Adult mortality of diseases and injuries attributable to selected metabolic, lifestyle, environmental, and infectious risk factors in Taiwan: a comparative risk assessment

Severe hepatitis B flares with hepatic decompensation after withdrawal of nucleos(t)ide analogues: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Finite nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) therapy has been proposed as an alternative treatment strategy for chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

AIM

To quantify the incidence of severe hepatitis flares following NUC cessation in everyday clinical practice.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study enrolled 10,192 patients (male 71.7%, median age 50.9 years, cirrhosis 10.7%) who had received first-line NUCs for at least 1 year before discontinuing treatment. The primary outcome was severe flare with hepatic decompensation. We used competing risk analyses to assess event incidences and associated risk factors.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 132 patients developed severe flares with hepatic decompensation, yielding a 4-year cumulative incidence of 1.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5%-2.2%). Significant risk factors were cirrhosis (adjusted sub-distributional hazard ratio [aSHR], 2.74; 95% CI, 1.82-4.12), manifestations of portal hypertension (aSHR, 2.46; 95% CI, 1.45-4.18), age (aSHR, 1.21 per 10 years; 95% CI, 1.03-1.42) and male sex (aSHR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.04-2.38). In patients without cirrhosis or portal hypertension (n = 8863), the 4-year cumulative incidence of severe withdrawal flares stood at 1.3% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.7%). For those patients with available data confirming adherence to the standard stopping rules (n = 1274), the incidence was 1.1% (95% CI, 0.6%-2.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Severe flares with hepatic decompensation were observed in 1%-2% of patients with CHB after stopping NUC therapy in daily practice. Risk factors included older age, cirrhosis, portal hypertension and male sex. Our findings argue against NUC cessation as part of routine clinical care.

Caulerpa lentillifera improves ethanol-induced liver injury and modulates the gut microbiota in rats

Caulerpa lentillifera (CL), also called sea grape, is a type of edible green alga which was reported to have antioxidative and immunomodulatory potential. This study aimed to investigate the hepatoprotective effects of CL in a rat model of chronic ethanol exposure. Wistar rats were assigned to four groups and supplied with an isocaloric control liquid diet (group C), an ethanol liquid diet (group E), a control liquid diet supplemented with 5% CL (group CC), or an ethanol liquid diet supplemented with 5% CL (group EC) for a 12-week experimental period. Ethanol feeding induced steatosis, inflammation, and changes in the gut microbiota by the end of the study, whereas CL supplementation significantly improved liver injuries and decreased circulatory endotoxin levels. Moreover, we also found that CL reversed ethanol-induced elevation of hepatic toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), MyD88 protein expression, the phosphorylated-nuclear factor (NF)-κB-to-NF-κB ratio, and proinflammatory cytokine concentrations. Additionally, CL also increased the abundance of Akkermansia and tight junction proteins and diminished the Firmicutes-to-Bacteroidetes ratio. Dietary CL inhibited the progression of alcoholic liver disease, and some of the possible mechanisms may be strengthening the intestinal barrier function, alleviating dysbiosis, and modulating the TLR4 pathway.

The association of hypertension and prehypertension with greenness and PM2.5 in urban environment

BACKGROUND

The interplay of air pollution and urban greenness on hypertension (HTN) is not fully understood.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study to explore the role of greenness and PM_2.5 on HTN for 40,375 adult residents in the New Taipei City, Taiwan. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) defined greenness and land use regression derived exposures of PM_2.5 were used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) of HTN in logistic regression models and common OR of normal to stage 3 HTN in ordinal logistic regression models. Linear regression model was used to evaluate the association between NDVI and blood pressures, including systolic (SBP), diastolic (DBP) and mean (MBP) pressures. The mediation and moderation analysis were used to assess the mediation and moderation effect of PM_2.5 on the association between greenness and SBP.

RESULTS

We found 37.3%, 21.4%, 8.2% and 2.7% of prehypertension and stage 1-3 hypertensions, respectively, for our study participants with annual PM_2.5 exposures of 10.96-43.59 μg/m³ living in an urban environment with NDVI within 500 m buffer ranging from -0.22 to 0.26. The ORs of HTN were 0.744 (95% CI: 0.698-0.793) for NDVI (quartile 4 vs. quartile 1) and 1.048 (1.012-1.085) for each IQR (8.69 μg/m³) increase in PM_2.5, respectively. The common OR of the higher level of 5 categories of BP was 1.1310 (1.241-1.383). With each IQR increase of NDVI (0.03), we found SBP, DBP and MBP were decreased by 0.78 mm Hg (-0.93-0.64), 0.52 mm Hg (-0.62-0.43) and 0.61 mm Hg (-0.71-0.51), respectively, in linear regression models. Stratified analysis found greenness effect was more prominent for people who are younger, female, never smoking, and without chronic diseases. PM_2.5 is moderated rather than mediated the association between greenness and SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Greenness was associated with lower prevalence of prehypertension and all stages of HTN and this relationship was moderated by PM_2.5.

Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and associations with cardiopulmonary diseases and lung cancer in Taiwan: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although a number of studies have reported on the health effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure, particularly in North American and European countries as well as China, the evidence about intermediate to high levels of PM2.5 exposures is still limited. We aimed to investigate the associations between long-term exposure to PM2.5 and risk of cardiopulmonary disease incidence in Taiwan with intermediate levels of PM2.5 exposure.

METHODS

A cohort of Taiwanese adults, who participated in the 2001, 2005, 2009 and 2013 National Health Interview Surveys, was followed through 2016 to identify cardiopulmonary disease onset. Exposure to PM2.5 was estimated by incorporating a widespread monitoring network of air quality monitoring stations and microsensors. We used time-dependent Cox regression models to examine the associations between the PM2.5 exposures and health outcomes, adjusting for individual characteristics and ecological covariates. The natural cubic spline functions were used to explore the non-linear effects of the PM2.5 exposure.

RESULTS

A total of 62 694 adults from 353 towns were enrolled. Each 10-μg/m3 increase in 5-year average exposure to PM2.5 was associated with a 4.8% increased risk of incident ischaemic heart disease (95% CI: -3.3, 13.6), 3.9% increased risk of incident stroke (95% CI: -2.9, 11.1), 6.7% increased risk of incident diabetes (95% CI: 1.1, 12.7), 15.7% increased risk of incident lung cancer (95% CI: -0.9, 35.1) and 11.5% increased risk of incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (95% CI: -0.8, 25.2). The concentration-response curve showed that there was no statistical evidence of non-linearity for most of the disease outcomes except for ischaemic heart disease (P for non-linearity = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term exposure to intermediate levels of ambient PM2.5 was associated with cardiopulmonary health outcomes. Our study adds value to future application and national burden of disease estimation in evaluating the health co-benefits from ambient air pollution reduction policy in Asian countries.

A New Perspective on Fish Oil: The Prevention of Alcoholic Liver Disease

The mechanisms of alcoholic liver diseases (ALD) are very complex and interrelated, including abnormal lipid metabolism, oxidative stress, and gut-derived endotoxin pathway. On the other hand, fish oil is rich in n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs), such as eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), which decrease blood triglyceride concentration in hypertriglycemia patients and show protective effects against fatty liver. However, there is limited evidence from studies of the relationship between fish oil and ALD based on the viewpoint of the intestinal integrity and microflora. Therefore, this review discusses the mechanism of amelioration for ALD by fish oil. Based on our previous studies, partial replacement of olive oil by fish oil in alcohol-containing liquid diet ameliorated the liver damage including fatty liver and inflammation in rats. Based on these results, the mechanisms of hepatoprotective effects due to fish oil substitution were discussed in three parts, such as regulating lipid metabolism, decreasing oxidative stress and maintaining intestinal health. First of all, we found that fish oil substitution increased plasma adiponectin levels, and then increasing MCAD and CPT-1 mRNA levels to accelerate fatty acid oxidation in liver, then further prevent ethanol-induced hepatosteatosis in rats with chronic alcohol-feeding. Fish oil replacement also enhanced hepatic autophagy flux, which enhanced lipid degradation, then inhibited lipid accumulation in liver. Secondly, the appreciable proportion of fish oil decreased lipid peroxidation by reducing the protein expression of cytochrome p450 2E1 in chronic alcohol-feeding rats. We also speculated that the appropriate proportion of n-6 and n-3 PUFAs is very important for preventing alcoholic liver disease. At last, substituting fish oil for olive oil normalized the intestinal permeability and fecal microbiota composition, thus providing a low plasma endotoxin level and inflammatory responses, which exert ameliorative effects on ethanol-induced liver injuries in rats.

Online Newspaper Framing of Non-Communicable Diseases: Comparison of Mainland China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao

As non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are now well recognized as the leading cause of mortality among adult populations worldwide, they are also increasingly the focus of media coverage. As such, the objective of this study is to describe the framing of NCDs in the coverage of newspapers, with the understanding that it says something about the society producing it. Automatic content analysis was employed to examine disease topics, risks, and cost consequences, thus providing lay people with a chance of learning the etiology of NCDs and information available for fighting diseases. The result of the computational method identified a total of 152,810 news articles with one of the seven supra-categories of NCDs. The category of metabolic diseases was covered most frequently in the past ten years. Three health risks received ample attention in all 11 newspapers: stress burden, tobacco use, and genetic predispositions. The results evidenced how media framed risk information of illnesses would distort the way in which diseases were selected, interpreted, and the outcome communicated. Future research building on our findings can further examine whether news framing affects the way the readers perceive and prevent NCDs.

Factors Related to Diabetes Mellitus in the Middle-Aged and Over in Taiwan

Study Objective: to investigate the factors related to diabetes mellitus in the middle-aged and over in Taiwan. Method: data from seven surveys (in 1989–2011) from the “Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging” (TLSA), among cohort B (above the age 60 in 1989), cohort A (aged 50–66 in 1996), and cohort C (aged 50–66 in 2003), were analyzed by the interval-censored Cox model. Results: in the early aging stage (aged 60–64), diabetes mellitus prevalence among the same age appeared the lowest in cohort B, followed by cohort A; cohort C reveals the highest than the young generation. Moreover, suffering from hypertension and kidney diseases are closely related to diabetes mellitus, with the diabetes mellitus suffering hazard ratio of 2.53 (95%: 2.35, 2.73) and 1.26 (95%: 1.11, 1.44) times, respectively. For people with fair and poor self-rated health, the risk of suffering from diabetes mellitus is 1.16 (95%: 1.07, 1.27) and 1.50 (95%: 1.35, 1.67) times compared to people with good self-rated health, respectively. Conclusions: in this study, it is considered that an advanced interval censoring model analysis could more accurately grasp the characteristics of factors in people who are middle-aged and over suffering from diabetes mellitus in Taiwan.

Bed 13 is not worse than any other. A retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Risk management and patient safety are closely related, following this premise some industries have adopted measures to omit number 13. Healthcare is not left behind, in some hospital the day of surgery's or bed numbering avoid number 13. The objective was to assess whether it is necessary to redesign the safety policies implemented in hospitals based on avoiding 13 in the numbering of rooms/beds.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Mortality and the number of adverse events suffered by patients admitted to rooms/beds numbering 13 (bad chance) or 7 (fair chance) over a two-year period to Intensive Care Unit, Medicine, Gastroenterology, Surgery, and Paediatric service were registered and compared.

RESULTS

A total of 8553 admissions were included. They had similar length-of-stay and Charlson Index scores (p-value=0.435). Mortality of bed 13 was 268 (6.2%, 95% CI 5.5-6.9) and 282 in bed 7 (6.7%, 95% CI 5.9-7.5) (p-value=0.3). A total of 422 adverse events from 4342 admissions (9.7%, 95% CI 8.9-10.6) occurred in bed 13, while in bed 7 the count of adverse events was 398 in 4211 admissions (9.4%, 95% CI 8.6-10.4) (p-value=0.6). Odds Ratio for mortality was equal to 0.9 (95% CI 0.8-1.1) and suffering adverse events when admitted to bed 13 versus bed 7 was 1.03 (95% CI 0.9-1.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Bed 13 is not a risk factor for patient safety. Hospitals should pay attention to causes and interventions to avoid adverse events based on evidence rather than beliefs or myths.

Association between Serum Calcium and Risk of Cardiometabolic Disease among Community-dwelling Adults in Taiwan

Serum calcium, although only comprising 1% of total body calcium, is involved in intracellular signal pathways, vascular dilatation/constriction, and muscle contraction, which are crucial for insulin secretion, cholesterol catabolism, and blood pressure regulation. As far as we know, research on the relationship between serum calcium level and metabolic syndrome (MetS), diabetes, and hypertension in one longitudinal study is rare. Owing to the crucial role of serum calcium in human cardiometabolic physiology and lack of related study so far, this study aims to describe the relationship between serum calcium level and the incidence of MetS, diabetes, and hypertension. During the period 2010–2016, there are two parts to our study: cross-sectional analysis and longitudinal analysis. Logistic regression was applied for cross-sectional analysis of the association between serum calcium level or albumin-corrected calcium (ACCA) and the prevalence of MetS, diabetes, or hypertension. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used for calculating of optimal cut-off value of serum calcium and ACCA. Cox proportional regression for development of MetS, diabetes, and hypertension according to different cut-off values of serum calcium level and ACCA were conducted. At baseline, there were 27,364 participants in our study. Serum calcium level had positive association with diabetes in the total population, male, and female. ACCA level had positive association with diabetes in the total population, male, and female. In unadjusted and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models, serum calcium level was associated with increased risk of incident MetS in the total population and male. ACCA was associated with increased risk of incident MetS in the total population and male. ACCA was associated with increased risk of incident diabetes in the total population and male participants. This study describes the relationship between serum calcium level and the incidence of MetS, diabetes, and hypertension. Higher serum calcium level is associated with increased risk of MetS, diabetes, and hypertension.

Improving the Use of Mortality Data in Public Health: A Comparison of Garbage Code Redistribution Models

Objectives. To describe and compare 3 garbage code (GC) redistribution models: naïve Bayes classifier (NB), coarsened exact matching (CEM), and multinomial logistic regression (MLR).Methods. We analyzed Taiwan Vital Registration data (2008-2016) using a 2-step approach. First, we used non-GC death records to evaluate 3 different prediction models (NB, CEM, and MLR), incorporating individual-level information on multiple causes of death (MCDs) and demographic characteristics. Second, we applied the best-performing model to GC death records to predict the underlying causes of death. We conducted additional simulation analyses for evaluating the predictive performance of models.Results. When we did not account for MCDs, all 3 models presented high average misclassification rates in GC assignment (NB, 81%; CEM, 86%; MLR, 81%). In the presence of MCD information, NB and MLR exhibited significant improvement in assignment accuracy (19% and 17% misclassification rate, respectively). Furthermore, CEM without a variable selection procedure resulted in a substantially higher misclassification rate (40%).Conclusions. Comparing potential GC redistribution approaches provides guidance for obtaining better estimates of cause-of-death distribution and highlights the significance of MCD information for vital registration system reform.

The extrahepatic events of Asian patients with primary biliary cholangitis: A 30-year cohort study

The extrahepatic complications of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in Asian patients remain elusive. A 30-year cohort study of 150 Taiwanese PBC patients treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) was conducted. Patients with alkaline phosphatase levels >1.67 × ULN after 1-year treatment were considered suboptimal responders. At baseline, of 150 patients (mean age: 53.75 years), 128 (85.3%) were females, and 34 (22.8%) had cirrhosis. The cumulative incidences of various incident events were all-cause mortality or liver transplantation: 46.7%; extrahepatic mortality: 24.5%; extrahepatic malignancies: 8.1%; hypertension: 46.2%; dyslipidemia: 44.1%; diabetes: 30.6%; hyperuricemia: 11.2%; acute coronary syndrome: 3.1%; cerebral vascular accident (CVA): 8.9%; autoimmune diseases: 16%; and osteoporosis: 20.9%. The 5- to 20-year cumulative incidences for all-cause mortality or liver transplantation and extrahepatic mortality were 16.2–41.3% and 3.1–11.9%, respectively. Baseline associations were age and alpha-fetoprotein levels with extrahepatic mortality, 80% due to sepsis; age with extrahepatic malignancies and hypertension; gender and hyperuricemia with CVA; and UDCA response with autoimmune disease. Conclusions: Sepsis accounted for most extrahepatic mortality in PBC patients, and the longer the follow-up was, the higher the extrahepatic/all-cause mortality ratio. Baseline age is crucial for incident extrahepatic events and only CVA shows gender-dimorphism; the association between UDCA response and autoimmune disease requires further investigation.

Body mass index modulates the association between CDKAL1 rs10946398 variant and type 2 diabetes among Taiwanese women

CDKAL1 rs10946398 is a type 2 diabetes (T2D)-associated variant. It is a new body mass index (BMI)-associated variant in Asian populations. We investigated the association between rs10946398 and T2D among 9908 participants aged 30–70 years based on BMI: normal weight; 18.5 ≤ BMI < 24 kg/m², overweight; 24 ≤ BMI < 27 kg/m², and obesity; BMI ≥27 kg/m². The CC genotype conferred a higher risk of T2D than the CA genotype. The odds ratios (ORs) were 1.83; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49–2.26 and 1.20; 95% CI 1.02–1.40, respectively. The C allele was the significant risk allele compared with A allele (OR = 1.32; 95% CI 1.19–1.47). For normal, overweight and obese participants with CC genotype, the ORs were respectively 1.69; 95% CI 1.02–2.81, 2.34; 95% CI 1.50–3.66, and 1.58; 95% CI 1.02–2.45 among men and 1.22; 95% CI 0.67–2.22, 2.42; 95% CI 1.30–4.52, and 2.3; 95% CI 1.19–4.50 among women. The C allele ORs were higher in obese and overweight women. In conclusion, the rs10946398 CC/CA genotypes, as well as the C allele increased the risk of T2D. The ORs were higher in women who were overweight and obese than in those with normal weight. Nonetheless, significant results were prominent only among those with CC genotype and C allele.

Vegetarian diet, change in dietary patterns, and diabetes risk: a prospective study

Background/objectives

Vegetarian diets are inversely associated with diabetes in Westerners but their impact on Asians—whose pathophysiology differ from Westerners—is unknown. We aim to investigate the association between a vegetarian diet, change in dietary patterns and diabetes risk in a Taiwanese Buddhist population.

Methods

We prospectively followed 2918 non-smoking, non-alcohol drinking Buddhists free of diabetes, cancer, and cardiovascular diseases at baseline, for a median of 5 years, with 183 incident diabetes cases confirmed. Diet was assessed through a validated food frequency questionnaire at baseline and a simple questionnaire during follow-ups. Incident cases of diabetes were ascertained through follow-up questionnaires, fasting glucose and HbA1C. Stratified Cox Proportional Hazards Regression was used to assess the effect of diets on risk of diabetes.

Results

Consistent vegetarian diet was associated with 35% lower hazards (HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.46, 0.92), while converting from a nonvegetarian to a vegetarian pattern was associated with 53% lower hazards (HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.30, 0.71) for diabetes, comparing with nonvegetarians while adjusting for age, gender, education, physical activity, family history of diabetes, follow-up methods, use of lipid-lowering medications, and baseline BMI.

Conclusion

Vegetarian diet and converting to vegetarian diet may protect against diabetes independent of BMI among Taiwanese.

Human papillomavirus infection is not associated with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma in Taiwan

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

To examine whether the prevalence rate of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in Taiwanese patients with primary laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) is different from that in those with a vocal polyp (VP) or vocal fold leukoplakia (VFL).

METHODS

This prospective cohort study recruited 41 consecutive patients with primary LSCC and 27 and 20 patients with VP and VFL, respectively. The HPV L1 gene in surgical specimens was detected using polymerase chain reaction. High-risk HPV DNA in tissue microarray specimens was detected using in situ hybridization. Expression of p16^INK4a in tissue microarray specimens was determined through immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

The prevalence of HPV L1 DNA in the LSCC group was equivalent to that in the VP and VFL groups (7.3% vs. 7.4% vs. 10.0%; P = 0.929; effect size = 0.20). High-risk HPV DNA detected using in situ hybridization was relatively rare in all groups (2.6% vs. 5.3% vs. 0.0%; P = 0.636; effect size = 0.81). The prevalence of p16^INK4a positivity was significantly lower in the LSCC group than in the VP and VFL groups (5.1% vs. 58.8% vs. 14.3%; P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis results revealed that age ≥65 years (adjusted odds ratio, 4.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.21-13.91; P = 0.024) and p16^INK4a positivity (adjusted odds ratio, 0.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.53; P = 0.006) were LSCC risk factors.

CONCLUSION

HPV infection is uncommon in Taiwanese patients with LSCC and seems not to be associated with an increased LSCC risk. Larger sample size is warranted for further study.