High initial IgG antibody levels against Orientia tsutsugamushi are associated with an increased risk of severe scrub typhus infection

Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus in Fujian province during 2012–2020

Background

Scrub typhus has become a serious public health concern in the Asia-Pacific region including China. There were new natural foci continuously recognized and dramatically increased reported cases in mainland China. However, the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus in Fujian province have yet to be investigated.

Objective

This study proposes to explore demographic characteristics and spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province, and to detect high-risk regions between January 2012 and December 2020 at county/district scale and thereby help in devising public health strategies to improve scrub typhus prevention and control measures.

Method

Monthly cases of scrub typhus reported at the county level in Fujian province during 2012–2020 were collected from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System. Time-series analyses, spatial autocorrelation analyses and space-time scan statistics were applied to identify and visualize the spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province. The demographic differences of scrub typhus cases from high-risk and low-risk counties in Fujian province were also compared.

Results

A total of 11,859 scrub typhus cases reported in 87 counties from Fujian province were analyzed and the incidence showed an increasing trend from 2012 (2.31 per 100,000) to 2020 (3.20 per 100,000) with a peak in 2018 (4.59 per 100,000). There existed two seasonal peaks in June-July and September-October every year in Fujian province. A significant positive spatial autocorrelation of scrub typhus incidence in Fujian province was observed with Moran’s I values ranging from 0.258 to 0.471 (P<0.001). Several distinct spatiotemporal clusters mainly concentrated in north and southern parts of Fujian province. Compared to low-risk regions, a greater proportion of cases were female, farmer, and older residents in high-risk counties.

Conclusions

These results demonstrate a clear spatiotemporal heterogeneity of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province, and provide the evidence in directing future researches on risk factors and effectively assist local health authorities in the refinement of public health interventions against scrub typhus transmission in the high risk regions.

Scrub typhus is a vector-borne zoonotic disease caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi and is popular in the Asia-Pacific area. Nowadays scrub typhus has been recognized as a considerable burden on public health in Fujian province. We explored the epidemiological characteristics, spatiotemporal patterns and diffusion characteristics of scrub typhus, and detected high-risk regions at the county level in Fujian province between January 2012 and December 2020. Our results indicated that the majority of cases were reported in June-July and September-October and that that middle aged and elderly people were more prone to infection every year in Fujian province. The spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed clustering in geographic distribution of cases and several distinct spatiotemporal clusters were identified in north and southern parts of Fujian province. Compared with cases from low-risk areas, a higher proportion of cases were female, farmer, and older residents in high-risk counties.

The Incidence of Orientia Tsutsugamushi Infection in Rural South India

Scrub typhus is a common bacterial infection in Asia caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi. This serological cohort study estimated the incidence of infection in a rural population in South India. Participants were enrolled through systematic sampling in 46 villages at baseline, and revisited the following year. Blood samples were tested for IgG antibodies using ELISA, followed by indirect immunofluorescence assays (IFA) in those positive for ELISA at both rounds. A case was defined as sero-conversion (ELISA), or at least a 4-fold titre increase (IFA), between the two time points. In addition to crude incidence rate estimates, we used piecewise linear rates across calendar months, with rates proportional to the monthly incidence of local hospital cases to address seasonality and unequal follow-up times. Of 402 participants, 61.7% were female. The mean age was 46.7 years, (range 13–88). 21 participants showed evidence for serological infection. The estimated incidence was 4.4 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2.8–6.7). The piecewise linear rates approach resulted in a similar estimate of 4.6 per 100 person years (95% CI 2.9–6.9). Considering previous estimates of symptomatic scrub typhus incidence in the same study population, only about 2–5% of infections may result in clinically relevant disease.

Clinical characteristics of and antibody response to spotted fever group rickettsial infections in South India: Case series and serological cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The clinical and serological characteristics of spotted fever group rickettsial (SFGR) infections in South Asia are poorly understood. We studied the clinical presentation and the IgM/IgG response in cases enrolled at two health care centres in South India.

METHOD

We enrolled 77 patients. Fifty-seven of these patients were recruited at a tertiary care centre, the remaining 20 at a community hospital (secondary care level). Diagnostic tests included IgM and IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and polymerase chain reaction. Over a period of 1 year, 41 cases were followed up for repeated sero-analysis.

RESULTS

Median age was 9 years (range 1-79). A rash was present in 74% of cases (57/77). In cases aged <15 years, rash was present in 94% (44/47) vs. 43% (13/30) in cases aged ≥15 years. An eschar was found in two cases (3%). Severe infection or complications occurred in 10 cases (13%). These included central nervous system infection (6/77, 8%), kidney injury (3/77, 4%), shock (3/77, 4%), lung involvement (2/77, 3%) and peripheral gangrene (2/77, 3%). IgM antibody levels increased faster after fever onset than IgG antibodies, peaking at 50 and 60 days, respectively. After the peak, IgM and IgG levels showed a slow decline over one year with less than 50% of cases showing persistent IgG antibody levels.

CONCLUSION

Spotted fever group rickettsial infections in South India may be under-diagnosed, as many cases may not develop a rash. The proportion of cases developing severe infection seems lower than for scrub typhus in this region. IgG seroprevalence may substantially underestimate the proportion in a population with past SFGR infection.