Trends in elective and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm repair by practice setting in Ontario, Canada, from 2003 to 2016: a population-based time-series analysis

One-time screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in Ontario, Canada: a model-based cost-utility analysis

BACKGROUND

Screening programs for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) are not available in Canada. We sought to determine the effectiveness and costutility of AAA screening in Ontario.

METHODS

We compared one-time ultrasonography-based AAA screening for people aged 65 years to no screening using a fully probabilistic Markov model with a lifetime horizon. We estimated life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), AAA-related deaths, number needed to screen to prevent 1 AAA-related death and costs (in Canadian dollars) from the perspective of the Ontario Ministry of Health. We retrieved model inputs from literature, Statistics Canada, and the Ontario Case Costing Initiative.

RESULTS

Screening reduced AAA-related deaths by 84.9% among males and 81.0% among females. Compared with no screening, screening resulted in 0.04 (18.96 v. 18.92) additional life-years and 0.04 (14.95 v. 14.91) additional QALYs at an incremental cost of $80 per person among males. Among females, screening resulted in 0.02 (21.25 v. 21.23) additional life-years and 0.01 (16.20 v. 16.19) additional QALYs at an incremental cost of $11 per person. At a willingness-to-pay of $50 000 per year, screening was cost-effective in 84% (males) and 90% (females) of model iterations. Screening was increasingly cost-effective with higher AAA prevalence.

INTERPRETATION

Screening for AAA among people aged 65 years in Ontario was associated with fewer AAA-related deaths and favourable cost-effectiveness. To maximize QALY gains per dollar spent and AAA-related deaths prevented, AAA screening programs should be designed to ensure that populations with high prevalence of AAA participate.

Development of an Artificial Intelligence Tool for Intraoperative Guidance During Endovascular Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair

BACKGROUND

Adverse events during surgery can occur in part due to errors in visual perception and judgment. Deep learning is a branch of artificial intelligence (AI) that has shown promise in providing real-time intraoperative guidance. This study aims to train and test the performance of a deep learning model that can identify inappropriate landing zones during endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).

METHODS

A deep learning model was trained to identify a "No-Go" landing zone during EVAR, defined by coverage of the lowest renal artery by the stent graft. Fluoroscopic images from elective EVAR procedures performed at a single institution and from open-access sources were selected. Annotations of the "No-Go" zone were performed by trained annotators. A 10-fold cross-validation technique was used to evaluate the performance of the model against human annotations. Primary outcomes were intersection-over-union (IoU) and F1 score and secondary outcomes were pixel-wise accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

RESULTS

The AI model was trained using 369 images procured from 110 different patients/videos, including 18 patients/videos (44 images) from open-access sources. For the primary outcomes, IoU and F1 were 0.43 (standard deviation ± 0.29) and 0.53 (±0.32), respectively. For the secondary outcomes, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV were 0.97 (±0.002), 0.51 (±0.34), 0.99 (±0.001). 0.99 (±0.002), and 0.62 (±0.34), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

AI can effectively identify suboptimal areas of stent deployment during EVAR. Further directions include validating the model on datasets from other institutions and assessing its ability to predict optimal stent graft placement and clinical outcomes.

Risk factors for readmission after open abdominal aortic aneurysms repair and its outcome in chronic kidney disease patients

OBJECTIVE

Readmission after vascular procedures is a burden to hospitals and the Medicare system. Therefore, identifying risk factors leading to readmission is vital. We examined the frequency of and risk factors for 30-day readmission after open aneurysm repair (OAR) and explored post-operative outcomes with special attention for those with preexisting chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

Patients who underwent OAR were identified in the National Readmission Database (2016-2018). Demographic information and comorbidities were collected. Patients readmitted within 30 days after their index hospitalization were identified and compared to patients without readmission records.

RESULTS

A total of 5090 patients underwent OAR during the study timeframe with 488 patients (9.6%) were readmitted within 30 days. Females were more readmitted than males (F = 11.1% vs M = 9.0%, P < 0.001). Readmitted patients had more comorbidities (median ECI 12, P < 0.05), were on Medicare (73.7%, P < 0.001), had higher surgery admission cost ($146,844, P < 0.001), longer length of stay (8 days, P < 0.001), and were discharged to a lower level care facility (62.7%, P < 0.001). Comorbidities that predisposed patients for readmission include: peripheral arterial disease (OR 2.15, P < 0.01), asthma (OR 1.87, P < 0.01), chronic heart failure (OR 1.74, P < 0.05). On readmission visit, acute renal failure (23.8%) was the most common diagnosis, while intestinal surgery (13.7%) was the most common procedure. Patients with CKD (n = 968, 18.9% of total population) had double the mortality rate compared to non-CKD patients on surgery admission (10.4%, P < 0.001) and readmission (10.1%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Certain factors were noted to increase readmission rate, special attention need to be paid when dealing with such group of patients requiring OAR. Vascular surgeons should meticulously weigh benefits and risks when considering OAR in patients with CKD who are not a candidate for endovascular repair, and optimize their kidney function before considering such approach.

Trends in Incidence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Rupture, Repair, and Mortality in Nova Scotia

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to examine sex-based trends in incidence of elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and AAA-related mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of patients presenting with AAA from 2005 to 2015 was conducted. Rates of elective AAA repair, ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and mortality were obtained from linking provincial administrative data using medical services insurance billing number. The age-adjusted incidence of elective AAA repair, overall rate of ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and AAA-related mortality was calculated for each sex based on Canadian census estimates, adjusted to the Canadian standard population. Weighted linear regression was performed to analyze trends in incidence over time.

RESULTS

One thousand nine hundred eighty-six elective AAA repairs were identified, of which 1,098 were repaired open and 898 underwent endovascular abdominal aneurysm repair (EVAR). Five hundred and seventy ruptured AAAs were identified, of which 295 (52%) were repaired: 259 open and 36 EVAR. The proportion of ruptured AAA that was repaired did not change over time (P = 0.54). The proportion repairs performed using EVAR increased significantly in both elective (P < 0.001) and rupture repairs (P < 0.001). During the study period, 662 patients died of AAA-associated mortality. The average incidence of elective AAA repair in men was 29.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 27.8 to 30.8) per 100,000 and decreased over time (P = 0.04), whereas the average incidence in women was 9.2 [8.3 to 10.0] and stable (P = 0.07). The incidence of open elective AAA repair was 10.5 [9.9-11.1] with a decreasing trend over time (P < 0.001) and EVAR was 9.0 (8.5-9.6) with an increasing trend over time (P < 0.001). A decreasing trend of overall ruptured AAA (5.4 [5.0-5.9], P < 0.001), ruptured AAA repair (2.9 [2.5-3.2], P = 0.02), and of AAA-related mortality (6.2 [5.8-6.8], P < 0.001) was found, with consistent trends in both sexes. The incidence of open ruptured AAA repair decreased over time (P = 0.001) whereas the incidence of ruptured EVAR remained stable (P = 0.23).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of elective AAA repair is decreasing in males but not females, whereas the incidence of rupture has decreased in both sexes. This has translated into reduced incidence of AAA-related mortality. Increased adoption of EVAR for ruptured AAA should continue these trends.

Type IA endoleak caused by interlocked suprarenal bare-metal stents after endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair with successful endovascular rescue

A physically active 90-year-old man underwent endovascular repair of an asymptomatic but enlarging abdominal aortic aneurysm. Postoperative computed tomography demonstrated entanglement of nonadjacent proximal bare-metal stents. This was associated with graft infolding and a type IA endoleak. The patient underwent percutaneous transluminal angioplasty and placement of a Palmaz stent. Subsequent surveillance imaging showed resolution of the type I endoleak >1 year later. This report demonstrates an uncommon cause of stent graft infolding, an already rare complication of endovascular aneurysm repair, and highlights the need to carefully assess the morphologic appearance of the proximal fixation stents after graft deployment.