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Seekircher L, Tschiderer L, Lind L, Safarova MS, Kavousi M, Ikram MA, Lonn E, Yusuf S, Grobbee DE, Kastelein JJP, Visseren FLJ, Walters M, Dawson J, Higgins P, Agewall S, Catapano A, de Groot E, Espeland MA, Klingenschmid G, Magliano D, Olsen MH, Preiss D, Sander D, Skilton M, Zozulińska-Ziółkiewicz DA, Grooteman MPC, Blankestijn PJ, Kitagawa K, Okazaki S, Manzi MV, Mancusi C, Izzo R, Desvarieux M, Rundek T, Gerstein HC, Bots ML, Sweeting MJ, Lorenz MW, Willeit P. Intima-media thickness at the near or far wall of the common carotid artery in cardiovascular risk assessment. Eur Heart J Open 2023; 3:oead089. [PMID: 37840587 PMCID: PMC10575622 DOI: 10.1093/ehjopen/oead089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Revised: 08/03/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023]
Abstract
Aims Current guidelines recommend measuring carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) at the far wall of the common carotid artery (CCA). We aimed to precisely quantify associations of near vs. far wall CCA-IMT with the risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD, defined as coronary heart disease or stroke) and their added predictive values. Methods and results We analysed individual records of 41 941 participants from 16 prospective studies in the Proof-ATHERO consortium {mean age 61 years [standard deviation (SD) = 11]; 53% female; 16% prior CVD}. Mean baseline values of near and far wall CCA-IMT were 0.83 (SD = 0.28) and 0.82 (SD = 0.27) mm, differed by a mean of 0.02 mm (95% limits of agreement: -0.40 to 0.43), and were moderately correlated [r = 0.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.49). Over a median follow-up of 9.3 years, we recorded 10 423 CVD events. We pooled study-specific hazard ratios for CVD using random-effects meta-analysis. Near and far wall CCA-IMT values were approximately linearly associated with CVD risk. The respective hazard ratios per SD higher value were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.14-1.22; I² = 30.7%) and 1.20 (1.18-1.23; I² = 5.3%) when adjusted for age, sex, and prior CVD and 1.09 (1.07-1.12; I² = 8.4%) and 1.14 (1.12-1.16; I²=1.3%) upon multivariable adjustment (all P < 0.001). Assessing CCA-IMT at both walls provided a greater C-index improvement than assessing CCA-IMT at one wall only [+0.0046 vs. +0.0023 for near (P < 0.001), +0.0037 for far wall (P = 0.006)]. Conclusions The associations of near and far wall CCA-IMT with incident CVD were positive, approximately linear, and similarly strong. Improvement in risk discrimination was highest when CCA-IMT was measured at both walls.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisa Seekircher
- Institute of Health Economics, Department of Medical Statistics, Informatics, and Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Anichstraße 35, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Lena Tschiderer
- Institute of Health Economics, Department of Medical Statistics, Informatics, and Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Anichstraße 35, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Lars Lind
- Department of Medicine, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Maya S Safarova
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Froedtert and Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - M Arfan Ikram
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Eva Lonn
- Department of Medicine and Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
- Hamilton General Hospital, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Salim Yusuf
- Department of Medicine and Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
- Hamilton General Hospital, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Diederick E Grobbee
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - John J P Kastelein
- Department of Vascular Medicine, Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Frank L J Visseren
- Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Matthew Walters
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Nursing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Jesse Dawson
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Peter Higgins
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Stefan Agewall
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Division of Cardiology, Danderyd Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Alberico Catapano
- Department of Pharmacological and Biomolecular Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
- IRCCS Multimedica, Milan, Italy
| | - Eric de Groot
- Imagelabonline & Cardiovascular, Erichem, The Netherlands
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Amsterdam UMC-Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Mark A Espeland
- Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA
| | | | - Dianna Magliano
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Michael H Olsen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Holbaek Hospital, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - David Preiss
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, MRC Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trial Service Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Dirk Sander
- Department of Neurology, Benedictus Hospital Tutzing & Feldafing, Feldafing, Germany
- Department of Neurology, Technische Universität München, Munich, Germany
| | - Michael Skilton
- Faculty of Medicine and Health, Charles Perkins Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | | | - Muriel P C Grooteman
- Department of Nephrology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Peter J Blankestijn
- Department of Nephrology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Kazuo Kitagawa
- Department of Neurology, Tokyo Women’s Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shuhei Okazaki
- Department of Neurology, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
| | - Maria V Manzi
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, Federico II University, Naples, Italy
| | - Costantino Mancusi
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, Federico II University, Naples, Italy
| | - Raffaele Izzo
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, Federico II University, Naples, Italy
| | - Moise Desvarieux
- Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
- METHODS Core, Centre de Recherche Epidémiologie et Statistique Paris Sorbonne Cité (CRESS), Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) UMR 1153, Paris, France
| | - Tatjana Rundek
- Department of Neurology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Hertzel C Gerstein
- Department of Medicine and Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
- Hamilton General Hospital, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Michiel L Bots
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Michael J Sweeting
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Papworth Road, Cambridge CB2 0BB, UK
| | - Matthias W Lorenz
- Department of Neurology, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
- Klinik für Neurologie, Krankenhaus Nordwest, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
| | - Peter Willeit
- Institute of Health Economics, Department of Medical Statistics, Informatics, and Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Anichstraße 35, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Papworth Road, Cambridge CB2 0BB, UK
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Tschiderer L, Seekircher L, Izzo R, Mancusi C, Manzi MV, Baldassarre D, Amato M, Tremoli E, Veglia F, Tuomainen TP, Kauhanen J, Voutilainen A, Iglseder B, Lind L, Rundek T, Desvarieux M, Kato A, de Groot E, Aşçi G, Ok E, Agewall S, Beulens JWJ, Byrne CD, Calder PC, Gerstein HC, Gresele P, Klingenschmid G, Nagai M, Olsen MH, Parraga G, Safarova MS, Sattar N, Skilton M, Stehouwer CDA, Uthoff H, van Agtmael MA, van der Heijden AA, Zozulińska-Ziółkiewicz DA, Park HW, Lee MS, Bae JH, Beloqui O, Landecho MF, Plichart M, Ducimetiere P, Empana JP, Bokemark L, Bergström G, Schmidt C, Castelnuovo S, Calabresi L, Norata GD, Grigore L, Catapano A, Zhao D, Wang M, Liu J, Ikram MA, Kavousi M, Bots ML, Sweeting MJ, Lorenz MW, Willeit P. Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies. J Am Heart Assoc 2023:e027657. [PMID: 37301757 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.122.027657] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2023] [Accepted: 05/12/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque involving 21 494 individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease and without preexisting carotid plaque at baseline. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD, 9 years), 55% were women, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD, 0.17 mm). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5th-95th percentile, 1.9-19.0 years), 8278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. We combined study-specific odds ratios (ORs) for incident carotid plaque using random-effects meta-analysis. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. The age-, sex-, and trial arm-adjusted OR for carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.31-1.50; I2=63.9%). The corresponding OR that was further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.24-1.45; I2=59.4%; 14 studies; 16 297 participants; 6381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups. Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining plaque as focal thickening yielded a comparable OR (1.38 [95% CI, 1.29-1.47]; I2=57.1%; 14 studies; 17 352 participants; 6991 incident plaques). Conclusions Our large-scale individual participant data meta-analysis demonstrated that CCA-IMT is associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lena Tschiderer
- Institute of Health Economics Medical University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria
| | - Lisa Seekircher
- Institute of Health Economics Medical University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria
| | - Raffaele Izzo
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences Federico II University Naples Italy
| | - Costantino Mancusi
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences Federico II University Naples Italy
| | - Maria V Manzi
- Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences Federico II University Naples Italy
| | - Damiano Baldassarre
- Department of Medical Biotechnology and Translational Medicine University of Milan Milan Italy
- Centro Cardiologico Monzino Stituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Milan Italy
| | - Mauro Amato
- Centro Cardiologico Monzino Stituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Milan Italy
| | | | | | - Tomi-Pekka Tuomainen
- Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition University of Eastern Finland Kuopio Finland
| | - Jussi Kauhanen
- Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition University of Eastern Finland Kuopio Finland
| | - Ari Voutilainen
- Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition University of Eastern Finland Kuopio Finland
| | - Bernhard Iglseder
- Department of Geriatric Medicine Gemeinnützige Salzburger Landeskliniken Betriebsgesellschaft GmbH Christian-Doppler-Klinik Salzburg Austria
- Department of Geriatric Medicine Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg Austria
| | - Lars Lind
- Department of Medicine Uppsala University Uppsala Sweden
| | - Tatjana Rundek
- Department of Neurology University of Miami Miller School of Medicine Miami FL
| | - Moise Desvarieux
- Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health Columbia University New York NY
- METHODS Core, Centre de Recherche Epidémiologie et Statistique Paris Sorbonne Cité Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale Unité Mixte de Recherche 1153 Paris France
| | - Akihiko Kato
- Blood Purification Unit Hamamatsu University Hospital Hamamatsu Japan
| | - Eric de Groot
- Imagelabonline and Cardiovascular Erichem the Netherlands
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Amsterdam University Medical Center-Academic Medical Centre Amsterdam the Netherlands
| | - Gülay Aşçi
- Nephrology Department Ege University School of Medicine Bornova-Izmir Turkey
| | - Ercan Ok
- Nephrology Department Ege University School of Medicine Bornova-Izmir Turkey
| | - Stefan Agewall
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Danderyd Hospital Division of Cardiology Karolinska Institutet Stockholm Sweden
- Institute of Clinical Sciences University of Oslo Oslo Norway
| | - Joline W J Beulens
- Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam University Medical Center-Location Vrije Universiteit Medical Center Amsterdam the Netherlands
| | - Christopher D Byrne
- School of Human Development and Health, Faculty of Medicine University of Southampton Southampton UK
- Southampton National Institute for Health and Care Research, Biomedical Research Centre University Hospital Southampton Southampton UK
| | - Philip C Calder
- School of Human Development and Health, Faculty of Medicine University of Southampton Southampton UK
- Southampton National Institute for Health and Care Research, Biomedical Research Centre University Hospital Southampton Southampton UK
| | - Hertzel C Gerstein
- Department of Medicine and Population Health Research Institute McMaster University Hamilton Ontario Canada
- Hamilton General Hospital Hamilton Ontario Canada
| | - Paolo Gresele
- Division of Internal and Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery University of Perugia Perugia Italy
| | | | - Michiaki Nagai
- Department of Internal Medicine General Medicine and Cardiology, Hiroshima City Asa Hospital Hiroshima Japan
| | - Michael H Olsen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Holbaek Hospital University of Southern Denmark Odense Denmark
| | - Grace Parraga
- Department of Medical Biophysics, Robarts Research Institute Western University London ON Canada
| | - Maya S Safarova
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine University of Kansas Medical Center Kansas City KS
| | - Naveed Sattar
- British Heart Foundation Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre University of Glasgow Glasgow UK
| | - Michael Skilton
- Charles Perkins Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health University of Sydney Sydney NSW Australia
| | - Coen D A Stehouwer
- Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht Maastricht University Medical Centre Maastricht the Netherlands
| | - Heiko Uthoff
- Department of Angiology University Hospital Basel Basel Switzerland
| | - Michiel A van Agtmael
- Department of Internal Medicine Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam the Netherlands
| | - Amber A van der Heijden
- Department of General Practice, Amsterdam University Medical Center-Location Vrije Universiteit Medical Center Amsterdam the Netherlands
| | | | - Hyun-Woong Park
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine Chungnam National University Sejong Hospital Sejong-si South Korea
| | - Moo-Sik Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, College of Medicine Konyang University Daejeon South Korea
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine Konyang University Hospital Daejeon South Korea
| | - Jang-Ho Bae
- Heart Center, Konyang University Hospital Daejeon South Korea
- Department of Cardiology Konyang University College of Medicine Daejeon South Korea
| | - Oscar Beloqui
- Department of Internal Medicine University Clinic of Navarra Navarra Spain
| | - Manuel F Landecho
- Department of Internal Medicine University Clinic of Navarra Navarra Spain
| | - Matthieu Plichart
- Paris Cardiovascular Research Centre University Paris Descartes Paris France
- Fondation Santé Service, Hospital at Home Levallois-Perret France
| | | | | | - Lena Bokemark
- Wallenberg Laboratory for Cardiovascular Research University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden
| | - Göran Bergström
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden
- Department of Clinical Physiology Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Region Västragötaland Gothenburg Sweden
| | - Caroline Schmidt
- Wallenberg Laboratory for Cardiovascular Research University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden
| | - Samuela Castelnuovo
- Centro Dislipidemie, Aziende Socio Sanitarie Territoriali Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda Milan Italy
| | - Laura Calabresi
- Department of Pharmacological and Biomolecular Sciences University of Milan Milan Italy
| | - Giuseppe D Norata
- Department of Pharmacological and Biomolecular Sciences University of Milan Milan Italy
- Società Italiana per lo Studio dell'Aterosclerosi Center for the Study of Atherosclerosis, Bassini Hospital Cinisello Balsamo Italy
| | - Liliana Grigore
- Stituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Multimedica Milan Italy
| | - Alberico Catapano
- Department of Pharmacological and Biomolecular Sciences University of Milan Milan Italy
- Stituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Multimedica Milan Italy
| | - Dong Zhao
- Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China
| | - Miao Wang
- Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China
| | - Jing Liu
- Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China
| | - M Arfan Ikram
- Department of Epidemiology Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam the Netherlands
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam the Netherlands
| | - Michiel L Bots
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care University Medical Center Utrecht Utrecht the Netherlands
| | - Michael J Sweeting
- Department of Health Sciences University of Leicester Leicester UK
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care University of Cambridge Cambridge UK
| | - Matthias W Lorenz
- Klinik für Neurologie Krankenhaus Nordwest Frankfurt am Main Germany
- Department of Neurology Goethe University Frankfurt am Main Germany
| | - Peter Willeit
- Institute of Health Economics Medical University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care University of Cambridge Cambridge UK
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