Predictors of Pregnancy Outcomes in Patients With Lupus

Investigation of statistical methods used in prognostic prediction models for obstetric care: A 10 year-span cross-sectional study

INTRODUCTION

Obstetric care is a highly active area in the development and application of prognostic prediction models. The development and validation of these models often require the utilization of advanced statistical techniques. However, failure to adhere to rigorous methodological standards could greatly undermine the reliability and trustworthiness of the resultant models. Consequently, the aim of our study was to examine the current statistical practices employed in obstetric care and offer recommendations to enhance the utilization of statistical methods in the development of prognostic prediction models.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional survey using a sample of studies developing or validating prognostic prediction models for obstetric care published in a 10-year span (2011-2020). A structured questionnaire was developed to investigate the statistical issues in five domains, including model derivation (predictor selection and algorithm development), model validation (internal and external), model performance, model presentation, and risk threshold setting. On the ground of survey results and existing guidelines, a list of recommendations for statistical methods in prognostic models was developed.

RESULTS

A total of 112 eligible studies were included, with 107 reporting model development and five exclusively reporting external validation. During model development, 58.9% of the studies did not include any form of validation. Of these, 46.4% used stepwise regression in a crude manner for predictor selection, while two-thirds made decisions on retaining or dropping candidate predictors solely based on p-values. Additionally, 26.2% transformed continuous predictors into categorical variables, and 80.4% did not consider nonlinear relationships between predictors and outcomes. Surprisingly, 94.4% of the studies did not examine the correlation between predictors. Moreover, 47.1% of the studies did not compare population characteristics between the development and external validation datasets, and only one-fifth evaluated both discrimination and calibration. Furthermore, 53.6% of the studies did not clearly present the model, and less than half established a risk threshold to define risk categories. In light of these findings, 10 recommendations were formulated to promote the appropriate use of statistical methods.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of statistical methods is not yet optimal. Ten recommendations were offered to assist the statistical methods of prognostic prediction models in obstetric care.

Preconception clinical factors related to adverse pregnancy outcomes in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus or primary Sjögren's syndrome: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To identify preconception clinical factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes (APO) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) or primary Sjögren's syndrome (pSS).

METHODS

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study was conducted, which included pregnant women treated at the University Medical Center Groningen between January 2010 and August 2021 who fulfilled classification criteria for SLE or pSS. Demographic data, relevant comorbidities, disease duration, disease activity before and during pregnancy, APO, laboratory parameters and treatment regimens were recorded. Associations between the presence of APO and preconception characteristics were evaluated.

RESULTS

Our study population included 48 (70%) SLE and 21 (30%) pSS pregnancies concerning 70 fetuses (one twin). Preterm birth (n=9, 19%) was the most frequent APO in SLE pregnancies, while in pSS pregnancies this was miscarriages (n=3, 14%). There were no associations between the presence of APO in SLE pregnancies and clinical parameters, laboratory parameters or medication use prior to conception. In the pSS group, significant associations were found between the presence of APO and body mass index (p=0.010), parity (p=0.046), C4 (p=0.021) and low C4 levels (p=0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

No preconception risk factors related to APO were found in SLE pregnancies, whereas preconception complement levels were associated with APO development in patients with pSS.

Congenital Heart Block

Congenital complete heart block (CCHB) defines atrioventricular conduction abnormalities diagnosed in utero or within the first 27 days of life. Maternal autoimmune disease and congenital heart defects are most commonly responsible. Recent genetic discoveries have highlighted our understanding of the underlying mechanism. Hydroxychloroquine shows promise in preventing autoimmune CCHB. Patients may develop symptomatic bradycardia and cardiomyopathy. The presence of these and other specific findings warrants placement of a permanent pacemaker to relieve symptoms and prevent catastrophic events. The mechanisms, natural history, evaluation, and treatment of patients with or at risk for CCHB are reviewed.

Racial disparities in pregnancy outcomes among women with rheumatic diseases: A systematic literature review

OBJECTIVE

There is a limited understanding of racial disparities in adverse pregnancy outcomes (APO) among women with rheumatic diseases. The aim of our study was to conduct a systematic literature review to evaluate the impact of race on APO in women with rheumatic diseases.

METHODS

Databases were searched to find reports of APO stratified by race among women with rheumatic diseases. The initial searches were conducted in July 2020 and updated in March 2021. Of the final included articles, the full text was reviewed, and data was extracted from each study using a standard data abstraction form.

RESULTS

Ten studies with a total of 39,720 patients met our eligibility criteria. There was a greater propensity for APO in racial minorities with rheumatic diseases compared to their White counterparts. Among women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), Black women had the highest odds of APOs, particularly those with a concomitant diagnosis of antiphospholipid syndrome. Pooled meta-analysis could not be done due to multiple factors, including heterogeneity between studies.

CONCLUSION

Racial minorities with rheumatic diseases are more prone to APO compared to their White counterparts. One limitation is the lack of standardized criteria for APO, which prohibited direct comparison between studies. There is also a paucity of data looking at APOs among women with rheumatic diseases other than SLE. Further research is needed to explore the drivers of these racial disparities to guide targeted solutions for those in the greatest need.

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Delivery Outcomes Are Unchanged Across Three Decades

Objective

Using a large, de‐identified electronic health record database with over 3.2 million patients, we aimed to identify trends of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) medication use during pregnancy and birth outcomes from 1989 to 2020.

Methods

Using a previously validated algorithm for SLE deliveries, we identified 255 pregnancies in patients with SLE and 604 pregnancies in controls with no known autoimmune diseases. We examined demographics, medications, SLE comorbidities, and maternal and fetal outcomes in SLE and control deliveries.

Results

Compared with control deliveries, SLE deliveries were more likely to be complicated by preterm delivery (odds ratio [OR]: 6.71; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.31‐10.55; P < 0.001) and preeclampsia (OR: 3.22; 95% CI: 1.83‐5.66; P < 0.001) after adjusting for age at delivery, race, and parity. In a longitudinal analysis, medication use during SLE pregnancies remained relatively stable, with some increased use of hydroxychloroquine over time but no increase in aspirin use. For SLE deliveries, preterm delivery and preeclampsia rates remained stable.

Conclusion

We observed rates of preeclampsia and preterm delivery in SLE that were five times higher than the general population and higher compared with other prospective SLE cohorts. Furthermore, we did not observe improved outcomes over time with preeclampsia and preterm delivery. Despite increasing evidence for universal use of hydroxychloroquine and aspirin, we did not observe substantially higher use of these medications over time, particularly for aspirin. Our results demonstrate the continued need to prioritize educational and implementation efforts to improve adverse pregnancy outcomes in SLE.

Reproductive concerns and contributing factors in women of childbearing age with systemic lupus erythematosus

OBJECTIVES

Reproductive concerns are common in women of childbearing age with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) with inadequate disclosure. This study aimed to investigate the contributing factors of reproductive concerns and to evaluate their impact on health-related quality of life.

METHODS

One hundred eighty women of childbearing age with SLE were enrolled in this cross-sectional study in Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from March 2021 to December 2021. A series of questionnaires were conducted: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI), the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI-20), Female Sexual Distress Scale-Revised (FSDS-R), Family Assessment Device (APGAR), the Medical Coping Modes Questionnaire (MCMQ), the Short-Form 36 (SF-36), and the Chinese version of Reproductive Concerns After Cancer (RCAC). Independent t test, one-way ANOVA, Mann-Whitney U test, Pearson/Spearman, and multiple linear stepwise regression were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

The results indicated that female SLE patients were more concerned about the child's health and personal health than becoming pregnant, fertility potential, partner disclose and acceptance; SLE patients with the characteristics of living in rural residence, having no reproductive history, fearing unexpected pregnancy, sexual distress, and depression showed more serious fertility concerns. Meanwhile, most female SLE patients adopted active confrontation when facing reproductive concerns, and these patients were significantly lower in the dimension score of mental related quality of life.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that female SLE patients should be paid more attention to their fertility concerns and effective intervention measures should be carried out to relieve their reproductive concerns, so as to improve their long-term quality of life if their disease condition permits.

Congenital Heart Block

Congenital complete heart block (CCHB) defines atrioventricular conduction abnormalities diagnosed in utero or within the first 27 days of life. Maternal autoimmune disease and congenital heart defects are most commonly responsible. Recent genetic discoveries have highlighted our understanding of the underlying mechanism. Hydroxychloroquine shows promise in preventing autoimmune CCHB. Patients may develop symptomatic bradycardia and cardiomyopathy. The presence of these and other specific findings warrants placement of a permanent pacemaker to relieve symptoms and prevent catastrophic events. The mechanisms, natural history, evaluation, and treatment of patients with or at risk for CCHB are reviewed.

The SLICC/ACR Damage Index (SDI) may predict adverse obstetric events in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to evaluate the potential impact of irreversible damage accrual in women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and adverse maternal and/or fetal/neonatal outcomes.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study with SLE pregnant patients was carried out from January 2011 to January 2020 at the Hospital University Pedro Ernesto (HUPE) of the State University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Irreversible damage was defined according to SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI). The association of SDI on pregnancy outcomes was established by univariate and multivariate regression models and included demographic and clinical variables.

RESULTS

This study included data from 260 patients in their first pregnancies after SLE diagnosis, with a quarter of them (67/260) scoring one or more points on SDI at the beginning of prenatal care. These patients presented more frequently adverse maternal events, namely, disease activity during pregnancy (p = 0.004) and puerperium (p = 0.001), active lupus nephritis (p = 0.04), and hospitalizations (p = 0.004), than those with no SDI score. Similarly, the risks of adverse fetal and neonatal outcomes were also higher among the patients with SDI ≥ 1 (59.7% vs 38.3% p = 0.001) even after controlling data for disease activity (SLEPDAI > 4). Patients with SDI ≥ 1 presented more frequently preterm deliveries (46.3% vs 31.6%; p = 0.01), small for gestational age infants (28.3% vs 18.1%; p = 0.04), and neonatal intensive care unit admission (26.9% vs 1.5%; p < 0.001). The multivariate analyses showed that SDI ≥ 1 is an independent risk factor for hospitalization due to obstetric complications (p = 0.0008) and preterm delivery (p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

Pregnant SLE patients who present irreversible damage accrual may have higher risk of maternal and fetal adverse outcomes, independently of disease activity. These results should be validated in further prospective studies.

Shedding light on the pathophysiology of preeclampsia-syndrome in the era of Cardio-Obstetrics: Role of inflammation and endothelial dysfunction

:

Preeclampsia (PE) is a worldwide pregnancy complication with serious maternal and neonatal consequences. Our understanding of PE pathophysiology has significantly evolved over the last decades by recognizing that endothelial dysfunction and systemic inflammation, with an associated angiogenic imbalance, are key pieces of this still incomplete puzzle. In the present era, where no single treatment to cure or treat this obstetric condition has been developed so far, PE prevention and early prediction poses the most useful clinical approach to reduce the PE burden. Although most PE episodes occur in healthy nulliparous women, the identification of specific clinical conditions that increase dramatically the risk of PE provides a critical opportunity to improve outcomes by acting on potential reversible factors, and also contribute to better understand this pathophysiologic enigma. In this review, we highlight major clinical contributors of PE and shed light about their potential link with endothelial dysfunction and inflammation.

Lupus Low Disease Activity State Achievement Is Important for Reducing Adverse Outcomes in Pregnant Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the frequency and risk factors of complications during pregnancy in women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

The medical records of patients with SLE and age-matched controls at Ajou University Hospital were collected. Clinical features and pregnancy complications in women with SLE were compared to those of the controls. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the predictors of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes.

RESULTS

We analyzed 163 pregnancies in patients with SLE and 596 pregnancies in the general population; no significant differences regarding demographic characteristics were noted. Patients with SLE experienced a higher rate of stillbirth (OR 13.2), preeclampsia (OR 4.3), preterm delivery (OR 2.8), intrauterine growth retardation (OR 2.5), admission to neonatal intensive care unit (OR 2.2), and emergency cesarean section (OR 1.9) than the control group. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that thrombocytopenia, low complement, high proteinuria, high SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI), low Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) achievement rate, and high corticosteroid (CS) dose were associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. In the receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal cutoff value for the cumulative and mean CS doses were 3500 mg and 6 mg, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pregnant women with SLE have a higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Pregnancies are recommended to be delayed until achieving LLDAS and should be closely monitored with the lowest possible dose of CS.

Caracterización de mujeres embarazadas con lupus eritematoso sistémico y resultados materno-fetales en el noroeste de Colombia. Estudio descriptivo

Objetivo: evaluar las características epidemiológicas, clínicas y de tratamiento de las mujeres embarazadas con lupus eritematoso sistémico, así como sus resultados obstétricos, en dos centros de referencia en el noroeste de Colombia.Métodos: serie de casos retrospectiva que evaluó las gestantes atendidas en la Unidad de Medicina Materno Fetal y en el servicio de Reumatología entre 2010 y 2015.Resultados: se incluyeron 40 pacientes y 43 embarazos. Edad promedio al diagnóstico: 24 ± 7 años; 22 (55 %) fueron primigestantes. La afectación clínica más frecuente fue articular (n = 32; 80 %). Ocho de 43 embarazos (18,6 %) presentaron actividad lúpica al inicio de éste. La complicación obstétrica más frecuente fue preeclampsia en 11/43 (25,6 %) embarazos. La complicación fetal más común fue el parto prematuro (8/43; 18,6 %). Los anticuerpos anticardiolipinas y anti-DNA fueron positivos en 10/43 (23,3 %) y en 15/38 (39,5 %) embarazos, respectivamente. En 13 gestaciones (31,7 %) hubo recaídas durante el tercer trimestre, y de éstas, en seis casos (46,1 %) fue grave, especialmente nefritis. Al ingreso, en 29/43 (65 %) embarazos se utilizó prednisona y en 32/43 (74,4 %) antimaláricos. En el puerperio dos pacientes presentaron recaída moderada y dos madres tuvieron preeclampsia. No se encontraron muertes maternas y la supervivencia perinatal fue 86 % (37/43 gestaciones).Discusión: en esta cohorte de pacientes con LES y embarazo, la nefritis y los anticuerpos antifosfolípidos estaban presentes en gran parte de las pacientes con complicaciones obstétricas, aunque un bajo porcentaje de pacientes estuvo activa antes de la gestación; las complicaciones maternas y fetales fueron frecuentes. 

Autoimmune connective tissue diseases and pregnancy

Autoimmune connective tissue-diseases are more frequent in women and deserve a multidisciplinary approach in which the dermatologist play a major role together with other physicians. Pregnancy in these patients has to be considered a high-risk situation, because of possible worsening of the mother's disease and increased morbility and mortality for the fetus; also, therapies have to be chosen carefully because some drugs cannot be used during pregnancy. For all these reasons, the decision to become pregnant needs to consider the type of disease, stage of disease, age and clinical condition, and requires a multidisciplinary approach. A correct counselling, a close monitoring, a specific approach based on the risks involved and the use of appropriate therapies are the keys to obtain optimal pregnancy outcomes.

Pregnancy in Chronic Kidney Disease: Need for Higher Awareness. A Pragmatic Review Focused on What Could Be Improved in the Different CKD Stages and Phases

Pregnancy is possible in all phases of chronic kidney disease (CKD), but its management may be difficult and the outcomes are not the same as in the overall population. The prevalence of CKD in pregnancy is estimated at about 3%, as high as that of pre-eclampsia (PE), a better-acknowledged risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes. When CKD is known, pregnancy should be considered as high risk and followed accordingly; furthermore, since CKD is often asymptomatic, pregnant women should be screened for the presence of CKD, allowing better management of pregnancy, and timely treatment after pregnancy. The differential diagnosis between CKD and PE is sometimes difficult, but making it may be important for pregnancy management. Pregnancy is possible, even if at high risk for complications, including preterm delivery and intrauterine growth restriction, superimposed PE, and pregnancy-induced hypertension. Results in all phases are strictly dependent upon the socio-sanitary system and the availability of renal and obstetric care and, especially for preterm children, of intensive care units. Women on dialysis should be aware of the possibility of conceiving and having a successful pregnancy, and intensive dialysis (up to daily, long-hours dialysis) is the clinical choice allowing the best results. Such a choice may, however, need adaptation where access to dialysis is limited or distances are prohibitive. After kidney transplantation, pregnancies should be followed up with great attention, to minimize the risks for mother, child, and for the graft. A research agenda supporting international comparisons is highly needed to ameliorate or provide knowledge on specific kidney diseases and to develop context-adapted treatment strategies to improve pregnancy outcomes in CKD women.

Obstetric antiphospholipid syndrome

The present clinical and laboratory classification criteria for antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) were established in Sydney, Australia, in 2006. In this review, we focus on the obstetric subset of APS (OAPS), defined by persistent positivity for antiphospholipid antibodies together with either early recurrent pregnancy loss, early fetal death, stillbirth or premature birth <34 gestational weeks due to pre-eclampsia, eclampsia and placental insufficiency. It is important to diagnose these cases since most women suffering from OAPS can, when given appropriate treatment, have successful pregnancies. Furthermore, patients with OAPS may, depending on the antibody profile, be at enhanced risk of thrombotic events later in life. We present an update on the present knowledge of possible underlying pathogenesis, risk factors and risk estimations for adverse pregnancy outcomes before and during pregnancy, current treatment concepts, and long-term outcomes for women with OAPS and their children.

All-cause hospitalizations in systemic lupus erythematosus from a single medical center in Israel

OBJECTIVE

Clinical features of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have been described from different geographical regions in the world. The aim of this study was to obtain local and contemporary data on all-cause hospitalizations of SLE patients in an Israeli Medical Center.

METHODS

This is a retrospective observational single-center study. Revision of medical records of hospitalized lupus patients during 5-year period (January 2012-December 2016) was performed.

RESULTS

A total of 61 lupus patients and 138 hospitalizations were identified. Female-to-male ratio was 9:1. Average age was 42.5 years. Average disease duration was 14.58 years. Mean SLICC/ACR damage index was 0.75. The majority of patients were treated with lupus medications (47, 77%). The most common lupus medications were hydroxychloroquine (40, 65.5%), prednisone (25, 40.9%), and azathioprine (9, 14.75%). The most common reasons for hospitalization were disease flare (28, 20.3%), pregnancy and labor (26, 18.9%), and infection (19, 13.8%). The average length of hospitalization for all patients was 6.65 days. No fetal morbidity was recorded, and there was one event of maternal morbidity. There were no cases of acute coronary events. There were six ICU admissions (4.35%). Two admissions (1.45%) were complicated by hospital-acquired infection. Three patients died (2.17%) during hospital stay.

CONCLUSIONS

This survey from a single Israeli medical center revealed low rates of pregnancy complications, coronary events, and nosocomial infections in hospitalized lupus patients. Further studies are required to determine whether these findings reflect local disease expression or it may remark global trend of decrease in lupus complications.

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Pregnancy

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with a strong female predilection. Pregnancy remains a commonly encountered but high-risk situation in this setting. Both maternal and fetal mortality and morbidity are still significantly increased despite improvements in outcomes. Maternal morbidity includes higher risk of disease flares, preeclampsia and other pregnancy-related complications. Fetal issues include higher rates of preterm birth, intrauterine growth restriction, and neonatal lupus syndromes. Treatment options during pregnancy are also limited and maternal benefit has to be weighed against fetal risk. A coordinated approach, with close monitoring by a multidisciplinary team, is essential for optimal outcomes.