1
|
Liu H, Julian JT. N-mixture models for population estimation: Application in spotted lanternfly egg mass survey. Curr Res Insect Sci 2024; 5:100078. [PMID: 38576775 PMCID: PMC10992689 DOI: 10.1016/j.cris.2024.100078] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Revised: 03/25/2024] [Accepted: 03/27/2024] [Indexed: 04/06/2024]
Abstract
Population density and structure are critical to nature conservation and pest management. Traditional sampling methods such as capture-mark-recapture and catch-effort can't be used in situations where catching, marking, or removing individuals are not feasible. N-mixture models use repeated count data to estimate population abundance based on detection probability. They are widely adopted in wildlife surveys in recent years to account for imperfect detection. However, its application in entomology is relatively new. In this paper, we describe the general procedures of N-mixture models in population studies from data collection to model fitting and evaluation. Using Lycorma delicatula egg mass survey data at 28 plots in seven sites from the field, we found that detection probability (p) was negatively correlated with tree diameter at breast height (DBH), ranged from 0.516 [95 % CI: 0.470-0.561] to 0.614 [95 % CI: 0.566-0.660] between the 1st and the 3rd sample period. Furthermore, egg mass abundance (λ) was positively associated with basal area (BA) for the sample unit (single tree), with more egg masses on tree of heaven (TOH) trees. More egg masses were also expected on trees of other species in TOH plots. Predicted egg mass density (masses/100 m2) ranged from 5.0 (95 % CI: 3.0-16.0) (Gordon) to 276.9 (95 % CI: 255.0-303.0) (Susquehannock) for TOH plots, and 11.0 (95 % CI: 9.00-15.33) (Gordon) to 228.3 (95 % CI: 209.7-248.3) (Burlington) for nonTOH plots. Site-specific abundance estimates from N-mixture models were generally higher compared to observed maximum counts. N-mixture models could have great potential in insect population surveys in agriculture and forestry in the future.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Houping Liu
- Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, 400 Market Street, Harrisburg, PA 17105, United States
| | - James T. Julian
- Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, 137 Penn Nursery Rd, Spring Mills, PA 16875, United States
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Keller JA, Hoover K. Approach to surveying egg masses of the invasive spotted lanternfly (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae). Environ Entomol 2023; 52:759-767. [PMID: 37318326 DOI: 10.1093/ee/nvad051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2023] [Revised: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 05/31/2023] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
For the invasive planthopper Lycorma delicatula, eggs are an attractive target for surveys and management because they can persist from September through May before hatching, and remnants may be retained for years after hatching. Efforts to control this invasive species, though, are hampered by imperfect detection, which impedes early detection and rapid response, obscures management impacts, and reduces the fraction of egg masses that can be managed. To estimate egg mass detectability, we conducted 75 duplicate surveys of 20 × 5 m plots located in forest edges and disturbed areas frequently used by L. delicatula. We fit binomial mixture models and investigated the effects of weather, height (above or below 3 m), season (winter or spring), and basal area of trees within plots, finding no evidence that these factors affected detection rate, which averaged 52.2%. We additionally estimated the fraction of L. delicatula eggs that were laid above 3 m, putting them outside of easy reach for management by scraping or targeted ovicide application. This proportion varied with basal area of trees within plots, and the estimated mean was greater than 50% across the range of basal areas in study plots. Finally, we found that counts of old egg masses correlated with counts of new egg masses laid the year prior, but the ability to infer prior years' egg mass counts was limited. Together, these findings inform managers delimiting L. delicatula populations in mixed habitats and those treating egg masses to slow population growth and spread of this pest.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Joseph A Keller
- Department of Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| | - Kelli Hoover
- Department of Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Lewis P, Davila-Flores A, Wallis E. An effective trap for spotted lanternfly egg masses. Front Insect Sci 2023; 3:1154510. [PMID: 38469494 PMCID: PMC10926488 DOI: 10.3389/finsc.2023.1154510] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 03/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/13/2024]
Abstract
Spotted lanternfly (SLF) (Lycorma delicatula (White)), an invasive planthopper discovered in Pennsylvania, USA in 2014, continues to spread and is now present in 14 states with substantial infestations present in seven states. Population projections using adult SLF trapping or visual counts are not reliable due to the transient, migratory behavior of the adults which make population forecasts difficult. Another approach to population monitoring is utilization of the stationary egg mass stage, but counting small cryptic egg masses throughout the canopy of large trees in dense woodlots is arduous and prone to error. After several field seasons testing various trapping configurations and materials, we have identified an efficient, simple, low-cost trap termed a 'lamp shade trap' that is attached to the lower trunk area of an SLF host tree. SLF females readily enter the trap and lay eggs on the thin, flexible trap surface. A vertical trap orientation was superior, and the most productive woodlots yielded an average of 47 and 54 egg masses per trap, and several traps had over 100 egg masses. There were 1,943 egg masses tallied from 105 traps placed at six locations in two states. Egg mass counts in the area above and below the traps and on nearby control trees yielded very few egg masses in comparison. Selection of trees 15 to 20 cm in diameter for trap placement is most efficient, yielding good egg mass abundance while minimizing the amount of trap material used. The lamp shade trap has potential as an effective tool to identify SLF in new areas, gauge SLF population levels in woodlots and can also be used to collect and monitor egg masses for research purposes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Phillip Lewis
- Forest Pest Methods Laboratory, United States Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Buzzards Bay, MA, United States
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Cooperband MF, Wickham JD, Warden ML. Factors Guiding the Orientation of Nymphal Spotted Lanternfly, Lycorma delicatula. Insects 2023; 14:279. [PMID: 36975964 PMCID: PMC10054470 DOI: 10.3390/insects14030279] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2023] [Revised: 03/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
A mark-release-recapture experiment was conducted to evaluate the orientation of spotted lanternfly (SLF) Lycorma delicatula White (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) nymphs when released equidistant between two trees. The experiment was repeated weekly for eight weeks in a heavily infested area with mature tree-of-heaven Ailanthus altissima (Mill.) Swingle (Sapindales: Simaroubaceae) planted in rows as ornamental street trees in Beijing, China. One tree in each pair received a methyl salicylate lure, and the lure was rotated between trees every week as it aged. Two additional independent variables for each tree were also analyzed: size and SLF population density. Marked-released SLF significantly chose trees with higher SLF population density over trees with lower density populations, and they also chose larger trees significantly more than smaller trees. Population density and tree size were better predictors of attraction than lures, but when those factors were controlled, SLF significantly chose trees with methyl salicylate lures over control trees for the first 4 weeks of lure life. Wild SLF distribution was assessed weekly, revealing strong aggregation in first and second instars that diminished with development to the third and fourth instars. Thus, nymphal SLF aggregate, and orientation is strongly guided by the presence of other SLF and tree size.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Miriam F. Cooperband
- Forest Pest Methods Laboratory, USDA—APHIS—PPQ, 1398 W. Truck Rd., Buzzards Bay, MA 02542, USA
| | - Jacob D. Wickham
- Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 1 Beichen West Rd., Beijing 100101, China
| | - Melissa L. Warden
- Forest Pest Methods Laboratory, USDA—APHIS—PPQ, 1398 W. Truck Rd., Buzzards Bay, MA 02542, USA
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Abstract
Spotted lanternfly, Lycorma delicatula (White), invaded the eastern United States in 2014 and has since caused economic and ecological disruption. In particular, spotted lanternfly has shown itself to be a significant pest of vineyards and ornamental plants and is likely to continue to spread to new areas. Factors that have contributed to its success as an invader include its wide host range and high mobility, which allow it to infest a wide range of habitats, including agricultural, urban, suburban, and managed and natural forested areas. Management is dependent on chemical use, although no single currently available control measure alone will be sufficient.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Julie M Urban
- Department of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA;
| | - Heather Leach
- Department of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA;
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Madalinska K, McDougall R, Nielsen AL. Characterizing location of spotted lanternfly egg masses in wooded habitat during early invasion stages. Front Insect Sci 2022; 2:964736. [PMID: 38468770 PMCID: PMC10926495 DOI: 10.3389/finsc.2022.964736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Accepted: 08/15/2022] [Indexed: 03/13/2024]
Abstract
The spotted lanternfly, Lycorma delicatula (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae), is an invasive planthopper from Asia that is estimated to have spread 17 km/yr since it's initial detection in Pennsylvania in 2014. Lycorma delicatula is a pest to the agricultural and forestry industries in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States, in part due to its highly polyphagous nature. Current detection relies on visual observations, unbaited traps, or eDNA surveillance in its primary hosts, including grape and hardwoods. These approaches narrow the surveillance area by concentrating on known host plants but could be further refined to narrow the search parameters from the 100+ known host plants. Because L. delicatula appears to have a strong population buildup in wooded areas, we evaluated the relationship between egg mass presence and habitat characteristics in wooded habitats adjacent to vineyards in New Jersey at six farms within the first two years of L. delicatula detection. Habitat characteristics included distance from wood edge, and presence of a critical host plant Ailanthus altissima, and presence of Vitis spp. within 4.5 m. We identified a significant relationship between egg mass presence and Vitis spp. with an 88% probability of finding an egg mass close to a wild grapevine, dropping to 9% where grapes were absent. During the early invasion stages when this research was conducted, a two-year delay from initial detection in wooded habitats to nymphal presence in the vineyard was observed.
Collapse
|
7
|
Liu H. Oviposition selection in spotted lanternfly: impact of habitat and substrate on egg mass size and hatchability. Front Insect Sci 2022; 2:932433. [PMID: 38468805 PMCID: PMC10926464 DOI: 10.3389/finsc.2022.932433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2022] [Accepted: 06/30/2022] [Indexed: 03/13/2024]
Abstract
Oviposition strategies adopted by insects (e.g., habitat selection, substrate preference, egg size, clutch size, structure, arrangement, parental care) are critical to the survival and development of their eggs. The impact of habitat and oviposition substrate on spotted lanternfly egg mass size and hatchability was studied in Pennsylvania through laboratory observations and field monitoring in 2019 and 2021. Eggs were arranged in single layers of 1-13 columns (1-18 eggs/column) on surfaces of various types of oviposition substrates, with the longest column(s) in the middle of the egg mass. Egg mass size was positively correlated with column number, with a mean of 26.6-35.1 (0-105) eggs/egg mass for different samples. Significant differences in egg mass size were observed between study sites, with larger egg masses found at Wertz (44.8), Sam Lewis (40.6), Pinnacle (39.1), Marsh Creek (37.9), Susquehannock (34.5), and Memorial Lake (33.3) and smaller egg masses at Nolde Forest (25.0), Gordon (24.4), and Antietam (21.0). Significant differences were also detected between types of oviposition substrates with smaller egg masses found on American hornbeam (22.7). In general, more (31.6%-48.0%) eggs hatched in the field compared with the laboratory (10.0%). Egg hatch success was positively correlated with egg mass size, with the highest rates recorded on American beech, American hophornbeam, black birch, black cherry, black locust, hackberry, Norway maple, red maple, and sweet cherry at Wertz, Marsh Creek, Memorial Lake, and Pinnacle. Potential (positive or negative) impacts of tree-of-heaven density, initial infestation, treatment history, and incubation conditions are discussed.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Houping Liu
- Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Harrisburg, PA, United States
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Jung M, Kho JW, Gook DH, Lee YS, Lee DH. Dispersal and oviposition patterns of Lycorma delicatula (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) during the oviposition period in Ailanthus altissima (Simaroubaceae). Sci Rep 2022; 12:9972. [PMID: 35705683 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-14264-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2021] [Accepted: 06/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
The spotted lanternfly (SLF), Lycorma delicatula (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae), has the potential to become a global pest and is currently expanding its range in the United States. In this study, we investigated the dispersal patterns of SLF in Ailanthus altissima during its oviposition period in South Korea using a fluorescent marking system. Oviposition patterns of SLF were then analyzed by surveying egg masses in A. altissima patches. The recapture rate of fluorescent-marked SLF rapidly decreased to 30% within the first two weeks. During the oviposition period, seven cases of among-patch dispersal of SLF adults were observed. The minimum distance that SLF could have traveled to achieve these among-patch dispersal events ranged from 10 to 1740 m, with most events spanning under 60 m. Also, the number of A. altissima trees on which fluorescent marked SLF were detected increased until September. Based on the egg mass survey, a total of 159 egg masses were detected from 38 out of 247 A. altissima trees. Furthermore, 79.2% of egg masses were located < 2.5 m above the ground. Finally, a generalized linear mixed model showed that tree height and diameter at root collar (DRC) of A. altissima trees had significant effects on the number of egg masses.
Collapse
|
9
|
Calvin DD, Keller J, Rost J, Walsh B, Biddinger D, Hoover K, Treichler B, Johnson A, Roush RT. Spotted Lanternfly (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) Nymphal Dispersion Patterns and Their Influence on Field Experiments. Environ Entomol 2021; 50:1490-1504. [PMID: 34555164 PMCID: PMC8678449 DOI: 10.1093/ee/nvab104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2021] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
The spotted lanternfly, Lycorma delicatula (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) (White, 1845), is an invasive pest in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. Understanding this pest's dispersion patterns is fundamental for development of management and surveillance programs. To address this knowledge gap, we quantified spotted lanternfly nymph dispersion patterns by instar for rural and urban/suburban habitats, and we compared the number of sample units required for sticky traps and in situ visual counts to estimate population densities at several precisions. In addition, we assessed the ability of two experimental designs (completely random and randomized complete block) to detect management practices' impacts in the field. All instars typically followed an aggregated dispersion pattern. Sample size and time requirements for checking and replacing sticky traps and for conducting in situ counts were similar, but in situ counts do not require purchasing traps, installation time, or delays before treatment, and do not remove insects. Although the cost for using in situ counts is likely less than for sticky traps, early instar spotted lanternfly nymph populations are harder to visually detect than later instars because of their small size, which may negate any cost advantage when treatments are applied early. In general, using a randomized complete block design resulted in higher statistical power than a completely random design, allowing detection of proportional population reductions of 10-20% less with equal replication. Studies aiming to evaluate treatments that reduce spotted lanternfly numbers by less than 60% will require researchers to evaluate the feasibility of using the required large sample sizes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- D D Calvin
- Office of the Dean, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA
- Corresponding author, e-mail: , phone: (814) 863-9949
| | - J Keller
- Department of Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, 437 Ag Administration Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| | - J Rost
- Department of Horticulture, Penn State Berks Campus, Tulpehocken Road, P.O. Box 7009, Reading, PA 19610, USA
| | - B Walsh
- Penn State Extension Berks County Office, 1238 County Welfare Road # 110, Leesport, PA 19533, USA
| | - D Biddinger
- Fruit Research and Extension Center, P.O. Box 330, Biglerville, PA 17307-0330, USA
| | - K Hoover
- Department of Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, 437 Ag Administration Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| | - B Treichler
- U.S. Army Corp of Engineers, Blue Marsh Lake, 1268 Palisades Drive, Leesport, PA 19533, USA
| | - A Johnson
- Department of Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, 437 Ag Administration Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| | - R T Roush
- Office of the Dean, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Liu H, Hunter M. Nondestructive Sampling for Spotted Lanternfly (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) Egg Masses in Woodlands Based on Fixed-Radius Plots. J Econ Entomol 2021; 114:1353-1361. [PMID: 33822061 DOI: 10.1093/jee/toab053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2020] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
A nondestructive sampling method was developed for Lycorma delicatula egg masses based on fixed-radius plot (100 m2) in 2020. All trees >1.0 cm DBH (diameter at breast height, 1.37 m in height) on each plot were visually inspected from the ground 4 m from the tree with binoculars. Egg masses found on trees were separated into six within-tree positions (lower trunk, middle trunk, upper trunk, first branch, second branch, above second branch) and recorded by cardinal directions, whereas those laid on shrubs/vines and stones were recorded without such separation. In total, 146 trees were inventoried at 28 plots over seven study sites (four plots per site). Egg masses were found on 19 tree species plus summer grape (Vitis aestivalis) and stone. Of the 421 total egg masses recorded, 31.1% were on Norway maple (Acer platanoides), followed by tree-of-heaven (Ailanthus altissima; 14.7%), black birch (Betula lenta; 12.6%), tuliptree (Liriodendron tulipifera; 11.9%), and American beech (Fagus grandifolia; 10.2%). Egg mass density per tree was positively correlated with tree diameter, and egg mass density per plot was positively correlated with plot basal area. Egg mass density after conversion ranged from 600 to 3,930 eggs masses/ha with no significant difference among study sites. Cardinal direction had no effect; however, significantly more egg masses were found on the first branches and upper trunks than other within-tree positions. Overall, branches were better than trunks in predicting egg mass number for the tree. The role of distance and late season adult aggregation on oviposition substrate selection are discussed.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Houping Liu
- Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, 400 Market Street, Harrisburg, PA 17105, USA
| | - Matthew Hunter
- Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, 400 Market Street, Harrisburg, PA 17105, USA
| |
Collapse
|