Blood prognostic predictors of treatment response for patients with papillary thyroid cancer

Multi-view progression diagnosis of thyroid cancer by integrating platelet transcriptomes and blood routine tests

Thyroid cancer is the most common type of endocrine system cancer. The pre-cancer and early stages are usually benign or slowly growing, and do not need invasive treatments. This study investigated the challenging classification task of four classes of samples, i.e., normal controls (N), thyroid adenomas (TA), papillary thyroid cancers (PTC) and metastasized papillary thyroid cancers (MPTC). We proposed a multi-view progression diagnosis framework ThyroidBloodTest to integrate the two views of RNAseq platelet transcriptomes (View-T) and blood routine (View-B) features. Platelet transcriptome represented the molecular-level information, while the blood routine features were easy to obtain in the clinical practice. Eleven feature selection algorithms and seven classifiers were evaluated for both views. The experimental data suggested the importance of choosing appropriate data analysis algorithms and feature engineering techniques like principal component analysis (PCA). The best ThyroidBloodTest model achieved Acc = 0.8750 for the four-class classification of the N/TA/PTC/MPTC samples based on the integrated feature space of View-T and View-B. The cellular localization cytosol and three post-translational modification types acetylation/phosphorylation/ubiquitination were observed to be enriched in the proteins encoded by the View-T biomarkers. The numbers of different immune cells also contributed positively to the progression diagnosis of thyroid cancer. The proposed multi-view prediction model demonstrated the necessity of integrating both platelet transcriptomes and blood routine tests for the progression diagnosis of thyroid cancer.

Machine learning for identifying benign and malignant of thyroid tumors: A retrospective study of 2,423 patients

Thyroid tumors, one of the common tumors in the endocrine system, while the discrimination between benign and malignant thyroid tumors remains insufficient. The aim of this study is to construct a diagnostic model of benign and malignant thyroid tumors, in order to provide an emerging auxiliary diagnostic method for patients with thyroid tumors. The patients were selected from the Chongqing General Hospital (Chongqing, China) from July 2020 to September 2021. And peripheral blood, BRAFV600E gene, and demographic indicators were selected, including sex, age, BRAFV600E gene, lymphocyte count (Lymph#), neutrophil count (Neu#), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), platelets count (PLT), red blood cell distribution width-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and parathyroid hormone (PTH). First, feature selection was executed by univariate analysis combined with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. Afterward, we used machine learning algorithms to establish three types of models. The first model contains all predictors, the second model contains indicators after feature selection, and the third model contains patient peripheral blood indicators. The four machine learning algorithms include extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) which were used to build predictive models. A grid search algorithm was used to find the optimal parameters of the machine learning algorithms. A series of indicators, such as the area under the curve (AUC), were intended to determine the model performance. A total of 2,042 patients met the criteria and were enrolled in this study, and 12 variables were included. Sex, age, Lymph#, PLR, RDW, and BRAFV600E were identified as statistically significant indicators by univariate and LASSO analysis. Among the model we constructed, RF, XGBoost, LightGBM and AdaBoost with the AUC of 0.874 (95% CI, 0.841-0.906), 0.868 (95% CI, 0.834-0.901), 0.861 (95% CI, 0.826-0.895), and 0.837 (95% CI, 0.802-0.873) in the first model. With the AUC of 0.853 (95% CI, 0.818-0.888), 0.853 (95% CI, 0.818-0.889), 0.837 (95% CI, 0.800-0.873), and 0.832 (95% CI, 0.797-0.867) in the second model. With the AUC of 0.698 (95% CI, 0.651-0.745), 0.688 (95% CI, 0.639-0.736), 0.693 (95% CI, 0.645-0.741), and 0.666 (95% CI, 0.618-0.714) in the third model. Compared with the existing models, our study proposes a model incorporating novel biomarkers which could be a powerful and promising tool for predicting benign and malignant thyroid tumors.

Reevaluation of Criteria and Establishment of Models for Total Thyroidectomy in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Introduction

After the publication of the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines, the indication for total thyroidectomy (TT) was reported to be underestimated before surgery, which may lead to a substantial rate of secondary completion thyroidectomy (CTx).

Methods and Materials

We retrospectively analyzed differentiated thyroid cancer patients from Wuhan Union Hospital (WHUH). Univariate analysis was performed to evaluate all preoperative and intraoperative factors. New models were picked out by comminating and arranging all significant factors and were compared with ATA and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines in the multicenter prospective Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in China (DTCC) cohort.

Results

A total of 5,331 patients from WHUH were included. Pre- and intraoperative criteria individually identified 906 (17.0%) and 213 (4.0%) patients eligible for TT. Among all factors, age <35 years old, clinical N1, and ultrasound reported local invasion had high positive predictive value to predict patients who should undergo TT. Accordingly, we established two new models that minorly revised ATA guidelines but performed much better. Model 1 replaced “nodule size >4 cm” with “age <35 years old” and achieved significant increase in the sensitivity (WHUH, 0.711 vs. 0.484; DTCC, 0.675 vs. 0.351). Model 2 simultaneously demands the presence of “nodule size >4 cm” and “age <35 years old,” which had a significant increase in the specificity (WHUH, 0.905 vs. 0.818; DTCC, 0.729 vs. 0.643).

Conclusion

All high-risk factors had limited predictive ability. Our model added young age as a new criterion for total thyroidectomy to get a higher diagnostic value than the guidelines.