Genome-Enabled Prediction Methods Based on Machine Learning

Genomic prediction with machine learning in sugarcane, a complex highly polyploid clonally propagated crop with substantial non-additive variation for key traits

Sugarcane has a complex, highly polyploid genome with multi-species ancestry. Additive models for genomic prediction of clonal performance might not capture interactions between genes and alleles from different ploidies and ancestral species. As such, genomic prediction in sugarcane presents an interesting case for machine learning (ML) methods, which are purportedly able to deal with high levels of complexity in prediction. Here, we investigated deep learning (DL) neural networks, including multilayer networks (MLP) and convolution neural networks (CNN), and an ensemble machine learning approach, random forest (RF), for genomic prediction in sugarcane. The data set used was 2912 sugarcane clones, scored for 26,086 genome wide single nucleotide polymorphism markers, with final assessment trial data for total cane harvested (TCH), commercial cane sugar (CCS), and fiber content (Fiber). The clones in the latest trial (2017) were used as a validation set. We compared prediction accuracy of these methods to genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) extended to include dominance and epistatic effects. The prediction accuracies from GBLUP models were up to 0.37 for TCH, 0.43 for CCS, and 0.48 for Fiber, while the optimized ML models had prediction accuracies of 0.35 for TCH, 0.38 for CCS, and 0.48 for Fiber. Both RF and DL neural network models have comparable predictive ability with the additive GBLUP model but are less accurate than the extended GBLUP model.

Genetic Parameter and Hyper-Parameter Estimation Underlie Nitrogen Use Efficiency in Bread Wheat

Estimation and prediction play a key role in breeding programs. Currently, phenotyping of complex traits such as nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) in wheat is still expensive, requires high-throughput technologies and is very time consuming compared to genotyping. Therefore, researchers are trying to predict phenotypes based on marker information. Genetic parameters such as population structure, genomic relationship matrix, marker density and sample size are major factors that increase the performance and accuracy of a model. However, they play an important role in adjusting the statistically significant false discovery rate (FDR) threshold in estimation. In parallel, there are many genetic hyper-parameters that are hidden and not represented in the given genomic selection (GS) model but have significant effects on the results, such as panel size, number of markers, minor allele frequency, number of call rates for each marker, number of cross validations and batch size in the training set of the genomic file. The main challenge is to ensure the reliability and accuracy of predicted breeding values (BVs) as results. Our study has confirmed the results of bias-variance tradeoff and adaptive prediction error for the ensemble-learning-based model STACK, which has the highest performance when estimating genetic parameters and hyper-parameters in a given GS model compared to other models.

Stacked kinship CNN vs. GBLUP for genomic predictions of additive and complex continuous phenotypes

Deep learning is impacting many fields of data science with often spectacular results. However, its application to whole-genome predictions in plant and animal science or in human biology has been rather limited, with mostly underwhelming results. While most works focus on exploring alternative network architectures, in this study we propose an innovative representation of marker genotype data and tested it against the GBLUP (Genomic BLUP) benchmark with linear and nonlinear phenotypes. From publicly available cattle SNP genotype data, different types of genomic kinship matrices are stacked together in a 3D pile from where 2D grayscale slices are extracted and fed to a deep convolutional neural network (DNN). We simulated nine phenotype scenarios with combinations of additivity, dominance and epistasis, and compared the DNN to GBLUP-A (computed using only the additive kinship matrix) and GBLUP-optim (additive, dominance, and epistasis kinship matrices, as needed). Results varied depending on the accuracy metric employed, with DNN performing better in terms of root mean squared error (1-12% lower than GBLUP-A; 1-9% lower than GBLUP-optim) but worse in terms of Pearson's correlation (0.505 for DNN compared to 0.672 and 0.669 of GBLUP-A and GBLUP-optim for fully additive case; 0.274 for DNN, 0.279 for GBLUP-A, and 0.477 for GBLUP-optim for fully dominant case). The proposed approach offers a basis to explore further the application of DNN to tabular data in whole-genome predictions.

Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Climate-Resilient Smart-Crop Breeding

Recently, Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a revolutionary field, providing a great opportunity in shaping modern crop breeding, and is extensively used indoors for plant science. Advances in crop phenomics, enviromics, together with the other “omics” approaches are paving ways for elucidating the detailed complex biological mechanisms that motivate crop functions in response to environmental trepidations. These “omics” approaches have provided plant researchers with precise tools to evaluate the important agronomic traits for larger-sized germplasm at a reduced time interval in the early growth stages. However, the big data and the complex relationships within impede the understanding of the complex mechanisms behind genes driving the agronomic-trait formations. AI brings huge computational power and many new tools and strategies for future breeding. The present review will encompass how applications of AI technology, utilized for current breeding practice, assist to solve the problem in high-throughput phenotyping and gene functional analysis, and how advances in AI technologies bring new opportunities for future breeding, to make envirotyping data widely utilized in breeding. Furthermore, in the current breeding methods, linking genotype to phenotype remains a massive challenge and impedes the optimal application of high-throughput field phenotyping, genomics, and enviromics. In this review, we elaborate on how AI will be the preferred tool to increase the accuracy in high-throughput crop phenotyping, genotyping, and envirotyping data; moreover, we explore the developing approaches and challenges for multiomics big computing data integration. Therefore, the integration of AI with “omics” tools can allow rapid gene identification and eventually accelerate crop-improvement programs.

Transposable element polymorphisms improve prediction of complex agronomic traits in rice

Transposon insertion polymorphisms can improve prediction of complex agronomic traits in rice compared to using SNPs only, especially when accessions to be predicted are less related to the training set. Transposon insertion polymorphisms (TIPs) are significant sources of genetic variation. Previous work has shown that TIPs can improve detection of causative loci on agronomic traits in rice. Here, we quantify the fraction of variance explained by single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) compared to TIPs, and we explore whether TIPs can improve prediction of traits when compared to using only SNPs. We used eleven traits of agronomic relevance from by five different rice population groups (Aus, Indica, Aromatic, Japonica, and Admixed), 738 accessions in total. We assess prediction by applying data split validation in two scenarios. In the within-population scenario, we predicted performance of improved Indica varieties using the rest of Indica accessions. In the across population scenario, we predicted all Aromatic and Admixed accessions using the rest of populations. In each scenario, Bayes C and a Bayesian reproducible kernel Hilbert space regression were compared. We find that TIPs can explain an important fraction of total genetic variance and that they also improve genomic prediction. In the across population prediction scenario, TIPs outperformed SNPs in nine out of the eleven traits analyzed. In some traits like leaf senescence or grain width, using TIPs increased predictive correlation by 30-50%. Our results evidence, for the first time, that TIPs genotyping can improve prediction on complex agronomic traits in rice, especially when accessions to be predicted are less related to training accessions.