Prediction of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after pancreatic surgery using preoperative CT scan: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Computed Tomography-Defined Body Composition as Prognostic Parameter in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia

INTRODUCTION

Body composition comprising low-skeletal muscle mass (LSMM) and subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue (SAT and VAT) can be assessed by using cross-sectional imaging modalities. Previous analyses suggest that these parameters harbor prognostic relevance in various diseases. Aim of this study was to analyze possible associations of body composition parameters on mortality in patients with clinically suspected acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI).

METHODS

All patients with clinically suspected AMI were retrospectively assessed between 2016 and 2020. Overall, 137 patients (52 female patients, 37.9%) with a median age of 71 years were included in the present analysis. For all patients, the preoperative abdominal computed tomography (CT) was used to calculate LSMM, VAT, and SAT.

RESULTS

Overall, 94 patients (68.6%) of the patient cohort died within 30 days within a median of 2 days, range 1-39 days. Of these, 27 patients (19.7%) died within 24 h. According to the CT, 101 patients (73.7%) were classified as being visceral obese, 102 patients (74.5%) as being sarcopenic, and 69 patients (50.4%) as being sarcopenic obese. Skeletal muscle index (SMI) was lower in non-survivors compared to survivors (37.5 ± 12.4 cm2/m2 vs. 44.1 ± 13.9 cm2/m2, p = 0.01). There were no associations between body composition parameters with mortality in days (SMI r = 0.07, p = 0.48, SAT r = -0.03, p = 0.77, and VAT r = 0.04, p = 0.68, respectively). In Cox regression analysis, a nonsignificant trend for visceral obesity was observed (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.36-1.05, p = 0.07).

CONCLUSION

SMI might be a valuable CT-based parameter, which could help discriminate between survivors and non-survivors. Further studies are needed to elucidate the associations between body composition and survival in patients with AMI.

Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula and pancreatitis after pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy: A review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the leading cause of morbidity and early mortality in patients undergoing pancreatic resection. In addition, recent studies have identified postoperative acute pancreatitis (POAP) as an independent contributor to morbidity. Most perioperative mitigation strategies experimented for POPF have been shown to be in vain with no consensus on the best perioperative management. Clinical prediction models have been developed with the hope of identifying high POPF risk patients with the leading idea of finding subpopulations possibly benefiting from pre-existing or novel mitigation strategies. The aim of this review was to map out the existing prediction modeling studies to better understand the current stage of POPF prediction modeling, and the methodology behind them.

METHODS

A narrative review of the existing POPF prediction model studies was performed. Studies published before September 2022 were included.

RESULTS

While the number of POPF prediction models for pancreatoduodenectomy has increased, none of the currently existing models stand out from the crowd. For distal pancreatectomy, two unique POPF prediction models exist, but due to their freshness, no further external validation or adoption in clinics or research has been reported. There seems to be a lack of adherence to correct methodology or reporting guidelines in most of the studies, which has rendered external validity-if assessed-low. Few of the most recent studies have demonstrated preoperative assessment of pancreatic aspects from computed tomography (CT) scans to provide relatively strong predictors of POPF.

CONCLUSIONS

Main goal for the future would be to reach a consensus on the most important POPF predictors and prediction model. At their current state, few models have demonstrated adequate transportability and generalizability to be up to the task. Better understanding of POPF pathophysiology and the possible driving force of acute inflammation and POAP might be required before such a prediction model can be accessed.

PREDICTION OF EXTERNAL PANCREATIC FISTULA DEVELOPMENT IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE INFECTED NECROTISING PANCREATITIS

OBJECTIVE

The aim: To search for risk factors for the development of external pancreatic fistula (EPF) in patients with acute infected necrotizing pancreatitis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Materials and methods: A prospective single-center observational study was conducted with the participation of 160 adult patients with infected acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) who required intervention at different stages of the disease. Depending on the amylase activity of the drainage secretions, the groups with and without diagnosed EPF were compared according to 15 demographic, clinical, laboratory and instrumental parameters of the disease. To identify predictors of the risk of developing EPF in ANP, a regression logistic analysis was performed and logistic regression models were built for each factor attribute.

RESULTS

Results: We did not find statistically significant differences in the indicators characterising patients on the first day of illness, as well as in the comparison of indicators characterising local complications of AP, the timing of AP infection, the incidence of sepsis and the level of PON in sepsis. When comparing the groups by the frequency of the type of microbial agent of infected APB, no statistically significant differences were found. Comparative pairwise analysis between the groups by morphological characteristics revealed statistical differences in the frequency of focal superficial and transmural PN (p < 0.001). Next, we performed a regression logistic analysis and built logistic regression models for each factor attribute, namely age, gender, BMI, BISAP score and Charlson comorbidity index, morphological characteristics of necrotizing pancreatitis. After univariate regression analysis, a statistically significant association between the depth of PN and the risk of developing PFN was found (OR 2.7 (1.4-5.2), p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

Conclusions: We found that the risk of developing an external pancreatic fistula was associated with the depth of pancreatic necrosis.

Sarcopenia and Risk of Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreatic Surgery: A Systematic Review

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the most critical complications after pancreatic surgery. The relationship between sarcopenia and outcomes following this type of surgery is debated. The aim of this review was to assess the impact of sarcopenia on the risk of POPF. A literature search was performed using the PubMed database and the reference lists of relevant articles to identify papers about the impact of sarcopenia on POPF in pancreatic surgery. Twenty-one studies published between 2016 and 2021 with a total of 4068 patients were included. Some studies observed a significant difference in the incidence of POPF between the sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy. Interestingly, there was a trend of a lower POPF rate in sarcopenic patients than in non-sarcopenic patients. Only one study included patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy specifically. The role of sarcopenia in surgical outcomes is still unclear. A combination of objective CT measurements could be used to predict POPF. It could be assessed by routine preoperative staging CT and could improve preoperative risk stratification in patients undergoing pancreatic surgery.

Postoperative pancreatic fistula affects recurrence-free survival of pancreatic cancer patients

PURPOSE

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) with reported incidence rates up to 45% contributes substantially to overall morbidity. In this study, we conducted a retrospective evaluation of POPF along with its potential perioperative clinical risk factors and its effect on tumor recurrence.

METHODS

Clinical data on patients who had received pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), distal pancreatectomy (DP), or duodenum-preserving pancreatic head resection (DPPHR) were prospectively collected between 2007 and 2016. A Picrosirius red staining score was developed to enable morphological classification of the resection margin of the pancreatic stump. The primary end point was the development of major complications. The secondary end points were overall and recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

340 patients underwent pancreatic resection including 222 (65.3%) PD, 87 (25.6%) DP, and 31 (9.1%) DPPHR. Postoperative major complications were observed in 74 patients (21.8%). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, POPF correlated with body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.025), prolonged stay in hospital (p<0.001), high Picrosirius red staining score (p = 0.049), and elevated postoperative levels of amylase or lipase in drain fluid (p≤0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified UICC stage (p<0.001), tumor differentiation (p<0.001), depth of invasion (p = 0.001), nodal invasion (p = 0.001), and the incidence of POPF grades B and C (p = 0.006) as independent prognostic markers of recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Besides the known clinicopathological risk factors BMI and amylase in the drain fluid, the incidence of POPF correlates with high Picrosirius red staining score in the resection margins of the pancreatic stumps of curatively resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Furthermore, clinically relevant POPF seems to be a prognostic factor for tumor recurrence in PDAC.

Previous upper abdominal surgery is a risk factor for nasogastric tube reinsertion after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Pancreaticoduodenectomy without subsequent nasogastric tube management has not been widely adopted due to delayed gastric emptying, the specific and frequent morbidity associated with this surgical procedure. We assessed the feasibility of pancreaticoduodenectomy without use of nasogastric tubes and the risk factors for subsequent nasogastric tube reinsertion.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 465 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy at a single institution between 2010 and 2019. Primary endpoint was the rate of nasogastric tube reinsertion. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors of nasogastric tube reinsertion and delayed gastric emptying.

RESULTS

The rate of nasogastric tube reinsertion was 10.1% (47/465). The rate of delayed gastric emptying was 9.5% (44/465). Logistic regression analysis identified 4 independent risk factors for nasogastric tube reinsertion: male sex (odds ratio = 4.42; 95% confidence interval 1.50-13.0, P = .007), comorbidity of cardiac ischemia (odds ratio = 3.04; 95% confidence interval 1.05-8.79, P = .041), preoperative cholangitis or cholecystitis (odds ratio = 2.21; 95% confidence interval 1.02-4.76, P = .044), and previous upper abdominal surgery (odds ratio = 8.34; 95% confidence interval 3.07-22.7, P < .001). Independent risk factors for delayed gastric emptying were male sex (odds ratio = 3.20; 95% confidence interval 1.11-9.21, P = .031), comorbidity of cardiac ischemia (odds ratio = 3.81; 95% confidence interval 1.34-10.8, P = .012), concomitant organ resection (odds ratio = 3.99; 95% confidence interval 1.10-14.4, P = .035), and previous upper abdominal surgery (odds ratio = 7.21; 95% confidence interval 2.68-19.4, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Pancreaticoduodenectomy without use of nasogastric tubes is feasible, but patients with previous upper abdominal surgery require careful postoperative nasogastric tube management.