What is the appropriate cut-off value of CRP to predict endoscopic remission in patients with ulcerative colitis in clinical remission?

Common laboratory blood test immune panel markers are useful for grading ulcerative colitis endoscopic severity

BACKGROUND

At present, many indicators reflect the clinical disease activity of ulcerative colitis (UC). However, commonly used inflammatory markers do not show good utility for indicating endoscopic disease activity. The purpose of this study was to evaluate high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR), inflammatory markers, and complete blood count (CBC) related parameters in patients with UC as simple, non-invasive, and independent markers of endoscopic activity (EA).

METHODS

We retrospectively collected extensive data from the hospital medical records of 386 patients who presented with UC to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (Urumqi, China) from 2018 to 2022 January. The Mayo endoscopic score (MES) was used to evaluate endoscopic disease activity. All included patients were defined as the MES-All group; those with extensive colitis (E3) were defined as the MES-E3 group. Demographics, laboratory parameters, endoscopic results, the extent of disease, and drug history were recorded and analyzed.

RESULTS

For patients in the MES-All or MES-E3 group, hs-CRP, CAR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were significantly higher in EA UC patients than in those with mucosal healing. The mean platelet volume (MPV) and lymphocyte to monocyte ratio were significantly lower in active disease than in the patient's remission (p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that in the MES-All and MES-E3 groups, the cutoff values of hs-CRP activity under endoscopy were 5.32 mg/L (AUC 0.850, sensitivity 77.6%, specificity 81.9%) and 5.16 mg/L (AUC 0.902, sensitivity 86.9%, specificity 85.4%) respectively, and the cutoff values of CAR were 0.14 (AUC 0.853, sensitivity 76.8%, specificity 84.8%) and 0.18 (AUC 0.904, sensitivity 81.8%, specificity 89.6%) respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that hs-CRP, CAR, NLR, and PLR identified UC EA, while decreased MPV reflected inflammatory activity in the UC mucosa.

CONCLUSION

Especially in patients with extensive colitis, hs-CRP and CAR are closely related to EA and show a higher diagnostic value compared to the related CBC parameters. The aforementioned indicators are simple and non-invasive independent markers that reflect the EA in UC.

Bowel ultrasound enhances predictive value based on clinical indicators: a scoring system for moderate-to-severe endoscopic activities in patients with ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim was to assess non-invasive factors among clinical features, laboratory, and bowel ultrasound (BUS) characteristics and to develop a scoring system to predict endoscopic activities for ulcerative colitis (UC) patients.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study collecting UC patients between January 2015 to September 2020. Logistic regression was performed to predict moderate-to-severe endoscopic activities, defined as endoscopic Mayo score ⩾2. Model performance was described with discrimination and calibration ability and validated by internal and external methods.

RESULTS

A total of 103 and 29 patients were enrolled in the modeling and validation groups, respectively. Stool frequency ⩾5 times/day, hematochezia, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and colonic wall flow in BUS were included into two predictive models for endoscopic activities, both with good discrimination ability [Area under curve (AUC) 0.879 and 0.882, p < 0.001] and a sensitivity of 76.7% and specificity of 92.3%, which showed an adequate calibration ability by using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p = 0.14 and 0.07). The external validation displayed consistent results with the above mentioned. Nomograms were also established for these models.

CONCLUSION

We developed predictive models for endoscopic disease activities by using noninvasive factors based on stool frequency, hematochezia, ESR, and colonic wall blood flow in BUS. These models performed well in the internal and external validation.