Tick-borne encephalitis in the Tyrol (Austria): Changes in incidence and endemicity 2000–2006

Peri-urbanisation, counter-urbanisation, and an extension of residential exposure to ticks: a clue to the trends in Lyme borreliosis incidence in the Czech Republic?

The incidence of tick-borne human diseases (TBD) in the Czech Republic (CZ) is on the increase, driven by infections increasingly acquired in residential locations, earlier in spring and later in autumn, and among children and the elderly. To interpret these trends, data on Lyme borreliosis (LB) incidence between 1997 and 2010 were analysed in the context of population migration flows registered in the CZ during the same period. Analysis showed that a migration stream of families with children, and of the elderly, flowed from more urbanized and densely populated localities to those more rural and less populated, where the chance of acquiring LB in the home vicinity was greater than in the urban settings. By contrast, a stream of people in the life phase between early adulthood and family formation flowed reversely, corresponding to a prominent absence of this age category from the patient spectrum. The data further showed that the more the residential exposure became prevalent, the more people were in year-round (rather than in summertime only) contact with ticks, which accounts for an extension of the cases' seasonal distribution as well as for an overall increase in case numbers. Finally, the fact that majority of the urban-to-rural migrants could be categorised as wealthier people could explain the previously noticed lack of low-status people among TBD patients in the CZ.

Forecasting risk of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE): using data from wildlife and climate to predict next year's number of human victims

BACKGROUND

Over the past quarter century, the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) has increased in most European nations. However, the number of humans stricken by the disease varies from year to year. A method for predicting major increases and decreases is needed.

METHODS

We assembled a 25-y database (1984-2008) of the number of human TBE victims and wildlife and climate data for the Stockholm region of Sweden, and used it to create easy-to-use mathematical models that predict increases and decreases in the number of humans stricken by TBE.

RESULTS

Our best model, which uses December precipitation and mink (Neovison vison, formerly Mustela vison) bagging figures, successfully predicted every major increase or decrease in TBE during the past quarter century, with a minimum of false alarms. However, this model was not efficient in predicting small increases and decreases.

CONCLUSIONS

Predictions from our models can be used to determine when preventive and adaptive programmes should be implemented. For example, in years when the frequency of TBE in humans is predicted to be high, vector control could be intensified where infested ticks have a higher probability of encountering humans, such as at playgrounds, bathing lakes, barbecue areas and camping facilities. Because our models use only wildlife and climate data, they can be used even when the human population is vaccinated. Another advantage is that because our models employ data from previously-established databases, no additional funding for surveillance is required.

Prevalence of tick-borne encephalitis virus in Ixodes ricinus and Dermacentor reticulatus ticks collected from the Lublin region (eastern Poland)

A total of 875 nymphal and adult Ixodes ricinus ticks and 148 adult Dermacentor reticulatus ticks were collected by flagging lower vegetation in the Lublin region (eastern Poland) and examined for the presence of RNA of tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) by nested RT-PCR. The minimum infection rate of I. ricinus ticks with TBEV amounted to 1.6% while the infection rate of D. reticulatus ticks was 10.8%. The results suggest that D. reticulatus may be a potential vector of TBEV in Central Europe.