Incidental Node Metastasis as an Independent Factor of Worse Disease-Free Survival in Patients with Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Partial Thyroidectomy With Incidental Metastatic Lymph Nodes

Importance

The need for completion thyroidectomy in patients with incidental metastatic lymph nodes after partial thyroidectomy is unclear.

Objective

To investigate the outcomes of patients with incidental metastatic lymph nodes following partial thyroidectomy.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained thyroid cancer database from 1985 to 2015 was carried out at a head and neck surgery practice at a tertiary referral cancer center. A total of 74 patients who underwent thyroid lobectomy or thyroid isthmusectomy between 1985 and 2015 and were found to have incidental metastatic lymph nodes on final pathologic analysis and were selected to be observed without immediate completion thyroidectomy were included. A separate group of additional 11 patients who underwent immediate completion thyroidectomy was also identified and reviewed.

Main Outcome and Measure

Analysis took place from February to May 2022. Recurrence-free survival outcomes of patients found to have incidental metastatic lymph nodes on final pathologic analysis following partial thyroidectomy with no immediate completion thyroidectomy.

Results

A total of 74 patients were observed, with a median (IQR) age of 39 (28-49) years; 44 (59%) were women. Sixty-four patients underwent thyroid lobectomy and 10 patients had isthmusectomy. Classic papillary thyroid carcinoma was the most common histologic type (34 [46%]). Vascular invasion and microscopic extrathyroidal extension were present in 11 patients (16%) and 22 patients (30%), respectively. Positive margins were identified in 5 patients (7.8%). Size of metastatic lymph nodes ranged between 0.07 cm and 1.2 cm. No extranodal extension was reported. A total of 52 patients (70%) were classified as intermediate risk for recurrence based on the American Thyroid Association risk stratification system. The median (IQR) follow up was 48.15 (15.4-86.1) months, during which only 1 patient had a regional recurrence. Another patient underwent delayed completion thyroidectomy for a contralateral lobe malignant abnormality. Recurrence-free survival, disease-specific survival, and overall survival were 97.4%, 100%, and 96.2%, respectively. A separate group of 11 patients who underwent immediate completion thyroidectomy were reviewed. These patients were more likely to have tall-cell papillary thyroid carcinoma (6 [55%] vs 13 [18%]), multifocality (9 [82%] vs 28 [41%]), microscopic extrathyroidal extension (8 [73%] vs 22 [30%]), and positive margins (3 [30%] vs 5 [7.8%]) compared with patients who were under observation only.

Conclusion and Relevance

Completion thyroidectomy may not be necessary in appropriately selected patients who are found to have incidental metastatic lymph nodes (N1a) after partial thyroidectomy for localized well-differentiated thyroid cancer.

Interpretable machine learning model based on the systemic inflammation response index and ultrasound features can predict central lymph node metastasis in cN0T1-T2 papillary thyroid carcinoma

Background

It is arguable whether individuals with T1-T2 papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who have a clinically negative (cN0) diagnosis should undergo prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) on a routine basis. Many inflammatory indices, including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), have been reported in PTC. However, the associations between the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) and the risk of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) remain unclear.

Methods

Retrospective research involving 1,394 individuals with cN0T1-T2 PTC was carried out, and the included patients were randomly allocated into training (70%) and testing (30%) subgroups. The preoperative inflammatory indices and ultrasound (US) features were used to train the models. To assess the forecasting factors as well as drawing nomograms, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression were utilized. Then eight interpretable models based on machine learning (ML) algorithms were constructed, including decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), and categorical boosting (CatBoost). The performance of the models was evaluated by incorporating the area under the precision-recall curve (auPR) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (auROC), as well as other conventional metrics. The interpretability of the optimum model was illustrated via the shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach.

Results

Younger age, larger tumor size, capsular invasion, location (lower and isthmus), unclear margin, microcalcifications, color Doppler flow imaging (CDFI) blood flow, and higher SIRI (≥0.77) were independent positive predictors of CLNM, whereas female sex and Hashimoto thyroiditis were independent negative predictors, and nomograms were subsequently constructed. Taking into account both the auROC and auPR, the RF algorithm showed the best performance, and superiority to XGBoost, CatBoost and ANN. In addition, the role of key variables was visualized in the SHAP plot.

Conclusions

An interpretable ML model based on the SIRI and US features can be used to predict CLNM in individuals with cN0T1-T2 PTC.

Role of prophylactic central neck lymph node dissection for papillary thyroid carcinoma in the era of de-escalation

Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine malignancy. While there has been no appreciable increase in the observed mortality of well-differentiated thyroid cancer, there has been an overall rise in its incidence worldwide over the last few decades. Patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and clinical evidence of central (cN1) and/or lateral lymph node metastases require total thyroidectomy plus central and/or lateral neck dissection as the initial surgical treatment. Nodal status in PTC patients plays a crucial role in the prognostic evaluation of the recurrence risk. The 2015 guidelines of the American Thyroid Association (ATA) have more accurately determined the indications for therapeutic central and lateral lymph node dissection. However, prophylactic central neck lymph node dissection (pCND) in negative lymph node (cN0) PTC patients is controversial, as the 2009 ATA guidelines recommended that CND "should be considered" routinely in patients who underwent total thyroidectomy for PTC. Although the current guidelines show clear indications for therapeutic CND, the role of pCND in cN0 patients with PTC is still debated. In small solitary papillary carcinoma (T1, T2), pCND is not recommended unless there are high-risk prediction factors for recurrence and diffuse nodal spread (extrathyroid extension, mutation in the BRAF gene). pCND can be considered in cN0 disease with advanced primary tumors (T3 or T4) or clinical lateral neck disease (cN1b) or for staging and treatment planning purposes. The role of the preoperative evaluation is fund-amental to minimizing the possible detrimental effect of overtreatment of the types of patients who are associated with low disease-related morbidity and mortality. On the other hand, it determines the choice of appropriate treatment and determines if close monitoring of patients at a higher risk is needed. Thus, pCND is currently recommended for T3 and T4 tumors but not for T1 and T2 tumors without high-risk prediction factors of recurrence.