Early intubation and patient-centered outcomes in septic shock: a secondary analysis of a prospective multicenter study

Effect of immediate initiation of invasive ventilation on mortality in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure: a target trial emulation

PURPOSE

Invasive ventilation is a fundamental treatment in intensive care but its precise timing is difficult to determine. This study aims at assessing the effect of initiating invasive ventilation versus waiting, in patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure without immediate reason for intubation on one-year mortality.

METHODS

Emulation of a target trial to estimate the benefit of immediately initiating invasive ventilation in hypoxemic respiratory failure, versus waiting, among patients within the first 48-h of hypoxemia. The eligible population included non-intubated patients with SpO2/FiO2 ≤ 200 and SpO2 ≤ 97%. The target trial was emulated using a single-center database (MIMIC-IV) which contains granular information about clinical status. The hourly probability to receive mechanical ventilation was continuously estimated. The hazard ratios for the primary outcome, one-year mortality, and the secondary outcome, 30-day mortality, were estimated using weighted Cox models with stabilized inverse probability weights used to adjust for measured confounding.

RESULTS

2996 Patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria of whom 792 were intubated within 48 h. Among the non-invasive support devices, the use of oxygen through facemask was the most common (75%). Compared to patients with the same probability of intubation but who were not intubated, intubation decreased the hazard of dying for the first year after ICU admission HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.68-0.96, p = 0.018). Intubation was associated with a 30-day mortality HR of 0.80 (95% CI 0.64-0.99, p = 0.046).

CONCLUSION

The initiation of mechanical ventilation in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure reduced the hazard of dying in this emulation of a target trial.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients suffering from sepsis or septic shock is available.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (day 1), day 2, 3, 5 and 7. First, the diagnostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis. Second, the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for 30-d all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as multivariable mixed analysis of variance (ANOVA), Cox proportional regression analyses and propensity score matching.

RESULTS

A total of 289 patients were included, of which 55% had sepsis and 45% septic shock. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 d was 53%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.651 on day 1 and 0.794 on day 7, the AST/ALT ratio revealed moderate but better diagnostic discrimination of septic shock compared to bilirubin. Furthermore, the AST/ALT ratio was able to discriminate 30-d all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.624; 95% CI 0.559 - 0.689; p = 0.001). Patients with an AST/ALT ratio above the median (>1.8) had higher rates of 30-d all-cause mortality compared to lower values (mortality rate 63 vs. 43%; log-rank p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.703; 95% CI 1.182 - 2.453; p = 0.004) and propensity score matching.

CONCLUSIONS

The AST/ALT was a reliable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock as well as a reliable tool to predict 30-d all-cause mortality in patients suffering from sepsis and septic shock.