Detection of Early-Stage Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma From Blood Samples: Results of a Multiplex Biomarker Signature Validation Study

Outcomes of a 3-Year Prospective Surveillance in Individuals at High Risk of Pancreatic Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Pancreatic cancer (PC) surveillance of high-risk individuals (HRI) is becoming more common worldwide, aiming at anticipating PC diagnosis at a preclinical stage. In 2015, the Italian Registry of Families at Risk of Pancreatic Cancer was created. We aimed to assess the prevalence and incidence of pancreatic findings, oncological outcomes, and harms 7 years after the Italian Registry of Families at Risk of Pancreatic Cancer inception, focusing on individuals with at least a 3-year follow-up or developing events before.

METHODS

HRI (subjects with a family history or mutation carriers with/without a family history were enrolled in 18 centers). They underwent annual magnetic resonance with cholangiopancreatography or endoscopic ultrasound (NCT04095195).

RESULTS

During the study period (June 2015-September 2022), 679 individuals were enrolled. Of these, 524 (77.2%) underwent at least baseline imaging, and 156 (29.8%) with at least a 3-year follow-up or pancreatic malignancy/premalignancy-related events, and represented the study population. The median age was 51 (interquartile range 16) years. Familial PC cases accounted for 81.4% of HRI and individuals with pathogenic variant for 18.6%. Malignant (n = 8) and premalignant (1 PanIN3) lesions were found in 9 individuals. Five of these 8 cases occurred in pathogenic variant carriers, 4 in familial PC cases (2 tested negative at germline testing and 2 others were not tested). Three of the 8 PC were stage I. Five of the 8 PC were resectable, 3 Stage I, all advanced cases being prevalent. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative hazard of PC was 1.7%, 2.5%, and 3%, respectively. Median overall and disease-free survival of patients with resected PC were 18 and 12 months (95% CI not computable). Considering HRI who underwent baseline imaging, 6 pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (1 resected) and 1 low-yield surgery (low-grade mixed-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm) were also reported.

DISCUSSION

PC surveillance in a fully public health care system is feasible and safe, and leads to early PC or premalignant lesions diagnoses, mostly at baseline but also over time.

Familial pancreatic cancer: a long fruitful journey

In the early years of my GI fellowship, a healthy 40-year-old man came to my clinic and announced that he was going to die of pancreatic cancer. His brothers, father and uncles had all died of the disease; he felt his fate was inescapable. I asked whether his family members had seen doctors or had any tests. His answer was yes to both. Even so, doctors could not diagnose the pancreatic cancer at early stages. CT scans were always negative. I thought to myself, in order to help this patient-CT scans may not be reliable for early detection. Perhaps other methods of imaging the pancreas might be of more benefit. This patient opened a door that led to a 30-year journey of trying to detect pancreatic cancer at earlier stages when it is curable.

[Early detection of sporadic pancreatic cancer]

The incidence of pancreatic cancer is rising. At present, pancreatic cancer is the third most common cancer-causing death in Germany, but it is expected to become the second in 2030 and finally the leading cause of cancer death in 2050. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PC) is generally diagnosed at advanced stages, and 5-year-survival has remained poor. Early detection of sporadic PC at stage IA, however, can yield a 5-year-survival rate of about 80%. Early detection initiatives aim at identifying persons at high risk. People with new-onset diabetes at age 50 or older have attracted much interest. Novel strategies regarding how to detect sporadic PC at an early stage are being discussed.

Managing complications of chronic pancreatitis: a guide for the gastroenterologist

INTRODUCTION

Chronic pancreatitis is a heterogeneous and complex syndrome that, in most cases, causes pain as a cardinal symptom and affects both the morphology and function of the pancreas, leading to several serious complications.

AREAS COVERED

The present review, based on a non-systematic PubMed search updated to June 2023, aims to present the current available evidence on the role of gastroenterologists in the diagnosis and treatment of both local and systemic complications by either endoscopic or medical treatments.

EXPERT OPINION

At diagnosis and during chronic pancreatitis follow-up, particular care is needed to consider not only the clinically manifest signs and symptoms of the disease, such as pain, jaundice, gastrointestinal obstruction, and pseudocysts, which require multidisciplinary discussion to establish the best treatment option (endoscopic or surgical), but also less evident systemic complications. Pancreatic exocrine and endocrine insufficiency, together with chronic inflammation, addiction, and dysbiosis, contribute to malnutrition, sarcopenia, and osteopathy. These complications, in turn, increase the risk of infection, thromboembolic events, and death. Patients with chronic pancreatitis also have an increased risk of psychiatric disorders and pancreatic cancer onset. Overall, patients with chronic pancreatitis should receive a holistic evaluation, considering all these aspects, possibly through multidisciplinary care in dedicated expert centers.

Development of a blood-based extracellular vesicle classifier for detection of early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has an overall 5-year survival rate of just 12.5% and thus is among the leading causes of cancer deaths. When detected at early stages, PDAC survival rates improve substantially. Testing high-risk patients can increase early-stage cancer detection; however, currently available liquid biopsy approaches lack high sensitivity and may not be easily accessible.

METHODS

Extracellular vesicles (EVs) were isolated from blood plasma that was collected from a training set of 650 patients (105 PDAC stages I and II, 545 controls). EV proteins were analyzed using a machine learning approach to determine which were the most informative to develop a classifier for early-stage PDAC. The classifier was tested on a validation cohort of 113 patients (30 PDAC stages I and II, 83 controls).

RESULTS

The training set demonstrates an AUC of 0.971 (95% CI = 0.953-0.986) with 93.3% sensitivity (95% CI: 86.9-96.7) at 91.0% specificity (95% CI: 88.3-93.1). The trained classifier is validated using an independent cohort (30 stage I and II cases, 83 controls) and achieves a sensitivity of 90.0% and a specificity of 92.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Liquid biopsy using EVs may provide unique or complementary information that improves early PDAC and other cancer detection. EV protein determinations herein demonstrate that the AC Electrokinetics (ACE) method of EV enrichment provides early-stage detection of cancer distinct from normal or pancreatitis controls.

Diagnostic Performance of a Tumor Marker Gene Test to Personalize Serum CA19-9 Reference Ranges

PURPOSE

CA19-9 synthesis is influenced by common variants in the fucosyltransferase (FUT) enzymes FUT3 and FUT2. We developed a clinical test to detect FUT variants, and evaluated its diagnostic performance for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

A representative set of controls from the Cancer of the Pancreas Screening study was identified for each FUT functional group. Diagnostic sensitivity was determined first in a testing set of 234 PDAC cases, followed by a 134-case validation set, all of whom had undergone resection with curative intent without neoadjuvant therapy. Tumor marker gene testing was performed in the Johns Hopkins Molecular Diagnostics Laboratory. CA19-9 levels were measured in the Hopkins Clinical Chemistry lab. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the discriminative ability of CA19-9 alone versus with the gene test.

RESULTS

Applying the CA19-9 standard cutoff (<36 U/mL) to all 716 subjects yielded a 68.8% sensitivity in the test set of cases, 67.2% in the validation set, at 91.4% specificity. Applying 99th percentile cutoffs according to each individual's FUT group (3, 34.9, 41.8, and 89.2, for the FUT3-null, FUT-low, FUT-intermediate, and FUT-high groups, respectively) yielded a diagnostic sensitivity for CA19-9 in the first set of cases of 66.7%, 65.7% in the validation set, at 98.9% specificity. ROC analysis for CA19-9 alone yielded an AUC of 0.84; with the tumor marker gene test, AUC improved to 0.92 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Using a tumor marker gene test to personalize an individual's CA19-9 reference range significantly improves diagnostic accuracy.

Pancreatic Cancer and Detection Methods

The pancreas is a vital organ with exocrine and endocrine functions. Pancreatitis is an inflammation of the pancreas caused by alcohol consumption and gallstones. This condition can heighten the risk of pancreatic cancer (PC), a challenging disease with a high mortality rate. Genetic and epigenetic factors contribute significantly to PC development, along with other risk factors. Early detection is crucial for improving PC outcomes. Diagnostic methods, including imagining modalities and tissue biopsy, aid in the detection and analysis of PC. In contrast, liquid biopsy (LB) shows promise in early tumor detection by assessing biomarkers in bodily fluids. Understanding the function of the pancreas, associated diseases, risk factors, and available diagnostic methods is essential for effective management and early PC detection. The current clinical examination of PC is challenging due to its asymptomatic early stages and limitations of highly precise diagnostics. Screening is recommended for high-risk populations and individuals with potential benign tumors. Among various PC screening methods, the N-NOSE plus pancreas test stands out with its high AUC of 0.865. Compared to other commercial products, the N-NOSE plus pancreas test offers a cost-effective solution for early detection. However, additional diagnostic tests are required for confirmation. Further research, validation, and the development of non-invasive screening methods and standardized scoring systems are crucial to enhance PC detection and improve patient outcomes. This review outlines the context of pancreatic cancer and the challenges for early detection.

Outcomes of the IMMray PanCan-d Test in High-Risk Individuals Undergoing Pancreatic Surveillance: Pragmatic Data and Lessons Learned

PURPOSE

An effective blood-based test for pancreatic cancer (PC) screening has remained elusive. The IMMray PanCan-d is the first commercially available blood-based test specifically designed for early detection of PC; however, outcomes from its use in clinical practice have not been reported.

METHODS

We performed a blinded spike-in study of 100 individuals who had an IMMray PanCan-d test, including 94 high-risk individuals (HRIs) undergoing PC surveillance and six individuals with known PC. Specimens were processed blindly following the commercial laboratory's standardized operating procedure. Positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated.

RESULTS

Cohort characteristics included a median age of 63 (IQR, 55-70) years, 57% female, 96% non-Hispanic White, 57% with a pathogenic variant in a PC risk gene (BRCA2 most commonly-18%), and 83% with a family history of PC. Among IMMray PanCan-d results from 94 HRIs undergoing PC surveillance, there was one positive (1%), seven borderlines (7%), 73 negatives (78%), and 13 tests not performed because of low CA19-9 expression (14%). No PC was diagnosed among these HRIs; however, there were two sub-cm pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, seven clinically diagnosed side branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms ≥1 cm, and a sub-cm solid mass with indeterminate cytology requiring close follow-up; all these individuals had negative IMMray PanCan-d tests. Of the six spiked-in PCs, four (67%) yielded a positive and two (33%) yielded a negative. With an estimated disease prevalence of 2%, the PPV and NPV are 52% and 99%, respectively, if borderline results are considered negative and 12% and 99%, respectively, if borderline tests are considered positive.

CONCLUSION

In clinical practice, IMMray PanCan-d has a robust NPV; however, PPV is dramatically influenced by whether borderline results are characterized as a positive or negative result.

Blood-Based Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Pancreatic Cysts

The use of blood-based biomarkers for the assessment of pancreatic cystic lesions is a rapidly growing field with incredible potential. CA 19-9 remains the only blood-based marker in common use, while many novel biomarkers are in early stages of development and validation. We highlight current work in the fields of proteomics, metabolomics, cell-free DNA/circulating tumor DNA, extracellular vesicles, and microRNA among others, as well as barriers to development and future directions in the work of blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic cystic lesions.

Early Detection of Cancers in the Era of Precision Oncology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The increasing global incidence of cancer demands innovative cancer detection modalities. The current population-based early cancer detection approaches focus on several major types of cancers (breast, prostate, cervical, lung and colon) at their early stages, however, they generally do not target high-risk individuals at precancerous stages.

RECENT FINDINGS

Some cancers, such as pancreatic cancer, are challenging to detect in their early stages. Therefore, there is a pressing need for improved, accessible, noninvasive, and cost-effective early detection methods. Harnessing cell-free-based biomarker-driven strategies paves a new era of precision diagnosis for multicancer early detection. The majority of these tests are in the early stages and expensive, but these approaches are expected to become cost sensitive in the near future.

SUMMARY

This review provides an overview of early cancer detection strategies, highlighting the methods, challenges, and issues to be addressed to revolutionize and improve global early cancer detection.

Pancreatic Cancer: Changing Epidemiology and New Approaches to Risk Assessment, Early Detection, and Prevention

Pancreatic cancer usually results in poor survival with limited options for treatment, as most affected individuals present with advanced disease. Early detection of preinvasive pancreatic neoplasia and identifying molecular therapeutic targets provide opportunities for extending survival. Although screening for pancreatic cancer is currently not recommended for the general population, emerging evidence indicates that pancreatic surveillance can improve outcomes for individuals in certain high-risk groups. Changes in the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer, experience from pancreatic surveillance, and discovery of novel biomarkers provide a roadmap for new strategies for pancreatic cancer risk assessment, early detection, and prevention.

Pancreatic Cancer in Chronic Pancreatitis: Pathogenesis and Diagnostic Approach

Chronic pancreatitis is one of the main risk factors for pancreatic cancer, but it is a rare event. Inflammation and oncogenes work hand in hand as key promoters of this disease. Tobacco is another co-factor. During alcoholic chronic pancreatitis, the cumulative risk of cancer is estimated at 4% after 15 to 20 years. This cumulative risk is higher in hereditary pancreatitis: 19 and 12% in the case of PRSS1 and SPINK1 mutations, respectively, at an age of 60 years. The diagnosis is difficult due to: (i) clinical symptoms of cancer shared with those of chronic pancreatitis; (ii) the parenchymal and ductal remodeling of chronic pancreatitis rendering imaging analysis difficult; and (iii) differential diagnoses, such as pseudo-tumorous chronic pancreatitis and paraduodenal pancreatitis. Nevertheless, the occurrence of cancer during chronic pancreatitis must be suspected in the case of back pain, weight loss, unbalanced diabetes, and jaundice, despite alcohol withdrawal. Imaging must be systematically reviewed. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle biopsy can contribute by targeting suspicious tissue areas with the help of molecular biology (search for KRAS, TP53, CDKN2A, DPC4 mutations). Short-term follow-up of patients is necessary at the clinical and paraclinical levels to try to diagnose cancer at a surgically curable stage. Pancreatic surgery is sometimes necessary if there is any doubt.

Model-based screening for pancreatic cancer in Sweden

BACKGROUND

Detecting pancreatic cancer at an earlier stage may contribute to an increased survival. Patients with stage I pancreatic cancer have a 5-year survival rate of 36%, while stage IV patients have a 5-year survival rate of 1% in Sweden. Research into novel blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic cancer is highly intensive and innovative, but has yet to result in any routine screening test. The aim of this study was to evaluate the specificity and sensitivity of a hypothetical blood test for pancreatic cancer used for screening purposes and the economic aspects of testing.

METHOD

A model of a screening test was created, with varying specificity and sensitivity both set at 80%, 85%, 90%, 95% or 99% and applied to selected risk groups. Excessive costs of false positive screening outcomes, QALYs, ICERs and total costs were calculated.

RESULTS

Individuals with family history and genetic mutations associated with pancreatic cancer, new-onset diabetes ≥50 years of age and early symptoms had the highest positive predictive values and ICERs beneath the willingness-to-pay-level of EUR 100,000/QALY. Screening of the general population and smokers resulted in a high rate of false positive cases and extensive extra costs.

CONCLUSIONS

General screening for pancreatic cancer is not cost-effective, while screening of certain high-risk groups may be economically justified given the availability of a high-performing blood-based test.

Current Screening Strategies for Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a dreaded malignancy with a dismal 5-year survival rate despite maximal efforts on optimizing treatment strategies. Radical surgery is the only potential curative procedure. Unfortunately, the majority of patients are diagnosed with locally advanced or metastatic disease, which renders them ineligible for curative resection. Early detection of PDAC is thus considered to be the most effective way to improve survival. In this regard, pancreatic screening has been proposed to improve results by detecting asymptomatic stages of PDAC and its precursors. There is now evidence of benefits of systematic surveillance in high-risk individuals, and the current guidelines emphasize the potential of screening to affect overall survival in individuals with genetic susceptibility syndromes or familial occurrence of PDAC. Here we aim to summarize the current knowledge about screening strategies for PDAC, including the latest epidemiological data, risk factors, associated hereditary syndromes, available screening modalities, benefits, limitations, as well as management implications.