Stochastic Model of the Adaptive Immune Response Predicts Disease Severity and Captures Enhanced Cross-Reactivity in Natural Dengue Infections

A stochastic B cell affinity maturation model to characterize mechanisms of protection for tetravalent dengue vaccine constructs

Dengue annually infects millions of people from a regionally and seasonally varying dengue virus population circulating as four distinct serotypes. Effective protection against dengue infection and disease requires tetravalent vaccine formulations to stimulate a balanced protective immune response to all four serotypes. However, this has been a challenge to achieve, and several clinical trials with different leading vaccine candidates have demonstrated unbalanced replication and interference of interindividual serotype components, leading to low efficacy and enhanced disease severity for dengue-naïve populations. Production of serotype-specific neutralizing antibodies is largely viewed as a correlate of protection against severe dengue disease. However, the underlying mechanisms that lead to these protective immune responses are not clearly elucidated. In this work, using a stochastic model of B cell affinity maturation, we tested different live-attenuated vaccine constructs with varied viral replication rates and contrasted the initiation and progress of adaptive immune responses during tetravalent vaccination and after dengue virus challenge. Comparison of our model simulations across different disease-severity levels suggested that individual production of high levels of serotype-specific antibodies together with a lower cross-reactive antibody are better correlates for protection. Furthermore, evolution of these serotype-specific antibodies was dependent on the percent of viral attenuation in the vaccine, and production of initial B cell and T cell populations pre- and post-secondary dengue infection was crucial in providing protective immunity for dengue-naïve populations. Furthermore, contrasting disease severity with respect to different dengue serotypes, our model simulations showed that tetravalent vaccines fare better against DENV-4 serotype when compared to other serotypes.

Identification of stage-related and severity-related biomarkers and exploration of immune landscape for Dengue by comprehensive analyses

Background

At present, there are still no specific therapeutic drugs and appropriate vaccines for Dengue. Therefore, it is important to explore distinct clinical diagnostic indicators.

Methods

In this study, we combined differentially expressed genes (DEGs) analysis, weighted co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) and Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve (ROC) to screen a stable and robust biomarker with diagnosis value for Dengue patients. CIBERSORT was used to evaluate immune landscape of Dengue patients. Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis and Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were applied to explore potential functions of hub genes.

Results

CD38 and Plasma cells have excellent Area Under the Curve (AUC) in distinguishing clinical stages for Dengue patients, and activated memory CD4+ T cells and Monocytes have good AUC for this function. ZNF595 has acceptable AUC in discriminating dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) from dengue fever (DF) in whole acute stages. Analyzing any serotype, we can obtain consistent results. Negative inhibition of viral replication based on GO, KEGG and GSEA analysis results, up-regulated autophagy genes and the impairing immune system are potential reasons resulting in DHF.

Conclusions

CD38, Plasma cells, activated memory CD4+ T cells and Monocytes can be used to distinguish clinical stages for dengue patients, and ZNF595 can be used to discriminate DHF from DF, regardless of serotypes.

Graphical abstract

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12985-022-01853-8.

Protective and pathogenic role of humoral responses in COVID-19

Since the advent of SARS-CoV-2 in Dec. 2019, the global endeavor to identify the pathogenic mechanism of COVID-19 has been ongoing. Although humoral immunity including neutralizing activity play an important role in protection from the viral pathogen, dysregulated antibody responses may be associated with the pathogenic progression of COVID-19, especially in high-risk individuals. In addition, SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific antibodies acquired by prior infection or vaccination act as immune pressure, driving continuous population turnover by selecting for antibody-escaping mutations. Here, we review accumulating knowledge on the potential role of humoral immune responses in COVID-19, primarily focusing on their beneficial and pathogenic properties. Understanding the multifaceted regulatory mechanisms of humoral responses during SARS-CoV-2 infection can help us to develop more effective therapeutics, as well as protective measures against the ongoing pandemic.