Comparison of admission random glucose, fasting glucose, and glycated hemoglobin in predicting the neurological outcome of acute ischemic stroke: a retrospective study

Acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio as an outcome predictor in ischemic stroke in patients with and without diabetes mellitus

OBJECTIVE

Elevated plasma glucose levels are common in patients suffering acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and acute hyperglycemia has been defined as an independent determinant of adverse outcomes. The impact of acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio (ACR) has been analyzed in other diseases, but its impact on AIS prognosis remains unclear. The main aim of this study was to assess whether the ACR was associated with a 3-month poor prognosis in patients with AIS.

RESEARCH, DESIGN AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients admitted for AIS in Hospital del Mar, Barcelona. To estimate the chronic glucose levels (CGL) we used the formula eCGL= [28.7xHbA1c (%)]-46.7. The ACR (glycemic at admission / eCGL) was calculated for all subjects. Tertile 1 was defined as: 0.28-0.92, tertile 2: 0.92-1.13 and tertile 3: > 1.13. Poor prognosis at 3 months after stroke was defined as mRS score 3-6.

RESULTS

2.774 subjects with AIS diagnosis were included. Age, presence of diabetes, previous disability (mRS), initial severity (NIHSS) and revascularization therapy were associated with poor prognosis (p values < 0.05). For each 0.1 increase in ACR, there was a 7% increase in the risk of presenting a poor outcome. The 3rd ACR tertile was independently associated with a poor prognosis and mortality. In the ROC curves, adding the ACR variable to the classical clinical model did not increase the prediction of AIS prognosis (0.786 vs. 0.781).

CONCLUSIONS

ACR was positively associated with a poor prognosis and mortality at 3-months follow-up after AIS. Subjects included in the 3rd ACR tertile presented a higher risk of poor prognosis and mortality. Baseline glucose or ACR did not add predictive value in comparison to only using classical clinical variables.

Correlations of 2 Novel Inflammation Indexes With the Risk for Early Neurological Deterioration in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients After Intravenous Thrombolytic Therapy

OBJECTIVES

Elevation of the systemic immune inflammation (SII) index and system inflammation response index (SIRI) is known to be associated with higher risk of stroke and all-cause death. However, no study has reported their correlation with early neurological deterioration (END) following recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (IV-rtPA) in acute ischemic stroke patients. The aim of this study was to explore the correlation of SII and SIRI with the risk of END after IV-rtPA.

METHODS

Included in this study were 466 consecutive patients treated with IV-rtPA. SII and SIRI were calculated according to blood cell counts before IV-rtPA. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on trisectional quantiles according to SII and SIRI values. The risk of END was assessed by multivariate regression. The overall discriminative ability of SII and SIRI in predicting END was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 466 included patients, 62 (13.3%) were identified as having END. Compared with the first tertile of SII, multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that patients were more likely to have END (odds ratio 2.54; 95% CI: 1.23-5.23) and poor outcome at 90 days (odds ratio 2.02; 95% CI: 1.06-3.86) in third tertile after adjustment for potential confounders. In addition, a cutoff value of 591.63 for SII was detected in predicting post-thrombolysis END with a sensitivity of 58.1% and a specificity of 64.6% (area under the curve 0.61; 95% CI: 0.54-0.69).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher SII but not SIRI may prove to be a predictor for high risk of END and a poor functional outcome at 90 days after IV-rtPA.

Relationship between glycated hemoglobin levels and three-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients with or without diabetes: a prospective Korean cohort study

OBJECTIVE

In patients experiencing acute ischemic stroke, there is ongoing debate surrounding the connection between chronic hyperglycemic status and their initial clinical outcomes. Our objective was to examine the connection between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and adverse clinical outcomes at both 3-months adverse clinical outcomes in individuals with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with and without diabetes.

METHODS

The present prospective cohort study involved 896 AIS patients without diabetes and 628 with diabetes treated at a South Korean hospital from January 2010 to December 2016. The target independent variable is HbA1c. The outcome variable is a modified Rankin scale score ≥ 3. A binary logistic regression model was applied to assess the connection between HbA1c levels and 3-month poor clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. Additionally, a generalized additive model and smoothed curve fitting were utilized to explore potential nonlinear associations between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

The binary logistic regression model could not identify any statistically significant connection between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients, both those with and without diabetes, after correcting for various factors. However, a nonlinear relationship emerged between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. The inflection point for HbA1c was determined to be 6.1%. For HbA1c values ≤ 6.1%, an inverse association was observed between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with an 87% reduction in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02-0.81). Conversely, when HbA1c exceeded 6.1%, a positive association between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes became apparent in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with a 23% increase in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 1.03-1.47). However, it's important to note that no significant linear or nonlinear relationships were observed between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients without diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest a nonlinear connection and threshold effect between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. AIS patients with diabetes had a lower risk of 3-month adverse clinical outcomes when their HbA1c control was close to 6.1%. Our findings may aid treatment decision-making and potentially guide interventions to optimize glycemic control in AIS patients.

XGBoost-Based Simple Three-Item Model Accurately Predicts Outcomes of Acute Ischemic Stroke

An all-inclusive and accurate prediction of outcomes for patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is crucial for clinical decision-making. This study developed extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)-based models using three simple factors-age, fasting glucose, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores-to predict the three-month functional outcomes after AIS. We retrieved the medical records of 1848 patients diagnosed with AIS and managed at a single medical center between 2016 and 2020. We developed and validated the predictions and ranked the importance of each variable. The XGBoost model achieved notable performance, with an area under the curve of 0.8595. As predicted by the model, the patients with initial NIHSS score > 5, aged over 64 years, and fasting blood glucose > 86 mg/dL were associated with unfavorable prognoses. For patients receiving endovascular therapy, fasting glucose was the most important predictor. The NIHSS score at admission was the most significant predictor for those who received other treatments. Our proposed XGBoost model showed a reliable predictive power of AIS outcomes using readily available and simple predictors and also demonstrated the validity of the model for application in patients receiving different AIS treatments, providing clinical evidence for future optimization of AIS treatment strategies.

The association between stress hyperglycemia and unfavorable outcomes in patients with anterior circulation stroke after mechanical thrombectomy

Background and purpose

Stress hyperglycemia is common in critical and severe diseases. However, few studies have examined the association between stress hyperglycemia and the functional outcomes of patients with anterior circulation stroke, after mechanical thrombectomy (MT), in different diabetes status. This study therefore aimed to determine the relationship between stress hyperglycemia and the risk of adverse neurological functional outcomes in anterior circulation stroke patients with and without diabetes after MT.

Methods

Data of 408 patients with acute anterior circulation stroke treated with MT through the green-channel treatment system for emergency stroke at the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University between January 2016 and December 2020 were reviewed retrospectively. The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) was calculated as fasting plasma glucose (mmol/L) divided by glycosylated hemoglobin (%). The patients were stratified into four groups by quartiles of SHR (Q1-Q4). The primary outcome was an excellent (nondisabled) functional outcome at 3 months after admission (modified Rankin Scale score of 0-1). The relationship between stress hyperglycemia and neurological outcome after stroke was assessed using multivariate logistic regression.

Results

After adjusting for potential confounders, compared with patients in Q1, those in Q4 were less likely to have an excellent outcome at 3 months (odds ratio [OR], 0.32, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.14-0.66, p = 0.003), a good outcome at 3 months (OR, 0.41, 95% CI, 0.20-0.84, p = 0.020), and major neurological improvement (OR, 0.38, 95% CI, 0.19-0.73, p = 0.004). Severe stress hyperglycemia increased risks of 3-months all-cause mortality (OR, 2.82, 95% CI, 1.09-8.29, p = 0.041) and ICH (OR, 2.54, 95% CI, 1.21-5.50, p = 0.015).

Conclusion

Stress hyperglycemia was associated with a reduced rate of excellent neurological outcomes, and increased mortality and ICH risks in patients with anterior circulation stroke after MT regardless of diabetes status.

The acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio correlates with the severity of illness at admission in patients with diabetes experiencing acute ischemic stroke

Acute hyperglycemia is a powerful indicator of the severity of acute ischemic stroke (AIS); however, the relationship between these two factors is not very clear in patients with diabetes. We aimed to retrospectively evaluate data from 335 consecutive patients who experienced AIS from November 2015 to November 2016 to investigate whether a comprehensive assessment of blood glucose levels is a more valuable indicator of the severity of AIS or the presence of acute hyperglycemia in patients with diabetes. We collected demographic data, clinical manifestation information, clinical scores, and laboratory data [including fasting blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels]. We estimated prehospital mean blood glucose concentrations using the following formula [1.59 * HbA1c (%) – 2.59] to calculate the “Acute-to-Chronic Glycemic Ratio” (AC ratio). The AC ratio differed significantly among patients grouped according to the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale/Score (NIHSS) at admission (admission NIHSS) (p = 0.006). Univariate regression analysis revealed a correlation between the AC ratio and admission NIHSS [standardized β-coefficient (Std. B) = 0.164, p = 0.004]. The adjusted linear regression analysis revealed a correlation between both HbA1c (Std. B = 0.368, p = 0.038) and the AC ratio (Std. B = 0.262, p = 0.022) and admission NIHSS. The AC ratio (Std. B = 0.161, p = 0.012) was related to admission NIHSS in the stepwise variable selection. For an admission NIHHS &gt; 4, the AC ratio (Std. B = 0.186, p = 0.047) was related to admission NIHSS in the stepwise variable selection. The AC ratio (Std. B = 1.163, p = 0.006 and Std. B = 0.565, p = 0.021, respectively) were related to admission NIHSS in both large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) and small-vessel occlusion (SVO) subgroups. Thus, the AC ratio is related to admission NIHSS in patients with diabetes who experienced AIS and may be a better indicator of severity than acute blood glucose levels.

Elevated Glycated Hemoglobin Levels Are Associated With Poor Outcome in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective

Admission hyperglycemia is an established risk factor for functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke. However, the association between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and prognosis in patients with acute anterior circulation ischemic stroke (AACIS) remains controversial. This study aimed to explore whether elevated HbA1c levels are associated with functional outcome in AACIS patients.

Participants and Methods

We enrolled patients with AACIS hospitalized in the First Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University from March 2018 to January 2021. Patients were categorized into three groups based on baseline HbA1c: HbA1c ≤ 6.5%, 6.5% < HbA1c ≤ 8.0%, and HbA1c > 8.0%. Ninety-day modified Rankin Scale scores of 0–1 and 0–2 were defined as excellent and favorable functional outcome, respectively. Early neurological improvement was regarded as a reduction in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 4 points compared with that on admission, or an NIHSS score of 0–1 at discharge. The association between HbA1c and clinical outcome in acute ischemic patients was assessed by logistic regression and adjusted for confounding factors. Subgroup analyses by TOAST classification were also conducted.

Results

The study included 326 patients. The proportion with favorable outcome was significantly lower in the HbA1c > 8.0% group than the HbA1c ≤ 6.5% group (30.4 vs. 55.2%; p < 0.01). Binary logistic regression analysis demonstrated that increasing HbA1c levels (as a continuous variable) were associated with reduced functional independence (adjusted OR = 0.739; 95% CI: 0.605–0.904; p = 0.003). In subgroup analyses, higher HbA1c was also associated with favorable outcome in large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA)-type patients (adjusted OR = 0.776; 95% CI: 0.614–0.981; p = 0.034), but not in LAA group.

Conclusions

HbA1c level was an independent predictor of worse functional outcome in patients with AACIS, particularly in those with LAA. For patients with anterior circulation atherosclerosis, strict adherence to a target HbA1c < 6.5% may be required.

Association Between Raised HbA1c Levels and Hemorrhagic Transformation in Patients With Ischemic Stroke

Background Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a commonly used indicator of glycemic control in diabetes mellitus. Uncontrolled diabetes can lead to cardiovascular complications. Ischemic strokes are often complicated by hemorrhagic transformation, which is the conversion of an infarcted area into an area of hemorrhage. The purpose of this study is to determine the association of raised HbA1c levels with the occurrence of hemorrhagic transformation in ischemic stroke. Methods This is a prospective, single-center cohort study of patients admitted to the Neurology and Medicine wards between June 1 and November 30, 2019. Inclusion criteria included adult patients who were admitted with acute ischemic stroke and had been tested for HbA1c on presentation. There were 110 ischemic stroke patients enrolled in our database. An HbA1c level >53 mmol/mol was considered raised. A comparison was done between the group with raised HbA1c levels and the group with target levels of HbA1c for the occurrence of hemorrhagic transformation. Brain imaging was used to diagnose hemorrhagic transformation. Results Out of 110 study participants with ischemic stroke, 70 (63.6%) patients had a history of prior known diabetes. The mean HbA1c levels were 7.44 ± 1.79%. A total of 77% of diabetic patients had raised HbA1c levels (>7%). Hemorrhagic transformation was seen in 21 (19.1%) patients, of whom only 38% (n=8) had raised HbA1c levels. The association between raised HbA1c and hemorrhagic transformation was not found to be statistically significant (p = 0.225). Conclusion In this study of patients with ischemic stroke, raised HbA1c levels were not found to be associated with hemorrhagic transformation. There is a need for larger scale studies to find out the cause and mechanism of hemorrhagic transformation in ischemic stroke.

Carotid intima media thickness measurements coupled with stroke severity strongly predict short-term outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a machine learning study

Acute ischemic stroke (IS) is one of the leading causes of morbidity, functional disability and mortality worldwide. The objective was to evaluate IS risk factors and imaging variables as predictors of short-term disability and mortality in IS. Consecutive 106 IS patients were enrolled. We examined the accuracy of IS severity using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid stenosis (both assessed using ultrasonography with doppler) predicting IS outcome assessed with the modified Rankin scale (mRS) three months after hospital admission. Poor prognosis (mRS ≥ 3) at three months was predicted by carotid stenosis (≥ 50%), type 2 diabetes mellitus and NIHSS with an accuracy of 85.2% (sensitivity: 90.2%; specificity: 81.8%). The mRS score at three months was strongly predicted by NIHSS (β = 0.709, p < 0.001). Short-term mortality was strongly predicted using a neural network model with cIMT (≥ 1.0 mm versus < 1.0 mm), NIHSS and age, yielding an area under the receiving operator characteristic curve of 0.977 and an accuracy of 94.7% (sensitivity: 100.0%; specificity: 90.9%). High NIHSS (≥ 15) and cIMT (≥ 1.0 mm) increased the probability of dying with hazard ratios of 7.62 and 3.23, respectively. Baseline NIHSS was significantly predicted by the combined effects of age, large artery atherosclerosis stroke, sex, cIMT, body mass index, and smoking. In conclusion, high values of cIMT and NIHSS at admission strongly predict short-term functional impairment as well as mortality three months after IS, underscoring the importance of those measurements to predict clinical IS outcome.

Recurrent Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke in Cameroon: A Case-Control Study

Introduction

Stroke recurrence accounts for a great percentage of catastrophic complications, yet no comprehensive study has analyzed the factors associated with stroke recurrence in Cameroon. We carried out this case-control study to better understand the factors associated with the stroke recurrence in Cameroon.

Methods

We collected sociodemographic, clinical, neuroimaging, laboratory, and therapeutic data of eligible patients who consulted the neurology and cardiology department of the Yaounde Central Hospital in Cameroon. We included all patients at least five years removed from their first stroke event who consulted the authors' institution as of January 15, 2019. Wilcoxon signed-rank and Fisher's exact tests were used. Also, a Cox regression model was used to identify confounders.

Results

We recruited 100 patients; seven out of ten patients had hypertension, while six out of 10 had a sedentary lifestyle. Half of the patients consumed alcohol regularly, while one patient out of five had diabetes. Most patients presented with their first stroke event, and a quarter had a stroke recurrence. Stroke recurrence was associated with right handedness (OR = 0.23, 95% CI = 0.16–0.33), congestive heart failure (OR = 3.45, 95% CI = 1.16–10.28), gout (OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 1.09–18.09), dysarthria (OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 1.30–14.54), and facial palsy (OR = 3.96, 95% CII = 1.49 – 10.51), as well as modifiable factors such as elevated abdominal circumference (P < 0.01), systolic blood pressure (P < 0.01), blood glucose level (PI <I 0.01), LDL cholesterol (P < 0.01), and triglyceride levels (P < 0.01). The mulitvariable regression model only identified laterality (B = –1.48, P = 0.04) as a statistically significant explanatory varibale for stroke recurrence.

Conclusion

We mapped the landscape of recurrent strokes in Cameroon. There is a need to evaluate the causes of suboptimal drug adherence rates and both the role and adherence to nonpharmacologic interventions.

A Novel INCNS Score for Prediction of Mortality and Functional Outcome of Comatose Patients

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to verify the veracity and reliability of the INCNS score for prediction of neurological ICU (NICU) mortality and 3-month functional outcome and mortality in comatose patients.

Methods: In this prospective study, data of the patients admitted to NICU from January 2013 to January 2019 were collected for validation. The 3-month functional outcomes were evaluated using modified Rankin Scale (mRS). By using the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis, we compared the INCNS score with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Full Outline of Un-Responsiveness Score (FOUR) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) for assessment of the predictive performance of these scales for 3-month functional outcome and mortality and NICU mortality performed at 24- and 72-h after admission to the NICU.

Results: Totally 271 patients were used for evaluation; the INCNS score achieved an AUC (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of 0.766 (95% CI: 0.711–0.815) and 0.824 (95% CI: 0.774–0.868) for unfavorable functional outcomes, an AUC of 0.848 (95% CI: 0.800–0.889) and 0.892 (95% CI: 0.848–0.926) for NICU mortality, and an AUC of 0.811 (95% CI: 0.760–0.856) and 0.832 (95% CI: 0.782–0.874) for the 3-month mortality after discharge from the NICU at 24- and 72-h. The INCNS score exhibited a significantly better predictive performance of mortality and 3-month functional outcomes than FOUR and GCS. There was no significant difference in predicting NICU mortality and 3-month functional outcomes between INCNS and APACHE II, but INCNS had better predictive performance of 3-month mortality than APACHE II.

Conclusions: The INCNS score could be used for predicting the functional outcomes and mortality rate of comatose patients.

Diabetes in ischaemic stroke in a regional Australian hospital - uncharted territory

BACKGROUND

Stroke and diabetes (DM) are significant interrelated healthcare issues but there is a dearth of data on the prevalence of DM among Australia's regional stroke population.

AIMS

We aimed to determine the prevalence of DM in stroke patients at a large regional centre, including sub-analyses on stroke subtypes, glycaemic control and renal function in ischaemic stroke (IS).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients (n = 323) with IS or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) admitted to Ballarat Base Hospital from January 2015 to December 2016. Demographic data, cardiovascular risk factors, aetiology/territory of IS, pre-morbid DM status, indicators of glycaemic control and renal impairment were recorded.

RESULTS

DM was present in 28.5% of IS and TIA patients including 4% being newly diagnosed. Among diabetic IS patients, 45.3% had poor glycaemic control (HbA1c ≥7.0%) while 16% had moderate to severe renal impairment (eGFR of <30). The majority of IS were partial anterior circulation stroke (53.4%) and cardioembolism was the commonest mechanism (43.5%). We found no significant association between DM and a specific stroke location or mechanism.

CONCLUSION

Almost a third of IS/TIA patients had DM with a significant proportion showing poor glycaemic control. The DM prevalence in our cohort was comparable to reported rates from other developed countries. While we found no association between DM and a particular stroke type or mechanism, it is likely a reflection of our cohort size. Our study demonstrated that DM, as a significant risk factor in IS, warrants early detection and better management strategies. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Association between fasting blood glucose and outcomes and mortality in acute ischaemic stroke patients with diabetes mellitus: a retrospective observational study in Wuhan, China

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictive value of fasting blood glucose (FBG) on unfavourable outcomes and mortality in diabetes mellitus (DM) patients after acute ischaemic stroke (AIS).

STUDY DESIGN

A hospital-based observational cohort study was conducted. Clinical data, including sex, age, body mass index, vascular risk factors and systolic/diastolic blood pressure, were routinely collected. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was used to assess stroke severity on admission. FBG was determined on the first day after fasting for at least 8 hours. The modified Rankin Scale was used to assess functional outcome at 90 days: 3-6, unfavourable outcome and 6, death.

SETTING

Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients who had AIS with DM, who were consecutively admitted within 24 hours of onset from January 2018 to June 2019.

RESULTS

For the 568 patients, the median age was 65 years (IQR, 55-74 years). There were 377 (66.4%) men. The median FBG values were 7.37 mmol/L (IQR, 5.99-10.10 mmol/L), and the median glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) values were 6.6 (IQR, 5.8-8.3). Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis of confounding factors showed that FBG at the time of admission was an independent predictor of unfavourable outcome (OR, 1.25 (1.14-1.37); p<0.0001) and mortality (HR, 1.10 (1.03-1.15); p<0.05) at 90 days after onset. Time to death was analysed by Kaplan-Meier curves based on FBG quartiles. The risk of death in the two highest quartile groups (FBG, 7.38-10.10 mmol/L; FBG, ≥10.11 mmol/L) was significantly higher than that in the two lowest quartile groups (FBG, ≤6.00 mmol/L; FBG, 6.01-7.37 mmol/L; p<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher FBG levels are associated with unfavourable outcomes and mortality in Chinese patients who had AIS with DM. Our data contribute to the knowledge regarding the relationship between FBG and prognosis in patients with DM who had AIS.

Elevated plasma D-dimer levels are associated with short-term poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a prospective, observational study

BACKGROUND

Elevated levels of plasma D-dimer increase the risk of ischemic stroke, stroke severity, and the progression of stroke status, but the association between plasma D-dimer level and functional outcome is unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate whether plasma D-dimer level is a determinant of short-term poor functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

METHODS

This prospective study included 877 Chinese patients with AIS admitted to Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University within 72 h of symptom onset. Patients were categorized by plasma D-dimer level: Quartile 1(≤0.24 mg/L), Quartile 2 (0.25-0.56 mg/L), Quartile 3 (0.57-1.78 mg/L), and Quartile 4 (> 1.78 mg/L). The medical record of each patient was reviewed, and demographic, clinical, laboratory and neuroimaging information was abstracted. Functional outcome at 90 days was assessed with the modified Rankin Scale.

RESULTS

Poor outcome was present in 302 (34.4%) of the 877 patients that were included in the study (mean age, 64 years; male, 68.5%). After adjustment for potential confounding variables, higher plasma D-dimer level on admission was associated with poor outcome (adjusted odds ratio 2.257, 95% confidence interval 1.349-3.777 for Q4:Q1; P trend = 0.004). According to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the best discriminating factor for poor outcome was a plasma D-dimer level ≥ 0.315 mg/L (area under the ROC curve 0.657; sensitivity 83.8%; specificity 41.4%).

CONCLUSION

Elevated plasma D-dimer levels on admission are significantly associated with poor outcome after admission for AIS, suggesting the potential role of plasma D-dimer level as a predictive marker for short-term poor outcome in patients with AIS.

Prediction of the Lethal Outcome of Acute Recurrent Cerebral Ischemic Hemispheric Stroke

Background and objectives. Stroke-induced mortality is the third most common cause of death in developed countries. Intense interest has focused on the recurrent ischemic stroke, which rate makes up 30% during first 5 years after first-ever stroke. This work aims to develop criteria for the prediction of acute recurrent cerebral ischemic hemispheric stroke (RCIHS) outcome on the basis of comprehensive baseline clinical, laboratory, and neuroimaging examinations. Materials and Methods. One hundred thirty-six patients (71 males and 65 females, median age 74 (65; 78)) with acute RCIHS were enrolled in the study. All patients underwent a detailed clinical and neurological examination using National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), computed tomography of the brain, hematological, and biochemical investigations. In order to detect the dependent and independent risk factors of the lethal outcome of the acute period of RCIHS, univariable and multivariable regression analysis were conducted. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis with the calculation of sensitivity and specificity was performed to determine the prediction variables. Results. Twenty-five patients died. The independent predictors of the lethal outcome of acute RCIHS were: Baseline NIHSS score (OR 95% CІ 1.33 (1.08-1.64), p = 0.0003), septum pellucidum displacement (OR 95% CI 1.53 (1.17-2.00), p = 0.0021), glucose serum level (OR 95% CI 1.28 (1.09-1.50), p = 0.0022), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (OR 95% CI 1.11 (1.00-1.21), p = 0.0303). The mathematical model, which included these variables was developed and it could determine the prognosis of lethal outcome of the acute RCIHS with an accuracy of 86.8% (AUC = 0.88 ± 0.04 (0.88-0.93), p < 0.0001).

Prevalence of diabetes and its effects on stroke outcomes: A meta-analysis and literature review

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Diabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for stroke and maybe associated with poorer outcomes after stroke. The aims of the present literature review were to determine: (i) the prevalence of diabetes in acute stroke patients through a meta-analysis; (ii) the association between diabetes and outcomes after ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke; and (iii) to review the value of glycated hemoglobin and admission glucose-based tests in predicting stroke outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Ovid MEDLINE and EMBASE searches were carried out to find studies relating to diabetes and inpatient stroke populations published between January 2004 and April 2017. A meta-analysis of the prevalence of diabetes from included studies was undertaken. A narrative review on the associations of diabetes and different diagnostic methods on stroke outcomes was carried out.

RESULTS

A total of 66 eligible articles met inclusion criteria. A meta-analysis of 39 studies (n = 359,783) estimated the prevalence of diabetes to be 28% (95% confidence interval 26-31). The rate was higher in ischemic (33%, 95% confidence interval 28-38) compared with hemorrhagic stroke (26%, 95% confidence interval 19-33) inpatients. Most, but not all, studies found that acute hyperglycemia and diabetes were associated with poorer outcomes after ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes: including higher mortality, poorer neurological and functional outcomes, longer hospital stay, higher readmission rates, and stroke recurrence. Diagnostic methods for establishing diagnosis were heterogeneous between the reviewed studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately one-third of all stroke patients have diabetes. Uniform methods to screen for diabetes after stroke are required to identify individuals with diabetes to design interventions aimed at reducing poor outcomes in this high-risk population.

Development and validation of a new score for predicting functional outcome of neurocritically ill patients: The INCNS score

Aims

To develop and validate a novel score for prediction of 3‐month functional outcome in neurocritically ill patients.

Methods

The development of the novel score was based on two widely used scores for general critical illnesses (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, APACHE II; Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, SAPS II) and consideration of the characteristics of neurocritical illness. Data from consecutive patients admitted to neurological ICU (N‐ICU) between January 2013 and June 2016 were used for the validation. The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used to evaluate 3‐month functional outcomes. APACHE II scores, SAPS II scores, and our novel scores at 24 hours and 72 hours in N‐ICU were obtained. We compared the prognostic performance of our score with APACHE II and SAPS II.

Results

We developed a 44‐point scoring system named the INCNS score, and it includes 19 items which were categorized into five parts: inflammation (I), nutrition (N), consciousness (C), neurological function (N), and systemic function (S). We validated the INCNS score with a cohort of 941 N‐ICU patients. The 72‐hours INCNS score achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.828 (95% CI: 0.802‐0.854), and the 24‐hours INCNS score achieved an AUC of 0.788 (95% CI: 0.759‐0.817). The INCNS score exhibited significantly better discriminative and prognostic performance than APACHE II and SAPS II at both 24 hours and 72 hours in N‐ICU.

Conclusion

We developed an INCNS score with superior predictive power for functional outcome of neurocritically ill patients.

High Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio Predicts Poor Outcome after Mechanical Thrombectomy for Ischemic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

The present study aimed to evaluate the association between stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) and outcome at 3 months after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) for acute occlusion in the anterior circulation.

METHODS

Data from 160 consecutive patients with large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation who underwent MT from May 2013 to March 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. SHR was calculated as the fasting glucose concentration divided by the estimated average glucose concentration (derived from the glycosylated hemoglobin level). Patients were dichotomized into 2 groups in accordance with the median SHR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify predictors of functional outcome. Good and poor outcomes were defined as modified Rankin Scale scores of 0-2 and 3-6, respectively.

RESULTS

patients with unfavorable outcome had significantly higher levels of SHR than those with favorable outcome (median in SHR = 1.02 versus .84, P = .000). The median SHR was .96. Univariate analysis showed that significantly more patients with a poor outcome had SHR ≥ .96 compared with those with a good outcome (65.2% versus 31.0%, P = .000). After adjusting for potential covariates, Increased SHR (odds ratio [OR] 6.97, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.22-39.65, P = .029, for continuous SHR levels) and SHR ≥ .96 (OR 3.12, 95% CI 1.39-6.96, P = .006) remained independent predictors of poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased SHR is strongly correlated with poor outcome at 3 months after MT for proximal artery occlusion in the anterior circulation.

Impact of Elevated Hemoglobin A1c Levels on Functional Outcome in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

The association between hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and clinical outcomes of acute ischemic stroke is uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between initial hemoglobin A1c level and clinical outcome after acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A total of 408 patients with first-ever acute ischemic stroke were included in this study. We divided the patients into three groups according to HbA1c level: low HbA1c level (HbA1c <5.7%), moderate HbA1c level (HbA1c 5.7-6.4%), and high HbA1c level (HbA1c ≥6.5%). Poor neurological outcomes were defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 2-6 at 3 months after stroke. The relation between HbA1c value and clinical outcomes were evaluated by using multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Moderate HbA1c level was present in 126 (30.9%) patients and high HbA1c level in 129 (31.6%) patients. After adjustment for potential confounding variables, both patients in the high HbA1c level group (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 2.387; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.201-4.745; P = .013) and moderate HbA1c level group (adjusted OR: 1.797; 95% CI, 1.005-3.214; P = .048) had a significantly higher poor neurological outcomes than the group in the low HbA1c level. When separately analyzed according to with or without diabetes, the HbA1c level as continuous variable was also associated with poor functional outcome at 3 months in the diabetic patients (adjusted OR: 1.482, 95% CI, 1.013-2.167, P = .042), nor in nondiabetic group.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher HbA1c on admission was an independent predictor of adverse functional outcome in ischemic stroke patients. Based on this point, tight glycemic control must be necessary for high-risk diabetic patients.

Diabetes mellitus and atrial remodelling in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: Role of electroanatomical mapping and catheter ablation

Complex fractionated atrial electrograms (CFAEs) are related to atrial fibrosis, but their ablation has not yet shown superiority. The aim of the study was to compare, in terms of clinical outcome, two strategies of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM): pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) vs. PVI + CFAEs. Compared to an historical population of patient with paroxysmal AF and without DM, a higher percentage of patients with DM showed more than 25% of atrial area interested by CFAEs (study population, 58% vs historical group, 15%; p < 0.05). In PVI group, recurrences rate was similar in patients with HbA1c ⩽ 7.5% vs HbA1c > 7.5% (30% vs 22%; p = not significant), but a greater AF burden was observed in patients with HbA1c > 7.5% (6 ± 2 vs 1 ± 2; p < 0.05). In hazard ratios analysis PVI+CFAEs seems more effective than PVI alone in patients with HbA1c > 7.5% (hazard ratio, 1.28; p < 0.05), more than 25 years from DM diagnosis (hazard ratio, 1.25; p < 0.05) and more than five AF episodes/year (hazard ratio, 1.2; p < 0.05). Type 1 DM patients had complex atrial 'substrate', as documented by wider CFAEs areas. Despite this, 1-year follow-up recurrence rate was similar between two ablation approaches (PVI 27% vs. PVI+CFAEs 21%; p = not significant). In our study, only specific subgroups, like patients with disglycaemic state (HbA1c > 7.5%), long diabetes mellitus history and high AF burden, benefit from PVI+ CFAEs approach.

Observation of elevated fasting blood glucose and functional outcome after ischemic stroke in patients with and without diabetes

During May 2015 to October 2016, this prospective study enrolled a total of 438 patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS), meanwhile, records regarding the severity of initial stroke and neurological outcomes at three months, as well as other examination were completed in patients on admission, as well as the measurement and evaluation of fasting blood glucose(FBG) levels. At admission, the median FBG levels in patients with a minor stroke (n=124), [P<0.001]) was significantly lower than that observed in patients with other degrees of stroke. The poor functional outcome distribution across the FBG quartiles ranged from 13.8 % (first quartile) to 59.6% (fourth quartile), with P <0.001. Compared with the reference category (first quartile), patients in the highest quartile had a relative risk of 3.12 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-6.15; P<0.001) while those in the second and third quartiles had relative risks of 1.76 (95% CI, 1.21-3.03; P=0.035) and 2.23 (95% CI, 1.50-3.69; P=0.010), respectively. Furthermore, in the patients without diabetes, FBG level was observed to be increased and indicated an increased risk of disability (odds ratio [OR]: 1.30 (95%CI 1.13-1.61), P=0.002), however, similar result was not detected in patients with prior diabetes (P=0.089). In conclusion, elevated FBG levels after stroke may suggest poor functional outcome at 3-month in patients without a previous history of diabetes.