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Bohn L, Drouin SM, McFall GP, Rolfson DB, Andrew MK, Dixon RA. Machine learning analyses identify multi-modal frailty factors that selectively discriminate four cohorts in the Alzheimer's disease spectrum: a COMPASS-ND study. BMC Geriatr 2023; 23:837. [PMID: 38082372 PMCID: PMC10714519 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-023-04546-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 11/30/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty indicators can operate in dynamic amalgamations of disease conditions, clinical symptoms, biomarkers, medical signals, cognitive characteristics, and even health beliefs and practices. This study is the first to evaluate which, among these multiple frailty-related indicators, are important and differential predictors of clinical cohorts that represent progression along an Alzheimer's disease (AD) spectrum. We applied machine-learning technology to such indicators in order to identify the leading predictors of three AD spectrum cohorts; viz., subjective cognitive impairment (SCI), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and AD. The common benchmark was a cohort of cognitively unimpaired (CU) older adults. METHODS The four cohorts were from the cross-sectional Comprehensive Assessment of Neurodegeneration and Dementia dataset. We used random forest analysis (Python 3.7) to simultaneously test the relative importance of 83 multi-modal frailty indicators in discriminating the cohorts. We performed an explainable artificial intelligence method (Tree Shapley Additive exPlanation values) for deep interpretation of prediction effects. RESULTS We observed strong concurrent prediction results, with clusters varying across cohorts. The SCI model demonstrated excellent prediction accuracy (AUC = 0.89). Three leading predictors were poorer quality of life ([QoL]; memory), abnormal lymphocyte count, and abnormal neutrophil count. The MCI model demonstrated a similarly high AUC (0.88). Five leading predictors were poorer QoL (memory, leisure), male sex, abnormal lymphocyte count, and poorer self-rated eyesight. The AD model demonstrated outstanding prediction accuracy (AUC = 0.98). Ten leading predictors were poorer QoL (memory), reduced olfaction, male sex, increased dependence in activities of daily living (n = 6), and poorer visual contrast. CONCLUSIONS Both convergent and cohort-specific frailty factors discriminated the AD spectrum cohorts. Convergence was observed as all cohorts were marked by lower quality of life (memory), supporting recent research and clinical attention to subjective experiences of memory aging and their potentially broad ramifications. Diversity was displayed in that, of the 14 leading predictors extracted across models, 11 were selectively sensitive to one cohort. A morbidity intensity trend was indicated by an increasing number and diversity of predictors corresponding to clinical severity, especially in AD. Knowledge of differential deficit predictors across AD clinical cohorts may promote precision interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linzy Bohn
- Department of Psychology, University of Alberta, P217 Biological Sciences Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E9, Canada.
- Neuroscience and Mental Health Institute, University of Alberta, 2-132 Li Ka Shing Center for Health Research Innovation, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E1, Canada.
| | - Shannon M Drouin
- Department of Psychology, University of Alberta, P217 Biological Sciences Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E9, Canada
- Neuroscience and Mental Health Institute, University of Alberta, 2-132 Li Ka Shing Center for Health Research Innovation, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E1, Canada
| | - G Peggy McFall
- Department of Psychology, University of Alberta, P217 Biological Sciences Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E9, Canada
- Neuroscience and Mental Health Institute, University of Alberta, 2-132 Li Ka Shing Center for Health Research Innovation, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E1, Canada
| | - Darryl B Rolfson
- Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, University of Alberta, 13-135 Clinical Sciences Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2G3, Canada
| | - Melissa K Andrew
- Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, Dalhousie University, 5955 Veterans' Memorial Lane, Halifax, NS, B3H 2E1, Canada
| | - Roger A Dixon
- Department of Psychology, University of Alberta, P217 Biological Sciences Building, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E9, Canada
- Neuroscience and Mental Health Institute, University of Alberta, 2-132 Li Ka Shing Center for Health Research Innovation, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E1, Canada
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González-Marcos E, González-García E, Rodríguez-Fernández P, Sánchez-González E, González-Bernal JJ, González-Santos J. Determinants of Higher Mortality at Six Months in Patients with Hip Fracture: A Retrospective Study. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11092514. [PMID: 35566638 PMCID: PMC9099846 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11092514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2022] [Revised: 04/16/2022] [Accepted: 04/26/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: Hip fracture is a pathology with high mortality, but the lack of a universal adaptation of the factors associated with death makes it difficult to predict risk and implement prevention in this group. This study aimed to identify the factors that determine a higher mortality at six months following hip fracture. (2) Methods: A retrospective longitudinal study, whose study population consisted of patients over 65 years of age. The main variable was mortality at 6 months of fracture. Relevant data related to sociodemographic and clinical variables for subsequent bivariate (χ2) and multivariate analysis were obtained. (3) Results: In all, 665 people participated in the study, 128 of whom died within 6 months of the fracture. The multivariate adjusted analysis demonstrated significant relationships between the main variable and aspects such as institutionalization at discharge (Odds Ratio (OR) = 2.501), a worse overall functional capacity (OR = 2.453) and cognitive capacity (OR = 3.040) at admission, and complications such as heart failure (OR = 5.767) or respiratory infection (OR = 5.308), in addition to the taking of certain drugs and the presence of a greater number of comorbidities. (4) Conclusions: There are certain factors related to higher mortality at six months in patients with hip fracture who are aged 65 years or older.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Enrique González-García
- Traumatology and Orthopedic Surgery Service, Burgos University Hospital, 09006 Burgos, Spain;
| | - Paula Rodríguez-Fernández
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Burgos, 09001 Burgos, Spain;
- Correspondence: (P.R.-F.); (J.J.G.-B.)
| | | | - Jerónimo J. González-Bernal
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Burgos, 09001 Burgos, Spain;
- Correspondence: (P.R.-F.); (J.J.G.-B.)
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Inacio MC, Moldovan M, Whitehead C, Sluggett JK, Crotty M, Corlis M, Visvanathan R, Wesselingh S, Caughey GE. The risk of fall-related hospitalisations at entry into permanent residential aged care. BMC Geriatr 2021; 21:686. [PMID: 34876037 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-021-02640-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2021] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Entering permanent residential aged care (PRAC) is a vulnerable time for individuals. While falls risk assessment tools exist, these have not leveraged routinely collected and integrated information from the Australian aged and health care sectors. Our study examined individual, system, medication, and health care related factors at PRAC entry that are predictors of fall-related hospitalisations and developed a risk assessment tool using integrated aged and health care data. Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted on N = 32,316 individuals ≥65 years old who entered a PRAC facility (01/01/2009-31/12/2016). Fall-related hospitalisations within 90 or 365 days were the outcomes of interest. Individual, system, medication, and health care-related factors were examined as predictors. Risk prediction models were developed using elastic nets penalised regression and Fine and Gray models. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) assessed model discrimination. Results 64.2% (N = 20,757) of the cohort were women and the median age was 85 years old (interquartile range 80-89). After PRAC entry, 3.7% (N = 1209) had a fall-related hospitalisation within 90 days and 9.8% (N = 3156) within 365 days. Twenty variables contributed to fall-related hospitalisation prediction within 90 days and the strongest predictors included fracture history (sub-distribution hazard ratio (sHR) = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.63-2.15), falls history (sHR = 1.41, 95%CI 1.21-2.15), and dementia (sHR = 1.39, 95%CI 1.22-1.57). Twenty-seven predictors of fall-related hospitalisation within 365 days were identified, the strongest predictors included dementia (sHR = 1.36, 95%CI 1.24-1.50), history of falls (sHR = 1.30, 95%CI 1.20-1.42) and fractures (sHR = 1.28, 95%CI 1.15-1.41). The risk prediction models had an AUC of 0.71 (95%CI 0.68-0.74) for fall-related hospitalisations within 90 days and 0.64 (95%CI 0.62-0.67) for within 365 days. Conclusion Routinely collected aged and health care data, when integrated at a clear point of action such as entry into PRAC, can identify residents at risk of fall-related hospitalisations, providing an opportunity for better targeting risk mitigation strategies. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02640-w.
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Inacio MC, Jorissen RN, Khadka J, Whitehead C, Maddison J, Bourke A, Pham CT, Karnon J, Wesselingh SL, Lynch E, Harvey G, Caughey GE, Crotty M. Predictors of short-term hospitalization and emergency department presentations in aged care. J Am Geriatr Soc 2021; 69:3142-3156. [PMID: 34155634 DOI: 10.1111/jgs.17317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2020] [Revised: 05/17/2021] [Accepted: 05/24/2021] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine individual, medication, system, and healthcare related predictors of hospitalization and emergency department (ED) presentation within 90 days of entering the aged care sector, and to create risk-profiles associated with these outcomes. DESIGN AND SETTING Retrospective population-based cohort study using data from the Registry of Senior Australians. PARTICIPANTS Older people (aged 65 and older) with an aged care eligibility assessment in South Australia between January 1, 2013 and May 31, 2016 (N = 22,130). MEASUREMENTS Primary outcomes were unplanned hospitalization and ED presentation within 90 days of assessment. Individual, medication, system, and healthcare related predictors of the outcomes at the time of assessment, within 90 days or 1-year prior. Fine-Gray models were used to calculate subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Harrell's C-index assessed predictive ability. RESULTS Four thousand nine-hundred and six (22.2%) individuals were hospitalized and 5028 (22.7%) had an ED presentation within 90 days. Predictors of hospitalization included: being a man (hospitalization sHR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.26-1.42), ≥3 urgent after-hours attendances (hospitalization sHR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.06-1.39), increasing frailty index score (hospitalization sHR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.11-1.28), individuals using glucocorticoids (hospitalization sHR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.20), sulfonamides (hospitalization sHR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.27), trimethoprim antibiotics (hospitalization sHR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.29), unplanned hospitalizations 30 days prior (hospitalization sHR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.23), and ED presentations 1 year prior (hospitalization sHR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.10). Similar predictors and hazard estimates were also observed for ED presentations. The hospitalization models out-of-sample predictive ability (C-index = 0.653, 95% CI 0.635-0.670) and ED presentations (C-index = 0.647, 95% CI 0.630-0.663) were moderate. CONCLUSIONS One in five individuals with aged care eligibility assessments had unplanned hospitalizations and/or ED presentation within 90 days with several predictors identified at the time of aged care eligibility assessment. This is an actionable period for targeting at-risk individuals to reduce hospitalizations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria C Inacio
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,UniSA Allied Health and Human Performance, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Robert N Jorissen
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Jyoti Khadka
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Craig Whitehead
- College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Southern Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - John Maddison
- Northern Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Alice Bourke
- Central Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Clarabelle T Pham
- College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Jonathon Karnon
- College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Steve L Wesselingh
- South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Elizabeth Lynch
- Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Gillian Harvey
- Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Gillian E Caughey
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,UniSA Allied Health and Human Performance, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Maria Crotty
- College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Southern Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
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Inacio MC, Lang C, Bray SCE, Visvanathan R, Whitehead C, Griffith EC, Evans K, Corlis M, Wesselingh S. Health status and healthcare trends of individuals accessing Australian aged care programmes over a decade: the Registry of Senior Australians historical cohort. Intern Med J 2021; 51:712-724. [PMID: 32359019 PMCID: PMC8251748 DOI: 10.1111/imj.14871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2019] [Revised: 04/15/2020] [Accepted: 04/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Background Understanding the health profile, service and medicine use of Australians in the aged care sector will help inform appropriate service provision for our ageing population. Aims To examine the 2006–2015 trends in (i) comorbidities and frailty of individuals accessing aged care, and (ii) health services, medicine use and mortality after entry into long‐term care. Methods Cross‐sectional and population‐based trend analyses were conducted using the Registry of Senior Australians. Results From 2006 to 2015, 509 944 individuals accessed permanent residential care, 206 394 home care, 283 014 respite and 124 943 transition care. Over this time, the proportion of individuals accessing permanent residential care with high frailty scores (≥0.3) increased (19.7–49.7%), as did the proportion with 5–9 comorbidities (46.4–54.5%), with similar trends observed for those accessing other services. The median number of medicines dispensed in the year after entering permanent residential care increased from 9 (interquartile range (IQR) 6–12) to 10 (IQR 7–14), while remaining stable in home care (2006: 9, IQR 5–12, 2015: 9, IQR 6–13). Short‐term (within 100 days) mortality in those accessing permanent care was higher in 2006 (15.6%, 95% CI 15.2–16.0) than 2015 (14.6%, 95% CI 14.3–14.9). Longer term (101–1095 days, 2006: 44.3%, 95% CI 43.7–45.0, 2015: 46.4%, 95% CI 45.8–46.9) mortality was higher in 2015 compared to 2006. Mortality in individuals accessing home care did not change. Conclusion The health of older Australians accessing aged care programmes has declined while frailty increased, with an increasing use of medicine and worse long‐term mortality in some. Funding and care models need to adapt to this changing profile.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria C Inacio
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Division of Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Catherine Lang
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Sarah C E Bray
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Division of Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Discipline of Medicine, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Renuka Visvanathan
- National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Adelaide Geriatrics Training and Research with Aged Care Centre, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Aged and Extended Care Services, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Central Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Craig Whitehead
- Division of Rehabilitation, Aged Care and Palliative Care, Southern Adelaide Local Health Network, SA Health, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.,Rehabilitation, Aged and Extended Care, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Elizabeth C Griffith
- Clinical Research, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Keith Evans
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Megan Corlis
- Research and Development, Helping Hand Aged Care, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Steve Wesselingh
- South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
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Visvanathan R, Amare AT, Lang C, Khadka J, Yu S, Beilby J, Wesselingh S, Inacio MC. Utilisation of general practice health assessments around an aged care assessment is associated with lower mortality risk in older Australians. Age Ageing 2021; 50:120-126. [PMID: 32614940 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afaa091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2020] [Indexed: 01/28/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE (i) to describe the general practitioner utilisation of health assessments, management plans, coordination of team care arrangements and medication review item numbers within 6 months of an aged care eligibility assessment for home care packages (HCP) and (ii) investigate the impact of health assessments on the risk of mortality and entry into permanent residential aged care (PRAC) of individuals accessing HCP. DESIGN AND SETTING retrospective cohort study utilising data from the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA) was conducted. SUBJECTS 75,172 individuals aged ≥75 years who received HCP between 2011 and 2015. OUTCOME MEASURE for objective 1: the use of comprehensive assessments (Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) items 705 or 707), management plans (MBS 721), coordination of team care arrangements (MBS 723), and medication reviews (MBS 900). For objective 2: time to death and entry into PRAC. RESULTS of the 75,172 individuals, 28.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 27.8-8.5%) had comprehensive assessments, 36.7% (95% CI: 36.3-37.0%) had management plans, 33.0% (95% CI: 32.7-33.3%) received coordination of team care arrangements and 5.4% (95% CI: 5.2-5.5%) had medication reviews. Individuals with a comprehensive assessment had a 5% lower risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 95% CI = 0.95, 0.92-0.98) but 5% higher risk of transition to PRAC (adjusted subdistribution HRs, 95% CI = 1.05, 1.02-1.08) compared to those who did not have these services. CONCLUSION the utilisation of health assessments was associated with a lower risk of mortality. There is an opportunity for increased use of item numbers in frailer individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Renuka Visvanathan
- National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Aged and Extended Care Services, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Central Adelaide Local Health Network, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Azmeraw T Amare
- Healthy Ageing Research Consortium, Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Adelaide GTRAC Centre, Adelaide Medical School, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia
| | - Catherine Lang
- Healthy Ageing Research Consortium, Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Jyoti Khadka
- Healthy Ageing Research Consortium, Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Solomon Yu
- National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Aged and Extended Care Services, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Central Adelaide Local Health Network, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Justin Beilby
- National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Torrens University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Steve Wesselingh
- Healthy Ageing Research Consortium, Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Maria C Inacio
- Healthy Ageing Research Consortium, Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Division of Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
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Khadka J, Visvanathan R, Theou O, Moldovan M, Amare AT, Lang C, Ratcliffe J, Wesselingh SL, Inacio MC. Development and validation of a frailty index based on Australian Aged Care Assessment Program data. Med J Aust 2020; 213:321-326. [DOI: 10.5694/mja2.50720] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2019] [Accepted: 04/16/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jyoti Khadka
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
- UniSA Business School University of South Australia Adelaide SA
- Caring Future Institute Flinders University Adelaide SA
| | - Renuka Visvanathan
- Adelaide Geriatrics Training and Research with Aged Care (G‐TRAC) Centre University of Adelaide Adelaide SA
- NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing Adelaide SA
- Basil Hetzel Institute Central Adelaide Local Health Network Adelaide SA
| | - Olga Theou
- Basil Hetzel Institute Central Adelaide Local Health Network Adelaide SA
- Dalhousie University Halifax Nova Scotia Canada
| | - Max Moldovan
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
| | - Azmeraw T Amare
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
| | - Catherine Lang
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
| | - Julie Ratcliffe
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
- Caring Future Institute Flinders University Adelaide SA
| | - Steven L Wesselingh
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
| | - Maria C Inacio
- Registry of Senior Australians South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute Adelaide SA
- Sansom Institute for Health Research University of South Australia Adelaide SA
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Jorissen RN, Lang C, Visvanathan R, Crotty M, Inacio MC. The effect of frailty on outcomes of surgically treated hip fractures in older people. Bone 2020; 136:115327. [PMID: 32209422 DOI: 10.1016/j.bone.2020.115327] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2019] [Revised: 03/06/2020] [Accepted: 03/17/2020] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hip fractures are associated with mortality, disability, and loss of independence in older adults. While several risk factors associated with poor outcomes following a hip fracture have been identified, the effect of frailty status prior to hip fracture is not well established. AIM To examine the associations of frailty with mortality, change in activities of daily living (ADL) limitations, and transition to permanent residential aged care in older people following a hip fracture. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted on people aged 65 years and older with a surgically treated hip fracture between 2003 and 2015. Frailty was estimated using a cumulative deficit-based frailty index and categorized into quartiles. Cox multivariable regression, logistic regression, and Fine-Gray multivariable regression models estimated associations of frailty with mortality, ADL limitations, and entry into permanent residential aged care, respectively. Hazard ratios (HR), odds ratios (OR), subdistribution hazard ratios (SHR), and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) are reported. RESULTS Out of 4771 individuals with hip fractures, 75.6% were female and the median age was 86 (interquartile range 82-90) years old. The two-year survival of patients following hip fracture was 43.7% (95%CI 40.9-46.7%) in those in the highest quartile of frailty, compared to 54.4% (95%CI 51.8-57.2%) for those in the lowest quartile (HR = 1.25, 95%CI 1.11-1.41, p < 0.001). No associations between pre-fracture frailty and post-fracture ADL limitations were observed. Additionally, no association of frailty with transition to permanent residential aged care for patients living in the community (n = 1361) was observed (SHR = 0.98, 95%CI 0.81-1.18, p = 1.000). CONCLUSIONS Older patients with the highest level of frailty had an increased risk of mortality after hip fracture. Consideration for appropriate clinical interventions, including fall and frailty prevention measures, may be appropriate for this identified group of vulnerable individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert N Jorissen
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia; Department of Rehabilitation, Aged and Extended Care, Flinders University, Rehabilitation Building, Flinders Medical Centre, Australia.
| | - Catherine Lang
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Renuka Visvanathan
- Aged and Extended Care Services, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Central Adelaide Local Health Network, Adelaide, Australia; National Health and Medical Research Council Centre of Research Excellence in Frailty and Healthy Ageing and Adelaide Geriatrics Training and Research with Aged Care (GTRAC) Centre, Faculty of Health and Medical Science, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Maria Crotty
- Department of Rehabilitation, Aged and Extended Care, Flinders University, Rehabilitation Building, Flinders Medical Centre, Australia
| | - Maria C Inacio
- Registry of Senior Australians, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, Australia; Division of Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia
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