Accuracy and Predictability of PANC-3 Scoring System over APACHE II in Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Study

Incidence and prognostic role of pleural effusion in patients with acute pancreatitis: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Pleural effusion (PE) is reported as a common complication in acute pancreatitis (AP), while the incidence of PE in AP varies widely among studies, and the association between PE and mortality is not clear. This study aimed to comprehensively analyze the pooled incidence of PE in patients with AP and to evaluate the influence of PE on mortality through a meta-analysis.

METHOD

Six databases (PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane, Scopus, and OVID) were searched thoroughly for relevant studies. Data were extracted, and Stata SE 16.0 software was applied to compute the pooled incidence of PE and assess the association between PE and mortality, taking the risk ratio (RR) as the effect size.

RESULTS

Thirty-five articles involving 7,675 patients with AP were eventually included in this meta-analysis. The pooled incidence of PE was 34% (95% CI: 28%-39%), with significant heterogeneity among studies (I2=96.7%). Further analysis revealed that the pooled incidence of unilateral and small PE occupied 49% (95% CI: 21%-77%) and 59% (95% CI: 38%-81%) of AP patients complicated by PE, respectively. The subgroup analysis revealed that "region" and "examination method" may contribute to heterogeneity. PE may be associated with increased mortality in AP patients (RR 3.99, 95% CI: 1.73-9.2).

CONCLUSION

This study suggested that PE is a common complication with high pooled incidence and that PE may be associated with increased mortality in AP patients. More studies should be performed to validate our findings.

Risk factors of pancreatitis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in patients with biliary tract diseases

BACKGROUND

To investigate the risk factors of pancreatitis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients with biliary tract diseases.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 480 patients who underwent ERCP for biliary tract diseases at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University from October 2011 to October 2016. The patients were divided into a study group (n = 75, with PEP) and a control group (n = 405, without PEP) based on whether they developed post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP), and their clinical baseline data and intraoperative conditions were retrieved and compared. Then, factors associated with PEP were analyzed using logistic regression model, based on which a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model.

RESULTS

Significant differences in age, sex, history of pancreatitis, history of choledocholithiasis, pancreatic duct imaging, pancreatic sphincterotomy, difficult cannulation, multiple cannulation attempts and juxtapapillary duodenal diverticula were observed between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age less than 60 years (OR, 0.477; 95% CI, 0.26-0.855), female sex (OR, 2.162; 95% CI, 1.220-3.831), history of pancreatitis (OR, 2.567; 95% CI, 1.218-5.410), history of choledocholithiasis (OR, 2.062; 95% CI, 1.162-3.658), pancreatic sphincterotomy (OR, 2.387; 95% CI, 1.298-4.390), pancreatic duct imaging (OR, 4.429; 95% CI, 1.481-13.242), multiple cannulation attempts (OR, 2.327; 95% CI, 1.205-4.493), difficult cannulation (OR, 2.421; 95% CI, 1.143-5.128), and JPD (OR, 2.002; 95% CI, 1.125-3.564) were independent risk factors for PEP. The nomogram for predicting the occurrence of PEP demonstrated an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.787, and the calibration curves of the model showed good consistency between the predicted and actual probability of PEP.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed that age less than 60 years, female sex, history of pancreatitis, history of choledocholithiasis, pancreatic sphincterotomy, pancreatic duct imaging, multiple cannulation attempts, difficult cannulation and juxtapapillary duodenal diverticula were independent risk factors for PEP. In addition, the established nomogram demonstrated promising clinical efficacy in predicting PEP risk in patients who underwent ERCP for biliary tract diseases.

[Harmless acute pancreatitis score on admission can accurately predict mild acute pancreatitis]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy of harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) on admission for predicting mild acute pancreatitis (MAP).

METHODS

We prospectively collected the data from consecutive AP patients admitted to West China Hospital between January, 2016 and August, 2017, and HAPS scores were calculated on admission. The clinical outcomes of the patients with harmless AP (HAPS>2) and those with non-harmless AP (HAPS≤2) were compared. MAP was defined based on the severity classification of 2012 Revised Atlanta guidelines. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver- operator characteristic curve (ROC), specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of HAPS on admission for predicting MAP were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 703 patients with AP analyzed, 182 were predicted to have harmless AP and 521 to have non- harmless AP, and the patients in the latter group had significantly worse clinical outcomes (P < 0.001). The total number of patients with MAP was 359 in the study. The specificity, the sensitivity, the PPV and NPV of HAPS on admission for predicting MAP was 97.7% (95% CI: 95.4-99.0), 48.2% (95% CI: 42.9-53.3), 95.6% (95% CI: 91.5- 98.1) and 64.1% (95% CI: 59.8- 68.2), respectively, and the AUC was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.72- 0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

HAPS score on admission can accurately predict MAP.

Serum glycoprotein 2 as a biomarker of severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a main cause of acute abdominal pain. Although the pathophysiology of AP is not fully understood, it is now widely acknowledged that the activation of enzymes in zymogen granules (ZGs) plays an important role in the progression of AP. In AP animal models, the up-regulation of serum ZG glycoprotein 2 (GP2) can be used as a potential biological marker for AP.

AIM

To investigate whether serum GP2 can be used as an early biomarker of AP severity.

METHODS

In a prospective single-center cohort study, plasma samples and baseline clinical data were collected from 9 healthy subjects and 59 patients with AP within 24 h of onset. Serum GP2 levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and their correlation with the severity of AP was analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 59 AP patients, 30 had mild AP, 16 had moderate AP, and 13 had severe AP. Serum GP2 levels were significantly increased in AP patients and positively correlated with AP severity. Using 2.3 ng/mL as the cut-off point, the sensitivity and specificity of serum GP2 to distinguish moderate AP were 96.6% and 90.0%, respectively, and the positive and negative predictive values were 90.3% and 96.4%, respectively. Using 5.1 ng/mL as the cut-off point, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value to distinguish severe AP were all 100%. Serum GP2 was found to be a better prognostic marker than bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis score, hematocrit, admission or persistent systemic inflammatory response score, and C-reactive protein.

CONCLUSION

Serum GP2 increases in AP patients, and it positively correlates with the severity of AP, suggesting its potential to predict the severity of AP.

Level of serum soluble Tim-3 expression in early-phase acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

T-cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain 3 (Tim-3) assumedly play a crucial immunomodulatory role in inflammatory response. Data on the potential role of soluble Tim-3 (sTim-3) in acute pancreatitis (AP) are scarce. We conducted a prospective clinical study to characterize its role in the early-phase AP.

METHODS

In total, 44 patients with AP (16 mild and 28 none-mild) who presented within 24 hours on admission and 20 healthy volunteers (NC) were included in our study. Serum interleukin (IL)-6, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, and sTim-3 levels were detected using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

Levels of the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and TNF-α and the anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10 in the none-mild and mild groups were significantly elevated compared with those of the NC group. The sTim-3 levels of the none-mild and mild group were significantly increased compared with the NC. The sTim-3 level positively correlated with the IL-6 and TNF-α but showed no obvious correlations with the IL-10 level. The sTim-3 level positively correlated with the APACHE II score.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate that sTim-3 participates in the early progression of AP by positively regulating the pro-inflammatory cytokines and that the measurement of serum sTim-3 is an early marker for predicting AP.

Efficacy and safety of acupuncture as an adjuvant treatment for acute pancreatitis: a protocol of systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Acupuncture may be effective for acute pancreatitis (AP). This systematic review aims to assess the efficacy and safety of acupuncture as an adjuvant treatment for AP.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will search PubMed, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, EMBASE, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wan Fang Data and Chinese Science Journal Database from inception to 30 June 2019 to identify any eligible study. Only randomised controlled trials will be included. The selection of studies, data extraction and management will be completed by two reviewers independently. The primary outcomes include the overall response rate, mortality during the treatment, the proportion of patients with severe acute pancreatitis transferred to the intensive care unit or scheduled for surgery, gastrointestinal function and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II scores. The secondary outcomes include visual analogue scale, the use of analgesics, the recovery time of blood amylase becoming normal, tumour necrosis factor α counts, IL-6 counts, IL-10 counts, length of hospital stay and adverse events related to acupuncture (such as fainting, nausea, haematoma and local infection). Review Manager V.5.3 software will be used for statistical analyses. The risk of bias of included studies will be assessed by the Cochrane 'risk of bias' tool.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study will not involve personal information. The ethical approval will not be required. The results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018115099.