within the two affected countries - Ecuador and Bolivia.

Tobacco smoking-attributable mortality in Kenya, 2012-2021

INTRODUCTION

Tobacco smoking poses a significant risk for various diseases, including cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and cancers. In Kenya, tobacco-related deaths contribute substantially to non-communicable disease mortality. This study aims to quantify the mortality attributed to tobacco smoking in Kenya from 2012 to 2021.

METHODS

Employing a prevalence-based analysis model, the study utilized population attributable fraction (PAF) to estimate age-specific smoke attributable mortality (SAM) rates for individuals aged ≥35 years. Causes of death associated with tobacco use, including cancers, cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, tuberculosis, and diabetes, were analyzed based on age, sex, and death records between 2012 and 2021.

RESULTS

Over the study period, 60228 deaths were attributed to tobacco-related diseases, with an annual increase observed until 2016 and subsequent fluctuations. Respiratory diseases, diabetes mellitus, malignant cancers, tuberculosis, and cardiovascular diseases collectively accounted for 16.5% of deaths among individuals aged ≥35 years. Notable contributors were pneumonia and influenza (respiratory diseases), esophageal cancer (cancers), and cerebrovascular diseases (cardiovascular diseases). Of the observed deaths, 16.5% were attributed to smoking, with respiratory diseases (40.5%), malignant cancers (31.4%), tuberculosis (13%), cardiovascular diseases (8.9%), and diabetes mellitus (6.1%) contributing. Pneumonia and influenza, esophageal cancer, chronic airway obstruction, and tuberculosis were primary causes, comprising 70% of all SAM.

CONCLUSIONS

Tobacco-related mortality is a significant public health concern in Kenya. Efforts should focus on preventing tobacco use and managing associated disease burdens. Smoking cessation initiatives and comprehensive tobacco control measures are imperative to mitigate the impact on population health.

Trends in tracheal, bronchial and lung cancer attributed to smoking in South America: Global Burden of Disease analysis 1990-2019

Objective

To investigate the burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer due to tobacco exposure in the last 30 years in 12 South American countries.

Methods

We used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 exposure-response function to analyze the total tobacco, smoking, and secondhand smoke exposure-related TBL cancer deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), for 12 South American countries, between 1990 and 2019. Metrics were described as absolute numbers or rates per 100 000 individuals. The relative change in burden was assessed by comparing the 1990-1994 to 2015-2019 periods.

Results

In 2019, the all-ages number of TBL cancer deaths and DALYs associated with tobacco exposure in South America was 29 348 and 658 204 in males and 14 106 and 318 277 in females, respectively. Age-adjusted death and DALYs rates for the region in 2019 were 182.8 and 4035 in males and 50.8 and 1162 in females, respectively. In males, 10/12 countries observed relative declines in TBL death rates attributed to tobacco exposure while only 4 countries reduced their mortality in females.

Conclusion

While significant efforts on tobacco control are under place in South America, substantial burden of TBL cancer persists in the region with significant sex-specific disparities. Increased country-specific primary data on TBL cancer and tobacco exposure is needed to optimize healthcare strategies and improve comprehension of regional trends.

Mortalidad atribuida al consumo de tabaco en Brasil, 1996-2019

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the burden of tobacco consumption on mortality and years of life expectancy lost in population ≥35 years in Brazil in the period 1996-2019 and to identify trend changes in smoking-attributable mortality.

METHOD

An independent prevalence method using the lung cancer mortality rate as a proxy for cumulative smoking risk was used to estimate smoking-attributable mortality. Smoking-attributable mortality is estimated from the lung cancer mortality rate and applying relative risks from 5 US cohorts. Smoking-attributable mortality, crude and standardized attributed mortality rates are presented overall, by sex, age and causes of death. Trend analysis was performed by applying joinpoint regression models. Years of life expectancy lost due to tobacco were calculated.

RESULTS

Tobacco consumption caused 2,389,831 deaths in Brazil between 1996-2019. Cardiometabolic diseases were the leading cause of death in women throughout the period and in men until 2015. Since 2006, smoking-attributable mortality rates in men, regardless of age, show a decreasing trend while in females the evolution is different. The years of life expectancy lost show a slight decrease since the first triennia and are higher in men.

CONCLUSIONS

In Brazil, the 8.5% of total mortality between 1996-2019 is attributed to tobacco consumption. It is important to monitor the burden of the tobacco consumption on mortality in order to strengthen or implement interventions against smoking in Brazil.