Prognostic Role of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level after Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Rectal Cancer

Correlation between T stage and lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background:

Depth of tumor is a risk factor for lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer, but impact of yield pathologic T (ypT) stage on lymph node involvement in rectal cancer remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the correlation between ypT stage and lymph node metastasis.

Methods:

From January 2010 to December 2015, 602 patients who were diagnosed with rectal cancer and treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by radical operation were reviewed retrospectively. The correlations between ypT stage and lymph node status and survival were evaluated.

Results:

On pathology, 179 (29.7%) patients exhibited regional lymph node metastasis. Lymph node metastasis was seen in 8.5% of ypT0 patients, 20% of ypT1, 18.4% of ypT2, 47.5% of ypT3, and 27.3% of ypT4. Positive lymph node metastasis was correlated with ypT stage. In addition, the difference of lymph node metastasis in ypT stage subgroups was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Five-year disease-free survival was significantly different in the ypT stage subgroups (88.7% versus 86.7% versus 82.6% versus 64.7% versus 72.7%, p < 0.001), as was 5-year overall survival (96.2% versus 90.0% versus 95.8% versus 80.0% versus 90.9%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion:

YpT stage is associated with lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT and radical operation, and ypT0 patients exhibited an 8.5% lymph node metastasis rate. Therefore, the decision for local excision or the watch-and-wait strategy for rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT and predicted to show a pathologic complete response should be considered with caution.

Elevated Carcinoembryonic Antigen at the Time of Recurrence as a Poor Prognostic Factor in Colorectal Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

There are few studies on the prognostic impact of CEA level at the time of recurrence in recurrent colorectal cancer. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum CEA levels at the time of recurrence in patients with recurrent colorectal cancer. Between 2007 and 2014, 962 consecutive recurrent patients for colorectal cancer were analyzed. These patients were divided into two groups according to CEA level at the time of recurrence (r-CEA): high r-CEA (≥5 ng/ml) (n = 428) and normal r-CEA (<5 ng/ml) (n = 534). The prognostic effects of r-CEA were evaluated by one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) to adjust factors between groups. After matching, a total of 778 patients, 389 per group, were analyzed. After matching, the 5-year disease-free survival rate for the high r-CEA group was significantly lower than that for the normal r-CEA group. The 5-year overall survival rate was 56.5% in the high r-CEA group and 66.0% in the normal r-CEA group (p = 0.008). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rate was 61.7% in the high group and 67.5% in the normal group (p = 0.035). In a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors, high preoperative CEA level at the time of recurrence, poor histologic grade, and lymphatic invasion were associated with poorer overall survival. The high r-CEA level group showed significantly poorer prognosis than the normal r-CEA group. Therefore, the r-CEA level can be used as a prognostic factor in recurrent colorectal cancer. Aggressive adjuvant treatment needs to be considered for patients with an initially high CEA level and lymph node positivity who are prone to recurrence.

Comparative study of radiomics, tumor morphology, and clinicopathological factors in predicting overall survival of patients with rectal cancer before surgery

•

Radiomics analysis of pretreatment MR images could predict overall survival (OS) in patients.

•

Clinical, pathological and MRI imaging indexes were included and models were established. Tumor morphological model, clinicopathological model, radiomics model and comprehensive model were used to evaluate the prognosis of patients with rectal cancer. It can explore the influence of the above factors on the prognosis of rectal cancer from multi-level and multi-angle.

•

The proposed radiomics nomogram showed better prognostic performance than the clinicopathological and imaging model in risk stratification and can classify patients into high- and low-risk groups with significant differences in OS.

We compared the ability of a radiomics model, morphological imaging model, and clinicopathological risk model to predict 3-year overall survival (OS) in 206 patients with rectal cancer who underwent radical surgery and had magnetic resonance imaging, clinicopathological, and OS data available. The patients were randomized to a training cohort (n = 146) and a verification cohort (n = 60). Radiomics features were extracted from preoperative T2-weighted images, and a radiomics score model was constructed. Factors that were significant in the Cox multivariate analysis were used to construct the final morphological tumor model and clinicopathological model. A comprehensive model in the form of a line chart was established by combining the three models. Ten radiomics features significantly related to OS were selected to construct the radiomics feature model and calculate the radiomics score. In the morphological model, mesorectal extension depth and distance between the lower tumor margin and the anal margin were significant prognostic factors. N stage was the only significant clinicopathological factor. The comprehensive model combined with the above factors had the best prediction performance for OS. The C-index had a predictive performance of 0.872 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.832–0.912) in the training cohort and 0.944 (95% CI: 0.890–0.990) in the verification cohort, which was better than for any single model. The comprehensive model was divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that all factors were significantly correlated with poor OS in the high-risk group. A comprehensive nomogram based on multi-model radiomics features can predict 3-year OS after rectal cancer surgery.

Can CCRT/RT Achieve Favorable Oncologic Outcome in Rectal Cancer Patients With High Risk Feature After Local Excision?

Purpose

The oncologic outcome of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) after local excision in patients with high-risk early rectal cancer as compared with radical operation has not been reported. The aim of this study is to compare the oncologic outcome between radical operation and adjuvant CCRT after local excision for high-risk early rectal cancer.

Materials and Methods

From January 2005 to December 2015, 266 patients diagnosed with early rectal cancer and treated with local excision who showed high-risk characteristics were retrospectively analyzed. Propensity score matching was applied in a ratio of 1:4, comparing the CCRT/radiotherapy (RT) (n = 34) and radical operation (n = 91) groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors for survival.

Results

The median follow-up period was 112 months. The 5-year disease-free survival rate and the 5-year overall survival of the radical operation group were significantly higher than those of the CCRT/RT group after propensity score matching (96.7% vs. 70.6%, p &lt;0.001; 100% vs. 91.2%, p = 0.005, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, salvage therapy type and preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were prognostic factors for 5-year disease-free survival (p &lt;0.001 and p = 0.021, respectively). The type of salvage therapy, the preoperative CEA, and the pT were prognostic factors for 5-year overall survival (p = 0.009, p = 0.024, and p = 0.046, respectively).

Conclusions

Patients who undergo radical operations after local excision with a high-risk early rectal cancer had better survival than those treated with adjuvant CCRT/RT. Therefore, radical surgery may be recommended to high-risk early rectal cancer patients who have undergone local excision for more favorable oncologic outcomes.

Biomarkers in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Review

Locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) are the subject of a rapidly evolving treatment paradigm. The critical timepoints where management decisions are required during the care of the LARC patient are: prior to the institution of any treatment, post neoadjuvant therapy and post-surgery. This article reviews the clinical, imaging, blood-based, tissue-based, and molecular biomarkers that can assist clinicians at these timepoints in the patient's management, in prognosticating for their LARC patients or in predicting responses to therapy in the multi-modality neoadjuvant treatment era.

Prognostic Impact of Pretreatment Elevated and Normalized Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Resected Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients

Purpose

The prognostic significance of pretreatment elevated and normalized CEA after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) was evaluated.

Materials and Methods

The characteristics of 951 locally advanced rectal cancer patients with nCRT were retrieved and were analyzed retrospectively. Pretreatment CEA levels were defined as CEA evaluated one week prior to the nCRT. CEA after nCRT was deemed as CEA measured one week before surgery. The normal CEA levels were set at <5 ng/mL. The normal CEA group was defined as patients with normal pretreatment CEA levels. The normalized CEA group was defined as patients with elevated pretreatment CEA levels and normal CEA levels after nCRT. The elevated CEA group was defined as patients with elevated pretreatment CEA levels and elevated CEA levels after nCRT.

Results

Compared with the elevated CEA group, the normalized CEA group was associated with better overall survival (OS) (HR: 0.625, 95%CI: 0.416-0.938, P=0.022). There was no difference between the normalized CEA group and the normal CEA group (HR: 1.143, 95%CI: 0.84-1.557, P=0.395).

Conclusion

In conclusion, the study indicated that OS of the normalized CEA group and the normal CEA group was better than the elevated CEA group.

CEA Decline Predicts Tumor Regression and Prognosis in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients with Elevated Baseline CEA

Purpose: To investigate the value of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) decline in predicting pathological tumor regression and outcome for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who received neoadjuvant therapy with elevated baseline CEA.

Methods: LARC patients with elevated pre-treatment CEA who received neoadjuvant therapy and radical tumor resection were retrospectively collected. Serum CEA level during treatment were recorded and the predictive value of pre-treatment CEA, post-treatment CEA and CEA ratio (CEA^{post-treatment} /CEA^{pre-treatment}) for tumor regression grade (TRG), overall survival and diseases free survival were estimated by logistic regression or cox proportional hazard regression.

Results: Two hundred and eighty-four LARC patients with elevated pre-treatment CEA were enrolled and the baseline, post-treatment CEA level and CEA ratio were 11.87 (5.02-731.31) ng/ml, 4.23 (0.50-173.80) ng/ml and 0.31(0.01-2.55) respectively. CEA level in 59.2% of the patients declined to normal after neoadjuvant therapy. Multivariate analysis showed that CEA ratio was an independent predictor for TRG (OR=3.463, 95% CI: 1.269-9.446, P=0.015) and tumor downstage (OR=0.393, 95% CI: 0.187-0.829, P=0.014). Patients with normalized post-treatment CEA level had better overall survival (P=0.010) and disease free survival (P=0.003) than those with elevated CEA level. Higher post-treatment CEA was an independent unfavored predictor for overall survival in LARC patients with elevated pre-treatment CEA (OR=1.042, 95% CI: 1.017-1.067, P=0.001).

Conclusion: Post/pre-treatment CEA ratio predicted tumor regression in term of TRG and tumor downstage for LARC patients with elevated pre-treatment CEA and higher post-treatment CEA predicted poor overall survival.