Garg P, Yagnik VD, Dawka S, Kaur B, Menon GR. A Novel MRI and Clinical-Based Scoring System to Assess Post-Surgery Healing and to Predict Long-Term Healing in Cryptoglandular Anal Fistulas.
Clin Exp Gastroenterol 2022;
15:27-40. [PMID:
35210804 PMCID:
PMC8860728 DOI:
10.2147/ceg.s343254]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2021] [Accepted: 02/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background
Anal fistulas cause great uncertainty and anxiety in patients and surgeons alike. This is largely because of the inability to accurately confirm postoperative fistula healing, especially long-term healing. There is no scoring system available that can objectively assess cryptoglandular anal fistulas for postoperative healing and can also accurately predict long-term healing.
Methods
Several parameters that could indicate anal fistula healing were assessed. Out of these, six parameters (four MRI-based and two clinical) were finalized, and a weighted score was given to each parameter. A novel scoring system (NSS) was developed. A minimum possible score (zero) indicated complete healing whereas the maximum weighted score (n = 20) indicated confirmed non-healing. Scoring was done with postoperative MRI (at least 3 months post-surgery), then compared with the actual healing status, and subsequently correlated with the final long-term clinical outcome.
Results
The NSS was validated in 183 operated cryptoglandular fistula-in-ano patients over a 3-year period in whom 283 MRIs (preoperative plus postoperative) were performed. The postoperative follow-up was 12–48 months (median-30 months). The NSS was found to have a very high positive predictive value (98.2%) and moderately high negative predictive value (83.7%) for long-term fistula healing. Additionally, its sensitivity and specificity in predicting healing were 93.9% and 94.7%, respectively.
Conclusion
Thus, this new scoring system is highly accurate and would be a useful tool for surgeons and radiologists managing anal fistulas. By objectivizing the assessment of postoperative healing, it can both ease and streamline management. Moreover, reliable prediction of recurrence-free long-term healing will greatly allay the apprehensions associated with this dreaded disease.
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